Germany’s relief plan could trigger a UK-style bond meltdown in euro nations
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz last week announced a package worth 200 billion euros ($198 billion) designed to help with soaring energy prices. The “defensive shield” includes a gas price brake and a cut in sales tax for fuel.
Steffi Loos | Pool | Reuters
Amid downbeat predictions of a recession in Germany and the wider region, analysts at one Wall Street bank have shared wider concerns about violent bond market moves and European governments looking to borrow vast sums of money.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz last week announced a package worth 200 billion euros ($198 billion) designed to help with soaring energy prices. The “defensive shield” includes a gas price brake and a cut in sales tax for fuel.
The proposals could cut 2 percentage points off inflation in the next year, according to Citi, but they are unlikely to prevent an economic contraction. The package “may soften the coming recession but also poses risks, in our view,” Citi analysts said in a note released last Friday.
Those risks relate to the question of how the package will be financed and what that could do to inflation, to Germany’s sovereign bond yields, to the European Central Bank’s benchmark rate, and to the borrowing plans of other euro nations that may do the same.
Germany’s example
“The risk is that others may follow that example,” Christian Schulz, deputy chief European economist at Citi, told CNBC’s “Street Signs Europe” on Monday.
Schulz noted the U.K.’s recent bond market blowup after unfunded tax cuts by the British government. Rate expectations and bond yields surged in Britain last month after a swathe of tax announcements. It caused the Bank of England to unleash a new bond-buying plan, mayhem in the mortgage market and talk of a housing crisis.
Schulz said Germany could “afford” any debt financing thanks to its low debt-to-GDP ratio and lower external funding needs, but the package could open the door for less fiscally prudent countries to want to borrow large amounts and issue new debt — potentially leading to trouble like that seen in the U.K. Citi predicts that German debt financing could also force tighter ECB policy, which could then also send yields surging in the euro area.
“The risk is that this same dynamic [seen in Britain] evolves on the continent as well now,” Schulz said.
“The way [Germany] want[s] to do it is by using an existing SPV [special purpose vehicle], an off balance sheet fund …. whether that’s going to lead to borrowing or whether it’s going to lead to guaranteed loans — because this fund can do both — we shall see,” he added, referring to the 200 billion euro plan.
Germany’s Federal Audit Court criticized the government and suggested it had dodged tax rules to fund the package, according to Politico.
Other banks and institutions pointed to the difficult environment in Germany — the largest European economy and an engine room for euro area growth — which is now trying to abruptly wean itself off of Russian fossil fuels.
Berenberg Economics said in a recent note that consumer confidence in Germany, and the euro zone more generally, has plunged to a record low, which it said is “a prelude to recession.” Indeed, the Institute for Economic Research predicts investment will plummet by 25% and expects a German recession in 2023.
Deutsche Bank analysts estimate that the “defensive shield” could boost household income and limit the projected GDP decline in 2023 to around 2%. That’s better than their previous forecast of a 3.5% contraction.
Recession may be on the cards
ECB President Christine Lagarde hinted at further interest rate hikes, saying on Sept. 28 that the bank was “not at neutral rates yet.”
Speaking at the Frankfurt Forum, Lagarde said the latest hikes — most recently an unprecedented 75 basis point increase in September that demolished the region’s track record of negative rates — were just “the first destination on the journey.” The ECB president said the institution would “do what [it has] to do” in order to return to its 2% inflation target in the medium term.
While the EU and U.S. will see positive growth this year overall, “the signs are there of a slowdown and a recession can no longer be ruled out,” European commissioner for economy, Paolo Gentiloni, told CNBC’s Annette Weisbach at the Frankfurt Forum. “We are entering a phase of stagnation and possible recession,” Gentiloni said via video link.
That sentiment was echoed by World Trade Organization director-general Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala. “My worry is that all indicators are going in the wrong direction,” Okonjo-Iweala told CNBC’s Julianna Tatelbaum in Brussels at an emergency energy meeting last month — but she said she disliked the word “recession.”
“Let’s say ‘slowing’ and let’s say we are inching towards the ‘R’,” she said.
![Genesis GV90 leaks as breathtaking ultra-luxe SUV with coach doors [Video]](https://i0.wp.com/electrek.co/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2025/11/Genesis-GV90-leak-coach-doors.jpeg?resize=1200,628&quality=82&strip=all&ssl=1)
Genesis is gearing up to launch the stunning new flagship SUV. Ahead of its official debut, the GV90 leaked during an internal presentation, revealing our first look at the ultra-luxe electric SUV.
Genesis GV90 leak reveals coach doors and more
The GV90 is arriving as the largest, most luxurious Genesis SUV to date. Based on the Neolun Concept, the new flagship SUV will sit above the GV80 as Genesis expands into new segments.
As Genesis calls it, the “ultra-luxe, state-of-the-art SUV” stole the spotlight at the New York Auto Show last March.
It wasn’t the stunning, reductive design inspired by Korea’s moon-shaped porcelain jars or the premium Royal Indigo and Purple silk materials that caught most people’s attention at the event, but the B-pillarless coach doors.
The SUV was showcased with Rolls-Royce-like coach doors, offering a new level of luxury for Genesis. Although we’ve seen the GV90 spotted out in public testing a few times now with coach doors, we wondered if they would make it to the production model.
After the full-size SUV reportedly leaked during an internal presentation, it looks like we’ve found our answer. The Genesis GV90 leak reveals two versions: a standard model and a coach-door model.
The leaked images from our friends at ShortsCar offer our first look at the production version in full. Earlier this month, a GV90 prototype was spotted out in public with the coach doors wide open, providing a sneak peek of the interior.
From what was shown, the cabin will feature a similar layout to the concept, with high-end purple and indigo materials. The GV90 was also caught with an all-black interior, which is expected to be the standard version.
A new video from the folks over at HealerTV offers a closer look at the breathtaking interior ahead of its official debut.
The GV90 appears to retain the gear selector located near the top of the steering wheel from the Neolun concept.
Another report, from TheKoreanCarBlog, confirms the new gear selector after the first interior spy shots surfaced.
From what we’ve seen so far, the GV90 is shaping up to be a near replica of the ultra-luxe Neolun concept. Genesis has yet to announce a launch date for the GV90, but it is expected to make an official debut by the end of the year with sales starting in mid-2026.
Prices and final specs, like driving range, will be revealed closer to launch, but the Genesis GV90 is rumoured to be the first vehicle to ride on Hyundai’s new eM platform.
Hyundai said the new platform will deliver a 50% improvement in range compared to its current E-GMP-based EVs, such as the IONIQ 5. It’s also expected to offer Level 3 autonomous driving as well as other advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) features.
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Turning cheap daytime solar into electricity you can actually use at night just got a lot cheaper. A new analysis from energy think tank Ember shows that utility-scale battery storage costs have fallen to $65 per megawatt-hour (MWh) as of October 2025 in markets outside China and the US. At that level, pairing solar with batteries to deliver power when it’s needed is now economically viable.
Battery storage costs have fallen dramatically over the past two years, and the decline continues. Following a steep decline in 2024, Ember’s analysis indicates that prices continued to fall sharply again in 2025.
The findings are based on real-world data from recent battery and solar-plus-storage auctions in Italy, Saudi Arabia, and India, as well as interviews with active developers across global markets.
According to Ember, the cost of a whole, grid-connected utility-scale battery storage system for long-duration projects (four hours or more) is now about $125 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) as of October 2025. That figure applies to projects outside China and the US. Core battery equipment delivered from China costs around $75/kWh, while installation and grid connection typically add another $50/kWh.
Those lower upfront costs have pushed down the levelized cost of storage (LCOS) to just $65/MWh. Ember’s calculation reflects real-world assumptions around financing costs, system lifetime, efficiency, and battery degradation.
Cheaper hardware isn’t the only reason storage costs are falling. Longer battery lifetimes, higher efficiencies, and lower financing costs, helped by clearer revenue models such as auctions, have all contributed to the sharp drop in LCOS. Ember has published a live calculator alongside the report, allowing users to estimate LCOS using their own assumptions.
Why this matters comes down to how solar is actually used. Most solar power is generated during the day, so only a portion needs to be stored to make it dispatchable. Ember estimates that if half of daytime solar generation is shifted to nighttime, the $65/MWh storage cost adds about $33/MWh to the cost of solar electricity.
With the global average price of solar at $43/MWh in 2024, adding storage would bring the total cost to about $76/MWh, delivering power in a way that better matches real demand.
As Ember global electricity analyst Kostantsa Rangelova put it, after a 40% drop in battery equipment costs in 2024, the industry is now on track for another major fall in 2025. The economics of battery storage, she said, are “unrecognizable,” and the industry is still adjusting to this new reality.
“Solar is no longer just cheap daytime electricity; now it’s anytime dispatchable electricity. This is a game-changer for countries with fast-growing demand and strong solar resources,” Rangelova added.
Together, solar and battery storage are increasingly emerging as a scalable, secure, and affordable foundation for future power systems.
Read more: EIA: Solar + storage soar as fossil fuels stall through September 2025
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In the Electrek Podcast, we discuss the most popular news in the world of sustainable transport and energy. In this week’s episode, we discuss a very telling Tesla Optimus fail, Rivian’s AI/Autonomy day, Mercedes GLB EV, and more.
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