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Picture taken on May 3, 2022 shows a general view of Slovakia’s largest mineral oil refinery Slovnaft in Bratislava, Slovakia. (Photo by JOE KLAMAR / AFP)

Joe Klamar | Afp | Getty Images

The Group of 7 nations are in talks to cap Russian oil at $65 and $70 a barrel — but analysts say it likely won’t have a significant impact on Moscow’s oil revenues even if it’s approved.

Prices at those levels are close to what Asian markets are currently paying Russia, which are at a “big discount,” said Wood Mackenzie’s vice president of gas and LNG research, Massimo Di Odoardo.

“Those levels of discounts are certainly in line with what the discounts already are in the market … It’s something that doesn’t seem, as it is placed, like it’s going to have any effect [on Moscow] whatsoever if the price is so high.”

Russia has threatened to it will not supply oil to countries setting and endorsing the price cap.

“Given Russian oil (Urals) is trading at $60‑65/bbl, the proposed price cap is already compliant under prevailing market conditions,” said Vivek Dhar, Director of Mining and Energy Commodities research from Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

In a note on Thursday, he said that current Russian oil shipments face minimal disruption from the European Union denying shipping and insurance services.

He agreed that the discussed price cap won’t make much of a dent or deter Moscow in its war against Ukraine.

“Russia’s seaborne oil exports have increased to China, India and Turkey at the expense of advanced economies following the Ukraine war,” he added.

The oil embargo should not have a huge impact, says Wood Mackenzie

In fact, he said the price cap discussed was higher than markets were expecting.

“Oil prices finished lower overnight after the EU discussed a price cap on Russian oil between $US65‑70/bbl, a higher price range than markets expected and at levels that will reduce the risk of disruptions of EU sanctions on Russian oil shipments,” Dhar said.

There was similar skepticism over the EU’s proposed cap on natural gas prices. Several EU member states locked horns over the effectiveness of capping prices at 275 euros per megawatt hour, with some saying it’s not realistic to keep gas prices at such high levels for so long.

The bloc is seeking to stop gas prices from soaring sky-high as consumers are already struggling with rising cost-of-living.

G-7 policymakers have a tough balancing act to tread.

It seems to me like [the G-7] will err on the side of caution — setting it high rather than low to avoid worsening the inflationary spiral.

Pavel Molchanov

Energy analyst at Raymond James

If prices are set too high, they will be meaningless and risk having no impact on Russia — but if the price cap is too low, it could lead to a physical reduction in the supply of Russian oil onto the global market, said Raymond James’ energy analyst Pavel Molchanov.

A lower price cap “means more inflation, more consumer unhappiness, and more monetary tightening,” Molchanov pointed out.

“It seems to me like [the G-7] will err on the side of caution — setting it high rather than low to avoid worsening the inflationary spiral.”

Last week, official data showed U.K. inflation jumped to a 41-year high of 11.1% in October, higher than expected, as energy prices, among other factors, continued to squeeze households and businesses.

Downside risks to current forecasts

If EU members agree to the proposed cap, Dhar expects the price of oil to fall below $95 per barrel for the last quarter of 2022.

Oil prices were fractionally higher on Friday afternoon Asia time. Brent crude futures inched higher by 0.35% to stand at $85.64 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures climbed 0.55% to $78.37 per barrel.

“Our price forecast assumes EU sanctions accompanied by a price cap on Russian oil will result in enough supply disruption to offset ongoing global growth concerns.”

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The European bloc has imposed multiple rounds of sanctions against Russia since since Moscow began its unprovoked war on neighboring Ukraine in late February.

Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs lowered its oil price forecast by $10 to $100 per barrel for the fourth quarter of 2022, citing rising Covid concerns in China and lack of clarity over the Group of Seven nations’ plan to cap Russian oil prices.

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CATL unveils world’s first LFP battery with 4C ultra-fast charging for 370-mi in 10 mins

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CATL unveils world's first LFP battery with 4C ultra-fast charging for 370-mi in 10 mins

A new EV battery that can add 370 miles (600 km) range in 10 minutes? China’s CATL introduced its new Shenxing Plus EV battery, capable of just that. CATL claims the new EV battery is the world’s first with 4C ultra-fast charging and +620 miles (1,000 km) CLTC range.

CATL reveals world’s first 4C ultra-fast charging battery

CATL continues advancing EV battery tech as it aims to develop longer-range, faster charging units.

The EV battery giant dominates the industry after leading again in 2023 for the seventh straight year. CATL’s EV battery consumption reached 259.7 GWh last year. Meanwhile, total battery consumption rose to 705.5 GWh globally.

CATL’s share of the market reached as high as 36.8% in 2023, nearly 21% ahead of its closest rival, BYD.

Last summer, CATL revealed its Shenxing SuperFast Charging Battery, capable of adding 248 miles (400 km) in 10 minutes.

Its latest battery, Shenxing Plus, uses cheaper, more advanced lithium iron phosphate for even faster charging.

CATL said the new EV battery is the world’s first with 4C ultra-fast charging and +620 miles (1,000 km) CLTC long-range capabilities. The new battery can gain a one-km range in as little as one minute. Even at extreme temperatures as low as -20°C (-4°F), the new battery offers superfast charging.

To improve the energy density, CATL introduced its in-house 3D honeycomb material. As a result, the Shenxing Plus has an energy density of 205 Wh/kg, comparable to most traditional NCM batteries.

LFP batteries are typically cheaper but are known to offer lower energy density. CATL’s new battery looks to change that.

In January, CATL said it would reduce the cost of LFP batteries per kWh by a massive 50% by the middle of 2024. It looks like it’s well on its way. You can watch CATL’s 2024 product launch below.

CATL 2024 product launch (Source: CATL)

Electrek’s Take

With cheaper, more efficient EV batteries coming out of China, the country looks to solidify its position as the world’s largest electric car market.

In February, CATL formed an “all-star” lineup with other Chinese automakers and battery makers, such as BYD and NIO, to develop new solid-state batteries.

BYD and CATL already supply batteries to Tesla, Ford, BMW, Toyota, Kia, Mercedes-Benz, and Toyota. With even cheaper, more advanced battery tech launching, CATL is enabling more buyers globally to go electric.

Although most automakers have announced plans to develop batteries, how do they plan to keep up with CATL if it’s already this far ahead?

Source: CarNewsChina, CATL

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Oil prices pull back as U.S. economic growth disappoints

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Oil prices pull back as U.S. economic growth disappoints

A view of oil-well in action during sunset at Elk Hills Oil Field as gas prices on the rise in California, United States on April 14, 2024. 

Tayfun Coskun | Anadolu | Getty Images

Crude oil futures pulled back Thursday after U.S. economic growth disappointed.

Gross domestic product was much softer than expected in the first quarter, coming in at 1.6% on an annualized basis compared with 2.4% expected by a Dow Jones survey of economists.

Slower economic growth can weigh on crude oil demand. Prices turned negative after moving higher earlier in the session.

Here are today’s energy prices:

  • West Texas Intermediate June contract: $82.45 a barrel, down 36 cents or 0.43%. Year to date, U.S. oil has gained about 15%.
  • Brent June contract: $87.62 a barrel, down 40 cents or 0.45%. Year to date, the global benchmark has added about 14%.
  • RBOB Gasoline May contract: $2.72 a gallon, down 0.36%. Year to date, gasoline futures are up about 29%.
  • Natural Gas May contract: $1.62 per 1,000 cubic feet, down 1.63%. Year to date, gas is down about 35%.

Oil prices closed lower Wednesday as Goldman Sachs saw a slightly bearish market with global inventories on the rise. U.S. crude is down about 1% this week while Brent is up 0.3%.

Oil Prices, Energy News and Analysis

Crude oil futures have shed $2.50 in geopolitical risk premium since last week as tensions between Israel and Iran have eased, according to analysts at Piper Sandler.

Oil prices are currently moving sideways but downside risk seems limited, Jan Stuart, Piper’s energy analyst, told clients in a research note.

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WTI v. Brent

Piper has reduced the odds of a U.S. recession to a coin flip, Stuart said. Unemployment is low, sentiment is OK and the outlook is not bad, he said. This means growing demand for oil with refiners running closer to capacity and smaller capacity additions, Stuart said.

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Gogoro’s new lower-cost electric scooter breaks sales records, begins shipping

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Gogoro's new lower-cost electric scooter breaks sales records, begins shipping

After recently launching its newest electric scooter, the Gogoro JEGO Smartscooter, deliveries of the hot-selling electric scooters are ready to begin. This marks a new page for Gogoro, the world’s largest battery-swapping network operator, and makes swappable battery electric scooters more affordable than ever.

The Gogoro JEGO launched in Taiwan last month, quickly racking up over 6,500 fully-paid pre-orders in that short time.

Gogoro already dominates the local market with around a 90% share of new electric scooter registrations in Taiwain. According to Gogoro, JEGO sales are showing the strongest demand for a Gogoro vehicle since the beginning of the pandemic.  The company’s domestic market of Taiwan is by far its largest, though Gogoro scooters and battery swapping stations have now expanded to much of Asia as Gogoro expands its footprint.

With an introductory price that drops as low as just US $760 after government subsidies, the JEGO is positioned as an affordable new model to open up the local market further and entice more price-sensitive combustion engine scooter riders.

The scooter was built around Gogoro’s well-known battery standard, allowing one or two battery packs to power the vehicle around cities and urban areas. Riders buy the scooter but don’t own the batteries, instead subscribing to a swapping plan. That helps reduce the price of the scooter further and ensures Gogoro can get the longest life out of the batteries possible via intelligent charging and swapping doctrines. Having started its swapping programs back in 2015, Gogoro has learned that its batteries are lasting even longer than originally anticipated, with a new estimated lifespan of around 12 years.

An affordable new battery-swapping subscription plan was also announced along with the JEGO, offering new riders a US $7/month plan to cover up to 1,000 km (621 miles) of riding per month when signing up for a three-year plan.

The JEGO’s goal of converting existing combustion engine scooter riders over to electric seems to be working well.

“JEGO has touched a positive chord with a new market segment of Taiwan riders – nearly all of our 6,500 pre-order customers are first-time EV riders. They are looking for a smart, convenient, and sustainable vehicle and are not just embracing JEGO’s innovation and design but also access to Gogoro’s vast battery-swapping network,” said Horace Luke, founder and CEO of Gogoro. “Initial JEGO sales are surpassing our expectations and showing the strongest demand we’ve seen since the beginning of the pandemic. With deliveries beginning this week, we expect to realize JEGO’s pre-order revenue this quarter.”

At the same time as Gogoro expands its entry-level offering with the JEGO, Gogoro is also preparing for the rollout of its recently revealed premium-level Gogoro Pulse. That high-performance model, which also uses the same Gogoro swappable battery packs, includes a number of automotive-style features never before seen in the electric scooter market.

The dual-pronged approach reveals Gogoro’s ability to innovate on both ends of the market, serving both entry-level riders and higher-performance enthusiasts.

gogoro battery swap

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