OPEC and its oil-producing allies agreed Wednesday to their largest cut to daily crude output since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic, a decision the Club took steps to prepare for earlier this week by paring our energy exposure. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and a group of partner producers led by Russia, together known as OPEC+, said they are cutting oil output targets by 2 million barrels per day. The move is seen as an attempt to reverse a steep slide in crude prices since early June, when prices topped $120 per barrel before tumbling more than 30%. Oil rose over 1% on the heels of the announcement, adding to strong gains at the start the week. Club holdings Halliburton (HAL), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), Devon Energy (DVN) and Coterra Energy (CTRA) also were in the green. The details Officially, OPEC+ is cutting production by 2 million barrels a day starting in November, from their August production target of 43.856 million barrels a day. However, analysts say, the actual number of barrels coming offline could ultimately be less than the headline figure given that many OPEC+ members have already been producing below their targets. Francisco Blanch, head of global commodities at Bank of America, addressed the potential discrepancy in a CNBC interview Wednesday . “I think one of the big questions is, are we really going to get a 2 million barrel a day real cut or is it going to be a 2 million barrel a day nominal cut that is, essentially, readjusted by the fact OPEC itself is producing 3 million barrels a day under their actual quotas?” Blanch explained. “I think if you reallocate those countries that are underproducing and they don’t actually cut, you’ll get, probably, more like [a] 1 million, 1.2 million barrels a day actual cut,” he added. The cartel’s decision to lower production is not a complete surprise to markets, but the expected magnitude ratcheted up in recent days. For example, last week, some analysts had been warning of a reduction between 500,000 and 1 million barrels per day, well below the headline cut OPEC+ delivered Wednesday. In the days leading up to the decision, energy markets started to price in OPEC+’s looming production adjustment. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose nearly 7% over the first two days of the week. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. oil benchmark, climbed more than 8% combined on Monday and Tuesday. After the OPEC+ announcement Wednesday, Brent was trading around $93 a barrel, while WTI was hovering above $87 a barrel. The Club’s positioning The Club’s energy exposure is all about protecting our portfolio from inflation, while collecting sizable dividend payouts along the way. In general terms, elevated oil prices are good for energy stocks and a headwind for the broader market. Owning stocks like Pioneer Natural Resources, Devon Energy, Coterra Energy and Halliburton has been a way to hedge against that dynamic. With oil supply already tight, OPEC+’s decision to slash production further is all about shoring up crude prices. Fears of a recession denting oil demand — combined with other factors like a strong U.S. dollar —contributed to crude prices tumbling during the summer months. We stuck to our investment discipline in the run-up to the OPEC+ meeting, as expectations for the cut pushed up oil prices. We trimmed 25 shares of Pioneer Natural Resources on Monday, redeploying cash from that sale into Estee Lauder (EL), and sold 100 shares of Devon Energy on Tuesday. We made those two sales of PXD and DVN into outsized strength — just as we trimmed our energy exposure when the sector was outperforming the overall market in late August and early September. After allowing our energy position to grow too large in early June, when oil was around $120 per barrel, we’ve been committed to our discipline in periods of outperformance. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long PXD, DVN, CTRA and HAL. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
The OPEC logo on a sign at the group’s headquarters in Vienna, Austria.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
OPEC and its oil-producing allies agreed Wednesday to their largest cut to daily crude output since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic, a decision the Club took steps to prepare for earlier this week by paring our energy exposure.
On today’s fleet-focused episode of Quick Charge, we talk about a hot topic in today’s trucking industry called, “the messy middle,” explore some of the ways legacy truck brands are working to reduce fuel consumption and increase freight efficiency. PLUS: we’ve got ReVolt Motors’ CEO and founder Gus Gardner on-hand to tell us why he thinks his solution is better.
You know, for some people.
We’ve also got a look at the Kenworth Supertruck 2 concept truck, revisit the Revoy hybrid tandem trailer, and even plug a great article by CCJ’s Jeff Seger, who is asking some great questions over there. All this and more – enjoy!
New episodes of Quick Charge are recorded, usually, Monday through Thursday (and sometimes Sunday). We’ll be posting bonus audio content from time to time as well, so be sure to follow and subscribe so you don’t miss a minute of Electrek’s high-voltage daily news.
Got news? Let us know! Drop us a line at tips@electrek.co. You can also rate us on Apple Podcasts and Spotify, or recommend us in Overcast to help more people discover the show.
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Thanks to Trump’s repeated executive order attacks on US clean energy policy, nearly $8 billion in investments and 16 new large-scale factories and other projects were cancelled, closed, or downsized in Q1 2025.
The $7.9 billion in investments withdrawn since January are more than three times the total investments cancelled over the previous 30 months, according to nonpartisan policy group E2’s latest Clean Economy Works monthly update.
However, companies continue to invest in the US renewable sector. Businesses in March announced 10 projects worth more than $1.6 billion for new solar, EV, and grid and transmission equipment factories across six states. That includes Tesla’s plan to invest $200 million in a battery factory near Houston that’s expected to create at least 1,500 new jobs. Combined, the projects are expected to create at least 5,000 new permanent jobs if completed.
Michael Timberlake of E2 said, “Clean energy companies still want to invest in America, but uncertainty over Trump administration policies and the future of critical clean energy tax credits are taking a clear toll. If this self-inflicted and unnecessary market uncertainty continues, we’ll almost certainly see more projects paused, more construction halted, and more job opportunities disappear.”
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March’s 10 new projects bring the overall number of major clean energy projects tracked by E2 to 390 across 42 states and Puerto Rico. Companies have said they plan to invest more than $133 billion in these projects and hire 122,000 permanent workers.
Since Congress passed federal clean energy tax credits in August 2022, 34 clean energy projects have been cancelled, downsized, or shut down altogether, wiping out more than 15,000 jobs and scrapping $10 billion in planned investment, according to E2 and Atlas Public Policy.
However, in just the first three months of 2025, after Trump started rolling back clean energy policies, 13 projects were scrapped or scaled back, totaling more than $5 billion. That includes Bosch pulling the plug on its $200 million hydrogen fuel cell plant in South Carolina and Freyr Battery canceling its $2.5 billion battery factory in Georgia.
Republican-led districts have reaped the biggest rewards from Biden’s clean energy tax credits, but they’re also taking the biggest hits under Trump. So far, more than $6 billion in projects and over 10,000 jobs have been wiped out in GOP districts alone.
And the stakes are high. Through March, Republican districts have claimed 62% of all clean energy project announcements, 71% of the jobs, and a staggering 83% of the total investment.
A full map and list of announcements can be seen on E2’s website here. E2 says it will incorporate cancellation data in the coming weeks.
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Tesla has reportedly delayed the launch of its new “affordable EV,” which is believed to be a stripped-down Model Y, in the United States.
Last year, Tesla CEO Elon Musk made a pivotal decision that altered the automaker’s direction for the next few years.
The CEO canceled Tesla’s plan to build a cheaper new “$25,000 vehicle” on its next-generation “unboxed” vehicle platform to focus solely on the Robotaxi, utilizing the latest technology, and instead, Tesla plans to build more affordable EVs, though more expensive than previously announced, on its existing Model Y platform.
Musk has believed that Tesla is on the verge of solving self-driving technology for the last few years, and because of that, he believes that a $25,000 EV wouldn’t make sense, as self-driving ride-hailing fleets would take over the lower end of the car market.
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However, he has been consistently wrong about Tesla solving self-driving, which he first said would happen in 2019.
In the meantime, Tesla’s sales have been decreasing and the automaker had to throttle down production at all its manufacturing facilities.
That’s why, instead of building new, more affordable EVs on new production lines, Musk decided to greenlight new vehicles built on the same production lines as Model 3 and Model Y – increasing the utilization rate of its existing manufacturing lines.
Those vehicles have been described as “stripped-down Model Ys” with fewer features and cheaper materials, which Tesla said would launch in “the first half of 2025.”
Reuters is now reporting that Tesla is seeing a delay of “at least months” in launching the first new “lower-cost Model Y” in the US:
Tesla has promised affordable vehicles beginning in the first half of the year, offering a potential boost to flagging sales. Global production of the lower-cost Model Y, internally codenamed E41, is expected to begin in the United States, the sources said, but it would be at least months later than Tesla’s public plan, they added, offering a range of revised targets from the third quarter to early next year.
Along with the delay, the report also claims that Tesla aims to produce 250,000 units of the new model in the US by 2026. This would match Tesla’s currently reduced production capacity at Gigafactory Texas and Fremont factory.
The report follows other recent reports coming from China that also claimed Tesla’s new “affordable EVs” are “stripped-down Model Ys.”
The Chinese report references the new version of the Model 3 that Tesla launched in Mexico last year. It’s a regular Model 3, but Tesla removed some features, like the second-row screen, ambient lighting strip, and it uses fabric interior material rather than Tesla’s usual vegan leather.
The new Reuters report also said that Tesla planned to follow the stripped-down Model Y with a similar Model 3.
In China, the new vehicle was expected to come in the second half of 2025, and Tesla was waiting to see the impact of the updated Model Y, which launched earlier this year.
Electrek’s Take
These reports lend weight to what we have been saying for a year now: Tesla’s “more affordable EVs” will essentially be stripped-down versions of the Model Y and Model 3.
While they will enable Tesla to utilize its currently underutilized factories more efficiently, they will also cannibalize its existing Model 3 and Y lineup and significantly reduce its already dwindling gross margins.
I think Musk will sell the move as being good in the long term because it will allow Tesla to deploy more vehicles, which will later generate more revenue through the purchase of the “Full Self-Driving” (FSD) package.
However, that has been his argument for years, and it has yet to pan out as FSD still requires driver supervision and likely will for years to come, resulting in an extremely low take-rate for the $8,000 package.
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