Meteorological summer is just around the corner, with June beginning at the weekend.
As things stand, it doesn’t have to deliver much to be an improvement on May.
And with high pressure building in from the west for the end of the week, the early signs are promising.
Much of the country can look forward to a few sunny days with temperatures rising to the mid 20s Celsius in the warmer spots.
These sorts of values are above June averages and should therefore be considered a treat rather than the norm.
Thereafter, however, signals are neither so clear nor quite so optimistic.
Whilst the influence of high pressure chases us into next week, a weak cold front spreading south on Tuesday allows the high pressure to drift back into the Atlantic, allowing more unsettled conditions to prevail.
Indeed, latest models favour low pressure systems through the middle of the month which would suggest slightly wetter than average conditions for the month, particularly in the north and west.
However, temperatures are likely to be above average; this prediction largely based on climatic warming rather than any reliance upon dry, sunny days.
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Many of the weather influencing phenomena around the world are currently neutral and therefore unable to give a good steer on the long range forecast for the UK and Ireland.
So, as often happens, we’ll be left to the mercies of areas of high pressure and areas of low competing for precedence over our islands.
A game of two halves? Could go either way? Precisely!
