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Rishi Sunak will deliver his Autumn Budget and Spending Review to MPs in the Commons today, setting out the government’s spending and financial strategy.

It should take place at around 12:30pm, just after the conclusion of Prime Minister’s Questions.

The chancellor’s address usually lasts around an hour – although in 1853 William Gladstone spoke for an impressive four hours and 45 minutes.

Rishi Sunak
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Rishi Sunak is likely to focus his statement on the country’s recovery from COVID-19

It will be Mr Sunak’s second Budget of the year as he delivered a statement on 3 March after the previous autumn’s address was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic.

It is expected that much of the chancellor’s statement today will focus on the next steps in the UK’s economic recovery from COVID-19.

Mr Sunak has pledged to “drive growth while keeping the public finances on a sustainable path”.

Alongside the Budget, the chancellor will also set out the resource and capital budgets of the UK government departments for 2022-23 and 2024-25, as well as the devolved administrations’ grants for the same period.

More on Covid-19

What has already been announced?

The Treasury has already released a flurry of announcements in the lead up to the Budget, including in areas such as health, wages, transport, housing and education.

Speaker of the House of Commons Sir Lindsay Hoyle made his disproval at the situation known in the Commons on Monday, telling ministers it was “not acceptable” for departments to be briefing the media ahead of MPs.

Britain's House Speaker Lindsay Hoyle speaks during question period at the House of Commons in London, Britain July 22, 2020. UK Parliament/Jessica Taylor/Handout via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. IMAGE CAN NOT BE ALTERED IN ANY FORM. MANDATORY CREDIT
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Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle has given MPs many warnings about briefing announcements to the media before they have been made to MPs. Pic: Jessica Taylor/UK Parliament

Sir Lindsay also reminded the Commons that in 1947, then-chancellor Hugh Dalton resigned after leaking some of the contents of his budget to a journalist.

Here’s what we already know:

Health

File photo dated 12/01/21 of ambulances at Whitechapel hospital in London. A majority of the issues in Scotland's hospitals and the knock-on effect to the ambulance service are not due to Covid, a top surgeon has said. Issue date: Friday September 17, 2021.
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NHS England will receive £5.9m to reduce the backlog of people waiting for scans

• NHS England will receive £5.9bn to tackle the backlog of people waiting for tests and scans.

• The sum incudes £1.5bn for more beds, equipment and new “surgical hubs”, £2.3bn on diagnostic tests including the creation of ‘one-stop-shop’ centres for scans and £2.1bn to improve IT in hospitals.

• £5bn for the health department to fund research and development over the next three years.

Wages

Which? has urged the Government to protect consumers by making local cash point withdrawals part of law.
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The National Living Wage will rise to £9.50 per hour from next April

• the National Living Wage will rise next April from £8.91 to £9.50 per hour.

• millions of nurses, teachers and members of the armed forces will receive a pay rise due to the end of a one-year public sector pay freeze.

Transport

Metrolink, the Manchester's tram stock photo
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The city regions will be given money to improve their transport networks

• England’s city regions – including Greater Manchester, the West Midlands and West Yorkshire – will receive a share of £6.9bn to spend on rail, bus and cycle projects in their areas.

• However, on Sunday, Mr Sunak admitted to Sky News that only £1.5bn of this is new money, as the government is including £4.2bn that was promised in 2019 alongside funding for buses announced by Boris Johnson in 2020.

Housing

Housebuilding
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The government is investing in building more houses on brownfield sites

• £1.8bn has been pledged to build around 160,000 “greener homes” on derelict or unused land.

• £9m on “pocket parks” the size of a tennis court across the UK, which it is hoped will create more green spaces.

Education

School children during a Year 5 class at a primary school in Yorkshire. PA Photo. Picture date: Wednesday November 27, 2019. Photo credit should read: Danny Lawson/PA Wire
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Around 30,000 more school placed will be created for pupils with special educational needs

• £2.6bn on 30,000 new places for children with special educational needs and disabilities.

• £1.6bn over three years to roll out new T-levels.

• £550m to be invested in adult skills.

Early Years

The swap happened 19 years ago in the northern Spanish region of Rioja File pic: Sebastian Gollnow/picture-alliance/dpa/AP Images
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The Treasury has pledged money to support new parents with their mental health and breastfeeding

• The government has pledged £500m to support parents and young children.

• This includes £82m to fund advice centres for parents, £100m for mental health support, £50m for breastfeeding support and £200m to support families with complex issues.

• Labour has said the new centres are similar to Sure Start children’s centres which the government previously closed, but Mr Sunak insisted this initiative is “broader”.

Other pledges include:

• £3bn to drive a “skills revolution”.

• £1.4bn to international companies to attract foreign talent to UK industries.

• £850m to restore museums and art galleries.

• £700m for football pitches, tennis courts and youth facilities.

• £700m for a new fleet of patrol boats for the UK’s borders.

• £435m for crime prevention and the Crown Prosecution Service – some focused on improving the response to rape and sexual assault cases.

• £5m in research grants to help develop new surgery and treatment options for veterans.

What else is expected to be announced?

While the Treasury has released a deluge of funding announcements in the days before Wednesdays Budget, there are likely to be a few other issues which could be addressed:

Tax changes:

Millions of low income households are now behind on household bills
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The capital gains tax may be hiked in the Budget

Due to the government’s high borrowing record during the pandemic, taxes are unlikely to be cut in the autumn Budget.

However, it has been pre-empted that Mr Sunak may hike capital gains tax – the tax on the profit when someone sells or disposes of an asset that has increased in value.

It has been suggested that the sum could be brought more into line with income tax. In his last budget, the chancellor froze capital gains tax until 2026.

Student loans:

Student graduation
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It is rumoured that the government may lower the student loans repayment threshold

It has been rumoured that the chancellor may lower the threshold at which people start repaying their student loans, which it is predicted could save the Treasury about £2bn a year.

The government is considering recommendations set out in the 2019 Augar review, which said deductions for student loan repayments should be applied once an individual earns £23,000 rather than the current rate of £27,295.

But Conservative former education secretaries are divided on the proposal.

Lord Baker of Dorking, who served as education secretary under Margaret Thatcher, told Sky News he “strongly” supports the proposed reduction.

But Justine Greening told Sky News that introducing such a policy would entrench the equality gaps in education “even further”.

Ms Greening, who stood down as an MP in 2019, said such a change could result in students from poorer backgrounds viewing university as unaffordable.

Alcohol duty changes:

Alcohol-related deaths saw an 'unprecedented; rise of 20%  last year
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The duty on spirits such as whisky could be increased

There has been suggestion that Treasury officials are wanting to change the current system of alcohol duties as they perceive it as too complicated.

It could see some taxes on beer cut and the cost of sparkling wine falling

But this could also see the duty on spirits such as gin and whisky hiked.

The Small Breweries’ Relief (SBR) could also be reduced, which has left craft and independent brewers concerned that their recovery after the pandemic will be hampered.

Rise in Air Passenger Duty:

A Virgin Atlantic Boeing 747-400, with Tail Number G-VROC, lands at San Francisco International Airport, San Francisco
A Virgin Atlantic Boeing 747-400, with Tail Number G-VROC, lands at San Francisco International Airport, San Francisco, California, April 16, 2015. REUTERS/Louis Nastro
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Air Passenger Duty could be hiked for long haul flights such as the UK to Australia

Newspapers including The Guardian have reported that the chancellor will confirm plans that have previously been mooted to reform Air Passenger Duty (APD)

At present, APD is charged in two bands – journeys which are fewer than 2,000 miles and those which are greater than 2,000 miles.

It has been suggested a third band could be created for distances over 6,000 miles.

This move would increase the levy for longer journeys which would impact the cost of plane tickets to countries including Australia, South Africa and Japan.

Fuel duty increases:

Drivers queue for fuel at a petrol station in central London. Picture date: Friday October 1, 2021.
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The average price of petrol hit a record high last weekend

With Glasgow hosting the COP 26 climate summit from 31 October, Mr Sunak has the potential opportunity in his Budget to show how the government is progressing the country’s economy towards carbon neutrality.

This could mean a return to fuel duty increases in the future.

However, the average forecourt price per litre hit a record high of 142.94p on Sunday, and it is suggested this may have forced the chancellor to discount such a proposal.

A 4.9% rise had been scheduled for 2022.

What could be missing from the Budget?

VAT cut on household energy bills:

On today’s show, we look at how renewables could keep energy costs down this winter.
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Treasury sources say cutting household energy bills is unlikely to happen

Reports emerged last month that the chancellor was considering cutting the current 5% VAT rate on household energy bills amid fears of a winter crisis.

However, such a move could frustrate the government’s green ambitions ahead of the COP 26 climate summit in Glasgow next week.

And Treasury sources say such a move would be badly targeted and there are other ways to help those struggling

Announcement on the eastern leg of HS2:

HS2
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The government is yet to reaffirm its commitment to the eastern leg of HS2

Speculation is mounting that the government will abandon plans to build the eastern leg of High Speed Rail 2 to Leeds.

Deflecting a question on the matter on Sky’s Trevor Phillips on Sunday, the chancellor refused to be drawn on the future of the eastern leg and also failed to confirm whether a new Northern Powerhouse Rail link from Leeds to Manchester via Bradford would be built.

HS2 is a planned high-speed rail network between London, the West Midlands, Manchester and Leeds. The project has been beset by delays and rising costs since its announcement.

The Spending Review could be seen as a good time to confirm the future of the project.

However, a government source told Sky News not to expect an announcement on HS2 in the Budget as the matter will be dealt with afterwards when the Integrated Rail Plan is published.

On Sunday, Mr Sunak told Sky News the plan would be published “shortly”.

Responding to Mr Sunak’s comments, Labour’s shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves told Sky News there is a “huge gaping chasm” between the government’s rhetoric and delivery on transport infrastructure in the north.

Universal Credit changes:

Purse
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The temporary £20 uplift to Universal Credit was removed earlier in October

Earlier this month, the government removed the £20 temporary uplift to Universal Credit which was implemented during the pandemic.

To ease the blow of the cut for claimants, some have been lobbying the Treasury to raise the base figure for in-work recipients to help working families keep more of their money.

This could be done by cutting the taper rate – the amount of Universal Credit withdrawn for every pound someone earns.

However, the taper rate has not been amended for five years.

Business rates reform:

File photo dated 15/1/2021 of people walking along the high street in Loughborough, Leicestershire. The Prime Minister is being urged not to rip up another tax pledge by increasing the tax burden on high street shops, pubs and restaurants. Retail tax experts have warned that the Government could land firms with a 700 million rise in business rates in England next April unless it confirms changes to the property tax system. Issue date: Monday September 13, 2021.
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High Street shop owners are calling for business rates to be reduced

In March 2020, a few weeks before the country was placed into lockdown due to the coronavirus, the Treasury promised a fundamental review of how business rates work.

High street shops say they are heavily disadvantaged compared to large Ecommerce stores such as Amazon due to the high sums they must pay for their shop fronts.

However, it is thought that no large-scale reform will be announced in Wednesday’s Budget while the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.

Why is the budget important?

The budget sets out how the government is going to spend the nation’s money so affects us all.

However, it is arguably even more important this year because of the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

The government is still under pressure to use this Budget to outline plans for dealing with how the UK will pay off the huge debts built up during COVID-19 and how the government will continue to support those people and businesses who were disproportionately economically impacted by the pandemic.

Fun facts:

The report says the cost of a pint in London could top £6
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The chancellor is the only member of the House of Commons allowed to drink alcohol in the chamber, according to a historic ritual

• A chancellor can take an alcoholic drink into the Commons to have when they are delivering their budget. It is the only time an MP is allowed to do so

• Sir Geoffrey Howe, who was chancellor from 1979-1983, named his dog Budget.

• The shortest budget speech was delivered by Benjamin Disraeli in 1867 which lasted just 45 minutes

• John Major’s budget in 1990 was the first to be shown live on television

Follow budget coverage live on Sky News with the chancellor’s announcement from 12.30pm

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Stablecoin bill won’t target Trump as Senate aims to pass it next week

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Stablecoin bill won’t target Trump as Senate aims to pass it next week

Stablecoin bill won’t target Trump as Senate aims to pass it next week

The US Senate could pass a key bipartisan stablecoin bill as soon as next week after removing language targeting President Donald Trump and his family’s sprawling crypto interests.

Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis said onstage at an event by Coinbase’s lobbying arm, Stand With Crypto, that she thinks it’s a “fair target” to have the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins Act, or GENIUS Act, passed by May 26 — Memorial Day in the US.

Joining her onstage was Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, who hinted that the bill’s language was changed to scrap provisions that targeted Trump’s various crypto projects, which include memecoins, a crypto platform, a stablecoin, and a crypto mining company that plans to go public, among others.

“When this language comes out, people will see really good refinement, a lot of progress, on things like consumer protection, and bankruptcy protection, and ethics,” Gillibrand said. “Things beyond just ‘what’s the structure?’ and ‘what’s required for an issuer?’”

Congress, Stablecoin
Source: Brian Armstrong

Senate Democrats pulled support for the bill on May 8 and stalled its momentum, airing concerns that it wouldn’t help address multiple crypto-tied deals that will personally enrich Trump.

“A lot of what President Trump is engaged in is already illegal,” Gillibrand said. “I also think his issuance of a memecoin is illegal based on current law.”

“It’s literally offering anyone who wants to curry favor with the administration to just send him money — that’s about as illegal as it gets.”

“I’m not so worried about this bill having to deal with all President Trump’s ethics problems. What this bill is really intended to do is regulate the entire space of stablecoins,” she added.

Gillibrand said the revised bill includes “some ethics requirements,” but it was “not an ethics bill.”

“If we were dealing with all President Trump’s ethics problems, it would be a very long and detailed bill,” she added.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, also on stage, was hopeful the Senate would vote on the stablecoin bill “early next week.”

Armstrong, whose company cozied up to Trump by donating $1 million to his inauguration fund, declined to comment when asked if the President’s memecoin could impact the passage of bipartisan crypto bills.

“It’s not my place to really comment on President Trump’s activity,” he said. “What I do think is important is that this bill remains focused on stablecoins.”

Crypto bills “absolutely critical” to pass before midterms

The crypto industry is pushing for Congress to pass the GENIUS Act and a Republican-drafted crypto market structure bill before the midterm elections on Nov. 3, 2026, where all 435 House seats and a third of the 100 Senate seats are up for election.

“We have a very narrow window to get legislation through between now and the midterms,” Marta Belcher, the president of the crypto lobby group the Blockchain Association, told Cointelegraph at the Consensus conference in Toronto.

“I strongly suspect that window is going to close very quickly. I don’t know if we’re going to get another window like this to get legislation through,” she added.

“It’s absolutely critical that we get it through now, especially because there really is a real possibility that in the future we end up with an administration that is hostile to crypto.”

The Association’s communications director, Chris Jonas, added that it’s critical the bills pass before Congress takes a recess for the month of August.

Related: Crypto execs flock to DC to support Senate stablecoin bill 

“Once you get into the calendar year of the midterms, historically not a lot of legislation moves, so that’s why it’s so critical,” he explained.

Trump should be on track to sign both crypto bills before the August break, according to Bo Hines, the executive director of the Presidential Council of Advisers for Digital Assets.

Hines noted on stage at Consensus on May 13 that negotiations on both bills are still ongoing, but it was “the President’s desire” to sign both “stablecoin legislation and market structure legislation before the August recess.”

Legal Panel: Crypto wanted to overthrow banks, now it’s becoming them in stablecoin fight 

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Dems seek suspicious activity reports linked to Trump crypto ventures

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Dems seek suspicious activity reports linked to Trump crypto ventures

Dems seek suspicious activity reports linked to Trump crypto ventures

US Democrat lawmakers have sent a letter to the US Treasury demanding access to suspicious activity reports (SARs) on several Trump-backed crypto projects as part of the latest probe into the president’s digital ventures. 

Penned by representatives Gerald Connolly, Joseph Morelle, and Jamie Raskin, the May 14 letter asks Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for all SARS filed since 2023 related to World Liberty Financial (WLF) and the Official Trump (TRUMP) token. 

Financial institutions in the US must file SARs with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, a bureau within the Department of the Treasury, when they detect suspicious activity, including potential money laundering or fraud. 

Dems seek suspicious activity reports linked to Trump crypto ventures
Source: Oversight Committee Democrats

The sweeping probe asks for any SARs mentioning WinRed, America PAC, Elon Musk, political action committee, PAC, Trump, World Liberty Financial, WLF, TRUMP, MELANIA and Justin Sun, no later than May 30. 

The Democratic lawmakers say their probe is to “determine whether legislation is necessary to prevent violations of campaign finance, consumer protection, bribery, securities fraud, and other anti-corruption laws” and to guard against “financial misconduct connected to prospective or current federal officials.” 

Democrats argue WLF and Trump coin could be misused

As part of the letter, the lawmakers argue WLF could be misused as a “vehicle for foreign influence peddling” because it served part of its token sale for foreign investors, who are “generally subject to less stringent regulation than US investors.” 

Justin Sun’s investment in WLF and the subsequent pause of the SEC’s lawsuit that alleged the crypto entrepreneur broke securities laws has also been flagged as a concern. 

Trump’s token has come under fire as well because the lawmakers argue in their letter that the identities of the coin purchasers are not publicly disclosed, which could open the door for bad actors to “curry favor with Trump” by purchasing the coin. 

At the same time, SARS related to Republican digital fundraising WinRed, Elon Musk’s super PAC, which poured $250 million into Trump’s election campaign, and two other PACs are being sought. 

Related: Trump-owned Truth Social denies it is launching a memecoin

This effort is the latest Democrat-led salvo against Trump’s crypto ventures.  

A group of Democratic senators reportedly sent a letter to leadership at the US Department of Justice and the Treasury Department expressing concerns about Trump’s ties to crypto exchange Binance and potential conflicts of interest in regulating the industry, according to a May 9 Bloomberg report. 

US Democratic lawmakers also launched a multi-angle attack on May 6, targeting Trump’s ability to profit from his crypto initiatives with two bills and a subcommittee inquiry. 

Magazine: Trump’s crypto ventures raise conflict of interest, insider trading questions

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Top Tory caught admitting Brexit drawback in leaked clip

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Leaked recording reveals top Tory knew of flaws in post-Brexit plan to return illegal migrants

One of Kemi Badenoch’s top team has admitted there were flaws in the plan to return illegal migrants after Brexit, Sky News can reveal.

Boris Johnson repeatedly told the public that Brexit would mean taking back control of Britain’s borders and migration system.

Plans unveiled to ease prisons crisis – politics latest

But in a leaked recording obtained by Sky News, Chris Philp, now shadow home secretary, said Britain’s exit from the EU – and end of UK participation in the Dublin agreement which governs EU-wide asylum claims – meant they realised they “can’t any longer rely on sending people back to the place where they first claimed asylum”.

Mr Philp appeared to suggest the scale of the problem surprised those in the Johnson government.

Pic: Reuters
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Chris Philp is the shadow home secretary. Pic: Reuters

“When we did check it out… (we) found that about half the people crossing the Channel had claimed asylum previously elsewhere in Europe.”

In response tonight, the Tories insisted that Mr Philp was not saying the Tories did not have a plan for how to handle asylum seekers post Brexit.

Mr Philp’s comments from last month are a very different tone to 2020 when as immigration minister he seemed to be suggesting EU membership and the Dublin rules hampered asylum removals.

In August that year, he said: “The Dublin regulations do have a number of constraints in them, which makes returning people who should be returned a little bit harder than we would like. Of course, come the 1st of January, we’ll be outside of those Dublin regulations and the United Kingdom can take a fresh approach.”

Mr Philp was also immigration minister in Mr Johnson’s government so would have been following the debate closely.

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Philp was previously a close ally of Liz Truss. Pic: PA

In public, members of the Johnson administration were claiming this would not be an issue since asylum claims would be “inadmissible”, but gave no details on how they would actually deal with people physically arriving in the country.

A Home Office source told journalists once the UK is “no longer bound by Dublin after the transition”, then “we will be able to negotiate our own bilateral returns agreement from the end of this year”.

This did not happen immediately.

In the summer of 2020, Mr Johnson’s spokesman criticised the “inflexible and rigid” Dublin regulations, suggesting the exit from this agreement would be a welcome post-Brexit freedom. Mr Philp’s comments suggest a different view in private.

The remarks were made in a Zoom call, part of a regular series with all the shadow cabinet on 28 April, just before the local election.

Mr Philp was asked by a member why countries like France continued to allow migrants to come to the UK.

He replied: “The migrants should claim asylum in the first safe place and that under European Union regulations, which is called the Dublin 3 regulation, the first country where they are playing asylum is the one that should process their application.

“Now, because we’re out of the European Union now, we are out of the Dublin 3 regulations, and so we can’t any longer rely on sending people back to the place where they first claimed asylum. When we did check it out, just before we exited the EU transitional arrangements on December the 31st, 2020, we did run some checks and found that about half the people crossing the channel had claimed asylum previously elsewhere in Europe.

“In Germany, France, Italy, Spain, somewhere like that, and therefore could have been returned. But now we’re out of Dublin, we can’t do that, and that’s why we need to have somewhere like Rwanda that we can send these people to as a deterrent.”

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Has Brexit saved the UK from tariffs?

Mr Johnson announced the Rwanda plan in April 2022 – which Mr Philp casts as the successor plan – 16 months after Britain left the legal and regulatory regime of the EU, but the plan was blocked by the European Court of Human Rights.

Successive Tory prime ministers failed to get any mandatory removals to Rwanda, and Sir Keir Starmer cancelled the programme on entering Downing Street last year, leaving the issue of asylum seekers from France unresolved.

Speaking on Sky News last weekend, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper said there has been a 20% increase in migrant returns since Labour came to power, along with a 40% increase in illegal working raids and a 40% increase in arrests for illegal working.

Read More:
Jenrick’s leaked plan for Tory-Reform pact
2020: Johnson promises change in migrant law

Britain’s membership of the EU did not stop all asylum arrivals. Under the EU’s Dublin regulation, under which people should be processed for asylum in the country at which they first entered the bloc.

However, many EU countries where people first arrive, such as Italy, do not apply the Dublin rules.

The UK is not going to be able to participate again in the Dublin agreement since that is only open to full members of the EU.

Ministers have confirmed the Labour government is discussing a returns agreement with the French that would involve both countries exchanging people seeking asylum.

Asked on Sky News about how returns might work in future, the transport minister Lilian Greenwood said on Wednesday there were “discussions ongoing with the French government”, but did not say what a future deal could look like.

She told Sky News: “It’s not a short-term issue. This is going to take really hard work to tackle those organised gangs that are preying on people, putting their lives in danger as they try to cross the Channel to the UK.

“Of course, that’s going to involve conversations with our counterparts on the European continent.”

Pressed on the returns agreement, Ms Greenwood said: “I can confirm that there are discussions ongoing with the French government about how we stop this appalling and dangerous trade in people that’s happening across the English Channel.”

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A Conservative Party spokesman said: “The Conservative Party delivered on the democratic will of this country, and left the European Union.

“The last government did have a plan and no one – including Chris – has ever suggested otherwise.

“We created new deals with France to intercept migrants, signed returns agreements with many countries across Europe, including a landmark agreement with Albania that led to small boat crossings falling by a third in 2023, and developed the Rwanda deterrent – a deterrent that Labour scrapped, leading to 2025 so far being the worst year ever for illegal channel crossings.

“However, Kemi Badenoch and Chris Philp have been clear that the Conservatives must do a lot more to tackle illegal migration.

“It is why, under new leadership, we are developing g new policies that will put an end to this problem – including disapplying the Human Rights Act from immigration matters, establishing a removals deterrent and deporting all foreign criminals.”

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