Tim Cook, chief executive officer of Apple Inc., center, arrives at U.S. district court in Oakland, California, on Friday, May 21, 2021.
Nina Riggio | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Apple prevailed on nine of 10 counts in its trial against Epic Games on Friday, but federal Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued an injunction that prohibits Apple from preventing developers from linking out in their apps to collect payments directly and cut out Apple and its 30% take of in-app purchases.
Apple’s stock slid more than 3% on the news Friday. But Wall Street analysts and longtime Apple followers believe that the financial impact on the company will be limited.
Developers will only be able to link, and will not be permitted to build their own alternative payments mechanism into their apps, a person familiar with Apple’s thinking said. That limits the effect as Apple’s in-app payments will still be easier for a consumer than putting their credit card into a website.
JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee said the ruling did not change the bank’s outlook for Apple’s services or app store businesses, noting that the decision did not recommend changes to Apple’s 30% take, and that it merely kicks off the first stage of a multistep process.
“Our view continues to be that consumers will leverage payment alternatives in the case of expensive subscriptions and in-app purchases, limiting headwinds for App Store revenues and earnings from what is an otherwise very broad base of applications,” Chatterjee wrote.
Loup Ventures founder and longtime Apple analyst Gene Munster told CNBC’s Josh Lipton that the worst-case scenario for Apple could decrease Apple’s earnings by 4% over the next year, but more likely, the effect would be closer to a 1% decrease.
“The two silver linings for investors: First, 12-18 months after the changes are implemented growth rates will return to normal,” Munster tweeted. “Second, Apple’s long-term potential is not impacted by the change.”
Apple sees the verdict as a win because it did not challenge Apple’s right to determine which software is permitted on its store, and because it did not find Apple is a monopoly under federal or state law.
“We are very pleased with the court’s ruling and we consider this a huge win for Apple,” Apple General Counsel Kate Adams said in a statement.
But investors closely watch Apple’s services business, which has grown strongly for the past few years, and includes revenue from Apple’s App Store sales in addition to online subscriptions, search licensing revenue from Google and AppleCare warranties.
Services accounts for about 20% of Apple’s revenue, but it is a profit engine for Apple, with significantly higher margins than its hardware business. Apple reported $53.77 billion in services sales in its fiscal 2020 at a 66% gross margin, much higher than the 31.5% margin for Apple’s hardware business.
Apple doesn’t break down how much of its services sales come from the App Store, but it’s a big component. Apple’s App Store grossed more than $64 billion in 2020, according to a CNBC analysis. Sensor Tower, an app analytics firm, places the number slightly higher, at $72 billion.
Worldwide, Apple grossed $47.6 billion from mobile games, collecting fees of about $14.3 billion, according to Sensor Tower statistics provided to CNBC.
The judge’s ruling on Friday highlighted how much of Apple’s App Store revenue comes from games and in particular, big spenders. Rogers said in Friday’s ruling she believed Apple’s fully burdened margin on the App Store was over 72%, based on Apple documents.
Gaming app stocks soared on Friday’s news. Shares of AppLovin, Zynga, Playtika and Roblox climbed on hopes that those gaming companies can reduce costs by directing users to their own payments, bypassing Apple’s cut.
Epic Games is a private company and its CEO Tim Sweeney said in a statement that Friday’s ruling wasn’t a win. Epic wants to be permitted to offer its own app store on iPhones.
As the clean energy economy expands, finding the minerals and metals that power it becomes increasingly critical. The answer might lie with artificial intelligence.
Electric cars, solar panels and hydrogen fuel cells all have one thing in common: the need for precious metals.
Historically, that’s required going through the arduous process of finding the metals and then getting them out of the ground. But new technologies from a slew of companies might be changing the game.
Kobold Metals, VerAI and a startup called Earth AI are in a race to get the metals to market as soon as possible. Earth AI combines AI-powered mineral discovery software with proprietary drilling technology. Its data goes back 50 years.
“We train our AI to learn from failures and successes of decades of hundreds of geologists that explored in the past to make much better predictions for where to look for metals in the future,” said Roman Teslyuk, CEO of Earth AI.
When the system finds what it thinks are metal deposits, Earth AI can drill down to verify it in just a tennis ball-sized hole. Teslyuk said that using this mining process takes half the cost and a fraction of the amount of time that was previously required. Individual annual mine revenues can range from $50 million to $3 billion, according to Mining Data Online.
“We drill down to 2,000 feet and grab a sample of rock that has never seen light, and the metals in that rock, they can build hundreds of millions of electric cars,” Teslyuk said. “They can turn our grid renewable. This rock can get us off hydrocarbons.”
Earth AI doesn’t explore around existing mines, but finds new areas and then sells that information to mining companies.
“The market for these minerals is massive,” said Jamie Lee, managing partner at Tamarack Global, an investor in Earth AI. “The way that they have approached this really caught our attention because there’s a there is a significant moat in their business model and the way that they’ve trained their large language model.”
Other investors include Y Combinator, Cantos Ventures, Scrum Ventures, Alpaca, Sparkwave Capital and Overmatch. The company has raised a total of $38 million.
Earth AI explores on its own, as well as with partners to find deposits faster. The company recently discovered one of the largest verified deposits of palladium in Australia using AI as part of a joint venture with Legacy Minerals.
CNBC Producer Lisa Rizzolo contributed to this piece.
The Robinhood logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen against a computer screen displaying stock market graphs on Oct. 10, 2024.
Dominika Zarzycka | Nurphoto | Getty Images
The Securities and Exchange Commission is dropping its investigation into Robinhood’s crypto arm, the company revealed Monday.
Robinhood said it received a letter from the SEC’s enforcement division on Friday, detailing in a blog post that the agency has closed its investigation into the crypto business with no intention of moving forward with an enforcement action. The news comes three days after Coinbase similarly announced that the SEC has agreed to end its enforcement case against it.
Shares of Robinhood initially rose on the news but were last lower by about 2% amid a broader pullback in stocks from the day’s highs.
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Shares of Robinhood initially rose on the news but pulled back with the broader market.
In May 2024, Robinhood received a notice warning that it could be charged for potential violation of securities law within its crypto unit after previously being subpoenaed for its cryptocurrency listings, custody and platform operations – despite “years of good faith attempts to work with the SEC for regulatory clarity including our well-known attempt to ‘come in and register,'” Dan Gallagher, the company’s chief legal, compliance and corporate affairs officer, said at the time.
“Robinhood Crypto always has and will always respect federal securities laws and never allowed transactions in securities,” he said in a statement Monday. “We appreciate the formal closing of this investigation, and we are happy to see a return to the rule of law and commitment to fairness at the SEC.”
An SEC spokesperson declined to comment for this story.
The SEC’s dismissal of the Robinhood and Coinbase cases is an early sign of the regulatory sea change for the crypto industry promised by President Donald Trump during his election campaign. Despite the meteoric rise of the price of bitcoin under the previous administration, many crypto businesses saw it as low point due to the SEC’s notorious regulation-by-enforcement approach to crypto – as opposed to the creation of clear rules by which to operate – under the leadership of then Chair Gary Gensler.
Yuval Bachar knows data centers. He’s worked on them for Meta, Microsoft and Cisco, but now, his startup is looking to help Silicon Valley run data centers with lower carbon dioxide emissions.
ECL, Bachar’s startup, builds hydrogen-powered data centers.
Hydrogen is a novel energy source for data centers that is more eco-friendly, and more importantly for tech companies that need to quickly expand their infrastructure, data centers running on hydrogen can be placed into service in half the time that it takes to construct data centers that connect to the grid, Bachar said.
There’s one of these hydrogen-powered data centers, with a measly 1-megawatt capacity, next to ECL’s headquarters in Mountain View, California. Twice a month, a diesel truck hauls in hydrogen in a tank from Southern California or northern Nevada. The hydrogen mainly derives from natural gas, which is the top energy source for electricity in the U.S.
Bachar and others developing technologies that can fuel data centers with minimal emissions discuss their work in a new CNBC documentary, which you can watch above.
Since OpenAI released ChatGPT in 2022, Amazon, Google, Microsoft and other companies have been racing to open data centers that can handle generative artificial intelligence. These buildings are typically filled with power-hungry Nvidia graphics processing units. GPUs are the standard for training and running large language models that produce impressive chunks of text with a few words of human input. Executives across industries have seen what ChatGPT can do, and now they want to infuse generative AI into their products and internal operations, sometimes with hopes of boosting productivity.
If your data center doesn’t have enough power for GPUs today, then executives will look elsewhere. Bachar knows that. It’s a big part of his pitch.
He likes to say that utilities in some places, such as California and Virginia, can’t help you right now if you want a lot of power for a data center. OpenAI’s Sam Altman has invested hundreds of millions in nuclear startups, but they won’t be ready to deliver energy for years, Bachar said.
After establishing ECL in 2021, Bachar has signed up two paying customers, with several other organizations that have placed orders for future delivery.
“It’s the Microsofts, Facebooks, Amazons and Googles of the world … which require all of this technology to be placed somewhere, and right now, somewhere is nowhere,” said Bachar, explaining that traditional data centers in the U.S. can’t be easily repurposed to work with AI.
ECL has plans to operate its sites efficiently, but as of now, it’s tiny, with 10 employees and 18 contractors. That’s much smaller than Altman’s nuclear fusion investment, Helion, and the fission startup he backed, Oklo. Together the two employ nearly 600 people, representatives said.
Microsoft has committed to working with Helion, and the software company also signed a power purchase agreement in September to restart a nuclear reactor at Pennsylvania’s Three Mile Island that shut down in 2019.
Nuclear installations inherently prompt questions about safety and the handling of waste, but their carbon-free status makes them attractive. Amazon, Google and Oracle have all explored small modular reactors with lower capacity than the ones at Three Mile Island.
Last Energy Founder and CEO Bret Kugelmass shows CNBC a full-scale prototype of the start-up’s small modular reactor in Washington, DC, on January 8, 2025.
Magdalena Petrova
Thebig tech companies are carefully watching their emissions in the AI age.
By 2030, Google wants to have net-zero emissions while Microsoft’s goal is to be carbon negative by that year. Amazon has pledged to reach net-zero carbon by 2040.
“We’re working with major tech companies, as well as various industrial players, to help them integrate our plug and play solution for on-site power generation into data centers,” said Bret Kugelmass, founder and CEO of Last Energy, a Washington startup working on small modular reactors.
Bachar is fascinated with nuclear energy, but he said getting more of those facilities online will take time.
“We have a problem that we have to solve right now,” he said.
In addition to his nuclear investments, OpenAI’s Altman has bet on solar startup Exowatt. It has partners developing data centers that are consuming more than half of the energy available in their states in some locations, co-founder and CEO Hannan Happi said.
Geothermal energy has also garnered fresh interest in the modern AI era, with Google collaborating with startup Fervo Energy in Nevada. Tim Latimer, the startup’s CEO, said Fervo has found a way to generate gigawatts of electricity in a single place by drilling horizontal holes underground, rather than the traditional vertical way.
Gigawatts are a serious quantity, but drilling holes for geothermal plants can be expensive, said Adrian Cockcroft, a former Amazon sustainability executive.
ECL intends to build a large-scale, 1-gigawatt data center in Texas over the next four years, with the help of hydrogen pipelines. It will probably take that long to move to zero-carbon green hydrogen using electrolyzers that convert water into hydrogen and oxygen, Bachar said.
But generating green hydrogen through electrolysis isn’t cheap, said Kittu Kolluri, managing director of Neotribe Ventures.
The price of green hydrogen is to be determined, especially now that Donald Trump is U.S. president again, Bachar said.
Still, every gigawatt matters.
In 2028, U.S. data center demand could come in between 74 gigawatts and 132 gigawatts, according to a December report from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Data centers might account for 6.7% to 12% of total U.S. energy consumption in 2028, up from 4.4% in 2023, the report said.
“The concern we have is can we grow fast enough to address the unprecedented demand for AI data centers,” Bachar said.