CNBC Daily Open: Investors are loving the Paramount-Warner Bros-Netflix drama

Paramount Skydance on Monday launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, following Netflix’s announcement last week that it had reached a deal to buy the HBO owner.

The company is “here to finish what we started,” CEO David Ellison told CNBC, upping the ante with a $30-per-share, all-cash offer compared to Netflix’s $27.75-per-share, cash-and-stock offer for WBD’s streaming and studio assets.

Investors were certainly pleased, sending Paramount shares 9% higher and WBD’s stock up 4.4%.

Another development that traders cheered was U.S. President Donald Trump permitting Nvidia to export its more advanced H200 artificial intelligence chips to “approved customers” in China and other countries — so long as some of that money flows back to the U.S. Nvidia shares rose about 2% in extended trading.

Major U.S. indexes, however, fell overnight, as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s final rate-setting meeting of the year on Wednesday stateside. Markets are expecting a nearly 90% chance of a quarter-point cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Rate-cut hopes have buoyed stocks. “The market action you’ve seen the last one or two weeks is kind of essentially baking in the very high likelihood of a 25 basis point cut,” said Stephen Kolano, chief investment officer at Integrated Partners.

But that means a potential downside is deeper if things don’t go as expected.

“For some very unlikely reason, if they don’t cut, forget it. I think markets are down 2% to 3%,” Kolano added.

In that case, investors will be waiting, impatiently, for the Fed meeting next year — hoping for a more satisfying conclusion.

U.S. stocks slid on Monday. Major indexes closed lower, even though technology stocks, such as Broadcom, Confluent and Oracle, had a good showing. The pan-European Stoxx 600 closed flat, but defense stocks broadly rose.

Paramount Skydance makes hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery. The company made a $30-per-share, all cash, tender offer to WBD shareholders, following Netflix’s acquisition deal. Here’s what to expect from Paramount and Netflix as competition intensifies.  

Trump allows Nvidia to sell H200 chip to China. But that’s only if the U.S. gets a 25% sales cut, the White House leader said in a Truth Social post on Monday. Trump added that Chinese President Xi Jinping had “responded positively” to the proposal.

Berkshire Hathaway leadership shuffle. Todd Combs, investment manager and Geico CEO, will be leaving for JPMorgan Chase, while Berkshire will be adding a general counsel and a president overseeing consumer, service and retail units.

[PRO] Ray Dalio’s views on the market. The Bridgewater Associates founder told CNBC that he would bet on AI — but in different way.

China’s trade surplus tops $1 trillion despite Trump’s attempt to contain it. Here’s what that means

China’s trade surplus roared above $1 trillion in November for the first time ever, despite the ongoing global trade war that has resulted in a steep drop in exports to the U.S. In the first 11 months this year, China’s overall exports grew 5.4% compared to the same period in 2024 while imports fell 0.6%.

The rebound in export growth would help mitigate the drag from weak domestic demand, putting the economy on track to deliver the “around 5%” growth target this year, said Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management.

— Anniek Bao and Jeff Cox