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Abrdn, the FTSE-100 asset manager, is in advanced talks to buy Interactive Investor (II) for more than £1.5bn – a deal that will hand it control of one of Britain’s three big DIY stock-picking platforms.

Sky News can reveal that abrdn, headed by Stephen Bird, is in exclusive negotiations to acquire II and hopes to strike a formal takeover deal within the next fortnight.

Abrdn is likely to be forced to confirm the discussions in a stock exchange announcement on Monday morning.

If successfully concluded, the talks will end II’s preparations to join rivals Hargreaves Lansdown and AJ Bell on the London stock market following months of talks about a 2022 flotation.

II has more than 400,000 personal investing clients, positioning it behind only Hargreaves Lansdown by customer numbers in the UK market.

It has made a string of acquisitions of its own, such as the stock-dealing platform The Share Centre, and has about £57bn in assets under administration.

The bold swoop by abrdn which takes it further into direct-to-consumer investing will represent a calculated gamble for Mr Bird, a former Citi executive who joined the asset management group in July 2020.

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He has hinted at a desire to pursue targeted acquisitions which help it to diversify its revenue base across three areas: investment, adviser and personal.

Acquiring II would deliver on that ambition in personal investing, and transform abrdn’s digital capability and consumer appeal, one analyst said on Saturday.

Last month, abrdn bought Finimize, a subscription-based investment tips service – a much smaller deal, but one which nevertheless underlined the group’s pivot towards personal investing-oriented activities.

One area of uncertainty for Mr Bird will relate to abrdn shareholders’ reaction to the II news given his predecessors’ decidedly mixed track record in corporate deal-making.

Investors were left underwhelmed by the £11bn merger of Standard Life and Aberdeen Asset Management in 2017, with the combined group having lost close to half its value since the tie-up was announced that year.

Since then, the co-chief executives of Standard Life Aberdeen – now renamed abrdn – have both stepped down.

Martin Gilbert, the Aberdeen Asset Management founder, has emerged in a large number of City posts, including at the helm of AssetCo, which he has begun using as a consolidation vehicle in the asset management sector, while Keith Skeoch remains chairman of the Financial Reporting Council and Investment Association.

For Mr Bird, however, the transaction may come at an opportune time.

Abrdn has total surplus regulatory capital of about £2bn, having sold another chunk of its stake in India’s HDFC in late September, meaning financing the takeover of II is unlikely to be problematic.

The deal also comes sufficiently early in his tenure as CEO to make a potentially significant difference to the long-term performance of abrdn, which has been hit by large fund outflows during most of the period since the 2017 merger.

Under Mr Bird, the tide has begun to turn, with fee-based revenues and adjusted operating profits recently showing their fastest growth since the company was created in its current form.

He has said he wants to turn abrdn into a simplified and more focused investment management group with far stronger digital capabilities for personal and institutional clients.

Since taking the helm of the company, which now manages more than £530bn for clients, he has jettisoned businesses including Parmenion, a platform servicing independent financial advisers, and a real estate division in the Nordics.

Its rebranding in August – which provoked some derision in the City – would, Mr Bird, said, provide “clarity” and leave it “better-positioned to have impact at scale as a global business”.

Nevertheless, abrdn may have to contend with some discontent from rival fund managers whose products are listed on the II platform.

If the deal goes ahead, it will deliver the certainty of a handsome payday for JC Flowers, II’s biggest shareholder and other investors which include a group of venture capital funds.

JC Flowers engineered the combination of II and TD Direct in 2017, since when the business has grown into an industry powerhouse.

The size of the stake in II owned by Richard Wilson, its chief executive, is unclear, but he is expected to remain in place after the takeover, according to insiders.

Mr Wilson has been a vocal advocate for greater involvement for retail investors in companies’ public share sales, and has spoken repeatedly about the stock market being a natural home for the company.

Earlier this year, II appointed Gordon Wilson, a former Travelport executive, as its non-executive chairman as part of its planning for an IPO.

The latest steps being taken by II towards a public debut come months after a review led by Lord Hill, a Treasury board member, recommended measures to make it simpler for retail investors to participate in IPOs.

Ordinary customers are often frozen out of prominent floats, although the advent and rapid growth of services such as that offered by PrimaryBid have begun to make them more accessible.

JP Morgan is advising abrdn on the talks, while II and its shareholders are being advised by Fenchurch Advisory Partners and UBS.

On Friday, shares in abrdn closed at 255.7p, giving the company a market capitalisation of just under £5.6bn.

Abrdn declined to comment this weekend, while II has been contacted for comment.

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Direct cost of Jaguar Land Rover cyber attack which impacted UK economic growth revealed

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Direct cost of Jaguar Land Rover cyber attack which impacted UK economic growth revealed

The cyber attack on Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), which halted production for nearly six weeks at its sites, cost the company roughly £200m, it has been revealed.

Latest accounts released on Friday showed “cyber-related costs” were £196m, which does not include the fall in sales.

Profits took a nose dive, falling from nearly £400m (£398m) a year ago to a loss of £485m in the three months to the end of September.

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Revenues dropped nearly 25% and the effects may continue as the manufacturing halt could slow sales in the final three months of the year, executives said.

The impact of the shutdown also hit factories across the car-making supply chain.

Slowing the UK economy

The production pause was a large contributor to a contraction in UK economic growth in September, official figures showed.

Had car output not fallen 28.6%, the UK economy would have grown by 0.1% during the month. Instead, it fell by 0.1%.

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How cyber attack ‘effectively hacked GDP’

Read more from Sky News:
Telegraph future in limbo again as RedBird abandons £500m deal

Reacting to JLR’s impact on the GDP contraction, its chief financial officer, Richard Molyneux, said it was “interesting to hear” and it “goes to reinforce” that JLR is really important in the UK economy.

The company, he said, is the “biggest exporter of goods in the entire country” and the effect on GDP “is a reflection of the success JLR has had in past years”.

Recovery

The company said operations were “pretty much back running as normal” and plants were “at or approaching capacity”.

Production of all luxury vehicles resumed.

Investigations are underway into the attack, with law enforcement in “many jurisdictions” involved, the company said.

When asked about the cause of the hack and the hackers, JLR said it was not in a position to answer questions due to the live investigation.

A run of attacks

The manufacturer was just one of a number of major companies to be seriously impacted by cyber criminals in recent months.

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Are we in a cyber attack ‘epidemic’?

High street retailer Marks and Spencer estimated the cost of its IT outage was roughly £136m. The sum only covers the cost of immediate incident systems response and recovery, as well as specialist legal and professional services support.

The Co-Op and Harrods also suffered service disruption caused by cyber attacks.

Four people were arrested by police investigating the incidents.

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Telegraph future in limbo again as RedBird abandons £500m deal

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Telegraph future in limbo again as RedBird abandons £500m deal

The future ownership of the Daily Telegraph has been plunged back into crisis after RedBird Capital Partners abandoned its proposed £500m takeover.

Sky News has learnt that a consortium led by RedBird and including the UAE-based investor IMI has formally withdrawn its offer to buy the right-leaning newspaper titles.

In a statement issued to Sky News, a RedBird Capital Partners spokesman confirmed: “RedBird has today withdrawn its bid for the Telegraph Media Group.

“We remain fully confident that the Telegraph and its world-class team have a bright future ahead of them and we will work hard to help secure a solution which is in the best interests of employees and readers.”

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The move comes nearly two-and-a-half years after the Telegraph’s future was plunged into doubt when its lenders seized control from the Barclay family, its long-standing proprietors.

RedBird IMI then extended financing which gave it a call option to own the newspapers, but its original proposal was thwarted by objections to foreign state ownership of British national newspapers.

A new deal was then stitched together which included funding from Daily Mail owner Lord Rothermere and Sir Leonard Blavatnik, the billionaire owner of sports streaming platform DAZN.

Under that deal, Abu Dhabi-based IMI would have taken a 15% stake in Telegraph Media Group.

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In recent weeks, RedBird principal Gerry Cardinale had reiterated his desire to own the titles despite apparently having been angered by reporting by Telegraph journalists which explored links between RedBird and Chinese state influences.

Unrest from the Telegraph newsroom is said to have been one of the main factors in RedBird’s decision to withdraw its offer.

The collapse of the deal means a further auction of the titles is now likely to take place in the new year.

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Budget 2025: Starmer and Reeves ditch plans to raise income tax

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Budget 2025: Starmer and Reeves ditch plans to raise income tax

Sir Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves have scrapped plans to break their manifesto pledge and raise income tax rates in a massive U-turn less than two weeks from the budget.

The decision, first reported in the Financial Times, comes after a bruising few days which has brought about a change of heart in Downing Street.

Read more: How No 10 plunged itself into crisis

I understand Downing Street has backed down amid fears about the backlash from disgruntled MPs and voters.

The Treasury and Number 10 declined to comment.

The decision is a massive about-turn. In a news conference last week, the chancellor appeared to pave the way for manifesto-breaking tax rises in the budget on 26 November.

She spoke of difficult choices and insisted she could neither increase borrowing nor cut spending in order to stabilise the economy, telling the public “everyone has to play their part”.

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‘Aren’t you making a mockery of voters?’

The decision to backtrack was communicated to the Office for Budget Responsibility on Wednesday in a submission of “major measures”, according to the Financial Times.

The chancellor will now have to fill an estimated £30bn black hole with a series of narrower tax-raising measures and is also expected to freeze income tax thresholds for another two years beyond 2028, which should raise about £8bn.

Tory shadow business secretary Andrew Griffith said: “We’ve had the longest ever run-up to a budget, damaging the economy with uncertainty, and yet – with just days to go – it is clear there is chaos in No 10 and No 11.”

How did we get here?

For weeks, the government has been working up options to break the manifesto pledge not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT on working people.

I was told only this week the option being worked up was to do a combination of tax rises and action on the two-child benefit cap in order for the prime minister to be able to argue that in breaking his manifesto pledges, he is trying his hardest to protect the poorest in society and those “working people” he has spoken of so endlessly.

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Ed Conway on the chancellor’s options

But days ago, officials and ministers were working on a proposal to lift the basic rate of income tax – perhaps by 2p – and then simultaneously cut national insurance contributions for those on the basic rate of income tax (those who earn up to £50,000 a year).

That way the chancellor can raise several billion in tax from those with the “broadest shoulders” – higher-rate taxpayers and pensioners or landlords, while also trying to protect “working people” earning salaries under £50,000 a year.

The chancellor was also going to take action on the two-child benefit cap in response to growing demand from the party to take action on child poverty. It is unclear whether those plans will now be shelved given the U-turn on income tax.

A rough week for the PM

The change of plan comes after the prime minister found himself engulfed in a leadership crisis after his allies warned rivals that he would fight any attempted post-budget coup.

It triggered a briefing war between Wes Streeting and anonymous Starmer allies attacking the health secretary as the chief traitor.

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Wes Streeting: Faithful or traitor? Beth Rigby’s take

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The prime minister has since apologised to Mr Streeting, who I am told does not want to press for sackings in No 10 in the wake of the briefings against him.

But the saga has further damaged Sir Keir and increased concerns among MPs about his suitability to lead Labour into the next general election.

Insiders clearly concluded that the ill mood in the party, coupled with the recent hits to the PM’s political capital, makes manifesto-breaking tax rises simply too risky right now.

But it also adds to a sense of chaos, given the chancellor publicly pitch-rolled tax rises in last week’s news conference.

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