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Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng will meet the head of the UK’s independent fiscal watchdog today amid the fall-out from the government’s mini-budget.

The talks with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) come after a week of economic turmoil following last Friday’s announcements, which saw the pound plunge, mortgages rocked and pension funds needing to be saved.

It is highly unusual for a PM to attend an OBR meeting – which is usually held between the independent watchdog and the chancellor to discuss upcoming economic forecasts – but the Treasury has denied that this is an emergency measure.

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The OBR was set up by the government in 2010 to provide independent analysis of the UK’s public finances.

Financial Secretary to the Treasury Andrew Griffith said it was “a very good idea” for the meeting to take place, but former Bank of England deputy governor Sir Charles Bean told Sky News “there is an element of closing the stable door after the horse has bolted”.

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Senior Tory blames mini-budget for turmoil

The news came hours after the Treasury Select Committee, made up of MPs from all parties, demanded that the chancellor release a full economic forecast from the OBR by the end of October.

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He is also being urged to bring forward his medium-term budget from 23 November.

Mr Griffith hinted to Sky News that a report could come sooner, saying the independent OBR has “got to be given the freedom and ability to do that”.

But, he added: “That’s a decision for them. It’s not for me or anyone else to dictate that to them.”

Ms Truss and Mr Kwarteng have said they are still committed to their policies – and argue that a £45bn package of tax cuts is the “right plan” for the economy.

But Labour’s shadow business secretary Jonathan Reynolds said the mini-budget was “without question one of the biggest unforced errors in policymaking in this country’s history”.

He reiterated the demand of his and other opposition parties to recall parliament and reverse the fiscal measures.

No independent OBR forecast accompanied last week’s announcements – but the watchdog said it had prepared a draft for the new chancellor on his first day in office.

The absence of this forecast reportedly contributed to concerns in the City.

Mr Griffith insisted a forecast last Friday would not have been able to “reflect [the] economic growth in their numbers” that he claimed would come from government policies, as the measures would have been “finalised in the hours before the chancellor stood up”.

But Mel Stride, Conservative chair of the Treasury Select Committee, had said in his letter to the chancellor it is “hard to conclude other than that an absence of a forecast has in some part driven the lack of confidence in markets”.

He added: “Some have formed the unfortunate impression that the government may be seeking to avoid scrutiny, possibly on account of expecting the OBR forecast to be unsupportive of the achievement of the economic outcomes the government expects from the Growth Plan, including 2.5% trend growth in the medium term.”

Sir Charles agreed, saying the lack of forecast was “clearly one of the factors that is contributing to the market turmoil”.

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Chancellor ‘sticking with growth plan’

Mr Kwarteng had said the forecast would be released on 23 November – but after last Friday’s mini-budget caused economic turmoil, the committee discovered the chancellor will be getting an initial OBR forecast on 7 October.

They asked him to publish “without delay” the initial economic and fiscal forecast the OBR provided to him when he started the job a few weeks ago.

A reply from the chancellor has been requested for no later than Monday.

Mr Stride also expressed frustration in his letter at having pressed Mr Kwarteng and his predecessor Nadhim Zahawi to publish an OBR forecast before the mini-budget and said the OBR had assured him on 26 August that it could produce a forecast to that timescale and had already been working on it for a month.

“The OBR was standing by ready to provide a meaningful forecast alongside the 23 September statement had the Treasury requested it. No such request was received,” Mr Stride said.

Mr Stride said he was pleased to see the OBR meeting happening.

“The PM and the chancellor must use this meeting as a reset moment – an opportunity to urgently bring forward the OBR forecast incorporating credible new fiscal rules and a plan which the OBR assesses as having a good chance of meeting them.

“Then we can all take a deep breath and start to move forward with greater confidence.”

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The senior Tory told Sky News’ Daily Podcast earlier on Thursday: “Many colleagues are very concerned, and I think that’s totally unsurprising.

“I mean, I can speak for myself. I’m on the record as saying that I think if we’re not very careful, then our position as being the party of sound money and economic responsibility, fiscal responsibility, may be in jeopardy.”

Mr Stride added that he did not think it was incompetence that caused the current problems and suspects “some of those involved have been taken slightly by surprise how quickly the markets turned” but he thinks publishing an OBR forecast would be central to calming the markets by “demonstrating credibility”.

A YouGov poll for The Times shows Labour has opened up a massive 33-point lead over the Conservatives.

Tory MP Sir Charles Walker admitted his party would be “wiped out” if an election was called tomorrow – and “would cease to exist as a functioning political party”.

Mr Griffith tried to urge calm within his party, telling Sky News: “This is a difficult time for all developed economies and for all governments. This is a government that’s taken decisive steps to deal with the immediate energy crisis.”

But former Bank of England top brass Sir Charles took issue with the government’s focus on energy bills and the war in Ukraine, saying: “If all the government had announced last Friday was the energy price guarantee… I don’t think there would have been a problem with there not being an accompanying forecast because those support measures are intended to be temporary and will be self-terminating when wholesale energy prices fall back.

“The thing that created the problem, in my view, was the fact alongside that the chancellor chose to announce the rolling back of National Insurance increases and the slated increase in corporate taxes… and those are intended to be permanent, so they potentially have implications for the sustainability of the public finances.”

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UK weather: New snow warning as temperatures could drop to -16C this week

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UK weather: New snow warning as temperatures could drop to -16C this week

A fresh weather warning for snow has been issued for southern England, with cautions for snow and ice already in place across much of the country.

The Met Office’s yellow weather warning for snow covers the southern counties of England from 9am until midnight on Wednesday.

The warning stretches from Kent to Cornwall and up to south London and the Met Office said between two and five centimetres of snow could accumulate fairly widely, with as much as 10cm over higher ground.

Pic: Met Office
Image:
Pic: Met Office

This week is expected to see the coldest nights of the year, with temperatures potentially reaching -14C on Wednesday night and -16C on Thursday night, both in the North East of England and Scotland, the Met Office said.

Weather warnings issued on Tuesday for snow and ice covering the Midlands, parts of North Wales, the North West of England, west and northern parts of Scotland as well as Northern Ireland will remain in place until midday on Wednesday.

The forecaster said some roads and railways are likely to be affected and there could be icy patches on untreated roads.

Members of the public walk through heavy snowfall on the high street of Saddleworth.
Pic: AP
A woman walks through heavy snowfall on the high street of Saddleworth.
Pic: AP
Image:
Pics: AP

Meanwhile the Environment Agency has said at least 300 properties have flooded across England since New Year’s Eve. It estimates more than 41,000 properties have been protected.

Heavy rainfall over the New Year caused significant river and surface water flooding across the North West of England and Yorkshire and snowmelt has brought further disruption to parts of England, particularly the Midlands, the agency said.

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Man says flooding ‘came out of nowhere’

Floods minister Emma Hardy said: “My sympathies go out to the people, businesses and communities impacted by the recent flooding across the country.

“I want to express my heartfelt thanks for the vital work that the Environment Agency and emergency services are doing to keep people safe. People must continue to follow their advice and sign up for flood warnings.”

Flood warnings

Some 100 flood warnings were in force across England on Wednesday, with people urged to remain vigilant over the coming days.

A danger-to-life warning was issued on Tuesday morning for the River Soar near Barrow upon Soar, Leicestershire, but was later removed.

People living in caravan parks in the area were urged by the Environment Agency to act, with a large-scale evacuation needed to save lives.

Firefighters have rescued dozens of people across Leicestershire since Monday, Leicestershire Fire and Rescue Service said.

Hundreds of schools were closed across the UK, with road and rail links blocked, as Manchester, Bristol and Liverpool John Lennon airports suspended flights because of the conditions.

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Family of baby killed in car park crash on family holiday fundraise for funeral

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Family of baby killed in car park crash on family holiday fundraise for funeral

A six-month-old baby who died after a collision in a multi-storey car park was on a family holiday to Wales. 

Sophia Kelemen from Leigh, Manchester, died after the crash in a car park in the coastal town of Tenby, Pembrokeshire, on 2 January.

Sophia’s aunt, Adriana Kelemen, has now launched a fundraiser to help cover funeral costs.

Writing on the page, Ms Kelemen said “never in a million years” did she think she would have to write such a post.

Ms Kelemen said she hoped to “ease a very small part of [her] brother and sister-in-law’s hurt” by raising money to cover part of the funeral costs.

Sophia was taken to hospital after the crash and treated for her injuries but died the following day, police confirmed.

Dyfed-Powys Police said the crash happened on the ground floor of the car park and that a man had been charged in connection with the incident.

Sophia Kelemen. Pic: Adriana Kelemen/GoFundMe
Image:
Sophia Kelemen. Pic: Adriana Kelemen/GoFundMe

Speaking to the Manchester Evening News, Ms Kelemen described her niece as “smiley and bubbly” and “so advanced for her age”.

Sophia was “playful and energetic” and “the cutest and most adorable girl”, her aunt added.

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A spokesperson for Dyfed-Powys Police said Sophia’s family were being supported by specialist officers.

The force said it was a “tragic incident” and asked the public not to speculate on the circumstances.

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Jess Phillips does not rule out new national inquiry into grooming gangs

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Jess Phillips does not rule out new national inquiry into grooming gangs

Jess Phillips has said “nothing is off the table” when dealing with the grooming gangs scandal – including a new national inquiry if victims want one.

The safeguarding minister told Sky’s political editor Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast that she would listen to victims on a new panel that was announced by the government this week.

“Nothing is off the table,” she said.

“And if the victims come forward to me in this victims panel and they say, ‘actually, we think there needs to be a national inquiry into this’, I’ll listen to them.”

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Beth Rigby and Jess Phillips

Her comments come days after it emerged she had rejected calls from Oldham Council to hold a government inquiry into grooming gangs in the town, and said the council should commission one instead.

That has led to tech billionaire Elon Musk attacking her and Sir Keir Starmer for not holding a national inquiry and accusing the prime minister of being “complicit” in the abuse.

Professor Alexis Jay finished an eight-year national inquiry into child sexual abuse in 2022 and set out recommendations for the government.

Read more:
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The Conservatives tabled an amendment to the Children’s Safeguarding and Schools Bill on Wednesday to require a statutory inquiry into grooming gangs.

However, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson told Sky News the Tories “don’t care about children” as the amendment could prevent the entire bill from going forward.

She said: “The measures that I’m setting out today and the legislation in many ways go further because it puts a requirement on all councils to have teams working to keep children safe.

“And the bandwagon jumpers that have come along in recent days, they don’t care about children, they don’t care about making sure that we stop this and we take action.

“They had years to do it and they didn’t do it.”

The Conservatives also rejected a call from Oldham Council for a government inquiry in 2022.

You can listen to Beth’s full interview with Jess Phillips in a special episode of Electoral Dysfunction released on Thursday.

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