Oil prices are hovering around 10-month highs, as a stout summer rally extends into the fall and delivers additional gains for the Club’s energy stocks, Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Coterra Energy (CTRA). And Jim Cramer believes it’s not too late to buy either of them. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil benchmark, has jumped 32% since its lows of the summer on June 12, to nearly $89 a barrel. Meanwhile, global oil standard Brent crude has climbed 28%, to around $92 a barrel. Both WTI and Brent on Tuesday settled at their highest levels since November. Over the same stretch since June 12, Pioneer stock has risen 17.1%, while Coterra gained 16.4%. That makes them the fifth and sixth best-performing Club stocks during that time — ahead of artificial intelligence winner Nvidia (NVDA), but behind pharmaceuticals giant Eli Lilly (LLY). Coterra on Tuesday closed at its highest level of the year, at $28.47 per share. Pioneer is about 3% off its 2023 peak of $243 per share, reached on Sept. 5. “I think that it is not too late to buy either of these,” Jim Cramer noted on Tuesday. The rise in oil prices largely boils down to a mismatch between supply and demand. Production cuts from major oil exporters such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have contributed to tighter supplies at a time when major economies have remained healthier than expected. Indeed, prices took a major leg higher last week after Saudi Arabia and Russia said they’d extend through year-end their voluntary output reductions of a combined 1.3 million barrels per day. This week’s move in crude was helped by a new report from the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries , which projected that oil demand will grow by 2.25 million barrels per day in 2024, citing economic resiliency. Saudi Arabia is the de-facto leader of OPEC. Russia is the oil cartel’s largest partner producer in an expanded group known as OPEC+ . The current backdrop may keep oil prices supported through the fall, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s short-term outlook published Tuesday . Citing Saudi Arabia’s production-cut extension and an expected further drawdown of global oil inventories, the government statistics agency forecasted Brent crude will average around $93 a barrel in the fourth quarter, less than 1% above where it settled Tuesday. If higher oil prices – and by extension fuel prices – are sustained in the coming months, the investment implications may be somewhat mixed. On one hand, Pioneer and Coterra would likely generate more free cash flow than in the first half of 2023 , which could lead to increased share repurchases and higher dividend payouts — key reasons investors like us are in the stocks. On the other hand, it may complicate the Federal Reserve’s efforts to squash inflation through higher interest rates. For much of this year, the downward trend in oil prices contributed to lower year-over-year inflation readings . Now, “oil is the wildcard” that might prompt the U.S. central bank to rethink policy and raise interest rates more aggressively than previously thought necessary, according to Jim. In the Labor Department’s monthly consumer price index report for August, released Wednesday, higher gasoline prices were responsible for more than half of the headline 0.6% month-over-month increase. Currently, the Fed is expected leave interest rates unchanged between 5.25% and 5.5% at its meeting next week, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool . The Fed had paused raising interest rates in June, before instituting another quarter-percentage-point increase in July — the central bank’s 11th rate hike in 17 months. There was no policy decision in August. Put another way, our energy exposure’s role as an inflation hedge – on display throughout 2022 following the crude-price surge tied to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February of that year – may become more apparent. And it adds to the attractiveness of owning Pioneer and Coterra here. Jim sees additional upside for both. Pioneer’s stock is less than 2% higher than where it traded back in April, in the days following a “bogus” report that Exxon Mobil (XOM) held talks to acquire the Club holding, Jim pointed out. Shares of Pioneer “should be much higher,” he said, noting the potential for more robust capital returns due to higher oil prices. Plus, he said, Pioneer’s natural-gas offerings are another potential plus for the stock. “I hadn’t figured it would matter that much, but any increase in nat-gas prices could be an added benefit,” he said. Coterra offers a quality mix between crude and natural-gas exposure. While natural gas prices are dramatically lower than a year go, the commodity has gained in recent months. And it’s currently riding a four-day winning streak, settling Tuesday at $2.743 per million British thermal units. That has helped Coterra shares. But Jim said the stock has still yet to break out in a meaningful way. “There’s more room to run,” he said. “I could see the stock busting through the $30 level.” (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long PXD and CTRA . See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . 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An oil pump jack in Great Plains, southeastern Wyoming.
Marli Miller | Universal Images Group | Getty Images
Oil prices are hovering around 10-month highs, as a stout summer rally extends into the fall and delivers additional gains for the Club’s energy stocks, Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Coterra Energy (CTRA). And Jim Cramer believes it’s not too late to buy either of them.
Amid several reports that Volkswagen is cutting EV production at two German plants, the automaker revealed the reason – slowing demand.
Volkswagen suspends EV production in Germany
Last week, a report from the German newspaper Automobilwoche claimed Volkswagen was pausing EV production at its Dresden facility in Germany.
Volkswagen’s Dresden facility has built over 150,000 VW Phaeton, e-Golf, ID.3, and Bentley Flying Spur models since beginning production in 2002. Last year, 6,500 ID.3 EVs were built at the location.
The automaker will temporarily suspend ID.3 production at the plant for two weeks during the Saxon autumn holidays, as first reported by Germany’s DPA news. Starting October 16, the electric car will be built again in regular single-shift operation.
Dresden’s roughly 300 employees will be reassigned to other areas, including “innovative manufacturing and testing.”
Meanwhile, at Volkswagen’s main BEV plant in Zwichau, one of the two production lines will shut down during the holidays, according to a spokesperson (via Automobilwoche).
The news comes after VW announced at a staff meeting earlier this month it would be cutting 269 temporary jobs at the site.
Although Volkswagen’s ID.3 and Cupra Born will be impacted by the halt, ID.4, ID.5, Audi Q4 e-tron, and Audi Q4 sportback e-tron models will continue regular production in three shifts.
Volkswagen ID.3 production at Dresden (Source: Volkswagen)
Volkswagen is discussing with local labor reps how to proceed with EV production at the Zwickau plant.
The company did not specify how many units or employees would be affected by the changes.
ID.4 (left) quality control at Zwickau plant (Source: VW)
Volkswagen is struggling to attract new EV orders amid higher inflation and weaning subsidies in Europe. Europe’s largest automaker also faces a growing threat from more advanced EV competitors like Tesla and BYD.
Electrek’s Take
The core Volkswagen brand faces pressure as cheaper, more advanced EVs are taking market share at home and abroad.
In Volkswagen’s largest market by revenue (China), the automaker was surpassed by BYD as the best-selling car brand earlier this year.
Volkswagen Group CEO Oliver Blume aims to boost VW brand returns to 6.5% over the next three years. Currently, it’s around 3.6%.
With EV makers like Tesla, BYD, and several other Chinese start-ups expanding rapidly, Volkswagen will need to act urgently to risk falling further behind.
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At the Japan Mobility Show next month, Honda will showcase several new products and tech, including a new electric sports car that will headline the booth.
The new electric sports car will “enable the driver to experience the pure joy of driving,” according to Honda.
Although the automaker was light on the details behind the project, it claims the concept will represent “Honda’s continuous pursuit of the joy of driving” while embodying Honda’s universal sports mindset and distinctive characteristics.
Also ready to make an appearance at the booth is Honda’s SUSTAINA-C Concept and Pocket Concept, designed to use limited resources.
Both models are made of recycled and reused acrylic resin with the idea of “resource circulation” for environmental sustainability and future mobility freedom.
Other EV products set to make their world debut include the Honda CI-MEV. The two-seat, four-wheel mini EV uses Honda’s cooperative intelligence (CI) and automated driving for last-mile deliveries and areas with limited mobility options.
A prototype of Honda’s new commercial-use mini EV with a portable external power output device, Power Exporter e: 6000, will also be displayed.
Honda CI-MEV (Source: Honda)
Honda to unveil new electric sports car
Honda revealed plans to launch 30 new EV models globally by the end of the decade, including at least two electric sports cars.
One will be a specialty model, while the other will be a flagship. Speculation suggests one of the models will be an NSX, a two-seater sports coupe (An Acura model in North America), with the other being a GT.
Honda electric sports car concepts (Source: Honda)
Honda teased the upcoming electric sports cars under wraps, showing a low-profile vehicle with a similar body design to the NSX.
According to the British automotive magazine Car, Honda’s EV performance car will ride on the automaker e:n platform, featured in its e:Ny1 electric SUV.
Honda e:Ny1 (Source: Honda)
The EV could also wear the Type R badge, as Honda’s technical consultant, Kotaro Yamamoto, said, “Type R stands for racing. It’s a pleasure transported. An electric car can deliver this, and a Type R is not obliged to use a combustion engine. Even in a fully electric society, there will still be Type Rs delivering ultimate driving pleasure.”
Other than that, Honda is keeping the details under wraps. We’ll learn more about the electric performance car next month.
The electric sports car will make its world debut at the Japan Mobility Show, running from October 28 to November 5, 2023. Media days will be October 25-26.
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New Tesla Cybertrucks, rumored to be “Master Candidates,” the final step before production, have been spotted coming out of Gigafactory Texas.
For the past month, Tesla has had full and at times, partial shutdowns, of production at Gigafactory Texas as it conducted factory upgrades.
Yesterday, a drone video shot by Joe Tegtmeyer confirmed that workers are now coming back to the factory.
The video showed new Model Y bodies coming out of the factory and new Cybertrucks.
There have been rumors that the shutdown at Gigafactory Texas might have been linked to the start of Cybertruck production.
Tegtmeyer, who often gets to talk to Giga Texas employees as he flyes drones there almost daily, claims that the new Cybertrucks spotted coming out of the factory are “Master Candidates,” the last step before production.
While it can’t be confirmed if they are master candidates or production versions, the two Cybertrucks spotted at the factory did look a lot more refined than the previously spotted prototypes:
The trims and fittings seem to blend better with the stainless steel body of the electric pickup truck.
While we can’t judge the vehicle’s fit and finish too closely because the footage is taken from a distance with a drone, the looks of those two Cybertrucks are encouraging.
Tesla is expected to officially start Cybertruck production any day now with deliveries to start at an event likely within the next month.
More Cybertrucks have been spotted parked at the homes of Tesla employees, which is a good sign that internal testing has expanded.
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