A 12% rise in the energy price cap has taken effect amid warnings further increases are inevitable in the months ahead as wholesale costs surge in a time of “chaos” for the wider economy.
Labour, which has claimed a “winter of discontent” looms, accused the government of complacency over “the fuel crisis, energy costs crisis, and supply chain crisis” – factors all being blamed for adding to consumer and business costs.
The price cap shift will affect more than 15 million households stuck on so-called default tariffs – price plans for gas and electricity provision that are automatically charged to those who fail to switch or select fixed-rate deals.
The cap is rising by £139 to £1,277 while prepayment customers will see an increase of £153 to £1,309.
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Ofgem, the industry regulator which is charged with making the cap fair for suppliers and customers alike, said at the time of its price cap review in August that the hike reflected a 50% increase in wholesale energy costs over the past six months.
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However, industry experts have warned that another leap is likely to be imposed from April – when the next review is due to take effect – as wholesale gas costs for next-month delivery have only accelerated.
Figures from industry analytics firm ICIS this week showed an increase of more than 600% over 12 months.
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Contracts for delivery in March are currently at levels just below those for November.
The rocketing sums prompted senior economist at the Resolution Foundation, Jonny Marshall, to declare that “another big rise” in the price cap lay ahead.
“There is little respite in sight for energy bills going up and up and up,” he told Sky News.
The unprecedented and staggering pace of the increases as the weather turns have been blamed for the deluge of small energy company failures – 10 of them last month alone – as their business models leave them at the mercy of near-term price spikes.
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Ofgem: Soaring prices could be here to stay
The reasons for the record price levels are many and complex but can be largely put down to global supply issues as economies get back in gear following COVID-19 disruption.
A cold end to last winter in Europe left gas stocks lower than usual and competition for raw energy more widely has intensified globally with China, the world’s second-largest economy, experiencing blackouts.
In the UK, a lack of wind generation and even a fire in Kent last month have been blamed as contributing factors.
Image: The electricity interconnector fire at Sellindge in Kent last month will keep it out of action for six months
The spike in power prices has forced attention on the impact on households amid warnings that higher energy bills will combine with the loss of government aid packages to leave millions of families facing hardship.
Data from the campaign group End Fuel Poverty Coalition suggested the rise in the price cap alone would see the numbers in fuel poverty in England rise to an estimated 4.1 million.
Image: The 10 local authorities worst affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
Image: The 10 local authorities least affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
Its research identified Barking & Dagenham, Stoke-on-Trent, Newham, Shropshire, Herefordshire and King’s Lynn and West Norfolk as fuel poverty “coldspots”.
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Building resiliency into the UK energy market
A report by Citizens Advice on Thursday said the poorest households could lose £37.40 a week as energy company failures coincided with the end of the pandemic-driven £20 Universal Credit uplift and furlough scheme.
Consumer groups say the best way for energy customers to protect themselves from rising gas and electricity bills is to review their tariff and shop around but, given the scale of the wholesale price increases, some admit the price cap could prove the best defence in the short term as suppliers are forced to pay record sums in the current market.
The ability to afford the cost of a break or evening out is also shrinking as a temporary cut in VAT to help hospitality and tourism businesses recover from the pandemic has been partly withdrawn – rising from 5% to 12.5%.
All this as the economy battles a record worker shortage in the wake of Brexit with the 100,000 shortfall in HGV drivers raising costs in the supply chain and contributing to the current fuel delivery crisis that has seen many forecourts sucked dry by panic-buyers.
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Fuel crisis ‘is back under control’ says government
The Bank of England expects the rate of inflation to surge from its current level of 3.2% to beyond 4% by the end of the year – with governor Andrew Bailey admitting this week that the economy faced “hard yards” ahead.
Critics of the government have accused ministers of sleepwalking into the price crisis and demanded more intervention.
Labour declared that the new £500m household support fund for England, revealed on Thursday, was a “temporary and inadequate sticking plaster” as families grapple challenges on many fronts.
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Ministers have been warned they have just 10 days to sort out supply chain issues or face ruining Christmas for millions.
Shadow business secretary Ed Miliband said: “We are in desperate need of leadership to contain this chaos.
“It is Conservative complacency that has led to the fuel crisis, energy costs crisis, and supply chain crisis our country is experiencing, with ministers ignoring warnings from businesses and failing to plan ahead.”
He added: “Ministers are blaming the public and failing to acknowledge the scale of the problem.
“We need to make Brexit work, and that starts with addressing the huge shortfall of HGV drivers that is causing mayhem in our supply chains.”
A spokesperson from the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy said: “The energy price cap is shielding millions of customers from rising global gas prices. Even with today’s planned increase, the cap still saves households up to £100 a year and is in addition to wider support for vulnerable, elderly and low-income households.
“Earlier this week we announced a new £500m Household Support Fund which will help those in greatest need with the cost of essentials over the coming months – and families will continue to benefit from Winter Fuel Payments, Cold Weather Payments and the Warm Home Discount, which is being increased to £150 and extended to cover an extra 750,000 households.”
Mr Stuart said banks were spending “enormous” sums of hundreds of millions of pounds on IT systems – the biggest expense in their businesses.
“Cybersecurity is now very much at the top of our agenda,” he added.
Image: Ian Stuart, chief executive of HSBC UK, appearing before the Treasury Committee. Pic: PA
Concerns were also highlighted by Lloyds Bank chief executive Charlie Nunn, who said financial fraud will get worse if banks cannot intervene to prevent it and social media and telecoms companies are not incentivised to halt it.
Mr Nunn said the UK “has become the home of fraud”, adding that the number of victims is “pretty disturbing” and “individual cases are harrowing”.
Major high street businesses, including M&S and the Co-op, have been hit by cyber attacks in recent weeks and had their operations impacted.
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Cybersecurity threats, however, were not behind the several-day outage at Barclays at the end of January, its UK chief executive Vim Maru said.
He added: “We’ve learned the lessons. We’re acting on the lessons, both work done internally, but also with help from third parties as well.
The steel tycoon Sanjeev Gupta is mounting a last-ditch bid to salvage his British operations after seeing an emergency plea for government support rejected.
Sky News has learnt that Mr Gupta’s Liberty Speciality Steels UK (SSUK) arm is seeking to adjourn a winding-up petition scheduled to be heard in court on Wednesday.
The petition is reported to have been brought by Harsco Metals Group, a supplier of materials and labour to SSUK, and is said to be supported by other trade creditors.
Unless the adjournment is granted, Mr Gupta faces the prospect of seeing SSUK forced into compulsory liquidation.
That would raise questions over the future of roughly 1,450 more steel industry jobs, weeks after the government stepped in to rescue the larger British Steel amid a row with its Chinese owner over the future of its Scunthorpe steelworks.
If Mr Gupta’s operations do enter compulsory liquidation, the Official Receiver would appoint a special manager to run the operations while a buyer is sought.
A Whitehall insider said talks had taken place in recent days involving Mr Gupta’s executives and the Insolvency Service.
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Steel industry sources said the government could conceivably be interested in reuniting the Rotherham plant of SSUK with British Steel’s Scunthorpe site because of the industrial synergies between them, although it was unclear whether any such discussions had been held.
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Mr Gupta is said to have explored whether he could persuade the government to step in and support SSUK using the legislation enacted last month to take control of British Steel’s operations.
Whitehall insiders said, however, that Mr Gupta’s overtures had been rebuffed.
He had previously sought government aid during the pandemic but that plea was also rejected by ministers.
The SSUK division operates across sites including at Rotherham in south Yorkshire and Bolton in Lancashire.
It makes highly engineered steel products for use in sectors such as aerospace, automotive and oil and gas.
A restructuring plan due to be launched last week was abandoned at the eleventh hour after failing to secure support from creditors of Greensill, the collapsed supply chain finance provider to which Mr Gupta was closely tied.
Under that plan, creditors, including HM Revenue and Customs, would have been forced to write off a significant chunk of the money they are owed.
The company said last week that it had invested nearly £200m in the last five years into the UK steel industry, but had faced “significant challenges due to soaring energy costs and an over-reliance on cheap imports, negatively impacting the performance of all UK steel companies”.
It adds: The court’s ability to sanction the plan depended on finalisation of an agreement with creditors.
“This has not proved possible in an acceptable timeframe, and so Liberty has decided to withdraw the plan ahead of the sanction hearing on May 15 and will now quickly consider alternative options.”
One source close to Liberty Steel acknowledged that it was running out of time to salvage the business.
They said, however, that an adjournment of Wednesday’s hearing to consider the winding-up petition could yet buy the company sufficient breathing space to stitch together an alternative rescue deal.
A Liberty Steel spokesperson said on Tuesday: “Discussions continue with creditors.
“Liberty understands the concern this will create for Speciality Steel UK colleagues and remains committed to doing all it can to maintain the Speciality Steel UK business.”
The Insolvency Service and the Department for Business and Trade have also been contacted for comment.
The publisher of the Daily Mail has held talks in recent days about taking a minority stake in the Telegraph newspapers as part of a deal to end the two-year impasse over their ownership.
Sky News has learnt that Lord Rothermere, who controls Daily Mail & General Trust (DMGT), was in detailed negotiations late last week which would have seen him taking a 9.9% stake in the Telegraph titles.
It was unclear on Monday whether the talks were still live or whether they would result in a deal, with one adviser suggesting that the discussions may have faltered.
One insider said that if DMGT did acquire a stake in the Telegraph, the transaction would be used as a platform to explore the sharing of costs across the two companies.
They would, however, remain editorially independent.
Sources said that RedBird and IMI, whose joint venture owns a call option to convert debt secured against the Telegraph into equity, were hoping to announce a deal for the future ownership of the media group this week, potentially on Thursday.
However, the insider suggested that a transaction could yet be struck without any involvement from DMGT.
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The progress in the talks to seal new ownership for the right-leaning titles comes days after the government said it would allow foreign state investors to hold stakes of up to 15% in British national newspapers.
That would pave the way for Abu Dhabi royal family-controlled IMI to own 15% of the Daily and Sunday Telegraph – a prospect which has sparked outrage from critics including the former Spectator editor Fraser Nelson.
The decision to set the ownership threshold at 15% follows an intensive lobbying campaign by newspaper industry executives concerned that a permanent outright ban could cut off a vital source of funding to an already-embattled industry.
RedBird Capital, the US-based fund, has already said it is exploring the possibility of taking full control of the Telegraph, while IMI would have – if the status quo had been maintained – been forced to relinquish any involvement in the right-leaning broadsheets.
Other than RedBird, a number of suitors for the Telegraph have expressed interest but struggled to raise the funding for a deal.
The most notable of these has been Dovid Efune, owner of The New York Sun, who has been trying for months to raise the £550m sought by RedBird IMI to recoup its outlay.
On Sunday, the Financial Times reported that Mr Efune has secured backing from Jeremy Hosking, the prominent City investor.
Another potential offer from Todd Boehly, the Chelsea Football Club co-owner, and media tycoon David Montgomery, has failed to materialise.
RedBird IMI paid £600m in 2023 to acquire a call option that was intended to convert into ownership of the Telegraph newspapers and The Spectator magazine.
That objective was thwarted by a change in media ownership laws – which banned any form of foreign state ownership – amid an outcry from parliamentarians.
The Spectator was then sold last year for £100m to Sir Paul Marshall, the hedge fund billionaire, who has installed Lord Gove, the former cabinet minister, as its editor.
The UAE-based IMI, which is controlled by the UAE’s deputy prime minister and ultimate owner of Manchester City Football Club, Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, extended a further £600m to the Barclays to pay off a loan owed to Lloyds Banking Group, with the balance secured against other family-controlled assets.
Other bidders for the Telegraph had included Lord Saatchi, the former advertising mogul, who offered £350m, while Lord Rothermere, the Daily Mail proprietor, pulled out of the bidding for control of his rival’s titles last summer amid concerns that he would be blocked on competition grounds.
The Telegraph’s ownership had been left in limbo by a decision taken by Lloyds Banking Group, the principal lender to the Barclay family, to force some of the newspapers’ related corporate entities into a form of insolvency proceedings.