The OPEC+ spat is likely to be resolved ‘sooner rather than later,’ energy analyst says

Published

3 years ago

July 12, 2021

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OPEC and its allies left the oil market hanging on Monday when they indefinitely postponed talks to resolve a disagreement over production curbs.

Crude prices first surged to six-year highs, then retreated, and uncertainty continues to hang over future OPEC+ policy.

But at least one energy analyst expects a breakthrough to come soon.

“I think it’s highly likely [that] it’s going to resolve itself,” said Stephen Schork, a principal advisor at energy analysis company The Schork Group.

OPEC is the strongest it has been in years, and they would not want to “upset the applecart,” he told “Street Signs Asia” on Thursday.

Conflict in OPEC

The energy alliance met last week to discuss output policy, but the UAE unexpectedly blocked proposals to increase supply and extend the remaining production cuts to the end of 2022, instead of April 2022 as previously agreed.

Suhail Al Mazrouei, UAE’s energy minister, told CNBC on Sunday that it “wasn’t a good deal” because the output cuts were measured against a baseline of 2018 production levels.

The country has increased its production capacity, but cannot pump more oil while the OPEC agreement remains in place. It wants this baseline to be revised.

An OPEC sign hangs outside the OPEC Secretariat in Vienna, Austria, on Nov. 29, 2017.

Akos Stiller | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Russia is reportedly attempting to negotiate a resolution.

Neil Beveridge, a senior oil analyst at Bernstein, said OPEC policy has been focused on controlling supply to manage prices.

But the UAE sees that peak oil demand is “staring OPEC in the face” and is considering chasing market share instead of high energy prices, he told “Capital Connection” on Thursday, and that’s why it wants to be given a higher quota.

$50 oil versus $100 oil

Observers say two scenarios are possible if OPEC doesn’t reach a new deal. The first is that of a price collapse.

Beveridge noted that OPEC is sitting on nearly 6 million barrels of spare capacity now. If countries decide to increase supply and go for market share, the downside could be “significant,” he said.

“We can see oil prices certainly drop back below $50 again … pretty quickly, if that [happens],” he said.

Why mess around with, potentially, a price war?

Stephen Schork

The Schork Group

The second scenario is one where countries continue to produce oil according to the quotas that were previously agreed on. Oil prices would spike, possibly as high as $100 per barrel, with demand outpacing supply.

OPEC probably doesn’t want to rock the boat in either direction, according to Schork.

“They are in a very nice position at this point,” he said. “Why mess around with, potentially, a price war?”

On the other hand, too-high oil prices are not ideal. “The higher we go, you’ll start to hear the political winds turn against them, especially here in the United States,” he added.

Resolution?

Schork said he believes the UAE will be allowed to increase production, and the country will stick to their quota.

“They just want a bigger share of OPEC’s prize,” he said.

Bernstein’s Beveridge, however, said there is a risk that other OPEC+ members will want to raise their production quotas.

“That could lead to a whole unravelling of the OPEC agreement that we have … and that would certainly point to very significant downside [for] prices,” he said.

The deal only works if everyone is committed to it, he said, but noted that there has been “very good compliance” from OPEC members over the last 12 months.

In the long term, Schork said the oil-producing alliance would benefit from the energy transition.

“As western oil companies trip over themselves in the years ahead — and they’re already doing it now — to decarbonize, OPEC’s share of the global oil market is going to continue to grow,” he said, adding that oil demand is likely to increase until the end of the decade.

“It behooves all players on the OPEC side to play nicely, so yes I do think we’ll see a resolution to the situation sooner rather than later,” he said.

— CNBC’s Sam Meredith, Weizhen Tan and Dan Murphy contributed to this report

Environment

Here’s our first look at the updated Genesis Electrified GV70’s lavish interior

Published

4 hours ago

December 4, 2024

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Here's our first look at the updated Genesis Electrified GV70's lavish interior

The best-selling Genesis vehicle in North America is getting even better. Genesis updated the GV70 and Electrified GV70, giving the already impressive SUV more style, added features, and a refined interior. Ahead of deliveries, we are getting our first look at the upgraded interior of the new Genesis GV70 Electrified.

Genesis unveiled the refreshed Electrified GV70 at the LA Auto Show two weeks ago, fine-tuning the electric SUV inside and out.

One of the first things you will notice is the revamped front end with a redesigned G-Matrix Grille. The charge port is now in the grille and comes exclusively with an NACS port that unlocks access to Tesla’s Supercharger Network.

The new model features the unmistakable Genesis two-line headlamps, now equipped with microlens array (MLA) tech for better sight at night or in low-light areas.

According to Claudia Márquez, chief operating officer of Genesis Motor North America, the new Electrified GV70 offers “all of the utility and interior refinement of a great SUV without sacrificing the fun-to-drive character that Genesis vehicles are known for.”

The interior now includes a massive new 27″ OLED driver and infotainment display. With improved voice recognition, drivers can adjust the windows, control HVAC settings, and more.

Genesis-Electrified-GV70-NACS — 2026 Genesis Electrified GV70 update (Source: Genesis)

2026 Genesis Electrified GV70 interior adds luxury, style

Ahead of deliveries, we are already getting a sneak peek at the updated interior. The latest video from HealerTV reveals the new Genesis Electrified GV70 interior design.

You can see the massive 27″ OLED display at the center. The EV version also differs from the gas-powered GV70, including added ambient mood and a marble-like design on the door panels. The second row also gains ambient lighting and what appears to be a touchscreen for the heat and air controls.

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2026 Genesis Electrified GV70 interior first look (Source: HealerTV)

Overall, the new Genesis Electrified GV70 interior maintains its lavish, clean look. Even little details like suede seats with white stitching and white seat belts add to the luxurious feel inside the cabin.

The design isn’t the only upgrade. With a bigger 84 kWh battery, up from 77.4 kWh in the previous model, the new Genesis Electrified GV70 is expected to feature more driving range.

Genesis-Electrified-GV70-update-interior — 2026 Genesis GV70 interior (Source: Genesis)

Although no specs were given, the new EV models are expected to gain a few extra miles of range, similar to the updated Hyundai IONIQ 5. The 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 5 gets up to 318 miles of range with the same larger battery, compared to 303 in the previous version.

Check back soon for more details. The new Genesis Electrified GV70 is expected to arrive at US dealerships in the first half of 2025.

Ready to check out the electric Genesis luxury SUV for yourself? With the new 2026 models arriving soon, Genesis is offering up to $12,750 off the 2025 Electrified GV70 with lease discounts. You can use our link to find the best deals on the Genesis GV70 at a dealer near you.

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Environment

EV tax credit is ‘catastrophically stupid,’ says incoming Ohio Senator and ‘car czar’ Bernie Moreno

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4 hours ago

December 4, 2024

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EV tax credit is 'catastrophically stupid,' says incoming Ohio Senator and 'car czar' Bernie Moreno

Republican nominee for U.S. Senate Bernie Moreno addresses supporters at Brecksville Community Center on November 4, 2024 in Brecksville, Ohio.

Stephen Maturen | Getty Images

Republican Senator-elect Bernie Moreno, who made his living as a luxury car dealer before running against and defeating Democrat Sherrod Brown in the large manufacturing state of Ohio, said he is aiming to become the “car czar” within the Senate for the next Trump administration.

If Moreno is to fill that role, one of the first things he would target is eliminating the up to $7,500 tax credit that can be used to buy or lease an electric vehicle.

“At the end of the day, the $7,500 incentive is catastrophically stupid,” Moreno told CNBC D.C. Correspondent Emily Wilkins at the 2024 CNBC CFO Council Summit in Washington, D.C., on Wednesday.

Some senators, like Michigan’s Elissa Slotkin, who was criticized by her Republican challenger Mike Rogers for her support of the Biden administration’s embrace of electric vehicles, have looked to frame their support of the tax credit as a defensive move aiding the auto industry in its battle with Chinese auto manufacturers.

However, Moreno told Wilkins he views that position as “nonsense,” adding that the government should not “tell companies what to do and how to have a strategy.”

“If you don’t care what kind of car they drive, then let the markets work,” Moreno said. “We’re going to let the marketplace decide what kind of cars people should drive, and if it’s electric, great.”

Moreno pushed back against the argument that reversing Inflation Reduction Act incentives like the EV tax credit would effectively cede a key technology race to China. He said that if China is “dramatically ahead of us on EVs – good for them; we’re dramatically ahead of them in terms of combustion and hybrids.”

“So as a country, where do you prefer our industry to go? The places where we have a strategic advantage and not hand an industry over to China?” Moreno said. Moreno added that a change in U.S. law as it relates to the EV incentives is “not be handing it them” but a reflection that “consumers have spoken.”

“There’s never been a case in time where consumers have been more clear about what they want and don’t want,” Moreno said. “There’s people who EVs are great for them, and good for you, that car works for you, you should go out and buy it … But for a lot of people, they don’t want it.”

The euphoria that surrounded EV investment and sales has largely died out at major auto manufacturers, and automakers from Ford Motor and General Motors to Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, Jaguar Land Rover and Aston Martin have announced plans to scale back or delay some electric vehicle plans.

While electric vehicle sales are still expected to increase in the coming years, the boom in consumer demand for EVs that many car CEOs expected never materialized. “What we saw in ’21 and ’22 was a temporary market spike where the demand for EVs really took off,” Marin Gjaja, chief operating officer for Ford’s EV unit, told CNBC earlier this year. “It’s still growing but not nearly at the rate we thought it might have in ’21, ’22.”

Instead, automakers are shifting their focus to a more mixed offering of vehicles with lineups of gas-powered cars alongside hybrids and EVs, rather than more towards plans like the all-electric by 2035 mandate laid out by GM CEO Mary Barra.

“We’re going to let the marketplace work,” Moreno said. “We’re going to create an environment for car companies to be able to have a good tax environment, a good regulatory environment and good workforce … Let the marketplace work; stop the madness of government intervention in corporations and the marketplace will take care of it.”

Rep. Ro Khanna: Excluding Tesla and Elon Musk from California's EV tax credits is 'just foolish'

Environment

GM and EVgo double their DC fast chargers to 2,000 in 16 months

Published

5 hours ago

December 4, 2024

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GM and EVgo double their DC fast chargers to 2,000 in 16 months

GM and EVgo have now reached the milestone of installing more than 2,000 co-branded public DC fast chargers in the US.

The latest addition is a new fast charging station in Murrieta, California, off Interstate 215 in Riverside County. The station features five 350 kW fast chargers that can serve up to 10 EVs at once, and it’s near restaurants, coffee shops, and retail.

The GM and EVgo partnership has resulted in DC fast chargers at over 390 locations in 45 metro markets across 32 states, focusing on spots like grocery stores, shopping centers, and city centers. Their goal is to make charging convenient for those who can’t do it at home, such as renters or people living in apartments. For those folks, finding a nearby fast charger can be a game-changer.

The GM and EVgo partnership is on track to reach its goal of 2,850 DC fast chargers nationwide. It plans to build 400 at flagship locations in major markets, including California, Florida, New York, and Michigan.

It’s been fast progress, too. In August 2023, GM and EVgo brought their 1,000th charging stall online in the Chicago suburb of Woodbridge, Illinois. In just 16 months, they’ve doubled their shared EV footprint, including at highway rest stops along interstate routes.

Wade Sheffer, vice president of GM Energy, said, “Our collaboration with EVgo underscores our dedication to providing EV drivers with the best possible experience by expanding reliable fast charging infrastructure across the country.”

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