Today is an example of what the Home Office calls a “red day”.
It’s 22C at the port of Dover, the wave level is low and visibility is good.
The government says these conditions increase the likelihood of small boat crossings.
Within an hour of us arriving, a Border Force vessel docks and a stream of people wearing bright lifejackets walk off and up the jetty to an asylum processing tent.
Someone is carrying what looks like a small child – 81 people have arrived on this boat.
It’s deceiving standing on this cliff top, looking out at the blue-green English Channel glistening in the sunshine. This is not the calm body of water it appears to be.
One of the busiest shipping lanes in the world, the journey across from France is treacherous, and as full of risks as it may be of hope and ambition.
Judging by the numbers Sky News teams have counted today (296 arrivals so far), those making the journey have not been deterred by the prime minister’s deal with the French.
The UK hosts less than 1% of the world’s refugees, with 71% seeking safety in neighbouring countries to their own. For example, the Red Cross says Jordan currently hosts 1.3 million refugees from neighbouring Syria.
Under the terms of the “one in, one out” schemeagreed between the UK and France, people who cross the Channel will be returned to France each week in exchange for the same number of asylum seekers who have been accepted to come to the UK.
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Speaking next to France’s President Emmanuel Macron at a news conference in north west London, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said it would come into force in a matter of “weeks”.
“Migrants arriving via small boat will be detained and returned to France in short order,” he said.
“In exchange for every return, a different individual will be allowed to come here via a safe route – controlled and legal – subject to strict security checks, and only open to those who have not tried to enter the UK illegally.”
The prime minister said the arrangement would begin as a “pilot”, with reports suggesting that just 50 people per week will be sent to France back across the Channel.
However, neither Mr Macron nor Sir Keir mentioned any figures in the news conference.