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Concern at the top of government over a rise to national insurance has spilled into the open after a senior minister suggested that voters would remember broken promises on tax.

Leader of the House of Commons Jacob Rees-Mogg used his weekly segment in the Sunday Express newspaper to republish a famous quote by former president George Bush senior: “Read my lips: no new taxes”.

Mr Rees-Mogg wrote that “voters remembered those words after president Bush had forgotten them”.

George Bush senior. Pic: AP
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Many blamed the broken tax pledge by George Bush senior for his downfall. Pic: AP

The 1988 promise was broken by the former American leader and cited by many as a reason for his loss of the White House four years later.

While Mr Rees-Mogg did not reference national insurance directly, his intervention is representative of concerns among some cabinet ministers about the planned move.

Boris Johnson is expected to announce a long awaited plan to reform social care this week, together with an increase in national insurance to fund it.

The policy would go against a promise made by the Conservative Party in the last election not to increase income tax, VAT or national insurance.

More on Boris Johnson

Conservative donor and former deputy chairman of the party Lord Ashcroft tweeted the 2019 manifesto pledge with the comment “a reminder”.

Downing Street has not confirmed details of the announcement but a senior government source said ministers “will not duck the tough but necessary decisions needed to get the NHS back on its feet”.

Tackled on Sky News over a threatened rise in national insurance, government minister Nadhim Zahawi did not rule out raising tax in order to fund social care.

He told the Trevor Phillips On Sunday programme: “We are absolutely committed to the social care reform and we will be coming forward by the end of the year with those details.”

However, there is also concern about the prospect of taxing younger workers to subsidise the care and protect the homes of older people.

One minister told Sky News: “It doesn’t sit well with an across the board subsidy to help a few who have assets to protect.”

The social care plans are likely to include a cap on costs designed to stop assets like property needing to be used in full to fund care fees.

But this has provoked concern among some MPs because of the possibility of those with high value homes benefitting the most.

“I’m very concerned about the fact we seem to be protecting the inheritances of those with means at the same time as stripping the £20 uplift [in universal credit]”, said one newly elected MP.

A senior Conservative said “it seems like a tax on middle England … it does not seem very Conservative”.

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Social care: What govt hopes to do this week

Former prime minister John Major told the FT Weekend Festival that the policy was regressive and should be done in a “straight forward and honest fashion” through taxation.

Trade union boss Frances O’Grady also criticised the proposal saying it “wasn’t right” to hit young and low paid workers with a tax increase while “leaving the wealthy untouched”.

The TUC general secretary instead called for the government to increase capital gains tax – a levy on profits made when selling assets like property or shares.

Much of the criticism has stemmed from the fact that national insurance is not paid by people older than the state pension age.

The tax is also only paid on earnings, so wealthier individuals who live off rental income, savings or dividends do not contribute.

rances O'Grady, General Secretary of the TUC
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TUC chief Frances O’Grady says the move will hit young and low paid workers

Labour frontbencher Lisa Nandy told Sky News her party supported the “broad principle” of increasing taxes for the wealthy to pay for NHS and social care recovery.

Speaking Trevor Phillips, she said: “I think the broad principle that Frances O’Grady is laying out – that those with the broadest shoulders should take some of the burden – is absolutely right.

“Fixing the social care crisis is going to cost a great deal of money and the prime minister’s plan as we understand it… is that he’s going to break his 2019 promise to not raise national insurance contributions and load the entirety of the cost of social care on to supermarket workers, delivery drivers who are already suffering with high childcare costs, high housing costs and who kept us going through the pandemic.

“I think that’s a really difficult ask of a group of people who haven’t done well under this Conservative government over the last 11 years.”

With national insurance also paid by employers, business groups have also criticised the plan.

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UK central bank still ‘disproportionately cautious’ about stablecoins

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UK central bank still ‘disproportionately cautious’ about stablecoins

The UK’s central bank, the Bank of England (BOE), has released a proposed regulatory regime for stablecoins. The consultation paper took into account the perspectives of the crypto industry, but some observers say it remains restrictive.

BOE released the document on Nov. 10 — some two years after it announced the initial discussion paper. The original offered a vision for crypto that many in the industry claimed would doom the UK’s digital asset space.

The BOE said that it received comments and feedback from a broad range of 46 different stakeholders, including “banks, non-bank payment service providers, payment system operators, trade associations, academia, and individuals.”

The UK’s central bank may have scrapped some more hardline requirements, but some in the industry believe that it isn’t enough. Tom Rhodes, chief legal officer at UK-based stablecoin issuer Agant, said the bank remains “disproportionately cautious and restrictive.”

The bank also released a roadmap for further rulemaking. Source: Bank of England

Bank of England still cautious on stablecoins

The new iteration presents a number of improvements on the 2023 version, Rhodes told Cointelegraph.

“The latest proposals do include some innovative features, such as direct BOE liquidity lines and the ability to repo reserves for liquidity purposes.”

He said that, as it concerns the UK market, “these proposals can be further explored and potentially expanded to create a more competitive backing asset regime, without compromising on stability.”

But despite the “welcome progress in the BOE’s sentiment towards stablecoins,” it has been “unusually vocal about the perceived risks of stablecoins,” said Rhodes.

One of the more controversial restrictions in the paper was limits on what the BOE called a “systemic retail stablecoin.” In the paper, this is defined as a stablecoin that is “widely used by individuals to make everyday payments such as for shopping and receiving salaries.”

The central bank wants to see limits of 20,000 pounds for individuals and 10 million pounds for businesses that accept it as a form of payment. This is an increase from the initial proposal, but the idea of limits on how much crypto you can hold didn’t sit well with some. 

Crypto influencer Aleksandra Huk wrote, “Bank of England wants to cap stablecoin holdings at £20,000. Who gave them the right to tell us what to buy, where to store our money and how much we can have? […] Honestly, this is the best advert ever for privacy coins and for leaving the UK.”

Related: UK crypto hopes stall, but ‘encouraging signs’ are there

There are a few caveats to the suggested rule. Geoff Richards, head of community at the Ontology Network, noted, “The proposal applies only to sterling-denominated stablecoins used in UK payment systems that could become ‘systemic.’ Not USDT, not USDC, not random DeFi tokens.”

Ian Taylor, board member of crypto industry advocacy group CryptoUK, told Cointelegraph that he understands the central bank’s more cautious approach, at least as it applies to the stablecoin limits:

“The Bank of England has a mandate to protect against financial stability. And that financial stability is connected to the banking system. So insofar as banks take deposits and they issue loans against those deposits […] creates credit, this is an economic benefit to any economy that we have.”

The BOE is rightfully worried that taking deposits out of banks would reduce their ability to lend, affecting financial stability. “So, that’s why they want to baby-step this.”

Rhodes said that the “vast majority” of UK stablecoins will not fall under the regime anyway, at least not as stated in the paper. He noted that Mastercard was only recognized as a systemically important payment system in 2021 and that non-systemic stablecoins will be regulated under the Financial Conduct Authority’s (FCA) ruleset, “which is less restrictive.”

Still work to be done as UK opens up to crypto

Access to central bank liquidity and deposit accounts at the BOE was a welcome update for stablecoin issuers. But crypto industry representatives believe that there is still room for improvement in the central bank’s plan.

Regarding the stablecoin caps, “The systemic thresholds remain uncertain,” said Rhodes. He said it would be helpful to have clarification from His Majesty’s Treasury when an issuer has reached sufficient scale to “pose a risk to the UK economy as a whole, before they will recognize the issuer as systemic.”

Taylor also noted the difficulty of enforcing these stablecoin caps. If the government is licensing an issuer, then they’re the ones “responsible for monitoring each individual client or customer, whether wholesale, corporate or retail, as to how many stablecoins they’ve given them.”

The problem is that many people get their stablecoins on secondary markets or a “host of different sources.” People can receive stablecoins as compensation at work or on an exchange or peer-to-peer transaction. “So, the actual operational enforcement of that I question, and we’ve seen no detail in regards to that.”

Overall, “clarity and speed” will make the UK stablecoin ecosystem more competitive, said Arvin Abraham, partner at Goodwin Procter. He told Cointelegraph that regulators need to give issuers “a clean runway and predictable timelines” to navigate the approvals process.

Speed isn’t the government’s strong suit, however.

The British government has been working on crypto regulations since 2017, when it first adopted Anti-Money Laundering and Know Your Customer requirements for crypto-related businesses like exchanges. Now, eight years later, the central bank is still developing its policies based on industry feedback.

The slow pace of progress presents a problem. According to Taylor, “We’ve been consulting on a wider framework to regulate stablecoins for almost five years, and we still haven’t gotten any actual license framework in place, which is problematic for a number of reasons,” he said.

“It doesn’t help businesses that want to launch stablecoins in the UK. They don’t have a clear roadmap of how to do that,” he said, “which in turn forces them to move offshore to jurisdictions where there are other regulatory frameworks already live.”

This is for a number of reasons, Taylor explained, including consecutive changes in government, as well as a lack of “real champions in any of our key stakeholders, be that the current government, be that Treasury, be that the FCA.”

Progress on crypto regulations may be slow in the UK — slower than many in the industry would like — but for Abraham, “The Bank is being pragmatic and fair. The overriding message is that innovation is welcome, but if you want your token to function like money, you need money-grade controls.”

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