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Taiwan’s defence minister has warned that China will be capable of mounting a “full-scale” invasion of the island by 2025.

Chiu Kuo-cheng said on Wednesday that the relationship between the two countries is the worst it has been in more than four decades.

Mr Chiu said there was the risk of a “misfire” across the Taiwan Strait, adding: “For me as a military man, the urgency is right in front of me”.

“By 2025, China will bring the cost and attrition to its lowest.

“It has the capacity now, but it will not start a war easily, having to take many other things into consideration.”

It comes after Taiwan reported more than 150 Chinese aircraft entering its air defence zone during recent days in what Taipei has described as continuing harassment.

During China’s National Day on Friday, the People’s Liberation Army sent 38 warplanes into the area followed by 39 aircraft on Saturday and 16 on Sunday.

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Some 52 planes, including 34 J-16 fighter jets and 12 H-6 bombers, flew near the island on Monday, before four more Chinese J-16s flew toward the southwestern part of Taiwan’s air defence identification zone – a buffer outside a country’s airspace.

Taiwan's Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng speaks to politicians at the parliament in Taipei, Taiwan, March 25, 2021. REUTERS/Ann Wang
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Taiwan’s defence minister Chiu Kuo-cheng says the relationship with China has deteriorated

Taiwan believes itself to be an independent country but China claims the island and says it could be taken by force if necessary.

US President Joe Biden’s national security adviser Jake Sullivan will meet China’s top diplomat Yang Jiechi in Switzerland later today.

It will be the first meeting between the two since representatives from both countries met in Alaska in March.

Those talks turned sour after verbal clashes between US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Mr Yang, who is the Communist Party’s foreign affairs chief.

Mr Blinken had said China’s actions “threaten the rules-based order that maintains global stability” but Mr Yang criticised American democracy, its treatment of minorities, and its foreign and trade policies.

The US is Taiwan’s main military supplier and Beijing has previously criticised the US for selling weapons to Taiwan and for sending warships through the strait that separates the mainland from the island.

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US military says eight ‘narco-terrorists’ killed in strikes on three boats in Pacific

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US military says eight 'narco-terrorists' killed in strikes on three boats in Pacific

Eight people have been killed in US military strikes on three boats it has accused of smuggling drugs in the Pacific Ocean.

The US military’s Southern Command said the strikes targeted “designated terrorist organisations” killing three “narco-terrorists” in the first vessel, two in the second boat and three in the third.

No evidence the vessels were involved in drug trafficking has been given, but a video showing the strikes on the boats was posted on social media.

Southern Command added that defence secretary Pete Hegseth ordered the strikes, and claimed intelligence confirmed the vessels were using known drug trafficking routes and engaged in drug trafficking.

The US military said it carried out strikes in the Pacific Ocean on three boats it accused of trafficking drugs. Pic: X/@Southcom
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The US military said it carried out strikes in the Pacific Ocean on three boats it accused of trafficking drugs. Pic: X/@Southcom

One of the boats targeted during the strikes. Pic: X/@Southcom
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One of the boats targeted during the strikes. Pic: X/@Southcom

It is unclear where the vessels were from, but the strikes mark the latest in Donald Trump‘s “war” with drug cartels, which has also seen vessels targeted in the Caribbean Sea, including near Venezuela.

Over the past several months, the US has been carrying out a large-scale military build-up in the southern Caribbean, with the stated goal of combating drug trafficking.

In its first lethal strike on 2 September, the White House posted on X that it had conducted a strike against “narcoterrorists” shipping fentanyl to the US, without providing evidence of the alleged crime.

Sky’s Data & Forensics unit last week verified that in the four months up to 10 December, 23 boats were targeted in 22 strikes, killing 87 people.

US forces also seized a crude oil tanker, named Skipper, off the coast of Venezuela last week.

The government in Caracas, led by President Nicolas Maduro, who insists the real purpose of the US military operations is to force him out of office, branded the ship’s seizure a “blatant theft” and an “act of international piracy”.

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On Monday, Mr Trump signed an executive order declaring fentanyl a “weapon of mass destruction”.

The order instructs the State and Treasury departments to pursue the financial assets of and sanctions on financial institutions and groups involved in fentanyl trafficking.

It also calls for greater co-operation between the Pentagon and the Justice Department on fentanyl and drug trafficking issues.

The latest strikes on vessels allegedly trafficking drugs come on the eve of briefings on Capitol Hill for all members of Congress as questions mount over the Trump administration’s military actions.

Mr Hegseth, secretary of state Marco Rubio, and other top national security officials are expected to provide closed-door briefings for politicians in the House and Senate.

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Trump says he has asked Xi Jinping to free Briton Jimmy Lai

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Trump says he has asked Xi Jinping to free Briton Jimmy Lai

Donald Trump has asked his Chinese counterpart to release pro-democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai, who has been found guilty of national security offences in Hong Kong.

The US president said he felt “so badly” about the media tycoon and British citizen, 78, who was arrested in August 2020 after China imposed a national security law following massive anti-government protests in Hong Kong.

Lai, who had previously been sentenced for several lesser offences during his five years in prison, could now spend the rest of his life behind bars.

Jimmy Lai. Pic: Reuters
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Jimmy Lai. Pic: Reuters

Mr Trump said he had spoken to Xi Jinping about Lai’s case and asked for his release.

“I spoke to President Xi about it, and I asked to consider his release,” he said. “He’s not well, he’s an older man, and he’s not well, so I did put that request out. We’ll see what happens.”

It comes as UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper said China’s ambassador to the UK had been summoned over Lai’s conviction to underline the government’s position in the “strongest terms”.

Speaking in parliament, she repeated calls for Lai to be released and called the conviction “a politically motivated prosecution”.

People wait to enter the court building ahead of the verdict. Pic: AP
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People wait to enter the court building ahead of the verdict. Pic: AP

Ms Cooper made the remarks after Sir Keir Starmer’s spokesperson said Lai’s case has been a priority for the government and “we will continue to call for his immediate release”.

Earlier in the day, China’s ambassador to the UK, Zheng Zeguang, met with a senior official at the UK Foreign Office “to lodge solemn representations over the UK side’s statement that made irresponsible remarks on the Hong Kong High Court’s guilty verdict in the Jimmy Lai case”, China’s embassy said.

Explained: Who is Jimmy Lai?

Lai, who founded the now-defunct pro-democracy newspaper Apple Daily, was charged with two counts of conspiracy to commit collusion with foreign forces to endanger national security, as well as one count of conspiracy to distribute seditious publications. He was found guilty of all three charges.

Speaking after the verdict, Lai’s daughter Claire said if he were released he would devote himself to God and his family rather than political activism.

“He just wants to reunite with his family. He wants to dedicate his life to serving our Lord, and he wants to dedicate the rest of his days to his family,” Claire Lai told the Associated Press. “My father is fundamentally not a man who operates on illegal ground.”

Claire Lai. Pic: Reuters
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Claire Lai. Pic: Reuters

She said five years of solitary confinement has taken a toll on his health, and he has lost a significant amount of weight.

“He is a lot weaker and has only gotten weaker in the last year,” she said. “He has back pains and waist pains, his nails… when we visit, we can tell that they’re turning colours and falling off. Some of his teeth are rotting.”

He also has heart palpitations, is diabetic and his vision and hearing are failing, she added.

Hong Kong’s security chief, Chris Tang, said Lai has received “full medical services” and has never complained of the medical care he has been given.

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Jimmy Lai’s son: UK government must ‘do more’

‘You’ve got to keep fighting’

Meanwhile, her brother Sebastian Lai is lobbying the UK government for their father’s release.

“Regarding the United Kingdom, we talk about normalising relationships. Well, my father’s freedom should be a precondition to that,” he said.

Asked if he is optimistic international pressure can help, he said: “I think you’ve got to keep fighting no matter what. I think, taking my father’s example, standing up for what is right is why we’re doing it. This is my way of fighting for it.”

Hong Kong’s leader John Lee welcomed the verdict, saying: “He has harmed the fundamental interests of the country and the well-being of the people of Hong Kong; his actions are shameful and his intentions malicious.”

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European leaders back ‘multinational force’ to secure peace in Ukraine, as US commits to security guarantees

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European leaders back 'multinational force' to secure peace in Ukraine, as US commits to security guarantees

European leaders have called for a “multinational force” to secure Ukraine after any peace deal with Russia, as they struck an optimistic tone after talks in Berlin.

In a joint statement, they heralded “significant progress” – boosted by a new US commitment to provide unspecified security guarantees to Ukraine.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz described the guarantees by the US as “truly remarkable” and a “very important advancement”.

Adding to the positive mood music, Donald Trump said he believed “we are closer now than we have been ever” to agreeing a ceasefire for the deadliest conflict in Europe since the Second World War.

The comments round off two days of talks in Berlin between Ukrainian and US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and a separate meeting of European leaders in the German capital.

Another high-level meeting, this time of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group, will be held on Tuesday. The British defence secretary, John Healey, will attend.

Read more: UK’s ‘sons and daughters’ need to be ready to fight

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Siobhan Robbins: Change in mood music after US-Ukraine talks

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was not quite as cheery after Monday’s developments, called the talks on conceding territories to Russia “painful” and “very difficult”.

He told reporters in Berlin: “Frankly speaking, we still have different positions.”

Earlier, his security officials claimed to have dealt a lethal strike to a $400m (£299m) Russian submarine in the Black Sea – a claim that Russia rejected.

“The information from the Ukrainian special services about the alleged destruction of one of Russia’s submarines is not true”, said the Black Sea Fleet command.

Not a single ship or submarine of the Black Sea Fleet in the Novorossiysk base bay, nor their crews, were injured in the sabotage, the fleet command said.

Back in Berlin, European leaders issued a joint statement on behalf of the leaders of Germany, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Sweden, and the UK, as well as the presidents of the European Council and the European Commission.

European, US and Ukrainian officials convened in the chancellery in Berlin. Pic: AP
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European, US and Ukrainian officials convened in the chancellery in Berlin. Pic: AP

The document said the leaders “welcomed the close work between President Zelenskyy’s and President Trump’s teams, as well as European teams over the recent days and weeks”.

“They agreed to work together with President Trump and President Zelenskyy to get to a lasting peace, which preserves Ukrainian sovereignty and European security.

“Leaders appreciated the strong convergence between the United States, Ukraine and Europe.”

Outlining what they considered necessary security guarantees, the leaders said the “multinational force” should be made up of countries from the so-called Coalition of the Willing and “supported by the US”.

They also said they “strongly support” Ukraine joining the European Union, and that it should be able to maintain its armed forces at a level of 800,000.

“It will assist in the regeneration of Ukraine’s forces, in securing Ukraine’s skies, and in supporting safer seas, including through operating inside Ukraine.”

A US official said about 90% of issues between the warring parties had been resolved and that they believed Russia would be open to Ukraine joining the European Union, and to the security guarantees in the deal.

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