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The prime minister is expected to announce a rise in national insurance payments to fund social care, despite this being a breach of the 2019 Tory manifesto.

Reports in The Times and The Daily Telegraph say the plans could be revealed as soon as next week when parliament returns from its summer recess.

Both newspapers said national insurance is the favoured approach but there are varying reports of how much the rise could be.

The Times said Health Secretary Sajid Javid is pushing for a 2% increase while Chancellor Rishi Sunak is arguing against any increase of more than 1%.

The Daily Telegraph said Number 10 wants a one percentage point rise but the Treasury is pushing to go higher, possibly 1.25 percentage points.

Social care is in desperate need of funding reform but any plan to increase national insurance payments is likely to disproportionately hit millions of younger people.

It will also break a promise made by the Conservatives ahead of the 2019 general election, which guaranteed there would be no increase to the rate of income tax, VAT, or national insurance.

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This promise was confirmed in July by Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng, who told Sky News: “That’s what it says in the manifesto, I don’t see how we could increase national insurance.

“But you know things have been very flexible over the last 18 months, we’ve lived through an unprecedented time, we’ve been spending huge amounts of money that we never thought was possible and it’s up to the chancellor and the Treasury, and the wider government, to decide a budget.”

Munira Wilson, the Liberal Democrats spokesperson for health and social care, said in a statement the increase of two percentage points was “unfair and unjust”.

“Sajid Javid is putting the burden on the same people who have been hardest hit by the pandemic, and Boris Johnson has today broken his manifesto promise not to raise taxes.

“Has it really taken all this time, to make a decision to rip-off the people who can least afford to shoulder the burden of social care?”

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Rachel Reeves signals she will break tax pledges – and gives strongest indication she will lift two-child cap

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Rachel Reeves signals she will break tax pledges - and gives strongest indication she will lift two-child cap

Rachel Reeves has signalled she is going to break her manifesto tax pledges at the budget – and has given her strongest indication yet she will lift the two-child benefit cap.

The chancellor said the world has changed in the year since the last budget, when she reiterated Labour’s manifesto promise not to raise national insurance, VAT or income tax on “working people”.

“It would, of course, be possible to stick with the manifesto commitments, but that would require things like deep cuts in capital spending,” she told BBC 5Live.

“I have been very clear that we are looking at both taxes and spending,” she added.

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The chancellor also gave her strongest indication yet she will lift the two-child benefit cap at the budget on 26 November, saying it is not right a child is “penalised because they are in a bigger family”.

Ms Reeves blamed poor productivity and growth over the last few years on the previous government “always taking the easy option to cut investment in rail and road projects, in energy projects and digital infrastructure”.

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She said she promised during the election campaign to “bring stability back to our economy”.

Ms Reeves, here with US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick in London in September, blamed tariffs for poor growth. Pic: PA
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Ms Reeves, here with US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick in London in September, blamed tariffs for poor growth. Pic: PA

‘I’ll always do what’s right for UK’

“What I can promise now is I will always do what I think is right for our country, not the easy choice, but the thing that I think is necessary,” she added.

The chancellor blamed the UK’s lack of growth under her tenure on global conflicts, trade and tariffs over the past year.

In a dig at Donald Trump, who has imposed wide-ranging tariffs on countries around the world, she said: “The tariffs. I don’t think anyone could have foreseen when this government was elected last year that we were going to see these big increases in global tariffs and barriers to trade.

“And I have to be chancellor in the world as it is not necessarily the world as I would like it to be. But I have to respond to those challenges, and that’s the responsible thing to do.”

Read more:
What tax rises and spending cuts will Reeves announce at budget?
Gordon Brown ‘confident’ of two-child benefit cap change

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‘Shameful’ that 4.5m children in poverty

‘Children should not be penalised’

The government has, so far, resisted lifting the two-child benefit cap, which means a family can only claim child benefits for the first two children.

But, it is a contentious subject within Labour, with seven of its MPs suspended two weeks after the election for voting to scrap it, while others are aware it will cost £2.8bn to do so.

Former Labour prime minister and chancellor Gordon Brown has been pushing for Ms Reeves, who says he is her hero, to lift it.

She said she saw Mr Brown at Remembrance Sunday, where they “had a good chat and we’ve emailed each other just today”, as she revealed they speak regularly.

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Labour’s child benefit cap dilemma

Ms Reeves added Mr Brown and Sir Tony Blair were big heroes of hers because they did so much to lift children out of poverty – the reason she went into politics.

Pushed on whether she would lift the cap, she said: “I don’t think that it’s right that a child is penalised because they are in a bigger family, through no fault of their own. So we will take action on child poverty.”

Mr Brown earlier told Sky News’ Mornings with Ridge and Frost he was “confident” of a two-child benefit cap change at the budget.

The latest YouGov polling found 59% of the public are in favour of keeping the cap in place, and only 26% thought it should be abolished.

Shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride said: “Rachel Reeves has borrowed, spent and taxed like there’s no tomorrow – and she’s coming back for more because she doesn’t have a plan or the strength to stand up to Labour’s backbenchers, who are now calling the shots.

“My message is clear: if Rachel Reeves reduces government spending – including the welfare bill, she doesn’t need to raise taxes again. “

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Senate Committee unveils crypto market structure bill draft

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Senate Committee unveils crypto market structure bill draft

The US Senate Agriculture Committee has released its long-awaited discussion draft of crypto market structure laws, bringing Congress closer to passing legislation outlining how the crypto sector will be regulated.

Republican Agriculture Chair John Boozman and Democrat Senator Cory Booker released the draft on Monday, which includes brackets around sections of the bill that lawmakers are still negotiating.

The bill aims to outline the limits of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission’s power to regulate crypto. Only Congress can set the agencies’ regulatory boundaries, but both have shared guidance to companies about crypto under the Trump administration’s deregulation push.

“The CFTC is the right agency to regulate spot digital commodity trading, and it is essential to establish clear rules for the emerging crypto market while also protecting consumers,”  Boozman said.

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Booker said the discussion draft “would provide the CFTC with new authority to regulate the digital commodity spot market, create new protections for retail customers, and ensure the agency has the personnel and resources necessary to oversee this growing market.”

The House passed a similar bill, called the CLARITY Act, to the Senate in July, which would give the CFTC a central role in regulating crypto.

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