Buyout giant considers £5.5bn bid for supermarket chain Morrisons

Published

3 years ago

June 19, 2021

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One of the world’s biggest buyout firms is weighing a spectacular £5.5bn takeover bid for Wm Morrison, Britain’s fourth-largest supermarket chain by market share.

Sky News has learnt that Clayton Dubilier & Rice (CD&R) is in the early stages of evaluating an offer for the grocer, a move that would send fresh shockwaves through the UK’s food retailing industry.

With a workforce of approximately 110,000 people, Morrisons is one of the biggest private sector employers in Britain.

CD&R is said to have begun approaching banks about financing a potential bid for Morrisons in recent days.

It is also understood to have made a preliminary approach to Morrisons’ board.

One source cautioned, however, that a formal bid for the grocer was far from certain and that the public disclosure of CD&R’s interest could force the project to be abandoned.

The Takeover Panel, which polices merger activity involving London-listed companies, is likely to seek clarification from CD&R and Morrisons about whether they are in discussions.

It is possible that the buyout firm would cease work on a deal rather than confirm it publicly, as has happened in other recent UK takeover situations, according to one source.

If it does progress, however, a bid could entail a dramatic re-emergence in Britain’s supermarket sector by Sir Terry Leahy, one of CD&R’s operating partners in Europe.

Sir Terry, who reigned over Tesco for 14 years before retiring in 2010, would be expected to play a key role in a bid.

If a deal is completed, it would potentially reunite Sir Terry with Andrew Higginson and David Potts, Morrisons’ chairman and chief executive respectively, who both spent much of their careers at Tesco.

Further details of CD&R’s interest in Morrisons were unclear this weekend, although based on a conventional takeover premium, any offer would value the company at £5bn or more.

It was also unclear whether CD&R’s interest was being pursued on a standalone basis, or with a strategic or financial partner.

Morrisons had a market value at Friday’s closing share price of £4.3bn, with significant value still remaining in its freehold property portfolio.

Its shares have remained broadly flat during the last year, and are roughly midway between their peak and trough over that period.

Morrisons has a grocery market share of just over 10%, trailing third-placed Asda on 14.4%, according to Kantar, the market research group.

A takeover by CD&R would be the latest seismic deal in Britain’s grocery sector.

In 2019, J Sainsbury and Asda abandoned their attempt to merge into a £15bn retail group after it was blocked by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA).

That decision spurred Asda’s owner, Walmart, to kick off an auction of the third-biggest supermarket by market share.

Last September, a consortium comprising TDR Capital and EG Group, the petrol stations giant controlled by Mohsin and Zuber Issa, was selected as the preferred bidder for Asda in a £6.8bn deal.

Their takeover was approved by the CMA this week after agreeing to sell 27 Asda petrol stations.

Asda’s new owners are now engaged in the search for a new chief executive to replace Roger Burnley, who will step down in the coming months.

CD&R ranks among the world’s largest private equity investors, having raised $16bn for its latest buyout fund earlier this year.

In the UK, it has been a prolific acquirer of large businesses, including B&M Retail, the discount chain which is now a publicly quoted company, and Motor Fuel Group (MFG), the petrol forecourt operator.

It has also participated in the recent frenzy of private equity bidders for London-listed companies, agreeing a £2.6bn takeover of the pharmaceuticals group UDG Healthcare several weeks ago.

The US-based buyout firm is regarded as a supportive long-term investor in the companies it backs, frequently building significant multibillion dollar enterprises from relatively small initial purchases.

People who have worked with CD&R in the UK say it significantly increased employment at companies including B&M and MFG after investing in their growth.

CD&R is said to have been attracted to Morrisons’ strong balance sheet and management team, although Mr Potts, 64, is expected to retire in the next few years.

The company was founded in 1899 by egg and butter merchant William Morrison at a stall in Bradford Market, it opened its first shop in 1958.

Its maiden supermarket followed three years later and in 1967, it floated on the stock exchange, preceding an unbroken 35-year run of sales growth which ultimately took it into the FTSE-100 index in 2001.

By then, Sir Ken Morrison, William’s son and the company’s veteran boss, had been knighted and in 2004 he engineered the most audacious move in Morrisons’ history: the £3bn takeover of Safeway which transformed it into a major nationwide grocery retailer.

Sir Ken stepped down as chairman in 2008, and he died in 2017 at the age of 85.

Morrisons’ performance stuttered under Dalton Phillips, who was ousted in 2015, leading to the appointment of Mr Potts.

Alongside Mr Higginson, the chief executive has engineered an impressive turnaround, and has signalled that more cash will be returned to shareholders as business normalises in the aftermath of COVID19.

CD&R’s interest in the chain is not the first time that a prospective buyer has examined an offer for Morrisons.

Amazon has been repeatedly rumoured as a suitor, with Morrisons established as a supplier of food products to the online behemoth’s Prime Now and Pantry customers.

Earlier this month, Morrisons was on the receiving end of one of the biggest shareholder revolts in UK corporate history when 70% of investors voted against its pandemic pay packages.

City institutions rebelled over its remuneration committee’s use of discretion to override the exceptional costs incurred by the coronavirus crisis.

Morrison’s saw annual profits slump to £201m last year, having decided – along with other big supermarkets – to hand back £230m in business rates relief to the government.

However, it has predicted that profits will rebound sharply this year and next as COVID-related costs subside.

This week, Tesco warned that sales are likely to fall as shopping behaviour returns to pre-pandemic levels.

CD&R and Morrisons both declined to comment on Saturday.

Business

UK economy continued to flatline in July recording no growth as Labour came to power – ONS

Published

12 mins ago

September 11, 2024

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UK economy continued to flatline in July recording no growth as Labour came to power - ONS

There was no growth in the UK economy in July, official figures show.

It’s the second month of stagnation, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said as GDP – the measure of everything produced in the UK – flatlined in the weeks following the election of the Labour government.

The flatline was not expected by economists, who had anticipated growth.

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Economists polled by the Reuters news agency forecast the economy would expand by 0.2%.

Some signs of growth

But there’s “longer-term strength” in the services sector meaning there was growth over the last three months as a whole and 0.5% expansion in the three months up to July.

Among the G7 group of industrialised nations, the UK had the highest growth rate for the first six months of 2024.

Why stagnation?

While there was growth in the services sector, led by computer programmers and the end of strikes in health, these gains were offset by falls for advertising companies, architects and engineers.

Manufacturing output fell overall due to “a particularly poor month for car and machinery firms”, the ONS said, while construction also declined.

What will it mean for interest rates?

Market expectations are for interest rates to remain unchanged by the Bank of England when they meet next week to consider their next move in the fight against inflation.

The central bank had raised the rate and made borrowing more expensive to reduce inflation.

A cut in November, at the next meeting of rate-setters, is expected. Rates are forecast to be brought down to 4.75% at that point.

Political reaction

In response to the figures Chancellor Rachel Reeves said:

“I am under no illusion about the scale of the challenge we face and I will be honest with the British people that change will not happen overnight. Two-quarters of positive economic growth does not make up for 14 years of stagnation.

“That is why we are taking the long-term decisions now to fix the foundations of our economy.”

Business

Oil prices at lowest level since 2021 – but will motorists benefit?

Published

15 hours ago

September 10, 2024

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Oil prices at lowest level since 2021 - but will motorists benefit?

A slump in oil prices could lead to further reductions at the fuel pumps but any benefit risks being stripped away next month as the chancellor seeks ways to bolster the public finances.

A barrel of Brent crude, the international benchmark, slipped below $70 for the first time since December 2021 on Tuesday afternoon.

The month ahead contract was down by as much as 4% on the day at one stage, following a monthly report by the OPEC+ group of major oil-producing nations that further cut demand expectations for both 2024 and 2025.

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The weakening prospects, coupled with growing expectations of oil oversupply, kept the market suppressed according to analysts.

They said the only upwards pressure was being applied by an incoming storm that could affect production in the Gulf of Mexico.

Oil prices have plunged from levels nearer $90 since the beginning of July, largely on the back of evidence that major economies are slowing.

Motoring groups have long complained wholesale fuel prices have failed to keep pace with that decline – being quick to rise but slow to fall.

Sustained oil weakness should push fuel costs down further

Wholesale costs, also recently aided by a stronger pound versus the oil-priced dollar, stood last week at their lowest levels since October 2021, according to the AA.

But it said that without the 5p-per-litre fuel duty cut imposed by the last government to keep a lid on rising prices in 2022, that three-year low for wholesale costs would have been delayed by up to a fortnight.

The AA said the gap between wholesale costs – what retailers pay – versus pump prices had reduced in recent weeks amid regulatory pressure.

Critics have long accused retailers of profiteering, bolstering their margins for a third year after the Competition and Markets Authority accused filling stations of overcharging motorists to the tune of almost £2.5bn during 2022 and 2023 combined. Supermarket chains were singled out for particular criticism.

But with oil costs falling further, it is speculated that chancellor Rachel Reeves may feel able to remove the 5p duty cut without drivers noticing much change at the pumps, assuming pump prices continue to ease – albeit slowly.

She is widely expected to use her first budget on 30 October to fill, what she can, of a £22bn “black hole” she claims to have found in the public finances inherited from the Tories.

Cuts to winter fuel payments are among measures already announced.

The Treasury has refused to comment on possible other announcements though the wealthy have been put on notice that they will bear the brunt of tax hikes.

A fuel duty reduction has, therefore, not been ruled out.

AA president Edmund King said last week of a fuel duty hike threat: “Removing it threatens to send millions of low-income drivers back into the era of ‘perma-high’ road fuel prices.

“Getting rid of the fuel duty cut unleashes a £3.30 a tank (standard 55 litres) shock on the personal and family budgets of the 28% of drivers who spend a set amount when they go to a fuel station.

“With 33 million drivers in the UK, that is more than nine million affected private motorists – most of whom are low-income and struggling to balance their budgets.

“If the current pump price rebounds to 144p a litre, and then 6p is added with a fuel duty hike and the extra VAT it will bring, it will plunge the least well-off families and families back into the nightmare of petrol at 150p a litre or more”. he concluded.

Business

State pension to rise by more than £400 a year in April – double some winter fuel payments

Published

1 day ago

September 10, 2024

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Government will not 'water down' winter fuel payment cut to 10 million pensioners, minister says

The state pension is due to rise by 4% in April, giving an extra £460 a year to recipients.

The payment increases by the highest of total average weekly earnings, inflation for September or 2.5%.

How much will pension payments rise?

Figures on Tuesday showed average weekly earnings rose by 4% in the three months to July.

Inflation data for September has not yet been published but stood at 2.2% for July, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

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It means the weekly pension payment will rise from the current £221.20 a week to £230.05 a week. From April, when the payment rises, pensioners will get an extra £8.85 a week, equivalent to a top-up of £460 per year.

Last year pensioners got a rise of 8.5%.

This year’s pension increase comes with the government under pressure after scrapping the winter fuel allowance for most pensioners. The annual rise in pension payments is more than double the allowance for some, worth either £200 or £300.

Why are wages going up?

Public sector pay rises may be behind part of the growth, the ONS said.

“Growth in total pay slowed markedly again as one-off payments made to many public sector workers in June and July last year continue to affect the figures,” said the ONS director of economic statistics Liz McKeown.

Also released on Tuesday was data on unemployment, which eased to 4.1% from 4.2%. At the same time, however, the number of jobs available fell across every industry, the ONS said.

Despite this, the number of jobs on offer remains above pandemic levels.

Wages had been growing even higher in the past months, the 4% rise is down from 4.1% a month earlier and from a high of 8.3% a year earlier.

What does it mean for interest rates?

High wage rises had been a concern for the interest rate-setters at the Bank of England as they battled to bring down inflation through more expensive borrowing.

A continued fall will be welcomed by the Bank but is unlikely to push it to cut the rate from 5% when it meets next week.

Current market expectations are for the interest rate to be held.