LISBON, Portugal — Top tech executives told CNBC they’re concerned about a bubble forming in the artificial intelligence sector, underscoring growing unease within the industry over soaring valuation.
In recent weeks, markets have been reckoning with the notion that too much capital is pouring into the AI boom, clouding the outlook on revenue and actual profit and putting high valuations into question.
Up to now, warnings around overstretched valuations have mostly come from investors and leaders in the world of finance. Goldman Sachs’ David Solomon and Morgan Stanley’s Ted Pick have warned of potential corrections as valuations of some major tech firms reached historic highs.
The concerns have been crystallized by famed ‘Big Short’ investor Michael Burry, who this week accused major AI infrastructure and cloud providers, or ‘hyperscalers’ of understating depreciation expenses on chips. Burry warned that profits at the likes of Oracle and Meta may be vastly overstated. He recently disclosed put options that bet against Nvidia and Palantir.
However, CEOs of companies who are themselves developing AI, expressed their concerns this week during interviews with CNBC at the Web Summit tech conference in Lisbon.
“I think the evaluations are pretty exaggerated here and there, and I think there is signs of a bubble on the horizon,” Jarek Kutylowski, CEO of German AI firm DeepL, told CNBC on Tuesday.
The sentiment was echoed by Picsart CEO Hovhannes Avoyan.
“We see lots of AI companies raising … tremendous valuations … without any revenue,” Avoyan told CNBC on Tuesday, adding that it is a “concern.”
The market values smaller startups with “just some noise and vibe revenue,” he said, referring to companies being backed even though they have minimal sales.
Vibe revenue is a play on “vibe coding,” a term that refers to using AI to code without needing deep technical expertise.
AI demand growing
Even with concerns over valuations, the technology industry remains bullish on the long term potential of AI.
Lyft CEO David Risher said there are reasons to be optimistic given the potential impact of AI but acknowledged the risks.
“Let’s be clear, we are absolutely in a financial bubble. There is no question, right? Because this is incredible, transformational technology. No one wants to be left behind.”
Risher went on to argue that there is a difference between the financial bubble and the industrial outlook.
“The data centers and all the model creation, all of that is going to have a long, long life, because it’s transformational. It makes people’s lives easier. It makes people’s lives better… On the other hand, you know, the financial side, it’s a little risky right now.”
The tech CEOs also addressed their outlook on AI demand for 2026 from businesses, as investors look for any clues as to what this will look like.
“I think there’s a lot of demand, and there’s a lot of interest. I think everybody understands that AI can do magical things to businesses, and… we can all operate on another level when it comes to efficiency,” Kutylowski said.
Still, businesses are “strugging in adopting” AI. “We’re going to get further, but I don’t think we’re that we’re going to be in a place where we can say, like every enterprise, every organization, has it figured out totally,” Kutylowski said.
DeepL’s core product is an AI translation tool but it recently launched a more general purpose “agent” designed to be able to carry out tasks on behalf of employees.
Francois Chadwick, the chief financial officer of Cohere, a company that is also focused on enterprise AI, told CNBC on Tuesday that “demand is definitely there.”
$4 trillion capex outlook
Despite the concerns over overstretched valuations and huge capex spend, the investment into artificial intelligence doesn’t appear to be slowing down. A report from venture capital group Accel released this week showed that the buildout of new AI data center capacity is forecast to reach 117 gigawatts by 2030 which translates into about $4 trillion worth of capital expenditure over the next 5 years.
About $3.1 trillion worth of revenue is required to pay back that capex, according to the Accel report.
Already this year, there have been a slew of deals worth billions announced by the likes of Nvidia and OpenAI as they look to develop data center capacity around the world in a bid to keep up with demand.
Philippe Botteri, a partner at Accel, said that three major factors will drive that revenue — more powerful AI models that require capacity to be trained, the use of new AI services and the “agentic revolution in the enterprise.”
“Agentic” is often a term used to describe a type of AI tool that can automatically carry out tasks on behalf of users.
But not everyone believes that the large amount of spending is necessary.
Ben Harburg, managing partner at Novo Capital says the figures being discussed by large tech firms for future investment may be overblown.
“We hear these crazy headline numbers about how much energy is going to be needed, how many chips are going to be needed, although, again, I think that there is probably more of a bubble brewing there than on kind of the front end, the actual product front,” Harburg told CNBC on Tuesday.
“I think we’re starting to realize that there’s been probably over exuberance around data centers. Even Sam [Altman], I think, would privately admit that they need fewer chips than they originally set out, they need less capital than they originally set out. They need less energy than they originally set out.”
Nvidia President and CEO Jensen Huang speaks about NVIDIA Omniverse as he delivers the keynote address during the Nvidia GTC (GPU Technology Conference) at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center on Oct. 28, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images
As a handful of the world’s most valuable companies set out to spend $1 trillion over the next five years on data centers for artificial intelligence, one line item is on the minds of executives and investors: depreciation.
In accounting, depreciation is the act of allocating the cost of a hard asset over the course of its expected useful life. It’s an increasingly important concept in the tech industry, as companies predict how long the hundreds of thousands of Nvidia graphics processing units they’re purchasing will remain useful or retain their value.
Infrastructure giants like Google, Oracle and Microsoft have said their servers could be useful for up to six years. But they could also depreciate much sooner. Microsoft said in its latest annual filing that its computer equipment lasts two to six years.
That’s a lot to consider for the investors and lenders financing the giant AI buildouts, because the longer equipment remains valuable, the more years a company can stretch out depreciation and the less it hurts profits.
Read more CNBC reporting on AI
AI GPUs represent a particular challenge because they’re still relatively new to the market. Nvidia’s first AI-focused processors for the data center came out around 2018. The current AI boom started with the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022. Since then Nvidia’s annual data center revenue has jumped from $15 billion to $115 billion in the year that ended in January.
There’s no real track record for how long GPUs last when compared with other types of heavy equipment that businesses have been using for decades, said Haim Zaltzman, vice chair of Latham & Watkins’ emerging companies and growth practice.
“Is it three years, is it five, or is it seven?” said Zaltzman, who works on GPU financings, in an interview. “It’s a huge difference in terms of how successful it is for financing purposes.”
Some of Nvidia’s customers say AI chips will retain value for a long time and that customers will continue to pay for access to older processors because they’ll still be useful for other tasks. CoreWeave, which buys GPUs and rents them out to clients, has used six-year depreciation cycles for its infrastructure since 2023.
CoreWeave CEO Michael Intrator told CNBC this week, following quarterly earnings, that his company is being “data driven” about GPU shelf life.
Intrator said that CoreWeave’s Nvidia A100 chips, which were announced in 2020, are all fully booked. He also added that a batch of Nvidia H100 chips from 2022 became available because a contract expired, and they were immediately booked at 95% of their original price.
“All of the data points that I’m getting are telling me that the infrastructure retains value,” Intrator said.
CoreWeave CEO, Michael Intrator appears on CNBC on July 17, 2024.
CNBC
Still, CoreWeave shares plunged 16% after the earnings report as delays at a third-party data center developer hit full-year guidance. The stock is down 57% from its high reached in June, part of a broader selloff reflecting concerns about overspending in AI. Oracle shares have plummeted 34% from their record high in September.
Among the most vocal skeptics of the AI trade is short seller Michael Burry, who recently disclosed bets against Nvidia and Palantir.
Burry this week suggested that companies including Meta, Oracle, Microsoft, Google and Amazon are overstating the useful life of their AI chips, and understating depreciation. He pegs the actual useful life of server equipment at around two to three years, and said companies are inflating their earnings as a result.
Amazon and Microsoft declined to comment. Meta, Google and Oracle did not respond to requests for comment.
‘You couldn’t give Hoppers away’
There are a number of ways AI chips could depreciate before six years. They could wear out and break, or they could become obsolete as newer GPUs are released. They could still be useful for running certain workloads, but with much worse economics.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has implied as much. When Nvidia announced a new Blackwell chip earlier this year, he joked that the value of its predecessor, the Hopper, would deteriorate.
“When Blackwell starts shipping in volume, you couldn’t give Hoppers away,” Huang said in March at Nvidia’s AI conference.
“There are circumstances where Hopper is fine,” he continued. “Not many.”
Nvidia now releases new AI chips on an annual basis, versus the two-year cadence it had before. Advanced Micro Devices, its closest GPU competitor, followed suit.
Nvidia reports quarterly results next week.
Amazon, in a February filing, said it decreased the useful life for a subset of its servers from six years to five years because it conducted a study that found “an increased pace of technology development, particularly in the area of artificial intelligence and machine learning.”
Meanwhile, other hyperscalers are extending their GPU useful life estimates for newer server equipment.
Microsoft Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Satya Nadella speaks during the Microsoft Build 2025, conference in Seattle, Washington, on May 19, 2025.
Jason Redmond | AFP | Getty Images
Although Microsoft plans to build AI infrastructure aggressively, CEO Satya Nadella said this week that his company is trying to space out its AI chip purchases and not overinvest in a single generation of processors. He added that the biggest competitor for any new Nvidia AI chip is its predecessor.
“One of the biggest learnings we had even with Nvidia is that their pace increased in terms of their migrations,” Nadella said. “That was a big factor. I didn’t want to go get stuck with four or five years of depreciation on one generation.”
Nvidia declined to comment.
Dustin Madsen, vice president of the Society of Depreciation Professionals and the founder of Emrydia Consulting, said depreciation is a financial estimate by management and that developments in a fast-moving industry like technology can change initial predictions.
Depreciation estimates, Madsen said, generally take into account assumptions such as technological obsolescence, maintenance, historical lifespans of similar equipment and internal engineering analysis.
“You’re going to have to convince an auditor that what you’re suggesting what its life will be is actually its life,” Madsen said. “They will look at all of those factors, like your engineering data that suggests that the life of these assets is approximately six years, and they will audit that at a very detailed level.”
In this photo illustration, the StubHub logo and webpage are displayed on a cell phone and computer monitor on April 17, 2024 in Los Angeles, California.
Mario Tama | Getty Images
StubHub‘s stock plummeted 24% on Friday after the company withheld financial guidance for the current quarter, citing a “long-term” focus.
StubHub CEO Eric Baker told investors on Thursday’s conference call that the timing of when tickets go on sale can shift from quarter to quarter, making it hard to predict consumer demand.
Baker reiterated that demand for live events is “phenomenal,” and added that the company plans to offer an outlook for 2026 when it reports fourth-quarter results.
“This year, we are observing some shifts in the timing of these on-sales,” CFO Connie James told investors on the call. “Several large tours that would typically go on sale in the fourth quarter occurred earlier in late September. It remains to be seen how this concert on-sale timing dynamic plays out in November and December.”
Wedbush analysts said in an investor note on Friday that they were “surprised” by StubHub executives’ decision not to offer any guidance.
“The lack of forward guidance will pressure shares, with investor concern building around lack of visibility over the near-term,” the analysts wrote. They have an outperform rating on StubHub stock.
The lack of guidance overshadowed the company’s stronger-than-expected results in its first earnings report as a public company. Third-quarter revenue grew 8% year over year to $468.1 million, topping the average analyst estimate of $452 million, according to LSEG.
Gross merchandise sales, which represent the total dollar value paid by ticket buyers, jumped 11% year over year to $2.43 billion. That surpassed Wall Street’s expected $2.36 billion, according to FactSet.
The ticket vendor posted a net loss of $1.33 billion, or a loss of $4.27 per share, due to one-time stock-based compensation charges related to its initial public offering in September.
Representation of Bitcoin cryptocurrency in this illustration taken Sept. 10, 2025.
Dado Ruvic | Reuters
Bitcoin dipped below $95,000 on Friday, pushing the world’s oldest cryptocurrency further into the red and continuing its four-day decline amid a broader artificial intelligence-linked stock pullback.
The digital asset was last trading at $94,896.03, down 3.5% on the day. Bitcoin was in the red most of this week, although it reclaimed $107,000 at one point on Tuesday before rolling over.
The largest crypto by market capitalization attracts many of the same investors that have poured funds into BigTech stocks, linking the two trades. Several of those stocks are falling this week amid a resurfacing of concerns over Silicon Valley giants’ astronomical spending on AI initiatives.