A 12% rise in the energy price cap has taken effect amid warnings further increases are inevitable in the months ahead as wholesale costs surge in a time of “chaos” for the wider economy.
Labour, which has claimed a “winter of discontent” looms, accused the government of complacency over “the fuel crisis, energy costs crisis, and supply chain crisis” – factors all being blamed for adding to consumer and business costs.
The price cap shift will affect more than 15 million households stuck on so-called default tariffs – price plans for gas and electricity provision that are automatically charged to those who fail to switch or select fixed-rate deals.
The cap is rising by £139 to £1,277 while prepayment customers will see an increase of £153 to £1,309.
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Your energy bills might shoot up – here’s what to do
Ofgem, the industry regulator which is charged with making the cap fair for suppliers and customers alike, said at the time of its price cap review in August that the hike reflected a 50% increase in wholesale energy costs over the past six months.
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However, industry experts have warned that another leap is likely to be imposed from April – when the next review is due to take effect – as wholesale gas costs for next-month delivery have only accelerated.
Figures from industry analytics firm ICIS this week showed an increase of more than 600% over 12 months.
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Contracts for delivery in March are currently at levels just below those for November.
The rocketing sums prompted senior economist at the Resolution Foundation, Jonny Marshall, to declare that “another big rise” in the price cap lay ahead.
“There is little respite in sight for energy bills going up and up and up,” he told Sky News.
The unprecedented and staggering pace of the increases as the weather turns have been blamed for the deluge of small energy company failures – 10 of them last month alone – as their business models leave them at the mercy of near-term price spikes.
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Ofgem: Soaring prices could be here to stay
The reasons for the record price levels are many and complex but can be largely put down to global supply issues as economies get back in gear following COVID-19 disruption.
A cold end to last winter in Europe left gas stocks lower than usual and competition for raw energy more widely has intensified globally with China, the world’s second-largest economy, experiencing blackouts.
In the UK, a lack of wind generation and even a fire in Kent last month have been blamed as contributing factors.
Image: The electricity interconnector fire at Sellindge in Kent last month will keep it out of action for six months
The spike in power prices has forced attention on the impact on households amid warnings that higher energy bills will combine with the loss of government aid packages to leave millions of families facing hardship.
Data from the campaign group End Fuel Poverty Coalition suggested the rise in the price cap alone would see the numbers in fuel poverty in England rise to an estimated 4.1 million.
Image: The 10 local authorities worst affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
Image: The 10 local authorities least affected by fuel poverty. Source: End Fuel Poverty Coalition Index
Its research identified Barking & Dagenham, Stoke-on-Trent, Newham, Shropshire, Herefordshire and King’s Lynn and West Norfolk as fuel poverty “coldspots”.
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Building resiliency into the UK energy market
A report by Citizens Advice on Thursday said the poorest households could lose £37.40 a week as energy company failures coincided with the end of the pandemic-driven £20 Universal Credit uplift and furlough scheme.
Consumer groups say the best way for energy customers to protect themselves from rising gas and electricity bills is to review their tariff and shop around but, given the scale of the wholesale price increases, some admit the price cap could prove the best defence in the short term as suppliers are forced to pay record sums in the current market.
The ability to afford the cost of a break or evening out is also shrinking as a temporary cut in VAT to help hospitality and tourism businesses recover from the pandemic has been partly withdrawn – rising from 5% to 12.5%.
All this as the economy battles a record worker shortage in the wake of Brexit with the 100,000 shortfall in HGV drivers raising costs in the supply chain and contributing to the current fuel delivery crisis that has seen many forecourts sucked dry by panic-buyers.
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Fuel crisis ‘is back under control’ says government
The Bank of England expects the rate of inflation to surge from its current level of 3.2% to beyond 4% by the end of the year – with governor Andrew Bailey admitting this week that the economy faced “hard yards” ahead.
Critics of the government have accused ministers of sleepwalking into the price crisis and demanded more intervention.
Labour declared that the new £500m household support fund for England, revealed on Thursday, was a “temporary and inadequate sticking plaster” as families grapple challenges on many fronts.
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Ministers have been warned they have just 10 days to sort out supply chain issues or face ruining Christmas for millions.
Shadow business secretary Ed Miliband said: “We are in desperate need of leadership to contain this chaos.
“It is Conservative complacency that has led to the fuel crisis, energy costs crisis, and supply chain crisis our country is experiencing, with ministers ignoring warnings from businesses and failing to plan ahead.”
He added: “Ministers are blaming the public and failing to acknowledge the scale of the problem.
“We need to make Brexit work, and that starts with addressing the huge shortfall of HGV drivers that is causing mayhem in our supply chains.”
A spokesperson from the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy said: “The energy price cap is shielding millions of customers from rising global gas prices. Even with today’s planned increase, the cap still saves households up to £100 a year and is in addition to wider support for vulnerable, elderly and low-income households.
“Earlier this week we announced a new £500m Household Support Fund which will help those in greatest need with the cost of essentials over the coming months – and families will continue to benefit from Winter Fuel Payments, Cold Weather Payments and the Warm Home Discount, which is being increased to £150 and extended to cover an extra 750,000 households.”
Shares in The Magnum Ice Cream Company (TMICC) have fallen slightly on debut after the completion of its spin-off from Unilever amid a continuing civil war with one of its best-known brands.
Shares in the Netherlands-based company are trading for the first time following the demerger.
It creates the world’s biggest ice cream company, controlling around one fifth of the global market.
Primary Magnum shares, in Amsterdam, opened at €12.20 – down on the €12.80 reference price set by the EuroNext exchange, though they later settled just above that level, implying a market value of €7.9bn – just below £7bn.
The company is also listed in London and New York.
Unilever stock was down 3.1% on the FTSE 100 in the wake of the spin off.
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The demerger allows London-headquartered Unilever to concentrate on its wider stable of consumer brands, including Marmite, Dove soap and Domestos.
The decision to hive off the ice cream division, made in early 2024, gives a greater focus on a market that is tipped to grow by up to 4% each year until 2029.
Image: Ben & Jerry’s accounts for a greater volume of group revenue now under TMICC. Pic: Reuters
But it has been dogged by a long-running spat with the co-founders of Ben & Jerry’s, which now falls under the TMICC umbrella and accounts for 14% of group revenue.
Unilever bought the US brand in 2000, but the relationship has been sour since, despite the creation of an independent board at that time aimed at protecting the brand’s social mission.
The most high-profile spat came in 2021 when Ben & Jerry’s took the decision not to sell ice cream in Israeli-occupied Palestinian territories on the grounds that sales would be “inconsistent” with its values.
A series of rows have followed akin to a tug of war, with Magnum refusing repeated demands by the co-founders of Ben & Jerry’s to sell the brand back.
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Sept: ‘Free Ben & Jerry’s’
Magnum and Unilever argue its mission has strayed beyond what was acceptable back in 2000, with the brand evolving into one-sided advocacy on polarising topics that risk reputational and business damage.
TMICC is currently trying to remove the chair of Ben & Jerry’s independent board.
It said last month that Anuradha Mittal “no longer meets the criteria” to serve after internal investigations.
An audit of the separate Ben & Jerry’s Foundation, where she is also a trustee, found deficiencies in financial controls and governance. Magnum said the charitable arm risked having funding removed unless the alleged problems were addressed.
The Reuters news agency has since reported that Ms Mittal has no plans to quit her roles, and accused Magnum of attempts to “discredit” her and undermine the authority of the independent board.
Magnum boss Peter ter Kulve said on Monday: “Today is a proud milestone for everyone associated with TMICC. We became the global leader in ice cream as part of the Unilever family. Now, as an independent listed company, we will be more agile, more focused, and more ambitious than ever.”
Commenting on the demerger, Hargreaves Lansdown equity analyst Aarin Chiekrie said: “TMICC is already free cash flow positive, and profitable in its own right. The balance sheet is in decent shape, but dividends are off the cards until 2027 as the group finds its footing as a standalone business.
“That could cause some downward pressure on the share price in the near term, as dividend-focussed investment funds that hold Unilever will be handed TMICC shares, the latter of which they may be forced to sell to abide by their investment mandate.”
Donald Trump has said he will be “involved” in the decision on whether Netflix should be allowed to buy Warner Bros, as the $72bn (£54bn) deal attracts a media industry backlash.
The US president acknowledged in remarks to reporters there “could be a problem”, acknowledging concerns over the streaming giant’s market dominance.
Crucially, he did not say where he stood on the issue.
It was revealed on Friday that Netflix, already the world’s biggest streaming service by market share, had agreed to buy Warner Bros Discovery’s TV, film studios and HBO Max streaming division.
The deal aims to complete late next year after the Discovery element of the business, mainly legacy TV channels showing cartoons, news and sport, has been spun off.
But the deal has attracted cross-party criticism on competition grounds, and there is also opposition in Hollywood.
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3:06
Netflix agrees $72bn takeover of Warner Bros
The Writers Guild of America said: “The world’s largest streaming company swallowing one of its biggest competitors is what antitrust laws were designed to prevent.
“The outcome would eliminate jobs, push down wages, worsen conditions for all entertainment workers, raise prices for consumers, and reduce the volume and diversity of content for all viewers.”
Image: File pic: Reuters
Republican Senator, Roger Marshall, said in a statement: “Netflix’s attempt to buy Warner Bros would be the largest media takeover in history – and it raises serious red flags for consumers, creators, movie theaters, and local businesses alike.
“One company should not have full vertical control of the content and the distribution pipeline that delivers it. And combining two of the largest streaming platforms is a textbook horizontal Antitrust problem.
“Prices, choice, and creative freedom are at stake. Regulators need to take a hard look at this deal, and realize how harmful it would be for consumers and Western society.”
Paramount Skydance and Comcast, the parent company of Sky News, were two other bidders in the auction process that preceded the announcement.
The Reuters news agency, citing information from sources, said their bids were rejected in favour of Netflix for different reasons.
Paramount’s was seen as having funding concerns, they said, while Comcast’s was deemed not to offer so many earlier benefits.
Paramount is run by David Ellison, the son of the Oracle tech billionaire Larry Ellison, who is a close ally of Mr Trump.
The president said of the Netflix deal’s path to regulatory clearance: “I’ll be involved in that decision”.
On the likely opposition to the deal. he added: “That’s going to be for some economists to tell. But it is a big market share. There’s no question it could be a problem.”
Young people could lose their right to universal credit if they refuse to engage with help from a new scheme without good reason, the government has warned.
Almost one million will gain from plans to get them off benefits and into the workforce, according to officials.
It comes as the number of young people not in employment, education or training (NEET) has risen by more than a quarter since the COVID pandemic, with around 940,000 16 to 24-year-olds considered as NEET as of September this year, said the Office for National Statistics.
That is an increase of 195,000 in the last two years, mainly driven by increasing sickness and disability rates.
The £820m package includes funding to create 350,000 new workplace opportunities, including training and work experience, which will be offered in industries including construction, hospitality and healthcare.
Around 900,000 people on universal credit will be given a “dedicated work support session”.
That will be followed by four weeks of “intensive support” to help them find work in one of up to six “pathways”, which are: work, work experience, apprenticeships, wider training, learning, or a workplace training programme with a guaranteed interview at the end.
However, Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden has warned that young people could lose some of their benefits if they refuse to engage with the scheme without good reason.
The government says these pathways will be delivered in coordination with employers, while government-backed guaranteed jobs will be provided for up to 55,000 young people from spring 2026, but only in those areas with the highest need.
However, shadow work and pensions secretary Helen Whately, from the Conservatives, said the scheme is “an admission the government has no plan for growth, no plan to create real jobs, and no way of measuring whether any of this money delivers results”.
She told Sky News the proposals are a “classic Labour approach” for tackling youth unemployment.
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7:57
Youth jobs plan ‘the wrong answer’
“What we’ve seen today announced by the government is funding the best part of £1bn on work placements, and government-created jobs for young people. That sounds all very well,” she told Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips.
“But the fact is, and that’s the absurdity of it is, just two weeks ago, we had a budget from the chancellor, which is expected to destroy 200,000 jobs.
“So the problem we have here is a government whose policies are destroying jobs, destroying opportunities for young people, now saying they’re going to spend taxpayers’ money on creating work placements. It’s just simply the wrong answer.”
Ms Whately also said the government needs to tackle people who are unmotivated to work at all, and agreed with Mr McFadden on taking away the right to universal credit if they refuse opportunities to work.
But she said the “main reason” young people are out of work is because “they’re moving on to sickness benefits”.
Ms Whately also pointed to the government’s diminished attempt to slash benefits earlier in the year, where planned welfare cuts were significantly scaled down after opposition from their own MPs.
The funding will also expand youth hubs to help provide advice on writing CVs or seeking training, and also provide housing and mental health support.
Some £34m from the funding will be used to launch a new “Risk of NEET indicator tool”, aimed at identifying those young people who need support before they leave education and become unemployed.
Monitoring of attendance in further education will be bolstered, and automatic enrolment in further education will also be piloted for young people without a place.