The Co-operative Bank has made an audacious approach about a merger with TSB in a move that could trigger a fresh wave of consolidation among Britain’s mid-sized lenders.
Sky News has learnt that the Co-operative Bank contacted TSB’s Spanish owner, Banco Sabadell, earlier this month to gauge its appetite for a deal.
Image: TSB’s Spanish owner has been approached about a sale of the UK lender.
It is understood to have said that it would be willing to pay in excess of £1bn for TSB.
City sources said this weekend that Sabadell had indicated that it was not keen to enter into formal discussions at this stage about a merger of what by some measures are the UK’s seventh-largest and eight-largest banks.
If it did materialise, a tie-up between two of the best-known brands in the sector would create a high street lender with more than 8m customers encompassing mortgages, current accounts, credit cards and savings products.
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That would make the combined business larger by customer numbers than Virgin Money, which has approximately 6.5m customers, although it would be smaller than Virgin Money as measured by the size of its loan-book.
It would also remain far smaller than Lloyds Banking Group, NatWest Group, Barclays, HSBC Holdings and Santander UK in terms of market share and high street presence.
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Nevertheless, the Co-operative Bank’s approach for TSB was described this weekend by one industry executive not connected to the prospective deal as a logical move.
The profitability of UK retail banks has been hampered since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, with interest rates at historic lows for more than a decade.
Analysts have for years forecast a wave of corporate activity that would see mid-sized banks bulk up, although the combination of OneSavings Bank with Charter Court Financial Services and Virgin Money’s tie-up with CYBG have proved to be exceptions.
This week, a takeover of Sainsbury’s Bank by Centerbridge Partners, the US-based investor, fell apart after the supermarket group concluded that it would not deliver value to shareholders.
If the Co-operative Bank did succeed with a formal bid for TSB, it would be a deal laden with corporate irony.
In 2013, the Co-operative Bank’s bid to acquire the branch network which became TSB was left in ruins when the scale of its own financial crisis emerged.
The Co-operative Bank, which at the time was majority-owned by the Co-op Group, one of the UK’s biggest mutuals, was forced to turn to a group of American hedge funds in a £1.5bn rescue deal.
Its former chairman, Paul Flowers, was left humiliated by tabloid revelations about his private life that led to him being dubbed ‘the crystal methodist’, and prompted an overhaul of its leadership and ownership structure.
The ensuing eight years brought further turbulence for both the Co-operative Bank and TSB, however, with the former reliant on another bailout by investors in 2017.
TSB, meanwhile, was plunged into a storm of its own the following year when an IT systems calamity left millions of customers locked out of their accounts for days.
The incident came three years after Sabadell bought TSB from public investors and Lloyds Banking Group, its former parent.
TSB’s future has been the subject of intense speculation since last year when its Spanish owner signalled that it would be open to a sale.
The odds on a short-term deal diminished in the spring, however, when Sabadell indicated that it would delay an auction process.
News of the Co-operative Bank’s unsolicited approach to Sabadell is likely to trigger interest from other suitors for TSB, which operates nearly 300 branches.
It comes just weeks after TSB confirmed the appointment of Nick Prettejohn, a City veteran, as its new chairman.
The Co-operative Bank’s ability to propose a transaction of this scale underlines its recent recovery, having announced an underlying profit of nearly £13m for the first half of 2021.
It has itself been on the receiving end of takeover interest, although talks about a sale to Cerberus Capital Management, an often controversial investor, broke down last December.
A merger with TSB would almost certainly make a medium-term exit for both Sabadell and the Co-operative Bank’s owners easier to execute, potentially through a public share sale.
In April, two major investors – Bain Capital Credit and JC Flowers – took a 10% stake in the Co-operative Bank, which some analysts interpreted as a sign that it would become more proactive in its approach to industry consolidation.
The lender’s other shareholders include GoldenTree Asset Management and Silver Point Capital, two US-based hedge funds.
Credit Suisse is advising the Co-operative Bank, while Goldman Sachs has been retained by Sabadell to advise on the future of TSB.
A Sabadell spokesman said: “This is not a transaction that we wish to explore at this moment, as we have previously expressed publicly.”
The Co-operative Bank and TSB declined to comment.
Mature, developed economies like the UK and US became ever more reliant on cheap imports from China and, in the process, saw their manufacturing sectors shrink.
Large swathes of the rust belt in the US – and much of the Midlands and North of England – were hollowed out.
And to some extent that’s where the story of Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” really began – with the notion that free trade and globalisation had a darker side, a side he wants to remedy via tariffs.
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He imposed a set of tariffs in his first term, some on China, some on specific materials like steel and aluminium. But the height and the breadth of those tariffs were as nothing compared with the ones we have just heard about.
Not since the 1930s has the US so radically increased the level of tariffs on all nations across the world. Back then, those tariffs exacerbated the Great Depression.
It’s anyone’s guess as to what the consequences of these ones will be. But there will be consequences.
Consequences for the nature of globalisation, consequences for the US economy (tariffs are exceptionally inflationary), consequences for geopolitics.
Image: Imports from the UK will face a 10% tariff, while EU goods will see 20% rates. Pic: Reuters
And to some extent, merely knowing that little bit more about the White House’s plans will deliver a bit of relief to financial markets, which have fretted for months about the imposition of tariffs. That uncertainty recently reached unprecedented levels.
But don’t for a moment assume that this saga is over. Nothing of the sort. In the coming days, we will learn more – more about the nuts and bolts of these policies, more about the retaliatory measures coming from other countries.
We will, possibly, get more of a sense about whether some countries – including the UK – will enjoy reprieves from the tariffs.
To paraphrase Churchill, this isn’t the end of the trade war, or even the beginning of the end – perhaps just the end of the beginning.
Donald Trump has announced a 10% trade tariff on all imports from the UK – as he unleashed sweeping tariffs across the globe.
Speaking at a White House event entitled “Make America Wealthy Again”, the president held up a chart detailing the worst offenders – which also showed the new tariffs the US would be imposing.
“This is Liberation Day,” he told a cheering audience of supporters, while hitting out at foreign “cheaters”.
He claimed “trillions” of dollars from the “reciprocal” levies he was imposing on others’ trade barriers would provide relief for the US taxpayer and restore US jobs and factories.
Mr Trump said the US has been “looted, pillaged, raped, plundered” by other nations.
Image: Pic: AP
His first tariff announcement was a 25% duty on all car imports from midnight – 5am on Thursday, UK time.
Mr Trump confirmed the European Union would face a 20% reciprocal tariff on all other imports. China’s rate was set at 34%.
The UK’s rate of 10% was perhaps a shot across the bows over the country’s 20% VAT rate, though the president’s board suggested a 10% tariff imbalance between the two nations.
It was also confirmed that further US tariffs were planned on some individual sectors including semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and critical mineral imports.
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The ramping up of duties promises to be painful for the global economy. Tariffs on steel and aluminium are already in effect.
The UK government signalled there would be no immediate retaliation.
Business and Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds said: “We will always act in the best interests of UK businesses and consumers. That’s why, throughout the last few weeks, the government has been fully focused on negotiating an economic deal with the United States that strengthens our existing fair and balanced trading relationship.
“The US is our closest ally, so our approach is to remain calm and committed to doing this deal, which we hope will mitigate the impact of what has been announced today.
“We have a range of tools at our disposal and we will not hesitate to act. We will continue to engage with UK businesses including on their assessment of the impact of any further steps we take.
“Nobody wants a trade war and our intention remains to secure a deal. But nothing is off the table and the government will do everything necessary to defend the UK’s national interest.”
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The EU has pledged to retaliate, which is a problem for Northern Ireland.
Should that scenario play out, the region faces the prospect of rising prices because all its imports are tied to EU rules under post-Brexit trading arrangements.
It means US goods shipped to Northern Ireland would be subject to the EU’s reprisals.
The impact of a trade war would be expected to be widely negative, with tit-for-tat tariffs risking job losses, a ramping up of prices and cooling of global trade.
Research for the Institute for Public Policy Research has suggested more than 25,000 direct jobs in the UK car manufacturing industry alone could be at risk from the tariffs on car exports to the US.
The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) had said the tariff costs could not be absorbed by manufacturers and may lead to a review of output.
The tariffs now on UK exports pose a big risk to growth and the so-called headroom Chancellor Rachel Reeves was forced to restore to the public finances at the spring statement, risking further spending cuts or tax rises ahead to meet her fiscal rules.
A member of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), David Miles, told MPs on Tuesday that US tariffs at 20% or 25% maintained on the UK for five years would “knock out all the headroom the government currently has”.
But he added that a “very limited tariff war” that the UK stays out of could be “mildly positive”.
He said: “There’s a bit of trade that will get diverted to the UK, and some of the exports from China, for example, that would have gone to the US, they’ll be looking for a home for them in the rest of the world.
“And stuff would be available in the UK a bit cheaper than otherwise would have been. So there is one, not central scenario at all, which is very, very mildly potentially positive to the UK. All the other ones which involve the UK facing tariffs are negative, and they’re negative to very different extents.”
Mature, developed economies like the UK and US became ever more reliant on cheap imports from China and, in the process, saw their manufacturing sectors shrink.
Large swathes of the rust belt in the US – and much of the Midlands and North of England – were hollowed out.
And to some extent that’s where the story of Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” really began – with the notion that free trade and globalisation had a darker side, a side he wants to remedy via tariffs.
More on Donald Trump
Related Topics:
He imposed a set of tariffs in his first term, some on China, some on specific materials like steel and aluminium. But the height and the breadth of those tariffs were as nothing compared with the ones we have just heard about.
Not since the 1930s has the US so radically increased the level of tariffs on all nations across the world. Back then, those tariffs exacerbated the Great Depression.
It’s anyone’s guess as to what the consequences of these ones will be. But there will be consequences.
Consequences for the nature of globalisation, consequences for the US economy (tariffs are exceptionally inflationary), consequences for geopolitics.
Image: Imports from the UK will face a 10% tariff, while EU goods will see 20% rates. Pic: Reuters
And to some extent, merely knowing that little bit more about the White House’s plans will deliver a bit of relief to financial markets, which have fretted for months about the imposition of tariffs. That uncertainty recently reached unprecedented levels.
But don’t for a moment assume that this saga is over. Nothing of the sort. In the coming days, we will learn more – more about the nuts and bolts of these policies, more about the retaliatory measures coming from other countries.
We will, possibly, get more of a sense about whether some countries – including the UK – will enjoy reprieves from the tariffs.
To paraphrase Churchill, this isn’t the end of the trade war, or even the beginning of the end – perhaps just the end of the beginning.