German Chancellor Olaf Scholz last week announced a package worth 200 billion euros ($198 billion) designed to help with soaring energy prices. The “defensive shield” includes a gas price brake and a cut in sales tax for fuel.
Steffi Loos | Pool | Reuters
Amid downbeat predictions of a recession in Germany and the wider region, analysts at one Wall Street bank have shared wider concerns about violent bond market moves and European governments looking to borrow vast sums of money.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz last week announced a package worth 200 billion euros ($198 billion) designed to help with soaring energy prices. The “defensive shield” includes a gas price brake and a cut in sales tax for fuel.
The proposals could cut 2 percentage points off inflation in the next year, according to Citi, but they are unlikely to prevent an economic contraction. The package “may soften the coming recession but also poses risks, in our view,” Citi analysts said in a note released last Friday.
Those risks relate to the question of how the package will be financed and what that could do to inflation, to Germany’s sovereign bond yields, to the European Central Bank’s benchmark rate, and to the borrowing plans of other euro nations that may do the same.
Germany’s example
“The risk is that others may follow that example,” Christian Schulz, deputy chief European economist at Citi, told CNBC’s “Street Signs Europe” on Monday.
Schulz said Germany could “afford” any debt financing thanks to its low debt-to-GDP ratio and lower external funding needs, but the package could open the door for less fiscally prudent countries to want to borrow large amounts and issue new debt — potentially leading to trouble like that seen in the U.K. Citi predicts that German debt financing could also force tighter ECB policy, which could then also send yields surging in the euro area.
“The risk is that this same dynamic [seen in Britain] evolves on the continent as well now,” Schulz said.
“The way [Germany] want[s] to do it is by using an existing SPV [special purpose vehicle], an off balance sheet fund …. whether that’s going to lead to borrowing or whether it’s going to lead to guaranteed loans — because this fund can do both — we shall see,” he added, referring to the 200 billion euro plan.
Germany’s Federal Audit Court criticized the government and suggested it had dodged tax rules to fund the package, according to Politico.
Other banks and institutions pointed to the difficult environment in Germany — the largest European economy and an engine room for euro area growth — which is now trying to abruptly wean itself off of Russian fossil fuels.
Berenberg Economics said in a recent note that consumer confidence in Germany, and the euro zone more generally, has plunged to a record low, which it said is “a prelude to recession.” Indeed, the Institute for Economic Research predicts investment will plummet by 25% and expects a German recession in 2023.
Deutsche Bank analysts estimate that the “defensive shield” could boost household income and limit the projected GDP decline in 2023 to around 2%. That’s better than their previous forecast of a 3.5% contraction.
Recession may be on the cards
ECB President Christine Lagarde hinted at further interest rate hikes, saying on Sept. 28 that the bank was “not at neutral rates yet.”
Speaking at the Frankfurt Forum, Lagarde said the latest hikes — most recently an unprecedented 75 basis point increase in September that demolished the region’s track record of negative rates — were just “the first destination on the journey.” The ECB president said the institution would “do what [it has] to do” in order to return to its 2% inflation target in the medium term.
While the EU and U.S. will see positive growth this year overall, “the signs are there of a slowdown and a recession can no longer be ruled out,” European commissioner for economy, Paolo Gentiloni, told CNBC’s Annette Weisbach at the Frankfurt Forum. “We are entering a phase of stagnation and possible recession,” Gentiloni said via video link.
That sentiment was echoed by World Trade Organization director-general Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala. “My worry is that all indicators are going in the wrong direction,” Okonjo-Iweala told CNBC’s Julianna Tatelbaum in Brussels at an emergency energy meeting last month — but she said she disliked the word “recession.”
“Let’s say ‘slowing’ and let’s say we are inching towards the ‘R’,” she said.
Swedish electric boat maker Candela has just secured a major deal in Southeast Asia: ten of its P-12 electric hydrofoil ferries will soon operate the route to Koh Kood, one of Thailand’s most pristine and least developed islands.
The agreement, signed in Bangkok during the SX Sustainability Expo, pairs Candela with Thai operator Seudamgo by Leopard Transportation Co., Ltd. It marks a significant shift for Koh Kood, where access has long relied on noisy, gas-powered speedboats that pump out emissions, churn up damaging wakes, and clash with the quiet, natural character of the island. Local officials and Swedish representatives, including the Governor of Trat and the Swedish Embassy in Bangkok, were on hand to witness the deal.
Candela’s P-12 ferries promise to transform that experience. Unlike traditional hulls that plow through waves, the P-12 rides above the surface on computer-controlled hydrofoils. The result is a ride that’s not only whisper-quiet but also dramatically more efficient – using up to 80% less energy than a conventional speedboat. With no exhaust fumes, no underwater noise, and virtually no wake, the P-12 is designed to leave the island’s marine environment undisturbed.
Each of the ten ferries headed to Thailand will be the Business model, offering seating for 20 passengers in an air-conditioned cabin with plenty of luggage space. At a service speed of 25 knots (around 29 mph or 46 km/h), they’ll cover the 20-nautical-mile mainland-to-island route in just 40 minutes. The vessels are powered by dual Candela C-Pod drives rated at 110 kW continuous (160 kW peak), fed by a 378 kWh battery pack that can fast-charge at up to 300 kW. Real-world range comes in at about 40 nautical miles at cruising speed – more than enough to comfortably cover the daily runs. And with that fast charging, a feature that has helped Candela set maritime records, the ferries can easily top up their batteries while loading and unloading passengers.
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Seudamgo’s CEO Surachai Suwanthanakul called the deal a milestone for Thai tourism. “Candela’s P-12 foil electric technology is a game-changer,” he said. “It’s free from emissions, oil spills, and underwater noise—and at the same time, it offers passengers a superior experience. You can’t really get seasick on board a Candela.”
For passengers, that seasickness-free ride is thanks to Candela’s digital Flight control system, a computer that constantly adjusts the hydrofoils in real time to eliminate slamming and pitching. It’s the same tech that’s made Candela’s smaller leisure boats popular with private owners in Europe and the U.S., now scaled up for public transit.
Candela’s Regional CEO Mr Björn Antonsson (left) shaking hands with Mr Surachai Suwanthanakul, CEO of Leopard Transportation Co., Ltd, flanked by the Governor of Trat, Mr Nattapong Sanguanjitra Deputy and Permanent Secretary Punya Chupanit, Ministry of Transport, Thailand, together with (from left) Tomas Juhlin, VP of Swedish Chamber of Commerce, and Mr Per Linnér, Charge d’Affairs Swedish Embassy, Bangkok.
Candela’s founder and CEO Gustav Hasselskog framed the partnership as a chance for Thailand to leapfrog straight into sustainable water transport. “By replacing noisy, polluting speedboats with our electric flying ships, Seudamgo is protecting one of Thailand’s most beautiful destinations,” he said.
Thailand is already a major market for Candela. The company operates its largest office outside Sweden in Bangkok and sees huge potential in a country with more than 1,500 islands and extensive waterborne transport. Regional CEO Björn Antonsson emphasized that point: “With its thousands of islands, big rivers and vibrant tourism industry, Thailand can truly benefit from our technology. Partnering with Seudamgo to introduce the P-12 fleet is a fantastic beginning—we see enormous potential to expand clean, efficient hydrofoil transport across Thailand and the wider region.”
For Koh Kood, the arrival of Candela’s P-12 ferries could mean a future where visitors still enjoy easy access, but without the pollution and disruption that have plagued other tourist islands. And for the wider region, it’s a sign that electric flying ferries may finally be moving from niche novelty to mainstream solution.
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An aerial view of Chevron crews attempting to extinguish a large fire and explosion that occurred at Chevron Refinery in El Segundo Thursday, Oct. 2, 2025.
Allen J. Schaben | Los Angeles Times | Getty Images
A huge fire broke out on Thursday night at a Chevron jet fuel production unit in California, one of the largest refineries on the U.S. west coast, following reports of an explosion.
No injuries were reported from the incident at the El Segundo plant, Chevron said on Friday, with the U.S. energy major’s fire department personnel and emergency services “actively responding” to the situation.
It was not immediately clear what caused the blaze.
“All refinery personnel and contractors have been accounted for and there are no injuries,” Chevron said in a statement, according to NBC.
“No evacuation orders for area residents have been put in place by emergency response agencies monitoring the incident, and no exceedances have been detected by the facilities fence line monitoring system,” the company added.
This is breaking news. Please refresh for updates.
What looks to be Tesla’s long-rumored “more affordable model” has been spotted testing on a highway, without any camouflage. But before you get too excited, it’s just a Model Y with some cheaper parts – and a price that’s not much different than we’ve seen on other Teslas.
For many years, Tesla had planned to build a much more affordable vehicle, starting around $25k. This vehicle was nicknamed the “Model 2,” and would have offered the most affordable entry point into the EV market, at least in the West.
In its place, Tesla started offering vague promises about “more affordable models,” starting in its Q1 report in April 2024. Tesla later specified that these would enter production in the first half of 2025.
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The language Tesla used suggested that the cheaper vehicles would be new models, which means more than one model, and not just based on a current Tesla model. But we reported that this was unlikely to be the case, and that the new models would just be a stripped-down Model Y.
We first saw the “more affordable” Model Y out and about in Chinese spy shots, which included exterior videos and even a peek at the interior. However, in those spy shots, the front and rear of the vehicle were covered with camouflage, suggesting that there would be some changes in those areas Tesla didn’t want to leak yet.
Tesla doesn’t seem to mind those leaks anymore (especially after a low-res website leak), as a Model Y was spotted driving on the highway with no camouflage whatsoever, offering a look into what Tesla was hiding underneath those covers.
The pictures were posted to reddit by Fantastic_Train_7270, and show a Model Y with Florida manufacturer plates.
The nicely clear front end photos show that the car is missing the front light bar that was added with the Juniper refresh, instead reverting to separate headlights – though both are quite narrow, like the headlights on the Juniper.
The rear end is also missing its light bar, instead replaced by a horizontal black line. The line does not have the “T E S L A” badging, as the Juniper refresh has.
The model also has new aerodynamic wheels, which should help add a little range (and may make up for a smaller battery pack, though we don’t have information yet on whether battery size is part of the decontenting associated with the “more affordable” model).
Other than the lack of light bars, the front and rear look quite similar to the Juniper refresh. However, one concerning detail is that the rear trunk lid does not seem to fit snugly into the place it’s supposed to fit, instead encroaching onto the top of the plastic rear fascia.
We don’t know what might have caused this, but we do know that we’ve seen Model Ys with poor color matching on body panels before – but that’s a lot less of a problem than a body panel that seems to be misaligned by the better part of an inch, visible from a longish distance shot on a highway.
Of course, it’s just a prototype, but this is also the reason prototypes have camouflage, so the public can’t see fiddly bits like this ahead of release.
While these photos don’t show us anything of the interior, information from a recent software update gives us some hints as to what has been removed. In addition to removing the glass roof, coat hooks and 8″ rear screen (as could be seen in the Chinese spy shots), the software update suggests that the Model Y will have no ambient LED lights, single-axis seat controls, and simpler air vents.
The fact that this vehicle was spotted without camouflage, alongside the fact that this vehicle has shown up in recent software updates, suggests that release may be imminent. We had expected that it might be released in China first as has been the case with some other Tesla models lately, but the vehicle’s presence on US roads means that it might see a release here soon too.
And if it is releasing soon, it would be at an important time. Tesla just had its first positive sales quarter in some time, but that was primarily due to the expiration of the $7,500 US EV tax credit, which pulled forward demand. That means Teslas are now going to be $7,500 more expensive for US buyers, as of yesterday. So anything Tesla can do to cut prices will be a big deal.
We don’t know for certain how much cheaper the “more affordable” Model Y will be, but estimates (and a leak) suggest a base price of $40k – so, a savings of $5k over the current $45k base price, or $2,500 under the current base price of the Model 3, neither of which are as low as the lowest prices we’ve seen Teslas sell for before. Quite a far shout from the actually affordable $25,000 car we were all promised for so long.
Also, that price would still be a $2,500 price increase compared to the deal which was available just two days ago, before tax credit expiry. And Tesla has its own CEO to thank for that price hike, given he unwisely spent $200 million campaigning for the anti-EV forces that are now making his company’s products less affordable.
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