
The key storylines for NC State-Clemson, Alabama-Arkansas and the rest of Week 5’s biggest games
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ESPN staff
College football’s Week 5 is here and with it comes five top-25 matchups, including three games between teams ranked in the top 16.
Off the heels of an emotional double-overtime win against Wake Forest, DJ Uiagalelei and Clemson host NC State in a top-10 ACC showdown. SEC play is in full swing as undefeated Kentucky and unbeaten Ole Miss square off in Oxford, while Arkansas, coming off a tough loss in the Southwest Classic, welcomes Alabama.
Not to be outdone, the Big 12 hosts one of the biggest rivalries the conference has to offer, as Baylor hosts Oklahoma State in a crucial game for the league standings.
Elsewhere, a ranked Washington heads to Los Angeles in a battle of unbeatens, while Michigan will try to survive in Iowa City.
Here are the key storylines from this week’s biggest games.
No. 10 NC State Wolfpack at No. 5 Clemson Tigers (Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN app)
NC State and Clemson first played in 1899, but there has never been a bigger game in the history of their matchup than the one coming on Saturday, for one historical reason: It marks the first time the schools have faced each other as top-10 teams.
It also will be the first time No. 10 NC State has played in an AP Top 10 matchup.
No. 5 Clemson is used to being in this situation, having played in six of the past seven ACC championship games, along with six College Football Playoff appearances. But this is all new for the Wolfpack, who used a highly successful 2021 campaign as a springboard into outsize expectations for this year. Linebacker Isaiah Moore, one of the many veterans who returned for this season, told ESPN.com that there is a reason so many players came back: to win a championship.
That has been an elusive goal for NC State. Playing in the same division as Florida State and Clemson, the Wolfpack have never played in an ACC championship game. In fact, NC State has not won an ACC title since 1979. In-state rivals North Carolina and Wake Forest have made ACC championship game appearances and won ACC championships more recently than NC State.
“We all came back to put NC State in a place it’s never been before,” Moore said. “We have an opportunity to build on that this week. We have a lot of goals ahead of us that we want to accomplish, but Saturday is definitely a big opportunity for us to continue to build on that.”
Playing at Clemson is never an easy task. The Tigers have won 36 straight games at home, dating to a loss to Pitt on Nov. 12, 2016. NC State has not won at Clemson since 2002. Wolfpack center Grant Gibson said the team practiced this week with crowd noise piped in and that it prepared for wet conditions should the remnants of Hurricane Ian impact the area.
“We’re not trying to blow this game up because there’s already enough hype behind this game as it is,” Gibson said. “I think the thing that we’ll see is a team that’s going to come in poised and ready to play.”
NC State won their matchup a year ago in Raleigh, a 27-21 overtime thriller that featured many of the same players who will be playing in this tilt, including NC State quarterback Devin Leary and Clemson signal-caller DJ Uiagalelei, who appears to have turned a corner following a 371-yard, five-touchdown performance against Wake Forest last weekend.
As everyone at NC State points out, the win over Clemson a year ago helped the program get over one hump, but the Wolfpack still fell short of playing in the ACC championship game.
“We understand who we’re playing,” Moore said. “We understand the magnitude of the game. We’re not going to sit here and try to ignore it. It’s there, but the biggest thing is to not let that affect how we go about every day. We have to continue to go about what we’ve been preaching all year, and we’ll be ready for Saturday.” — Andrea Adelson
No. 15 Washington Huskies at UCLA Bruins (Friday, 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN/ESPN app)
Washington and UCLA represent two of the three remaining undefeated teams from the Pac-12 (with Southern California being the other), but their respective paths to 4-0 have been quite different.
For UCLA, it marks the first 4-0 start since 2016. It’s the type of start Bruins fans expected to come regularly when coach Chip Kelly was hired prior to the 2018 season. However, they’ve still been unable to been generate much buzz given the considerable lack of quality competition to this point. Of UCLA’s four games, the best team it has played is South Alabama, and the Bruins needed a last-second field goal to pull that out at home.
Washington will be an entirely different kind of test.
The Huskies have been dominant through four games, and while three of their wins — versus Kent State, Portland State and Stanford — came against overmatched competition, they were just as good against Michigan State. After inheriting a four-win team, coach Kalen DeBoer’s revival has been instantaneous.
It should be one of the best quarterback matchups of the weekend in college football. In his fifth season as UCLA’s starter, Dorian Thompson-Robinson is off to an excellent start (896 passing yards, eight TD passes, one interception), but his counterpart, transfer Michael Penix Jr., has been even better. Penix, who played for DeBoer when he was the offensive coordinator at Indiana, leads the nation in passing yards with 1,388 and has yet to be sacked.
Washington has scored touchdowns on 14 of its 21 first-half possessions and has managed TDs on seven of eight possessions to open a half. (It kicked a field goal to start the second half against Stanford.) — Kyle Bonagura
No. 7 Kentucky Wildcats at No. 14 Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday, noon ET, ESPN/ESPN app)
If you subscribe to the theory that Georgia and Alabama have a firm hold on the No. 1 and No. 2 positions in the SEC this season, then Saturday’s game between No. 7 Kentucky and No. 14 Ole Miss at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium could go a long way toward determining the top contender for that No. 3 spot.
Before we get too ahead of ourselves, it’s worth noting that the calendar is just now flipping to October, but the winner of this game will move to 5-0 with a very manageable schedule over the next two weeks. Ole Miss, which has the tougher overall schedule the rest of the way, plays at Vanderbilt then at home against Auburn. Kentucky has home games against South Carolina and Mississippi State before getting a bye week.
This will be Ole Miss’ first SEC game, and coach Lane Kiffin said it’s obvious that this will be the “best talent that we’ve played on defense.”
Ole Miss’ running game has been lights out, although Zach Evans was limited in the 35-27 win over Tulsa last week with what Kiffin called a “medical thing.” The Rebels slumbered through the second half of that game offensively after leading 35-14 in the second quarter. If Evans is healthy, along with freshman Quinshon Judkins and SMU transfer Ulysses Bentley IV, the Rebels are as talented at running back as any team in the country. They’re ranked fourth nationally in rushing offense (280.7 yards per game), but Kentucky’s defense is allowing just 108.2 rushing yards per game.
While getting a healthy Evans back will be critical for Ole Miss, some of the best news for Kentucky is that senior running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. will make his first appearance of the season after sitting out the first four games because of an NCAA matter. Rodriguez was the SEC’s leading returning rusher after gaining 1,379 yards a year ago, and he is especially adept at getting the tough yards after contact. The Wildcats desperately need a jolt in the running game. They haven’t been able to run it at all this season, ranking 123rd nationally with an average of 81.5 yards per game. They’ve managed just three rushing touchdowns in four games.
Kentucky quarterback Will Levis, ranked by ESPN’s Mel Kiper as the No. 2 quarterback prospect in the 2023 NFL draft, will welcome Rodriguez back with open arms. Levis has already been sacked 16 times this season.
“He’s such a great weapon to include in this offense and has been itching to get back out there and has been practicing and preparing mentally and staying sharp,” said Levis, who has passed for more than 300 yards in three of his four games this season. “He’s out there on a mission … and we’re pumped to have him back.”
Ole Miss held its first three opponents to 10 or fewer points. The Rebels missed just four tackles in their 42-0 rout of Georgia Tech, but they didn’t tackle nearly as well last week. Kentucky’s offensive line has had its own issues in run blocking and pass blocking. Ole Miss expects to get back defensive tackle JJ Pegues and outside linebacker Khari Coleman from injury this week. Neither played against Tulsa. So the key matchup to watch in this game probably will be Kentucky’s offensive line versus Ole Miss’ defensive front seven.
The only Power 5 teams with better records than Kentucky and Ole Miss (both 15-3) over the past 18 games are Georgia (17-1) and Alabama, Michigan and Oklahoma State (all 16-2). Ole Miss has won 12 straight home games, and Kiffin earlier this week offered a subtle challenge to the fans, many of whom scattered at halftime last week.
“When you come back [after halftime] and run out the tunnel and it looks like a high school game playing in a college stadium, you can’t let that affect you,” said Kiffin, whose Rebels were shut out in the second half against Tulsa.
Kentucky is 7-11 in true SEC road games going back to the start of the 2018 season, but the Wildcats have already passed one tough road test this season when they beat Florida 26-16 at the Swamp in Week 2. — Chris Low
No. 4 Michigan Wolverines at Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday, noon ET, Fox)
In 2016, an undefeated Michigan team traveled to Iowa City to play Iowa the week after defeating Maryland at home.
The Wolverines were ranked and picked to win that game, but they ended up losing 14-13. Now, an undefeated Michigan team is traveling to Iowa City to play the Hawkeyes the week after beating Maryland at home — and the Wolverines are not looking to repeat history.
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh knows Kinnick Stadium can be a hostile environment and has seen firsthand how difficult it can be to play at Iowa.
“As they say, it’s where top-five teams go to die,” Harbaugh told reporters this week. “I think the biggest thing is just how good the team is. You turn on the offensive tape and yeah, it’s a Kirk Ferentz-coached offense. I mean, everything is detailed, everything’s precise, same fundamentals, and they just get so good at what they’re doing that they beat you with execution.”
Since 2008, Iowa is 5-1 against top-five teams at home, and the team is hoping to continue that streak this week. The Hawkeyes have struggled on offense, though, and Ferentz said it’s going to be a difficult task to come out on top.
The two played last season in the Big Ten championship game, and Michigan won handily 42-3.
“We’re going to have to play really well all three phases. Just a basic answer there — and every play,” Ferentz said. “That’s the biggest thing. Then hopefully, we can get them to slip up or make a mistake or two, but they haven’t made a lot of them this year, so it’s going to be a challenge.”
While Iowa’s offense has had its struggles, the defense has been very good. The Hawkeyes rank No. 6 in rush yards allowed per game, only allowing 73 yards on average. In four games, no team has scored a rushing touchdown against Iowa.
Michigan’s strength has been in the run game, so that’s likely where the two will clash the most. The Wolverines rank No. 11 in rush yards per game, averaging 234.3 yards. Running back Blake Corum just ran for 243 yards and two touchdowns against Maryland, so it’ll be arduous for Iowa to stop Michigan and the run game.
“It’s a scheme that’s flawless, everybody where they’re supposed to be when they’re supposed to be there, playing the techniques, they’re supposed to be there. So, the challenge is that it makes you on offense be really tight, tight,” Harbaugh said. “Not the time to lighten up. It’s the time to tighten up in every aspect of our offensive technique and fundamentals, alignments and assignments. So, it’s been 48 hours of looking at that and looking at it every possible way that we can improve ourselves.” — Tom VanHaaren
No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)
Expect a battle at the line of scrimmage come Saturday afternoon in Fayetteville.
The Razorbacks’ offensive line is physical and imposing. Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban said the Arkansas linemen take after the personality of their coach, Sam Pittman, who made a name for himself coaching the position. How their offensive tackles Luke Jones and Dalton Wagner hold up against Alabama standout edge rushers Will Anderson Jr. and Dallas Turner could determine whether quarterback KJ Jefferson has the time needed to make plays in the passing game.
But the same could be said of Alabama’s offensive line and its quarterback, Bryce Young. Three weeks ago, the Tide line faltered at Texas, giving up too many pressures and committing too many penalties. It felt like a continuum of last season’s struggles at the position. And while the past two games have seen a noticeable improvement in both areas, it’s worth noting that the competition wasn’t exactly stiff against Louisiana Monroe and Vanderbilt.
Going against Arkansas’ pass rush might be the toughest test possible. The Hogs currently lead the FBS with 20 sacks. And they’re led by a former Alabama linebacker in Drew Sanders, who is 6-foot-5 and 244 pounds and is tied for the most sacks in the country with 5.5. Arkansas’ Jordan Domineck, Landon Jackson and Zach Williams can turn up the heat as well.
Last season, Arkansas went into Tuscaloosa and nearly beat Alabama, losing by a touchdown. Jefferson said that experience was a signal that, “We can compete with anybody.”
But now the Razorbacks want to close the gap.
Veteran Arkansas linebacker Bumper Pool pointed to one defensive inefficiency in the past: “Getting to the passer.”
Well, that doesn’t appear to be a problem anymore.
At SEC media days, Pool was asked what was the ceiling for this Arkansas team?
“I don’t think there’s a ceiling,” he said. “But there isn’t a floor. It’s the SEC. So anything can happen.” — Alex Scarborough
No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 16 Baylor Bears (Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, Fox)
As Spencer Sanders goes, so goes Oklahoma State. The preseason All-Big 12 quarterback already has thrown for 916 yards with 10 touchdowns and one interception in three games, as the Cowboys are averaging 49.7 points per game, second nationally behind Michigan.
“We let [Sanders] do whatever he wants to do,” Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy said this week. “He goes at it, has fun. He’s a risk-taker. He’ll run more, takes more hits than he should. He’ll throw into coverage some, but it’s kind of the way it is. We have a lot of confidence in him to allow him to go out and make his plays.”
But Baylor, in particular, has bedeviled Sanders. Since Dave Aranda arrived in Waco, Texas, Sanders has played in 21 games, throwing 20 interceptions over that span. Nine of those picks came in three games against Baylor, with seven in two games last season, including four at AT&T Stadium in a 21-16 loss to the Bears in the Big 12 title game.
“I think four of [the seven interceptions against Baylor last year], he was being hit when he let go of the ball. … I’m not really concerned about it based on the number of turnovers that he had,” Gundy said of Sanders. “He was being hit when he threw the ball.”
Baylor coach Dave Aranda cautioned his team not to lean on that history and said he has been impressed with what he has seen from Sanders.
“Offensively, quarterback really stands out,” Aranda said. “Really playing fast. Looks faster, playing confident.”
Gundy said in particular that Siaki Ika, Baylor’s 6-foot-4, 358-pound nose tackle, poses a threat up front when trying to protect Sanders from taking those hits.
“He’s an issue. He’s a problem,” Gundy said of Ika. “He should be playing on Sundays right now. We definitely have to know where he’s at.”
Baylor, meanwhile, is led by QB Blake Shapen, who completed his first 17 passes against the Cowboys in the title game last year and averages 193.3 passing yards per game with seven TDs to one interception.
It’s a stylistic battle of contrasts, with Aranda’s ball-control offense and tough defense going up against Gundy’s high-flying offense. The Bears are tough in Waco, winning nine straight at home. ESPN’s FPI gives Baylor a 65.3% chance to win. — Dave Wilson
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Snitker won’t return as Braves manager in 2026
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2 hours agoon
October 1, 2025By
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ESPN News Services
Oct 1, 2025, 10:56 AM ET
Brian Snitker, who guided the Braves to the 2021 World Series championship, will not return as manager after Atlanta failed to make the postseason for the first time since 2017.
The Braves announced the end of Snitker’s 10-year run as manager Wednesday, adding that he will remain with the organization in an advisory role in 2026.
Snitker informed the Braves of his decision Tuesday, sources told ESPN’s Jeff Passan.
Snitker, whose contract expired after this season, has been with the Braves organization in some capacity as a player, coach and manager since 1977.
He was named interim replacement to then-Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez in May 2016 and was elevated to the permanent role before the start of the 2017 season.
“I’ve teetered on the fence [about retirement],” Snitker said after the Braves’ final game on Sept. 28. “I’ve never been through this before. I wasn’t sure how to navigate it. I’ve talked to a lot of people who have been through it who got some good advice. I’ve just tried to stay in the moment and focus on today … As we’re sitting here right now, I still feel good.”
The Braves went 76-86 this season, finishing fourth in the National League East and ending a streak of seven consecutive postseason appearances. That run included six straight NL East titles from 2018-2023 and the franchise’s first World Series victory since 1995.
Braves general manager and president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos said on Sept. 8 that Snitker, 69, will be a “Brave for life” but did not go into detail about the manager’s future.
Snitker said he was encouraged by Atlanta’s play in the final month-plus of the season, which included a 10-game winning streak from Sept. 14 to Sept. 23.
The Braves went 811-668 in their eight-plus seasons under Snitker.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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MLB wild-card series Day 2: Keys to forcing Game 3, lineups and analysis
Published
2 hours agoon
October 1, 2025By
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Who is ready for some more MLB playoff action?
After the first day of the wild-card round featured close wins by the Detroit Tigers, San Diego Padres and Boston Red Sox, it’s time for the first potential elimination day of the 2025 postseason.
Who will stay alive and who will be sent packing?
We’ve got you covered with pregame lineups, keys to forcing Game 3, sights and sounds from the ballparks, and postgame takeaways as each Day 2 matchup ends.
Key links: Megapreview | Day 1 lessons | Bracket | Schedule
Jump to a matchup:
DET-CLE | SD-CHC | BOS-NYY | CIN-LAD
1 p.m. ET on ESPN
Tigers lead 1-0
Game 2 starters: Casey Mize vs. Tanner Bibee
What the Guardians need to do to force Game 3: Figure out a way to score some runs. Hey, at least they won’t be facing Tarik Skubal. The Guardians’ best bet is to have Jose Ramirez or Kyle Manzardo run into something, as Mize can be vulnerable to the home run at times (21 allowed in 149 innings). But maybe Cleveland can get Mize to run up his count and force AJ Hinch to go a little earlier than he would like to a Detroit bullpen that was shaky in September (2-8, 4.58 ERA) and especially struggled in close games. — David Schoenfield
Lineups
Tigers
1. Parker Meadows (L) CF
2. Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
3. Kerry Carpenter (L) DH
4. Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
5. Riley Greene (L) LF
6. Wenceel Perez (S) RF
7. Dillon Dingler (R) C
8. Zach McKinstry (L) 3B
9. Javier Baez (R) SS
Guardians
1. Steven Kwan (L) LF
2. George Valera (L) RF
3. Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
4. Kyle Manzardo (L) DH
5. Bo Naylor (L) C
6. Gabriel Arias (R) SS
7. Chase DeLauter (L) CF
8. CJ Kayfus (L) 1B
9. Brayan Rocchio (S) 2B
3 p.m. ET on ABC
Cubs lead 1-0
Game 2 starters: Dylan Cease vs. Andrew Kittredge
What the Padres need to do to force Game 3: As dominant as the Cubs’ bullpen looked in Game 1, that suggests the Padres will need to take an early lead and hand the game to their bullpen while ahead. And that means getting a strong effort from Cease. But his home/away splits were pretty dramatic this year: Cease went 7-3 with a 3.61 ERA at home and 1-9 with a 5.58 ERA on the road. That ERA difference might be a little misleading, as his secondary stats are similar, other than a dip in his strikeout rate (12.2 K’s per nine at home, 10.8 on the road). Given the must-win nature for the Padres, Mike Shildt will have a quick hook anyway. But the Padres probably will need at least four innings from Cease — and probably with 0 or 1 in the runs allowed column. — Schoenfield
Lineups
Padres
TBD
Cubs
TBD
6 p.m. ET on ESPN
Red Sox lead 1-0
Game 2 starters: Brayan Bello vs. Carlos Rodon
What the Yankees need to do to force Game 3: The Yankees need Rodón to pitch deep into Game 3. For as well as Max Fried pitched in Game 1, the Yankees’ bullpen immediately imploded upon his exit, and the offense couldn’t recover against Garrett Crochet and Aroldis Chapman. The best way to avoid another letdown by the bullpen is to minimize its impact on the game, which would allow the group to rest up for a do-or-die Game 3. — Jorge Castillo
Lineups
Red Sox
TBD
Yankees
TBD
9 p.m. ET on ESPN
Dodgers lead 1-0
Game 2 starters: Zack Littell vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
What the Reds need to do to force Game 3: Well, not allowing five home runs is a good start. Look, this is going to be a difficult game against Yamamoto, who allowed just three runs over his final five starts of the regular season. The best hope for the Reds is a performance where Yamamoto struggles with his control, which rarely occurs but did happen in one September start when he walked six batters. That would lead to a high pitch count and a relatively early exit, allowing the Reds to get into the Dodgers’ bullpen — a unit that was certainly an issue for L.A. throughout the season and didn’t distinguish itself in the late innings of Game 1. — Schoenfield
Lineups
Reds
TBD
Dodgers
TBD
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World Series Drought-Buster Watch: Which MLB playoff teams could end longest runs without titles?
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2 hours agoon
October 1, 2025By
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David SchoenfieldOct 1, 2025, 10:39 AM ET
Close- Covers MLB for ESPN.com
- Former deputy editor of Page 2
- Been with ESPN.com since 1995
Mathematical probability, in a perfectly equitable distribution of championships, means each MLB team would win a World Series once every 30 years. That is not the world we live in, of course, so many franchises have experienced long title droughts that have stretched into multiple decades. There is even one that has never appeared in the Fall Classic.
That establishes a super fun element to this year’s postseason. We have seven playoff teams who have gone longer than 30 years since their last World Series championship — including the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, who have never won, and the Seattle Mariners, who have still never reached the World Series 48 years into their franchise history.
Maybe, just maybe, some team’s long-suffering fans will experience that euphoria of winning the final game of the season.
Yes, it’s the year of the World Series Drought-Buster Watch. Let’s look at those seven franchises, what went wrong through the years, and why this may finally be The Year.
Last World Series title: 1948
Last World Series appearance: 2016 (lost to the Cubs in seven games).
Closest call since then: Lost the 2024 ALCS to the Yankees in five games.
Three painful postseason moments:
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Led Game 7 of the 1997 World Series against the Marlins 2-1 in the ninth inning, but the Marlins tied the score off closer Jose Mesa. In the bottom of the 11th, second baseman Tony Fernandez let a slow grounder hit by Florida’s Craig Counsell go under his glove for an error, setting up Edgar Renteria’s walk-off hit.
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In Game 7 of the 2016 World Series against the Cubs, Rajai Davis’ three-run homer in the eighth miraculously tied the score, but the Cubs scored twice in the top of the 10th. Davis’ two-out single in the bottom of the inning made it 8-7, but Cleveland was left with light-hitting Michael Martinez at the plate with two outs and the World Series on the line. Terry Francona had inserted Martinez in the ninth inning to get a better outfield arm in the game when the Cubs got a runner to third base. Martinez hit a slow bouncer to third base to end the game.
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The best Cleveland team ever, the 1995 squad with one of the greatest lineups of all time, loses the clinching Game 6 of the World Series 1-0 to Atlanta while registering just one hit with the only run of the game coming on a David Justice home run off reliever Jim Poole.
Why they haven’t won: Can’t win the big game.
No franchise has suffered more postseason agony, at least since the Red Sox broke through in 2004.Though the Cleveland franchise was certainly dreadful for most of the 1960s, ’70s and ’80s, it has been consistently competitive since 1995, making the postseason 15 times and ranking sixth in overall wins during that span.
But the Guardians are 2-8 in winner-take-all games, winning the first of those in the 1997 ALDS and beating the Tigers in Game 5 of last year’s ALDS, but losing eight in a row in between. Along the way, they blew:
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A 2-0 lead in the 1999 ALDS, losing the final two games to Boston by scores of 23-7 and 12-8.
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A 2-1 lead to Seattle in the 2001 ALDS.
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A 3-1 lead to Boston in the 2007 ALCS, losing the final three games 7-1, 12-2 and 11-2.
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A 3-1 lead in the 2016 World Series, losing the final two games at home.
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A 2-0 lead to the Yankees in the 2017 ALDS.
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A 2-1 lead to the Yankees in the 2022 ALDS.
In those six series, they had 16 chances to close out a series and went 0-16.
Why this could be the year: Cleveland has certainly had better and more glamorous teams than this one. Indeed, with a negative run differential on the season, this is one of the weakest teams ever to make the postseason. The Guardians struggle to score runs. But they can pitch — and the pitching is peaking at the right time. In going 18-4 to close out the regular season, they allowed just 45 runs in 22 games, allowing two or fewer runs in 17 of those.
This team also doesn’t have the burden of expectations like those superstar-laden squads of the late ’90s, or even the 2016 and 2017 squads, which won 94 and 102 games, respectively. On the other hand, if we look at the teams who broke long World Series droughts in the past 20 years, they were all powerhouse clubs: the 2004 Red Sox (98 wins), the 2005 White Sox (99 wins), the 2016 Cubs (103 wins), the 2017 Astros (101 wins). Even the 2023 Rangers, while essentially a one-year fluke and winners of just 90 games, still posted a run differential of plus-165.
But in this year of unpredictability, maybe it’s simply Cleveland’s year.
Milwaukee Brewers
Last World Series title: None (franchise debuted in 1969, moved to Milwaukee in 1970).
Last World Series appearance: 1982 (lost to the Cardinals in seven games).
Closest call since then: Lost the 2018 NLCS to the Dodgers in seven games.
Three painful postseason moments:
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Leading 3-1 in the bottom of the sixth inning in Game 7 of the 1982 World Series, the Cardinals load the bases with one out. Keith Hernandez hits a two-run single off Bob McClure and George Hendrick follows with a go-ahead single as the Cardinals go on to a 6-3 win. Brewers fans will always wonder what the outcome might have been if Hall of Fame reliever Rollie Fingers, who got injured in September, had not missed the World Series.
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Pete Alonso‘s three-run, go-ahead home run in the ninth inning off Devin Williams in last year’s Game 3 of the wild-card series.
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Leading the Nationals 3-1 in the bottom of the eighth of the 2019 wild-card game, Josh Hader loads the bases with a hit batter, single and walk. With two outs, Juan Soto singles to right field and rookie Trent Grisham overruns the ball, allowing all three runners to score.
Why they haven’t won: Lack of offense has led to early playoff exits.
For a long time, the Brewers were just bad. They didn’t have a winning season from 1993 to 2006. Current owner Mark Attanasio bought the team from the Selig family in 2005, however, and after a breakthrough season in 2008, the Brewers have mostly been competitive since, despite the challenges of playing in MLB’s smallest market. The Prince Fielder-Ryan Braun teams were built around offense, but the teams under managers Craig Counsell and now Pat Murphy have centered more on pitching, defense, speed and doing the little things well.
While Christian Yelich was an MVP in 2018 and runner-up in 2019, the recent teams have often lacked one true offensive star to anchor the lineup. That’s one reason the Brewers have had trouble scoring enough runs in the postseason, and that has led to losses in that 2019 wild-card game and wild-card series in 2020, 2023 and 2024. They were in the NLDS in 2021, but scored just six runs in four games, including two shutouts. Overall, the Brewers have gone 2-10 in the playoffs since 2019 entering this year and have hit just .229/.290/.351.
Why this could be the year: Even though the Brewers still don’t have that superstar hitter and rank below average in home runs, this is a deep, good offensive team. Only the Yankees and Dodgers scored more runs during the regular season. Only the Blue Jays struck out less among the playoff teams. And the Brewers do have guys who can hit home runs: Yelich has had his best power season since 2019; Brice Turang has slugged over .500 in the second half; Jackson Chourio can hit it out; and William Contreras hit nine home runs in August, so if he gets hot at the right time, he can help carry a lineup.
The Brewers also earned the No. 1 overall seed and have played well at home, with a 51-29 record. That could be a nice advantage. And even without the injured Trevor Megill, this is a strong bullpen with hard-throwing Abner Uribe capable of closing down leads. The Brewers had the best record for a reason: They’ve quieted skeptics and have remained the most consistent team all season long.
San Diego Padres
Last World Series title: None (franchise debuted in 1969).
Last World Series appearance: 1998 (lost to the Yankees in four games).
Closest call since then: Lost the 2022 NLCS to the Phillies in five games.
Three painful postseason moments:
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Game 1 of the 1998 World Series is tied 5-5 with two outs and the bases loaded in the bottom of the seventh. Mark Langston appears to strike out Tino Martinez on a 2-2 fastball right at the knees, but umpire Rich Garcia calls it a ball. Martinez belts the next pitch for a grand slam.
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Trying to stay alive in the 2022 NLCS and send the series back to San Diego, the Padres lead the Phillies 3-2 in the bottom of the eighth. With a runner on first, Bryce Harper fouls off three fastballs from Robert Suarez, spits on a changeup, then belts a 99 mph heater over the fence in left field for the series-winning home run.
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Up two games to one in last year’s NLDS against the hated Dodgers, the Padres are shut out in the final two games. The final 19 batters in Game 5 are retired in order as the Dodgers win the series clincher 2-0.
Why they haven’t won: Until the late Peter Seidler became chairman, the Padres never had owners completely invested in winning. Since 2020 they’ve tried hard to get over the hump — but haven’t.
The Padres’ tormented history has featured periodic bouts of success — a surprise World Series team in 1984 and another in 1998 — but mostly a lot of losing. Under Tom Werner, there was the infamous teardown in 1993 when an order to reduce payroll resulted in the trades of Fred McGriff and Gary Sheffield. From 2007 through 2019, they made the playoffs, finishing over .500 just two of those years. But a rebuild in the late 2010s combined with an infusion of cash under Seidler has led to fun and competitive teams since 2020, with big crowds and now four playoff appearances in six years.
In two of those three years, they’ve met their archrival Dodgers, beating them in the 2022 NLDS, but losing in 2020 and then last year’s frustrating NLDS. The Padres’ offense seems to go cold at the wrong time — Manny Machado has not been a great postseason hitter for them and Juan Soto didn’t have a good one in his one postseason with the Padres in 2022 (and Fernando Tatis Jr. was out that season).
Why this could be the year: Bullpen, bullpen, bullpen. The Padres have perhaps the best one in the majors, even without injured All-Star Jason Adam. Suarez and Mason Miller provide a late-game pair of flamethrowers, Adrian Morejon is one of the best lefty relievers in the game, Jeremiah Estrada is a strikeout machine. and there is more depth beyond those four. Nick Pivetta had a terrific year to lead the rotation, and Dylan Cease, despite a down year, has the strikeout stuff that could play well in October.
The question: Can they hit enough home runs to score enough runs? A.J. Preller did improve the offense with the trade deadline acquisitions of Ramon Laureano (who is out with a fractured finger), Ryan O’Hearn and Freddy Fermin, but the Padres are still just 12th in OPS and 18th in home runs since then. We have to factor Petco Park into those numbers a bit, but the Padres will need their stars — Machado and Tatis — to step up. If they do, the bullpen can do the rest.
Seattle Mariners
Last World Series title: None (franchise debuted in 1977).
Last World Series appearance: None.
Closest call: Lost the 1995 ALCS to Cleveland and the 2000 ALCS to the Yankees, both in six games. Also lost the 2001 ALCS in five games. Were up 2-1 in the 1995 ALCS against Cleveland, but a powerful Mariners lineup got shut out twice in the final three games.
Three painful postseason moments:
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Leading 1-0 and looking to tie the 2001 ALCS against the Yankees at two games apiece, New York’s Bernie Williams ties the game with an eighth-inning home run off Arthur Rhodes, and Alfonso Soriano hits a walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth off Kazuhiro Sasaki.
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Rhodes again. In Game 6 of the 2000 ALCS, the Mariners are leading the Yankees 4-3 in the seventh when David Justice blasts a three-run homer off Rhodes and sends Yankee Stadium into a deafening roar.
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Back in the playoffs in 2022 for the first time since 2001, the Mariners lead the Astros 7-3 in the eighth inning in the division series. Alex Bregman hits a two-run homer in the eighth. With two on and two outs in the bottom of the ninth, manager Scott Servais summons starter Robbie Ray out of the bullpen to face Yordan Alvarez. Wrong decision. Alvarez blasts a game-winning three-run homer.
Why they haven’t won: Bad offenses and, for the longest time, bad drafting. And just missing the playoffs.
The Mariners couldn’t win in the mid-to-late ’90s despite a roster that featured Ken Griffey Jr., Randy Johnson, Alex Rodriguez and Edgar Martinez. Then came the miracle season of 2001, when they won a record 116 games with only Martinez still on the roster. Then came the long playoff drought, from 2002 to 2021. Those teams were marked mostly by inept offense: They once finished last in the AL in runs four straight seasons. In 2010, they traded for Cliff Lee and went all-in on pitching and defense. ESPN The Magazine put them on its cover. They lost 101 games.
Jerry Dipoto was hired as GM after the 2015 season and began turning things around. He drafted Logan Gilbert and George Kirby in the first round in 2018 and 2019, Cal Raleigh was a third-round pick in 2018, Bryan Woo was a sixth-round pick in 2021. The organization signed Julio Rodriguez in 2017. Since 2021, the Mariners have had five straight winning seasons and are seventh in the majors in wins — but this is only their second playoff appearance, having just missed in 2021, 2023 and 2024.
Why this could be the year: With Raleigh’s historic campaign leading the way, this is the best offense the Mariners have had in 25 years, with their highest wRC+ since 2001. Dipoto’s deadline trades for Josh Naylor and Eugenio Suarez created one of the best one-through-nine groups in the majors. They ranked third in the majors in home runs, and Rodriguez, Randy Arozarena and Naylor (!) each stole 30 bases. The Mariners’ bullpen isn’t super deep but the late-game foursome of Andres Munoz, Matt Brash, Eduard Bazardo and Gabe Speier has been reliable.
As that stretch of 17 wins in 18 games in September showed, the starting pitching might finally be living up to the preseason expectations following a stellar 2024 season. The concern is Woo’s health. Seattle’s best starter all season with 15 wins and a 2.97 ERA, Woo left his final start with inflammation in his pectoral muscle. The Mariners still have Gilbert, Kirby and Luis Castillo, but if the only franchise never to reach a World Series is to get there, a healthy Woo feels necessary.
Last World Series title: 1984
Last World Series appearance: 2012 (lost to the Giants in four games).
Closest call since then: Lost the 2013 ALCS to the Red Sox in six games.
Three painful postseason moments:
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Leading 5-1 against the Red Sox in Game 2 of the 2013 ALCS and looking to go up two games to none in the series, David Ortiz ties the game in the eighth inning with a two-out, first-pitch grand slam off Joaquin Benoit, a play that sees Tigers right fielder Torii Hunter take a tumble over the wall and into the bullpen area at Fenway Park. The Red Sox walk it off the next inning with the help of an error and wild pitch.
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Game 6 of the same series, the Tigers are leading 2-1 in the seventh inning of Game 6 when Jose Iglesias makes another critical error. Jose Veras enters to face Shane Victorino, who belts a grand slam.
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Game 5 of last year’s ALDS against Cleveland, score tied 1-1 in the fifth, Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal serves up, yes, a grand slam to Lane Thomas.
Why they haven’t won: Couldn’t get it done with the Justin Verlander/Miguel Cabrera/Max Scherzer teams.
The Tigers had two long dry spells of ineptitude since that last championship in 1984. From 1994 to 2005, they suffered 12 consecutive losing seasons, including years with 106, 109 and 119 losses. From 2017 to 2023, it was seven straight losing seasons, including a 114-loss year in 2019.
Between those bad spells, however, were teams featuring the three future Hall of Famers. The Tigers made four straight postseasons from 2011 to 2014 but couldn’t get over the top. Dave Dombrowski’s teams were always top-heavy in stars but lacking in depth — and, usually, it was the bullpen that would bite the Tigers in the playoffs. Then Scherzer left as a free agent, Cabrera battled injuries and stopped hitting and Verlander was prematurely traded in 2017 with minimal return. The Tigers entered a rebuilding period that finally resulted in the franchise’s first playoff appearance in a decade in 2024.
Why this could be the year: The end of the regular season certainly doesn’t inspire much confidence after the Tigers went 7-17 in September and blew a 10-game lead to lose the division title. They just need to find their first-half mojo when they had the best record in the majors on July 6. It helps to have an ace like Skubal who can carry the rotation, and A.J. Hinch still has the same versatile roster he deployed so successfully for most of the season. Many believe Hinch is the best in-game manager in the business, and maybe that will be the difference-maker in a wide-open postseason.
Last World Series title: 1990
Last World Series appearance: 1990 (beat the A’s in four games).
Closest call since then: Lost the 1995 NLCS to the Braves in four games.
Three painful postseason moments:
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In Game 1 of the 2012 NLDS against the Giants, Reds ace Johnny Cueto leaves his start after eight pitches with a back injury. The Reds lose the game and, minus Cueto the rest of the series, lose in five games.
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In Game 5 of that series, the Reds are trailing 6-3 but rallying with two on and nobody out in the bottom of the sixth. But Ryan Hanigan strikes out looking on a 3-2 pitch and, with the runners moving, Jay Bruce is thrown out trying to steal third. Rally over. The Reds lose 6-4.
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In Game 1 of the 1995 NLCS, Pete Schourek is trying to finish off a shutout, leading 1-0 heading into the top of the ninth against Atlanta. The Braves tie it up, however, and win in 11 innings. The Braves win Game 2 in extra innings as well and go on to a four-game sweep.
Why they haven’t won: Bad owners … and one very bad trade.
The Reds were competitive throughout the 1990s and won 96 games in 1999, the year Carl Lindner bought the team from Marge Schott, although they lost a tiebreaker game to the Mets and missed the playoffs. That offseason, GM Jim Bowden pulled off one of the biggest blockbusters in MLB history, acquiring Ken Griffey Jr. from the Mariners.
The trade turned out to be a disaster. Griffey had trouble staying healthy and wasn’t very productive while chewing up a large chunk of the payroll. The Reds had a losing season every year from 2001 to 2009. Bob Castellini purchased the team in 2005, and a new wave of young players led by Joey Votto, and with manager Dusty Baker at the helm, made the playoffs three times in four seasons, including two National League Central titles. The Reds’ payroll climbed as high as 11th in the majors in 2014 but that didn’t last long. By 2016, the Reds were back to 28th in payroll and losing 94 games.
The Reds rarely spend money in free agency. When they signed Mike Moustakas and Nick Castellanos for $64 million each in 2020, it was the first time they had ever signed a free agent for more than $50 million. By 2022, they were back to cutting payroll. Without an owner willing to go the extra mile, the Reds have found it difficult to make the playoffs — let alone win it all.
Why this could be the year: Hunter Greene, Nick Lodolo and Andrew Abbott. The Reds don’t score a lot of runs but they have a chance to prevent them. That young rotation trio is reminiscent of the 2003 Florida Marlins, a wild-card team that rode a young rotation to a World Series title, with Greene taking on the role of Josh Beckett, as the hard-throwing ace of the staff and ability to blow away an opponent in any given game. The Marlins also had a 20-year-old rookie named Miguel Cabrera who was batting cleanup by the World Series. The Reds have 21-year-old rookie in Sal Stewart, who has played just 18 games but has already spent some time batting cleanup.
And don’t overlook Terry Francona. He has been here before. He knows how to manage in the postseason, with the necessary urgency and the ability to get players to believe in themselves. He won’t be afraid, for example, to use rookie righty Chase Burns as a high-leverage option out of the bullpen, even though Burns has just 43 innings in the majors and even spent most of short time in the majors as a starter.
Last World Series title: 1993
Last World Series appearance: 1993 (beat the Phillies in six games).
Closest call since then: Lost the 2015 ALCS in six games to Kansas City. Also lost the 2016 ALCS, in five games, to Cleveland.
Three painful postseason moments:
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Game 6 of the 2015 ALCS is tied in the eighth when Kansas City’s Lorenzo Cain draws a leadoff walk. Eric Hosmer then singles to right field with Cain heading to third, and when Jose Bautista throws the ball into second base, Cain keeps on sprinting home for the winning run in a 4-3 victory.
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In Game 2 of that series, the Blue Jays lead 3-0 in the seventh but manager John Gibbons leaves in a tiring David Price to give up five hits and five runs.
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The Blue Jays blow an 8-2 lead at home in Game 2 of the 2022 wild-card series against Seattle. The winning runs come up when J.P. Crawford clears the bases with a bloop double to center field as a diving George Springer collides with Bo Bichette.
Why they haven’t won: A tough division and the bats going dry in October.
After back-to-back World Series titles in ’92 and ’93, the Blue Jays went 20 years without a playoff appearance even though they were rarely bad in that period. They just couldn’t beat the Yankees and Red Sox or, later, the Rays and Orioles. They finally broke through and won the American League East in 2015 with the Josh Donaldson/Jose Bautista team that scored 127 more runs than any other AL team. They lost to the Royals in the ALCS that year and to Cleveland in 2016 — when the Jays scored just eight runs in five games. Remember when Cleveland had to start an obscure minor leaguer named Ryan Merritt, who had started one game in the majors, in Game 5 because they had no other starters? He tossed 4⅔ shutout innings.
In recent years, the Blue Jays went 0-6 in wild-card series in 2020, 2022 and 2023, scoring three runs in 2020, getting shut out once in 2022, and scoring one run in two games against the Twins in 2023. Entering 2025, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit .136 in six playoff games (no home runs, one RBI) and Bichette .273 with the same no home runs and one RBI.
Why this could be the year: This is a better Blue Jays club than those last three playoff teams. They have home-field advantage throughout the AL bracket and went 54-27 at home. Since May 27, only the Brewers have a better record, and they do things that work in postseason baseball: They play good defense and they had the lowest strikeout rate in the majors. Kevin Gausman and Shane Bieber give them a strong 1-2 punch and rookie Trey Yesavage could be a huge secret weapon, either as a starter or reliever, despite just 14 innings in the majors. Plus, Guerrero and Bichette (if he’s healthy) are due to finally do something in October.
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