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An aerial image shows vehicles driving on the California 14 Highway as solar panels, part of an electricity generation plant, stand on June 18, 2021 in Kern County near Mojave, California.
Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty Images

Solar power in the U.S. has grown 4,000% percent over the last decade, but it still only accounts for 3% of electricity generation. The Biden Administration wants to change that, and on Tuesday said that solar could provide 40% of the country’s electricity by 2035 — if the government enacts supportive policies.

In order to meet this target, the Department of Energy said that solar’s growth rate will need to triple or even quadruple by 2030. That means costs will have to keep dropping.

The total cost of a solar system depends on variables including size, whether it’s purchased outright or leased and power prices in the specific location. Solar’s levelized cost of energy, which allows it to be compared to other forms of power generation, has fallen more than 70% over the last decade. But costs will need to continue to decline to meet these growth goals.

The Department of Energy’s goal is for the levelized cost of energy for a solar residential system to reach 5 cents per kilowatt hour by 2030, down from 50 cents in 2010. Commercial costs need to fall from 39 cents in 2010 to 4 cents by 2030, while utility-scale solar needs to decrease from 27 cents last decade to 2 cents by 2030.

U.S. solar installations hit a record high in 2020 as falling costs and supportive policies boosted demand, and the industry is expected to post another banner year in 2021.

Still, overall penetration remains low. The Department of Energy pointed to a number of actions that could accelerate solar buildout, including clean energy tax credits. The Investment and production tax credits, which were extended on a short-term basis in December, have been instrumental to solar’s adoption.

Tax incentives for transmission and storage could also lead to faster solar deployment. Transmission lines can carry power generated by wind and solar sites, which can be far away from end users, to the cities where it’s needed. The memo noted that direct pay tax incentives could mobilize billions of dollars in private capital.

The Department of Energy also pointed to prioritizing innovation and advanced manufacturing, as well as investing in low-income and community solar.

“Low- and moderate- income Americans are less likely to adopt solar due to issues like lack of access to financing, which perpetuates energy inequalities and leads to lower overall levels of solar deployment,” the memo said.

Fighting climate change is a priority for the Biden administration. On his first day in office the president re-entered the U.S. into the Paris Climate Accord, and he has pledged to slash greenhouse gas emissions in half by 2030. He’s also called for a carbon-free power sector by 2035, for which solar growth will be instrumental.

The infrastructure package passed by the Senate last week includes billions of dollars for clean energy projects, although the amounts are significantly pared down from the original American Jobs Plan unveiled in March. The administration has repeatedly said that a shift away from fossil fuels to clean energy will fuel job growth, and the memo claims the industry could employ as many as 1.5 million people by 2035.

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Hydrogen trucks retreat from Australia as battery electric sales surge

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Hydrogen trucks retreat from Australia as battery electric sales surge

Hydrogen fuel cell specialists Hyzon have announced plans to quit Australia even as sales of battery electric commercial trucks climb.

For a while, it seemed like Hyzon had found something of a home in Australia. Recently, the American startup had announced pilot programs that would see its hydrogen fuel cells put to work in transit buses in Brisbane, tow trucks (above) in Victoria, and five 154-ton severe duty trucks scheduled to service a zinc refinery operation in north Queensland.

Alas, it seems like it’s not enough – Hyzon said Monday that, after a review of its business operations, it has “started realigning its strategic priorities along several lines to focus on the company’s core North American markets and the refuse industry.”

The company said it was hoping to raise new capital to get its 200 kW HFCs into series production, and has retained investment bank PJT Partners to evaluate a number of options, up to and including an outright sale of the company.

Meanwhile, BEVs are doing great

Commercial delivery EVs; courtesy ANC.

Meanwhile, Australia’s commercial BEV sales are booming. The entire country saw just under 100 battery electric trucks sold in 2022, but that number jumped to 256 in 2023 and continues to climb in 2024.

As if to underscore that fact, ANC (a leading, UPS-style last mile delivery partner for many of the Australia’s large retailers) has announced plans to spend more than $45 million.

ANC is calling the initiative “Project Spark,” and it’s being backed by a $12.8 million grant from the Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) specifically designed to address the barrier presented by the initially higher up-front costs of EVs. ARENA is also working to provide EV buyers with discounted leasing options, and generally “improved” EV charging infrastructure.

Project Spark is expected to add 112 new BEVs to Australia’s roads within the next year.

“It promises to kick-start a step change in electrifying last mile delivery in Australia by lowering the total costs to own and run electric trucks,” said Darren Miller, CEO of ARENA. “The project demonstrates use cases for battery electric trucks in last mile operations, tackling constraints that have so far made it hard for the industry to transition away from internal combustion engine vehicles.”

Electrek’s Take

MAN Trucks says hydrogen will never work, bets the farm on batteries
Image via MAN Trucks.

No one said it better than MAN CEO, Alexander Vlaskamp, who said that it was “impossible” for hydrogen trucks to effectively compete with BEVs. That interview is definitely worth a re-read, but to see companies like Hyzon suffering in even the most hydrogen-friendly markets out there is to believe Vlaskamp, even if you already believed him, just that little bit more.

SOURCES | IMAGES: Hyzon, ANC; via the Driven.

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The US just greenlit the offshore wind farm Trump vowed to kill

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The US just greenlit the offshore wind farm Trump vowed to kill

Shell-EDF’s Atlantic Shores South is the US’s ninth commercial-scale, offshore wind farm approved under the Biden administration – Trump wants to cancel it. 

Atlantic Shores South consists of two wind farms — Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind Project 1 and 2 — expected to generate up to 2,800 megawatts (MW) of electricity, enough to power nearly 1 million homes with clean energy.

It’s around 8.7 miles offshore New Jersey at its closest point. Up to 200 wind turbines and 10 offshore substations with subsea transmission cables were proposed, potentially making landfall in Atlantic City and Sea Girt, New Jersey. BOEM has approved the construction of up to 195 wind turbines. The project has a labor agreement with six New Jersey unions.

President Biden’s national climate adviser, Ali Zaidi, said, “The Biden-Harris administration will continue to use every available tool to grow the American offshore wind industry as we strengthen the nation’s power grid and tackle the climate crisis.” 

Governor Phil Murphy (D-NJ) has set a goal for New Jersey to install 11 GW of offshore wind by 2040. It has 3.7 GW of offshore wind in the pipeline.

In May, Donald Trump told a MAGA rally in Wildwood, New Jersey, that he would stop the Atlantic Shores South offshore wind farm “on day one” with an executive order if he won the presidential election. ”You don’t have to worry about Governor Murphy’s 157 [sic] wind turbines,” he said.

Governor Maura Healey (D-MA) recently told the Financial Times that the upcoming election created “heightened urgency” to speed up the buildout of the sector – Massachusetts is a US offshore wind trailblazer – and that a Trump win would be “devastating” for the industry. However, New Jersey’s Murphy said that “government policy is a different reality than what people might say on the campaign trail.”

During the Biden administration, the US Interior Department has given the go-ahead to more than 13 GW of offshore wind — enough to power nearly 5 million homes.

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EV sales slump? No one told Blue Bird (BLDB), their stock is soaring!

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EV sales slump? No one told Blue Bird (BLDB), their stock is soaring!

EV stocks have had a rough couple of months, but Georgia-based bus brand Blue Bird has seen its stock price more than double in the last year as the company’s electric buses make their way to school districts around the country.

Newsweek is reporting that Blue Bird stock is soaring – and it’s true. The stock has climbed more than 111% in the last year, seriously outperforming SPAC deal tickers like Polestar (PSNYW) and Fisker (FSRNQ) and proving that lucrative union pay contracts and higher costs driven by the addition of new safety features don’t necessarily lead to reduced stock prices.

Take notes, GM.

This is how it’s done

Yahoo! Finance screenshot; BLBD.

“Well, I would say we’re breaking a lot of the norms. A lot of these conventional wisdoms, that you can’t be a profitable EV company, obviously, that’s not true,” Blue Bird President Britton Smith told Newsweek. “We’re doing quite well. Having a positive relationship with the union is good for employees, and it’s good for the company overall. And even on safety, we’re breaking the convention that seatbelts are too expensive, and we’re making them more affordable for school districts nationwide.”

Blue Bird is leaning into zero emission buses that the company says will eventually produce up to 5,000 electric buses and gliders per year, as well as a new EV chassis line being developed for the red-hot last-mile delivery van market.

The company expects to deliver its 2,000th all-electric bus later this summer.

Electrek’s Take

Blue Bird electric school bus charging; by Blue Bird, via Newsweek.

The number of incentives out there to help electrify school districts is huge. The federal Clean School Bus Program, several state EPA programs, and even regional utility programs (like ComEd’s BE Plan in Chicago) are offering six figure rebates to help reduce harmful, surface level air pollution among school-aged kids – one of the most vulnerable populations.

Newsweek‘s interview with Blue Bird’s president gets into all of that, talks about improved safety, better conditions for kids and bus drivers, and more. If you’re a BLBD investor (or are thinking about becoming one) it’s definitely worth checking out.

SOURCE | IMAGES: Blue Bird, via Newsweek.

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