UFC fans love to be in the know. We’re here to help.
Derek Brunson shined this weekend against Darren Till, but despite Brunson’s incredible run and dominant finish over a legitimate contender, a title shot may not be coming as quickly as Brunson hopes. Someone who is likely to get a title shot next, Dustin Poirier, might make his last walk to the Octagon on the night of that title fight. We’ll also explain why Contender Series will be different in 2021 and just how big a threat Alexandre Pantoja could be to Brandon Moreno if they were to meet again.
As we look ahead to a busy few months inside the Octagon, Marc Raimondi, Brett Okamoto, Jeff Wagenheim and Carlos Contreras Legaspi want to make sure that you won’t be shocked if some surprising headlines show up on the site. Here’s what you need to know.
Don’t be surprised if … Brunson has to fight again before title shot
Raimondi:Derek Brunson has done more than enough to earn a title shot in the UFC’s middleweight division. He has won five straight, and he really put a stamp on things Saturday afternoon with a third-round submission victory over a popular fighter in Darren Till.
Few have the résumé of Brunson, who has fought just about all the best fighters at 185 pounds over the last nine years, including champion Israel Adesanya, current top contender Robert Whittaker, legend Anderson Silva, stalwart Yoel Romero and more. Brunson lost those bouts, but at 37 years old he is in his prime right now — and deserving of that recognition in the form of a chance at the belt.
However, there’s a solid shot that timing is going to be Brunson’s enemy in this situation. Adesanya is likely to defend against Whittaker, the man who Adesanya took the belt from in 2019, in early 2021. At minimum, that’s four months away. Add in time to recover for the winner of that fight, and if Brunson waits around — which he said he was willing to do — that could put his title shot sometime closer to the halfway point of 2022.
That’s a long time from now. And there’s another factor: Jared Cannonier. Two weeks ago, Cannonier looked strong in beating Kelvin Gastelum, and he has won four of his last five. Brunson might be on a slightly better run, but it’s close enough. Cannonier is surely in the title conversation, too. In a situation like this, it seems like the most logical answer is to just have Brunson and Cannonier fight it out. Maybe put that fight on the Adesanya vs. Whittaker undercard. If something goes wrong with Adesanya or Whittaker, Brunson or Cannonier can step in. And even if not, the two winners will be on the same timeline and can face off in a mini-tournament final.
Brunson clearly wants the title shot and is willing to wait until next spring to get it. I understand that perspective. He’s closer to 40 now than he is 30. His window of opportunity during his peak years won’t be open forever. But with the way the schedule works out now, it sure feels like Brunson will have to extend his impressive winning streak to six straight to get his second shot at the UFC middleweight championship.
Don’t be surprised if… Dustin Poirier retires if he wins a UFC championship
Okamoto: I decided to go bold here. If Poirier were to dethrone Charles Oliveira (that fight might happen in December, but it’s not official), what if he were to walk away? He’d be the second lightweight champion to do so — in his prime — in the last two years. For the record, I’m not predicting this will happen, I’m only saying, don’t be surprised if it does.
The one thing that has eluded Poirier over his 12-year professional career is an undisputed title. It’s the only box he has left to check. He’s described how important that is to him in multiple interviews. If he were to finally get it done in his next fight … would he be all that motivated to stick around and defend it against Justin Gaethje, Michael Chandler, Beneil Dariush or Islam Makhachev?
Honestly, I’m not too sure. Of course, there are also two potential fights out there for Poirier in which titles aren’t the central focus: Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz. The paychecks for those fights would be tough to walk away from, but is it possible Poirier would leave them on the table if he’s accomplished everything he wanted in his career? I think it’s entirely possible.
Don’t be surprised if … Contender Series yields more UFC contracts this season than ever before
Wagenheim: We have only one episode to go on, but what a start: five contracts awarded after just four fights. But it’s not the numbers alone that bode well for those who’ll be vying for UFC deals in Season 5’s nine remaining weekly episodes. What also stood out in Week 1 was the types of performances that caught the eye of the UFC brass.
Two of the contracts went to purveyors of knockouts, and that’s a no-brainer. But another fighter was rewarded with a UFC deal after he’d ended his bout by fouling his opponent and being deducted a point. The two other contracts went to both fighters in a close bout. That’s a new one — getting in off a loss. Now, this is not to suggest that any of these five fighters didn’t deserve a ticket to the Octagon. They all fought really well. It’s just that in past seasons it took more than that to get you in the door.
The most famous no-deal example is Brendan Loughnane, who was passed over after an outstanding victory in 2019 (and ended up in the PFL, where he fell one win short of this year’s $1 million championship fight). But he is not alone in showing off skills at least on par with a UFC prelim fighter, only to be turned away. Over the show’s first four seasons, it was mostly knockouts and submissions that were a key to the front door. Others did go the distance and still were chosen for entry, but only after explosive or dominant performances.
Last year’s Season 4 saw 37 contracts awarded, more than any other season. Season 5 is off to a great start in terms of beating that pace, although there’s a long way to go. We’re not likely to see five contacts handed out each week, but something tells me the entrance exam will remain looser. The past 18 months have been difficult for us all, but among the hardest hit are small, regional MMA promotions that are the breeding ground for future major-league talent. With the feeder system not yet back up and running at full speed, the UFC has to find its fighters somewhere.
Don’t be surprised if… Brandon Moreno cruises past Alexandre Pantoja in their third fight
Legaspi: Pantoja was right in his post-fight interview after defeating Brandon Royval on Aug. 21. He claimed that he made Brandon Moreno a better fighter with both of his victories over the current flyweight champion — in 2016, on The Ultimate Fighter, and again in May 2018.
After the dominant performance he had over Moreno in their second fight three years ago in Chile, Moreno learned the extent of his weaknesses in boxing.
Unlike many Mexican fighters, Moreno found success with his jiu-jitsu and wrestling, which is comparable to almost everyone in the division he’s faced since he arrived in the UFC. He proved that by submitting two ranked opponents in his first three fights, right after being eliminated from The Ultimate Fighter by Pantoja.
But that 2018 fight was crucial. Moreno was cut from the UFC after that loss, and the 125-pound division as a whole was in jeopardy.
Pantoja pushed Moreno to add tools to his set, and Moreno started building his boxing skills from scratch. Training in his native Tijuana with Javier “Drift” Cortez — who was part of Antonio Margarito’s corner, and worked with amateurs at Erik Morales’ gym — changed Brandon’s approach to the game and made him a very confident fighter on his feet. He improved his head movement and combinations, which helped him beat dangerous strikers like Kai Kara-France and former champion Deiveson Figueiredo.
Moreno’s confidence has grown as he’s built his undefeated streak to seven fights since the second Pantoja loss.
Pantoja looked explosive against Royval, and he will put pressure on Moreno, who wants to leave those two losses in the past. If Pantoja gets cleared from a left knee injury to fight before the end of the year, he will be a dangerous contender. But when it comes to improvement, the current champion looks like a completely different fighter than the one he dismantled three years ago.
What will the series tally be in Caps-Canes when it heads back to D.C. — and will the Knights win at least one in Alberta so they even see a Game 5 back in Las Vegas?
Read on for game previews with statistical insights from ESPN Research, a recap of what went down in Friday’s games and the three stars of Friday from Arda Öcal.
With the Canes and Capitals tied up 1-1 heading to Raleigh for Games 3 and 4, ESPN BET has Carolina as the -215 series favorite. Washington is +180 to win the series.
Capitals defenseman John Carlson scored a power-play goal in Game 2, his 13th career playoff power-play goal, which breaks a tie with Brian Leetch for third for such goals by an American-born defenseman. He still trails Chris Chelios (14) and Brian Rafalski (17).
For the first time in his postseason career, Tom Wilson reached all of these thresholds: 2 points, 3 shots on goal, 2 hits and 2 blocked shots. His seven points this season is the most he has had in a playoff run since the Cup-winning year of 2018 (15).
The Hurricanes have not held an in-game lead since Game 4 of the first round against the Devils. They won the series in Game 5 in a double-overtime game, then won Game 1 of this series 2-1 in OT after trailing 1-0. Since that lead in Game 4 of the first round, they have trailed for 89:28 and been tied for 117:55.
Among qualified goaltenders this postseason, Frederik Andersen leads by a wide margin in goals-against average (1.55), and is second in save percentage, at .930. The netminder ahead of him in SV%? Washington’s Logan Thompson.
Following two wins by the Oilers in Vegas, ESPN BET now lists Edmonton as the -550 favorites to win this series, with the Golden Knights at +380. Edmonton is also the current favorite to win the Cup, at +300, narrowly ahead of the Stars, at +325. Vegas is now +1800, the longest odds of any team remaining in the playoffs.
Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid combined to score the game-winning OT goal in Game 2. It was the second OT goal this postseason for Draisaitl, and he is now tied for the most such goals in a single postseason in Oilers history with Esa Tikkanen in 1991.
McDavid is second among playoff scorers with 14 points through eight games, trailing only Mikko Rantanen‘s 15. McDavid’s 1.75 points per game this postseason is ahead of his rate in playoff seasons past (1.58) and well ahead of his rate during last year’s run to the Stanley Cup Final (1.36).
Victor Olofsson had two goals and an assist in a losing effort in Game 2. Both goals were on the power play, and he joins Jack Eichel as the only players in Knights history with multiple power-play goals in a single playoff game.
Speaking of Eichel, he finished with three assists, joining Shea Theodore and William Karlsson as the only players in Knights history with two three-assist playoff games on their résumé.
Öcal’s three stars from Friday
After a rough first round against the Blues, Hellebuyck shut out the Stars in Game 2. He made 21 saves en route to the fourth clean sheet of his postseason career.
Ehlers had his second career multigoal game and added an assist in a big Game 2 effort that tied Winnipeg’s series with Dallas 1-1.
The former Bruin continues to haunt the Maple Leafs, this time with the overtime winner to get the Panthers on the series board at 2-1. It was his fourth career playoff OT goal, and he extended his own NHL record for most consecutive postseasons with a game-winning goal (nine).
Toronto entered with a 2-0 series lead and got out to a 2-0 start in the game as well, with goals from Matthew Knies and John Tavares, before Aleksander Barkov drew the Panthers back to within a goal with his third goal of the postseason. Tavares added a power-play tally at 2:52 of the second period on a slick deflection, before the Panthers ripped off two goals in quick succession to tie the score. The first was thanks to Sam Reinhart poking the puck in during a wild scramble in the Leafs’ crease, the second after a superb pass from Sam Bennett to Carter Verhaeghe. Jonah Gadjovich put the home squad up 4-3, but Morgan Rielly tied things up midway through the third. It took until the final five minutes of the first OT, but Brad Marchand came through with another game-winning goal. Full recap.
play
1:30
Brad Marchand’s OT winner sparks pandemonium from Panthers crowd
Brad Marchand scores a massive overtime goal to deliver the Panthers a 5-4 win over the Maple Leafs.
If this is the kind of goaltending the Jets will now get from Connor Hellebuyck, the Stars (and the rest of the NHL) are in trouble. Hellebuyck stopped all 21 shots sent on the Jets’ goal en route to his fourth career postseason shutout. On the offensive side, Gabriel Vilardi and Nikolaj Ehlers got the party started in the first. Adam Lowry added his fourth goal of the postseason in the second, and that 3-0 lead stood until 16:20 of the third, when Ehlers capped off the festivities with an empty-net goal. Full recap.
play
0:26
Nikolaj Ehlers rolls in an empty-net goal for Winnipeg
Nikolaj Ehlers scores his second goal of the game to pad the Jets’ lead late in the third period vs. the Stars.
Kristen Shilton is a national NHL reporter for ESPN.
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — Maple Leafs goaltender Anthony Stolarz continues to work his way back but doesn’t appear close to a return in Toronto’s second-round Eastern Conference playoff series against the Florida Panthers.
“He’s progressing in the right direction,” Maple Leafs coach Craig Berube said Saturday. “But he has not skated yet [since getting hurt].”
Stolarz was injured during Game 1 on Monday. The goaltender took a puck off his mask and an elbow to the head from Panthers forward Sam Bennett in the second period, exiting shortly after the Bennett hit. Stolarz, who was ill on Toronto’s bench before he left the game, was later transported to a hospital for evaluation.
The veteran was able to rejoin his teammates Tuesday at their facility but did not travel with the Maple Leafs to Florida ahead of Friday’s Game 3.
Joseph Woll took over the starting duties from Stolarz and helped stake Toronto to a 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series. But Woll struggled in Game 3, recording an .861 save percentage as the Panthers mounted two multigoal comebacks to down the Maple Leafs 5-4 in overtime.
Berube said after the loss that he “thought [Woll] was really good” but that he didn’t love when Panthers fourth-liner Jonah Gadjovich beat the goaltender cleanly from outside the right faceoff circle to give Florida its first lead of the game at 4-3.
Woll also has been adjusting to playing the puck amid Florida’s smothering forecheck.
“They rim a lot of pucks,” Woll said Friday. “I’m just trying to do my best to help us break out.”
Florida hasn’t made it easy on Toronto in that respect. Berube anticipates Woll can learn from Friday’s mistakes and improve, though.
“It’s difficult,” Berube said. “A lot of those rims are up; they’re not on the ice. And that’s designed. If they can get a good lick on it, they’re going to get it on the glass. It’s pretty tough for him to come out and play those. He did get to a lot of them. But they’re coming hard. He’s going to have to move it quick.”
The sea of white in Winnipeg chanted “M-V-P!” in unison during the Jets‘ Game 2 win over the Dallas Stars on Friday night. Goalie Connor Hellebuyck heard and appreciated those chants.
“It means a whole lot. I love this crowd. I love this city,” said Hellebuyck, who stopped 21 shots in Winnipeg’s 4-0 victory that evened their Western Conference semifinal series at 1-1.
It was Hellebuyck’s first playoff shutout since a 1-0 blanking of the Edmonton Oilers in the first round in 2021, and the fourth postseason shutout of his career. Hellebuyck led the NHL with eight shutouts in the regular season, which helped him become a finalist for the Hart Trophy as league MVP and for the Vezina Trophy as the NHL’s top goaltender, an award he won last season and in 2020.
Prior to Friday night, he had not been that same goaltender in the postseason.
Considered by many the best netminder in the world, Hellebuyck was the worst goalie statistically in the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs entering Game 2. He was 4-4 with an .836 save percentage, the lowest for any goalie with at least three postseason games played. He was last in the playoffs through eight games with a minus-9.68 goals saved above expected. He had a 3.75 goals-against average as well, after sporting a GAA of 2.00 and a .925 save percentage in the regular season.
Yet the Jets’ faith in their goaltender never wavered.
“We rely on him. Sometimes too much. But he was incredible tonight,” said defenseman Josh Morrissey, who missed Game 1 against Dallas and most of Game 7 against St. Louis with an injury. “That’s what he does every night for us. He’s an incredible goaltender. He makes very difficult saves look very easy, routinely and often. You could tell he was feeling it tonight. When he’s feeling it like that, it gives the players in front of him a lot of confidence.”
Jets coach Scott Arniel said his goalie was “fantastic” in Game 2.
“Sometimes we take him for granted because he makes the hard look easy, but he had some acrobatic ones tonight,” Arniel said.
That was especially true in the second period. The Jets built a 2-0 lead in the first period on goals by Gabriel Vilardi and Nik Ehlers, whose shot deflected off the skate of Dallas defenseman Esa Lindell. Hellebuyck made nine saves in that opening frame.
“We pushed hard in the second to try and climb back in the game,” said Dallas coach Peter DeBoer. “Hellebuyck made some saves. We get one there, maybe the momentum shifts. But that was the game. He was a good. He was really good. We can always make it more difficult on him, but he was really good.”
After the game, Hellebuyck told Sportsnet that he believed he was back on his game after the shutout win.
“Now it’s locked in. We broke it down to build it back together,” he said. “I like where it’s at. I like where the team’s playing. I’m really excited for the series. It’s been fun.”
Whether the fun continues on the road for Sunday’s Game 3 is anyone’s guess.
Hellebuyck was a disaster in the Jets’ three games in St. Louis, giving up 16 goals on 66 shots (.758 save percentage) and getting pulled in each loss. In his past eight postseason road games, Hellebuyck is 1-7 with a .838 save percentage and a 5.19 goals-against average.
“We’re still playing hockey, and it’s May. That’s fun. It’s the best time of year, because you’ve dialed your game in all year long,” Hellebuyck said.
The Jets said they need to be better in front of their goalie on the road.
“It’s going to be a tough building. They grabbed home ice from us by winning Game 1,” Arniel said. “It’s [about] lessons learned. Take some of the things from that series. We know we have to do a lot of what we did tonight.”