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The energy regulator has warned the UK is facing a “significant risk” of gas shortages this winter.

The information, which was revealed in a letter sent from Ofgem last week and first revealed by The Times, spoke of the possibility of “gas supply emergency” measures to help preserve stocks due to the impact of Russia’s war in Ukraine which has starved Europe of its main source of natural gas.

A gas supply emergency can be declared when suppliers are unable to safely get gas to homes and businesses.

It could mean that some customers, starting with the largest industrial consumers, will be asked to stop using gas for a temporary period.

The aim would be to keep gas and gas-generated electricity supplies stable for households for as long as possible.

The stark warning emerged as energy bills come under the protection of government caps, shielding both households and businesses from the worst in the wholesale price surge ahead of winter.

An Ofgem spokesperson told Sky News: “This winter is likely to be more challenging than previous ones due to the Russian disruption of gas supplies to Europe.

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“Britain is in a good position with little direct import of gas from Russia; our own domestic gas production; reliable supplies from Norway; and the second-largest port capacity in Europe to import liquified gas.

“Nevertheless, we need to be prepared for all scenarios this winter.

“As a result, Ofgem is putting in place sensible contingency measures with National Grid ESO (electricity system operator) and GSO (gas system operator) as well as the government to ensure that the UK energy system is fully prepared for this winter.”

The regulator spoke up just days before National Grid was due to give an update to its winter outlook for spare power capacity.

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How to save money on energy bills

It had said at the end of July that it expected supply to be tight but did not expect the lights to go out despite the Europe-wide battle to secure supplies.

Commenting on the situation, senior analyst at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit Jess Ralston said: “The UK electricity system has been built to rely on gas to balance the peaks and troughs of supply and demand, but this reliance could now prove problematic if prices spike further and supplies run low.

“With proposed decoupling of gas and renewables prices, wind and solar power will drive down bills and investment in batteries and other storage like pumped hydro will increasingly perform this balancing act.”

A separate report on Monday justified nerves over the approaching winter months.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) warned of “unprecedented risks”, adding that prolonged cold snaps would place supplies at particular risk.

Its quarterly report found that European Union countries would need to reduce use by 13% over the course of the winter months in case of a complete Russian cut-off.

Supplies from Russia – which accounted for 40% of the bloc’s natural gas needs ahead of the war – are currently only running at a tiny fraction of usual capacity.

The EU has accused Moscow of weaponising supplies by turning off the taps on the main Nord Stream 1 pipeline.

Nord Stream 1 and the yet to come on stream Nord Stream 2 pipeline have since been ruptured, with blasts caused by sabotage said to have caused gas inside the pipes to leak out.

The supply crisis has seen businesses on the continent, particularly Germany, cut back on natural gas use as prices soar.

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High street giants plot new warning to Treasury over retail jobs

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High street giants plot new warning to Treasury over retail jobs

Retail giants including Asda, Marks & Spencer, Primark and Tesco will mount a new year campaign to warn Rachel Reeves that plans to hike business rates on larger shops will put jobs and stores under threat.

Sky News has learnt that some of Britain’s biggest chains – which also include J Sainsbury, Morrisons and Kingfisher-owned B&Q – have agreed to revive a group called the Retail Jobs Alliance (RJA).

Sources said the RJA, which was established to push for reform of Britain’s archaic business rates regime, is expected to engage with the Treasury in the coming weeks to say that a wave of tax rises and regulatory changes will threaten investment by major retailers in economically deprived areas of the country.

They intend to produce analysis showing many of the stores with so-called rateable values above a new £500,000 threshold are located in areas which rely on retailers for employment opportunities.

The revamped coalition is expected to be launched in January and is likely to include other high street names, according to insiders.

It is said to be coordinating its plans with the British Retail Consortium (BRC), the industry’s leading trade body.

In total, the RJA’s members employ more than a million people across Britain and account for a significant proportion of the stores with rateable values in excess of the proposed threshold.

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One source close to the group’s plans said it intended to highlight that the higher business rates multiplier contradicted Labour’s manifesto pledge to “[level] the playing field between high street and online retailers”.

The latest intervention by retail bosses will come after weeks of vocal complaints about the impact of Ms Reeves’s maiden budget on the sector.

Last month, a letter signed by dozens of industry chiefs including from Boots and Next said the budget would pile £7bn of extra costs on to them.

These included a £2.3bn hit from changes to employers’ national insurance, £2.73bn from an increase in the national living wage and a £2bn packaging levy bill.

Retailers have since queued up to warn that consumers will face rising prices when the tax changes come into force in April.

Stuart Machin, the M&S chief executive, and Andrew Higginson, the JD Sports Fashion and BRC chair, have been among those publicly critical of the new measures.

Tesco alone faces having to pay £1bn in extra employer national insurance contributions during this parliament.

This week, ShoeZone, a footwear chain, said it would close 20 shops as a result of poor trading and the increased costs announced in the budget.

The hospitality industry has also highlighted the possibility of price hikes and job losses after the chancellor delivered her statement on 30 October.

In response to the growing business backlash, Ms Reeves told the CBI’s annual conference last month that she was “not coming back with more borrowing or more taxes”.

The RJA was initially put together in 2022 by WPI Strategy, a London-based public affairs firm.

None of the members of the RJA contacted by Sky News this weekend would comment.

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Surprisingly low retail sales in key Christmas shopping month – ONS

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Surprisingly low retail sales in key Christmas shopping month - ONS

The UK’s retail sales recovery was smaller than expected in the key Christmas shopping month of November, official figures show.

Retail sales rose just 0.2% last month despite discounting events in the run-up to Black Friday. It followed a 0.7% fall seen in October, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Sales growth of 0.5% had been forecast by economists.

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Behind the fall was a steep drop in clothing sales, which fell 2.6% to the lowest level since the COVID lockdown month of January 2022.

Sales have still not recovered to levels before the pandemic. Compared with February 2020, volumes are down 1.6%.

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It was economic rather than weather factors behind this as retailers told the ONS they faced tough trading conditions.

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Christmas more expensive this year?

For the first time in three months, however, there was a boost in food store sales, and supermarkets in particular. It was also a good month for household goods retailers, most notably furniture shops, the ONS said.

Clothes became more expensive in November, data from earlier this week demonstrated, and it was these price rises that contributed to overall inflation rising again – topping 2.6%.

Retail sales figures are of significance as the data measures household consumption, the largest expenditure across the UK economy.

The data can also help track how consumers feel about their finances and the economy more broadly.

Industry body the British Retail Consortium (BRC) said higher energy bills and low consumer sentiment impacted spending.

The BRC’s director of insight Kris Hamer said it was a “shaky” start to the festive season.

Shoppers were holding off on purchases until full Black Friday offers kicked in, he added.

The period in question covers discounting coming up to Black Friday but not the actual Friday itself as the ONS examined the four weeks from 27 October to 23 November.

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Car production falls in UK for ninth month in a row, SMMT data shows – after worst November for industry since 1980

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Car production falls in UK for ninth month in a row, SMMT data shows - after worst November for industry since 1980

UK car manufacturing fell again in November, the ninth month of decline in a row, according to industry data.

A total of 64,216 cars were produced in UK factories last month, 27,711 fewer than in November last year – a 30% drop, according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

The figures also mean it was the worst November for UK car production since 1980, when 62,728 vehicles were produced.

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It comes after the government launched a review into its electric car mandate – a system of financial penalties levied against car makers if zero-emission vehicles make up less than 22% of all sales to encourage electric vehicle (EV) production.

The mandate will rise to 80% of all sales by 2030 and 100% by 2035.

But car manufacturers have long expressed unhappiness with the target, saying the consumer demand is not there and EVs are costlier to produce.

Separate figures from the SMMT suggested a £5.8bn hit to the sector from the EV mandate.

Despite the criticism, EV sales goals were surpassed last month. One in every four new cars sold was an electric vehicle.

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Is Europe’s car industry in crisis?

The impact of this reduced production could be visible in the last month from the announcement of 800 job cuts from Ford UK and Vauxhall‘s Luton plant closure.

The problems are not specific to the UK as European makers also face weaker EV demand than anticipated and competition from Chinese imports.

High borrowing costs and comparatively more expensive raw materials have worsened the problem.

Bosch – the world’s biggest car parts supplier – also reported the loss of 5,500 jobs last month, predominantly in Germany.

In October Volkswagen revealed plans to shut at least three factories in Germany and lay off tens of thousands of staff.

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