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A Tesla earnings call is always a fun experience. More often than not, Elon lets some little tidbit slip that wasn’t part of the script, much to the delight of the audience and consternation of the company’s lawyers. We know there will be talk of deliveries and gross margins and earnings before interest and taxes. GAAP and non-GAAP figures will be thrown around and a few questions will be asked from the steely eyed financial analysts on the call.

The big question on many people’s mind is, will the price of Tesla shares rise or fall as a result? The stock is down about a third from its all-time high in January. Will Elon deliver the goods to make it go back up? For many who are not shareholders, it’s just fun and useful to see how the Tesla story is unfolding. Here are a few topics that may tell the tale.

Editor’s note: Be sure to check in later on YouTube to watch our live coverage of the conference call, which includes all sorts of goodies.

China

Tesla has placed a huge bet on the Chinese market for electric cars, selecting Shanghai for its first new factory. But then there seemed to have been some bumps in the road for Tesla in that country this year. Or not.

First came news that Teslas had been banned from Chinese military installations because their cameras could inadvertently capture classified information. Then there were reports that sales were down significantly, something my colleague Johnna Crider exposed as false a few days ago. Then there was a minor recall for Chinese made Teslas that was a tempest in a teapot.

“The China growth story is the top of the list for Tesla,” Dan Ives, tech analyst with Wedbush Securities, tells CNN Business. “This is their key market. We believe 40% of their sales will come from there next year. I think that’s the linchpin to the stock going up or down.”

Regulatory Credits

One of the constant complaints about Tesla is that it makes more money selling zero-emission credits to other manufacturers than it does selling cars. If its net income for the second quarter exceeds those credits, that will be a significant milestone for the company. “That would throw one of the core bear arguments against the stock out the window,” Dan Ives says. The consensus estimate is that Tesla will report net income of more than $600 million. In the first quarter, it made $518 million from selling credits.

Bitcoin

In February, Tesla said it had purchased $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin and would allow customers to pay for their cars using the digital currency. In April, the company announced it had netted $101 million from its Bitcoin transactions. The value of digital currencies can fluctuate wildly over short periods of time, which makes professional investors nervous.

For a while, Tesla stopped accepting Bitcoin payments, saying the platform used too much electrical power from fossil fuel sources. But now Elon says Bitcoin may soon be welcome again. Once again, Ives thinks dabbling in Bitcoin is a negative sign that worries investors, much like twisting the tail of the SEC or sparking up a phattie with Joe Rogen. Expect more on this topic to surface during the Q2 earnings call.

Supply Chain Concerns

It’s common knowledge that automakers around the world are struggling to manage a shortage of computer chips, the tiny devices that manage everything from blind spot detection to stability control and adaptive cruise control systems. Tesla is no exception. In addition, demand for lithium, nickel, and other raw materials to manufacture batteries is soaring as more and more manufacturers join the EV revolution. Analysts will be looking for information about how Tesla is managing its supply chains to control costs.

Gigafactories

Tesla is moving full speed ahead to bring its two newest factories in Germany and Austin online while expanding its production facility in Shanghai to produce the Model Y. That’s a lot for any company to manage. It says both Germany and Austin will begin producing automobiles this year before transitioning to full production early next year. Investors will be anxiously awaiting updates on both new factories during the Q2 earnings call.

The Cybertruck

In March, Elon tweeted that there would likely be an update about the Cybertruck during the Q2 earnings call, so we will be paying close attention to any news on that front. Last week we reported that Musk is unconcerned about whether his unconventional electric pickup truck will be a sales hit, saying he likes it even if no one else does. (You either love it or hate it.)

With GM, Ford, and now Dodge saying they will have electric pickup trucks of their own soon, and the Rivian R1T set to debut in a few months, it will be interesting to see whether Americans will be able to tear themselves away from the traditional looking trucks they love or whether Tesla will trim its sails to make the Cybertruck more appealing to mainstream truck buyers.

The Supercharger Network

Last week, Musk tweeted, “We’re making our Supercharger network open to other EVs later this year.” Investors will be expecting to learn more about that announcement. Morgan Stanley auto analyst Adam Jonas wrote in a research note afterward, “By 2030, we conservatively estimate Tesla supercharging revenue of $2.9 billion, a figure which does not include any revenue from non-Tesla vehicles.” How much revenue could Tesla get from drivers of non-Tesla electric cars? That’s a question that is sure to be raised.

FSD

Another recent development is an announcement from Tesla that it will soon offer its “Full Self Driving” package on a subscription basis. This could be the biggest marketing bonanza since Coca-Cola decided to sell its elixir in bottles. Decades ago, the auto industry found out that leasing could unlock a torrent of new sales. Perhaps subscription services will have a similar impact on revenue. Lots of people might subscribe to a FSD package who would otherwise balk at spending $10,000 for it up front. People will want to hear more about this.

There will also likely be requests for more info on when the FSD V9 Beta will roll out to all Americans who paid for FSD. The last we heard, the answer was ~2 weeks — but that’s been the answer for ~7 months (if not more).

Tesla Semi

With everything else going on at Tesla, it’s easy to overlook the Tesla Semi that has been gestating for a few years now. Production should be beginning soon and investors will be hungry for details.

Energy Storage

The jury is still out on whether Tesla’s acquisition of SolarCity was a brilliant marketing move that fit perfectly with Tesla’s mission or naked nepotism designed to bail out two of Elon’s cousins (as some people suing Mr. Musk argue), but there is no question Tesla is one of the global leaders in grid-scale energy storage. Elon himself has said he expects energy storage will create as much revenue as Tesla’s car business. This whole topic is usually found somewhere toward the end of the official earnings report, but it is really the key to whether Tesla shares will become more attractive to investors in the short and medium term.

Check back later to see how many topics we guessed right about and which ones came up that we didn’t anticipate. We’re not perfect, but we’re usually pretty darn close about these things.


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Trump heads to the Middle East with oil, trade and nuclear ambitions on the table

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Trump heads to the Middle East with oil, trade and nuclear ambitions on the table

US President Donald Trump (R) and Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman al-Saud take part in a bilateral meeting at a hotel in Riyadh on May 20, 2017.

Mandel Ngan | AFP | Getty Images

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — U.S. President Donald Trump will touch down in the Persian Gulf region – or as he may soon be calling it, the Arabian Gulf – on May 13, for an official trip with stops in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. 

The stakes are high, as the visits take place amid turbulent geopolitical tensions. On the agenda will be Israel-Gaza war ceasefire talks, oil, trade, investment deals, and the potential for new policy developments in the areas of advanced semiconductor exports and nuclear programs.

“We expect to see a lot of announcements. And I think in a broad spectrum of areas as well,” Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, told CNBC’s Dan Murphy on Friday. She noted the potential removal of Trump’s 10% tariffs on aluminum and steel, which would be a positive for the Gulf states as some of them export those metals to the U.S., though they make up only a small percentage of the countries’ GDPs. 

Trump has long enjoyed a warm relationship with Gulf Arab states, in particular the UAE and Saudi Arabia, where his children have several business ventures and planned real estate projects. Those relationships could strengthen the countries’ hands when it comes to negotiating new trade deals – while also raising concerns among critics over potential conflicts of interest, accusations the Trump family rejects. 

Trump's Gulf visit a 'win-win' proposition: Branch

During the president’s initial term in office, his first overseas trip was to Saudi Arabia – a country now hosting the negotiations that Trump hopes will end the Russia-Ukraine war, making the kingdom ever more important to Washington. Qatar, meanwhile, has played a central role in negotiations between Israel and Hamas over ceasefires and hostage releases.  

Wall Street and AI in the Gulf

The presidential visit is drawing several Wall Street and Silicon Valley titans to the Saudi kingdom. A Saudi-U.S. investment forum announced just this week and set to take place on May 13 in Riyadh will feature guests including BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, Palantir CEO Alex Karp, and CEOs of major firms like Citigroup, IBM, Qualcomm, Alphabet, and Franklin Templeton, among others. White House AI and crypto czar David Sacks will also be in attendance. 

“We also expect to see a lot of investment deals being announced,” Malik said. “And both ways, we’ve already seen the UAE announce a number of investments in the U.S. in areas such as AI, energy, aluminum, but we also think that there will be opportunities for U.S. companies to increase investment.”

Both Saudi Arabia and the UAE have invested heavily in AI infrastructure with the goal of becoming global hubs for the technology. Therefore, likely top of mind for those leaders is the future of U.S. semiconductor exports, the most advanced of which they so far have not gained access to due to national security concerns. But that may soon be changing.

e& Group CEO: U.S. partnerships are set to continue

The Trump administration on Wednesday announced its plan to rescind a Biden era “AI diffusion rule,” which imposed strict export controls on advanced AI chips, even to U.S.-friendly nations. The rule will be replaced with “a much simpler rule that unleashes American innovation and ensures American AI dominance,” a U.S. Commerce Department spokesperson said Wednesday, though the details of the new rule have not yet been shared. 

The UAE’s state AI firm G42 has made efforts to align with U.S. regulations, including divesting from Chinese companies and partnering with Microsoft, which last year invested $1.5 billion in G42.

Nuclear ambitions

Trump teases 'very big announcement' ahead of Gulf trip

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright, during a visit to the kingdom in April, said that Saudi Arabia and the U.S. were on a “pathway” to a civil nuclear agreement – but that any further announcements would come from Trump himself. 

Israel-Gaza negotiations 

Another major topic will be the future of Gaza. Trump has vowed to bring about an end to the war, while also controversially suggesting that the U.S. could take control of the war-ravaged Strip which he described as “important real estate,” comments that drew strong rebukes from Arab leaders. 

The U.S. has continued to push for ceasefire deals, most recently floating a 21-day cessation of hostilities and release of some hostages, while Israel this week approved expanding fighting and territorial control in Gaza. 

“We have yet to hear a comprehensive plan from the Arab world,” Greg Branch, founder of UAE-based Branch Global Capital Advisors, told CNBC on Friday while discussing Trump’s upcoming visit. 

“If we’re going to see a response that’s going to be Arab-led, it’s probably now or never,” Branch said. “I think that will be handled very delicately behind the scenes … probably more of a long-term geopolitical risk than any immediate macro risk.”

Oil and financing

Chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank talks rate cut outlook, oil price impact

In that vein, financing will be an important agenda item for the kingdom during Trump’s visit, according to ADCB’s Malik. 

Saudi Arabia in November pledged to invest $600 billion in the U.S. over the course of Trump’s term — but it also has sky-high costs for its own Vision 2030 investment ambitions. Lower global oil prices and big-ticket public spending projects have brought about widening budget deficits for Riyadh.  

“With oil prices where they are, Saudi will look at more financing support from America as well as they look to progress with their investment program,” Malik said. 

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Nissan pulls the plug on its +$1 billion EV battery plant as the alarm bells go off

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Nissan pulls the plug on its + billion EV battery plant as the alarm bells go off

As it scrambles to turn things around, Nissan is scrapping plans to build a new LFP battery plant in Japan. The facility was expected to be key to reducing EV battery costs to keep up with leaders like BYD.

Nissan abandons plans for new EV battery plant in Japan

Nissan is scrambling to turn the company around. The Japanese automaker announced on Friday that it will “abandon plans to build a new plant” in Japan that was scheduled to produce lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries.

The decision comes as Nissan is “considering all options to restore its performance.” Nissan said it will continue working on a strategy for EV batteries “aligned with market needs” as part of its turnaround efforts.

Nissan just received approval to build the new EV battery plant in Japan from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) in September.

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The batteries were set to be installed in Nissan’s mini vehicles starting in 2028, part of an investment of over $1 billion (153.3 billion yen).

Nissan was scheduled to receive up to 55.7 billion yen ($384 million) in government support to help build a domestic supply chain.

Nissan-EV-battery-plant
2025 Nissan Ariya Platinum+ e-4ORCE (Source: Nissan)

Like other Japanese automakers, Nissan is facing weaker sales in key markets like China and North America. The company expects to post a net loss as high as 750 billion yen ($5.2 billion) for the fiscal year ending March 2025.

The new LFP plant was expected to help Nissan cut EV battery costs by 20% to 30%, with up to 5 GWh annual production capacity.

Nissan-new-LEAF-EV
Nissan’s new LEAF EV (Source: Nissan)

Later this year, Nissan will launch the next-gen LEAF in the US and Canada. After unveiling the updated EV in March, Nissan claimed the new LEAF will have “significant range improvements.”

Nissan-new-LEAF-EV
Nissan’s upcoming lineup for the US, including the new LEAF EV and “Adventure Focused” SUV (Source: Nissan)

Nissan dropped the iconic hatch design for a more crossover-like profile. It will also come with a native NACS port to access Tesla Superchargers.

Although official specs and pricing will be revealed closer to launch, Nissan’s vehicle programs chief, Francois Bailly, told TopGear.com the new LEAF is expected to have 373 miles (600 km) driving range (WLTP)

Electrek’s Take

Although Nissan cited “market needs” and is looking to cut costs as part of its turnaround plans, abandoning the LFP battery plant will likely only set it back further in the long run.

BYD and other leading EV brands are quickly gaining market share in key regions like Southeast Asia, Central, and South America, as well as parts of Europe, where Japanese automakers like Nissan and Toyota generate a good portion of sales.

Now, BYD is taking aim at Japan. The Chinese automaker plans to launch its first mini EV, or kei car, next year, which is expected to be “a huge threat” to Japanese automakers.

Nissan’s decision comes a day after Toyota’s President, Koji Sato, said the company is “reviewing” plans to sell 1.5 million EVs by 2026.

Source: Nikkei, Nissan

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Tesla’s NACS connector will be used by Mazda’s EVs in Japan

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Tesla's NACS connector will be used by Mazda's EVs in Japan

Mazda has announced that it will use the North American Charging Standard (NACS), also known as Tesla’s charge connector, on its upcoming electric vehicles in Japan.

The Japanese automaker had already announced that it would adopt NACS for its electric vehicles in North America, like all other automakers in North America, after Ford got the ball rolling.

But this new announcement is about Mazda bringing the NACS connector to Japan.

Mazda wrote in a press release today:

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Mazda Motor Corporation (Mazda) today announced an agreement was reached with Tesla, Inc. (Tesla) to adopt the North American Charging Standard (NACS) for charging ports on the company’s battery electric vehicles (BEV) launched in Japan from 2027 onward.

This is will give Mazda EV owners in Japan access to Tesla’s Supercharger network.

The automaker says that NACS will be standard on its electric vehicles in Japan, and that to access non-NACS chargers, owners will need adapters:

Mazda BEVs will be compatible with other charging standards besides NACS with the use of adapters.

Mazda is actually not the first automaker to bring the NACS, which now might need a name change, to Japan.

Last year, Sony Honda Mobility’s AFEELA EV brand also announced plans to deploy its EVs in Japan with the NACS connector as standard.

Electrek’s Take

It makes sense. Japan doesn’t have a standard connector, and like in North America, Tesla has used its own connector in the market. CHAdeMO had its moment as a connector in Japan, and a few other markets, but it is getting phased out.

It would make sense for the entire Japanese market to adopt NACS.

Considering AFEELA is just getting started, I didn’t think it would create a snowball effect, but Mazda might now get the ball rolling.

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