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The upheaval in gilt (UK government bond) markets that led to last week’s spectacular intervention from the Bank of England continues to reverberate.

The Bank was obliged to buy long-dated gilts – those with a maturity of 20 or 30 years – on Wednesday last week following a wave of forced selling by pension funds.

Those pension funds had been engaging in strategies known as liability-driven investment (LDI) which, despite becoming a £1.5 trillion market, was until last week little known outside the world of pensions investing.

Under the strategies, pension funds seek ways to better match their assets (the retirement savings of scheme members) with their liabilities (the future pension payments that have been promised to those members on their retirement).

They did so using derivatives contracts – a way of using leverage – but, when gilt yields spiked higher as markets took fright at Kwasi Kwarteng‘s borrowing plans in his mini-budget, the investment banks that write those derivatives contracts sought more money from the pension funds to reflect the fact that gilt prices were falling (the yield and the price move in opposite directions).

The episode has led to a lot of misunderstanding. One is that the Bank has spent £65 billion propping up the gilt market. It hasn’t: it has simply indicated that the maximum it could end up spending under its intervention will be £65 billion.

Another is that this is some kind of taxpayer bail-out of pension funds. Again, it isn’t.

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It is more akin to the Bank’s asset purchase scheme, or Quantitative Easing in the jargon, under which the Bank bought assets like gilts and held them on its balance sheet, although the Bank would prefer this latest move not to be regarded as QE, more a special operation to ensure more orderly market conditions.

Pension funds have not been given something for nothing by taxpayers and nor does the Bank emerge with nothing for the money it spends – it emerges with a holding of gilts on which interest will be payable by the government.

Other misconceptions concerned those who participate in LDI.

Shares of Legal & General, one of the biggest insurance companies in the FTSE-100, have come under pressure since questions began being asked about its participation in the LDI market.

Between the close on 22 September – the night before Mr Kwarteng unveiled his mini-budget – and the close of business last Friday night, shares of Legal & General fell by just under 15%.

That may be because the episode shone a spotlight on L&G’s role in the LDI market in an unflattering way. It was widely reported that the sell-off gathered momentum early last week because L&G had been requesting that pension fund clients put up more cash in response to falling gilt prices.

The investment bank Jefferies had said on Monday that the insurer could be exposed to fund outflows as a result: “The biggest risk for L&G is that this crisis has discredited the firm’s risk management abilities.

“In the process, it’s possible that this sparks outflows from LDI funds, as clients reallocate to alternative strategies, with lower liquidity risks.”

So today’s stock exchange announcement from L&G, in which it clarified its role in LDI and set to soothe the anxieties of investors, is a big deal.

The company made clear that Legal & General Investment (LGIM), its asset management arm, has merely been acting as an agent between LDI clients – pension funds – and market counterparties sitting on the other side of those trades, chiefly investment banks.

It added that, as a consequence, it “therefore has no balance sheet exposure”.

L&G also praised the Bank’s intervention and said that, as a result, interest rates had come down.

It added: “These steps have helped to alleviate the pressure on our clients.”

The insurer added for good measure that, although it holds gilts as part of its investment activities, the sell-off had not affected its capital or liquidity position.

It went on: “Despite volatile markets, the group’s annuity portfolio has not experienced any difficulty in meeting collateral calls and we have not been forced sellers of gilts or bonds.”

Shares of L&G have rallied by more than 5% on the statement while shares of Aviva and Phoenix Group, two other big FTSE-100 life companies, have also bounced.

While L&G’s statement may have calmed nerves about its own role in the LDI market, it may not do so for the market as a whole. People are rightly confused and concerned about how defined benefit pension funds, which, in theory, should be an exceptionally safe and dull corner of the investment universe, have suddenly – thanks to the involvement of derivatives products – been made inherently more risky and prone to the vagaries of market movements.

Lord Wolfson, the chief executive of Next and one of the most influential figures in British business, said last week that he had written to the Bank in 2017, when Mark Carney was governor, outlining his concerns about LDI strategies.

He said the strategy – buying gilts and then using them as collateral to obtain further exposure to the gilt market – “always looked like a time bomb waiting to go off”.

So L&G’s statement today is far from being an end of the matter.

The Commons Treasury Select Committee is now looking into the issue and is set to question the Pensions Regulator. The Financial Conduct Authority and the Bank are also likely to be asked what they knew.

One of the bankers who helped invent LDI strategies told the Financial Times this week that the technique had “helped stabilise pension funding over the past two decades” and that it had helped “provide a future for millions of members of defined-benefit funds”.

But it seems likely that the Bank, which is mandated to maintain the stability of the UK’s financial system, will now be looking to make this particular corner of the markets less risky.

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High street giants plot new warning to Treasury over retail jobs

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High street giants plot new warning to Treasury over retail jobs

Retail giants including Asda, Marks & Spencer, Primark and Tesco will mount a new year campaign to warn Rachel Reeves that plans to hike business rates on larger shops will put jobs and stores under threat.

Sky News has learnt that some of Britain’s biggest chains – which also include J Sainsbury, Morrisons and Kingfisher-owned B&Q – have agreed to revive a group called the Retail Jobs Alliance (RJA).

Sources said the RJA, which was established to push for reform of Britain’s archaic business rates regime, is expected to engage with the Treasury in the coming weeks to say that a wave of tax rises and regulatory changes will threaten investment by major retailers in economically deprived areas of the country.

They intend to produce analysis showing many of the stores with so-called rateable values above a new £500,000 threshold are located in areas which rely on retailers for employment opportunities.

The revamped coalition is expected to be launched in January and is likely to include other high street names, according to insiders.

It is said to be coordinating its plans with the British Retail Consortium (BRC), the industry’s leading trade body.

In total, the RJA’s members employ more than a million people across Britain and account for a significant proportion of the stores with rateable values in excess of the proposed threshold.

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One source close to the group’s plans said it intended to highlight that the higher business rates multiplier contradicted Labour’s manifesto pledge to “[level] the playing field between high street and online retailers”.

The latest intervention by retail bosses will come after weeks of vocal complaints about the impact of Ms Reeves’s maiden budget on the sector.

Last month, a letter signed by dozens of industry chiefs including from Boots and Next said the budget would pile £7bn of extra costs on to them.

These included a £2.3bn hit from changes to employers’ national insurance, £2.73bn from an increase in the national living wage and a £2bn packaging levy bill.

Retailers have since queued up to warn that consumers will face rising prices when the tax changes come into force in April.

Stuart Machin, the M&S chief executive, and Andrew Higginson, the JD Sports Fashion and BRC chair, have been among those publicly critical of the new measures.

Tesco alone faces having to pay £1bn in extra employer national insurance contributions during this parliament.

This week, ShoeZone, a footwear chain, said it would close 20 shops as a result of poor trading and the increased costs announced in the budget.

The hospitality industry has also highlighted the possibility of price hikes and job losses after the chancellor delivered her statement on 30 October.

In response to the growing business backlash, Ms Reeves told the CBI’s annual conference last month that she was “not coming back with more borrowing or more taxes”.

The RJA was initially put together in 2022 by WPI Strategy, a London-based public affairs firm.

None of the members of the RJA contacted by Sky News this weekend would comment.

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Surprisingly low retail sales in key Christmas shopping month – ONS

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Surprisingly low retail sales in key Christmas shopping month - ONS

The UK’s retail sales recovery was smaller than expected in the key Christmas shopping month of November, official figures show.

Retail sales rose just 0.2% last month despite discounting events in the run-up to Black Friday. It followed a 0.7% fall seen in October, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Sales growth of 0.5% had been forecast by economists.

Money blog: Nine million homes could overpay energy bills if they miss deadline

Behind the fall was a steep drop in clothing sales, which fell 2.6% to the lowest level since the COVID lockdown month of January 2022.

Sales have still not recovered to levels before the pandemic. Compared with February 2020, volumes are down 1.6%.

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It was economic rather than weather factors behind this as retailers told the ONS they faced tough trading conditions.

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Christmas more expensive this year?

For the first time in three months, however, there was a boost in food store sales, and supermarkets in particular. It was also a good month for household goods retailers, most notably furniture shops, the ONS said.

Clothes became more expensive in November, data from earlier this week demonstrated, and it was these price rises that contributed to overall inflation rising again – topping 2.6%.

Retail sales figures are of significance as the data measures household consumption, the largest expenditure across the UK economy.

The data can also help track how consumers feel about their finances and the economy more broadly.

Industry body the British Retail Consortium (BRC) said higher energy bills and low consumer sentiment impacted spending.

The BRC’s director of insight Kris Hamer said it was a “shaky” start to the festive season.

Shoppers were holding off on purchases until full Black Friday offers kicked in, he added.

The period in question covers discounting coming up to Black Friday but not the actual Friday itself as the ONS examined the four weeks from 27 October to 23 November.

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Car production falls in UK for ninth month in a row, SMMT data shows – after worst November for industry since 1980

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Car production falls in UK for ninth month in a row, SMMT data shows - after worst November for industry since 1980

UK car manufacturing fell again in November, the ninth month of decline in a row, according to industry data.

A total of 64,216 cars were produced in UK factories last month, 27,711 fewer than in November last year – a 30% drop, according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

The figures also mean it was the worst November for UK car production since 1980, when 62,728 vehicles were produced.

Money blog:
Nine million homes could overpay if they miss bills deadline

It comes after the government launched a review into its electric car mandate – a system of financial penalties levied against car makers if zero-emission vehicles make up less than 22% of all sales to encourage electric vehicle (EV) production.

The mandate will rise to 80% of all sales by 2030 and 100% by 2035.

But car manufacturers have long expressed unhappiness with the target, saying the consumer demand is not there and EVs are costlier to produce.

Separate figures from the SMMT suggested a £5.8bn hit to the sector from the EV mandate.

Despite the criticism, EV sales goals were surpassed last month. One in every four new cars sold was an electric vehicle.

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Is Europe’s car industry in crisis?

The impact of this reduced production could be visible in the last month from the announcement of 800 job cuts from Ford UK and Vauxhall‘s Luton plant closure.

The problems are not specific to the UK as European makers also face weaker EV demand than anticipated and competition from Chinese imports.

High borrowing costs and comparatively more expensive raw materials have worsened the problem.

Bosch – the world’s biggest car parts supplier – also reported the loss of 5,500 jobs last month, predominantly in Germany.

In October Volkswagen revealed plans to shut at least three factories in Germany and lay off tens of thousands of staff.

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