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Labour secures comfortable win in Stretford and Urmston by-election

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Labour has comfortably held on to its seat in Stretford and Urmston, in its second by-election victory in two weeks. 

Andrew Western, who is the leader of Trafford Council, retained the Greater Manchester constituency with a majority of nearly 10,000.

He secured 69.65% of the votes, up 9.34% on the snap general election three years ago, and with a 10.5% swing from Conservatives to Labour.

Tory candidate Emily Carter-Kandola came in second with 2,922 and a 15.86% share of the vote.

Labour’s winning candidate said his victory shows 12 years of Conservative government is coming to an end.

After thanking his mother for her support, Mr Western said: “There has been a strong message sent with the result this evening.

“And the people of Stretford and Urmston do not just speak for this constituency but for millions more people up and down the land, who know that this Government has been letting us down for the past 12 years.

“Twelve failing years of Conservative government, coming to an end.”

Mr Western, continuing his victory speech, added: “The Tories have given up on governing and it is increasingly clear that the British people are giving up on them.

“Labour stands ready to deliver for our country and only Labour has a plan for working people and to create a fairer, greener, future.

“It is clear from this result tonight, and indeed the result two weeks ago in Chester, that people are ready for a Labour government, and let the message go out tonight that Labour are ready to govern. Thank you.”

Read more:
Is dramatic fall in votes cast a bad sign for Labour’s election aspirations?

The by-election was triggered after Labour former minister Kate Green resigned in November to become Greater Manchester deputy mayor.

Nine candidates were in the running to succeed her as the MP for the Labour stronghold.

The by-election marks Rishi Sunak’s second test at the ballot box since he became prime minister and comes as the UK grapples with the cost of living crisis, soaring inflation and a growing wave of industrial action.

Analysis by Prof Michael Thrasher, Sky News elections analyst

The Conservative to Labour swing is 10.5, lower than the 13.6 recorded in Chester two weeks ago but impressive enough given that Stretford and Urmston is a much safer seat, making it harder for Labour to squeeze the Conservatives.

The comparison with Chester, a by-election result that made us contemplate the chance of an outright parliamentary victory for Labour, is a fair one.

The Conservative by-election share fell to 58% of its 2019 vote share in both Chester and Stretford & Urmston.

Sitting Conservative MPs doing the same calculation for their own constituencies, even those in so-called safe seats, will know they face a rough journey between now and their next encounter with the electorate.

The fly in the ointment is the dramatic fall in voter turnout. This fell by almost 44 percentage points, to a miserly 25.7%.

Read Michael Thrasher’s full analysis

In the last by-election, in the City of Chester two weeks ago, Samantha Dixon hold the seat for Labour after a contest was triggered by the resignation of Christian Matheson after complaints of serious sexual misconduct were upheld by the Commons standards body.

That was the first by-election since Boris Johnson’s dramatic exit from No 10 and the market chaos that came to define Liz Truss’s short stint in the top job.

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Labour was expected to win, but the margin was bigger than in 2019 while for the Tories it represented the worst result for the Conservatives in Chester since 1832.

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