Why smartphones deflated 22% while almost everything else is becoming more expensive

Published

3 years ago

October 17, 2022

admin

Shoppers queue in like outside the Apple store during the launch day of the new iPhone 14 series smartphones in Hong Kong, on September 16, 2022.

Miguel Candela | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

The closely-watched consumer price index continues to show headline inflation in the U.S. hovering at levels last seen in the mid-1980s.

Prices for a wide variety of goods and services, including food, airfare, and gasoline rose in the latest reading released last week. All told, on a 12-month basis, headline inflation was up 8.2%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which publishes the CPI.

But one product category monitored by the CPI recorded a 22% plunge, showing deflation: Smartphones.

That might seem counterintuitive. Most phones are expensive and prices for the best ones aren’t going down. Apple released new iPhones in September at the same U.S. prices as last year’s options, for example. And Samsung’s high-end devices cost as much as $1,800 this year. Average selling prices for smartphones continue to climb in markets around the world.

It turns out, smartphones aren’t getting cheaper. They’re getting better. And that’s why CPI shows them deflating instead of inflating like lots of other goods.

Here’s why: Normally, the CPI likes to compare prices for identical items which don’t change much from year-to-year. So, it might compare eggs against eggs, for example. But in the case of smartphones, BLS has to control for devices that get better each year. If smartphones are improving and the price is staying the same, then BLS records a price decline.

“There’s been a lot of declines in the [smartphone] index. And that’s really just in large part dealing with the quality improvements,” said Jonathan Church, an economist at BLS.

Twice a year, BLS looks at the new smartphone models and measures how they’ve improved — whether they have better cameras, displays, or other new methods.

“For smartphones, we’re talking about things like screen size, RAM, processor speed, phone camera or rear camera, whether it’s foldable, or things like that,” Church said.

Then, BLS makes a “quality adjustment.” If the price of the new iPhone didn’t rise, but it received new features, then the CPI would consider that device to be more valuable than the old one, and it assumes consumers get more value for the same money.

Estimating the size of the quality adjustments is done with a hedonic modeling method and BLS uses data from a third-party dataset that includes smartphone specs.

Or, as BLS puts it: “If a replacement smartphone is different from its predecessor and the value of the difference in quality can be accurately estimated, a quality adjustment can be made to the previous item’s price to include the estimated value of the difference in quality.”

BLS has indexed smartphone technologies to a starting point in late 2019, when Apple’s newest device was the iPhone 11 and Samsung’s best was the Galaxy S10. In fact, smartphone prices have been deflating since 2019, according to the CPI.

Eventually, Church said, smartphones may mature into the kind of product that would see price increases and inflation. But the rate of improvement would have to slow down.

“It’s really only that a certain mature point in the cycle that their price will start to go up again,” Church said. “It seems pretty early in the lifecycle still, smartphones in general.”

Technology

More demand than supply gives companies an edge, Jim Cramer says

Published

1 hour ago

October 24, 2025

admin

More demand than supply gives companies an edge, Jim Cramer says

“Supply constrained,” are the two of the most important words CNBC’s Jim Cramer said he’s heard so far during earnings season and explained why this dynamic is favorable for companies.

“When you’re supplied constrained, you have the ability to raise prices, and that’s the holy grail in any industry,” he said.

Intel‘s strong earnings results were in part because of more demand than supply, Cramer suggested. He noted that the company’s CFO, David Zinsner, said the semiconductor maker is supply constrained for a number of products, and that “industry supply has tightened materially.”

Along with Intel, other tech names that are also supply constrained and performing well on the market include Micron, AMD and Nvidia, Cramer continued.

These companies don’t have enough product in part because the storage needs of artificial intelligence are incredible high, Cramer said. He added that he thinks demand has overwhelmed supply because semiconductor capital equipment companies didn’t manufacture enough of their own machines as they simply didn’t anticipate such a volume of orders.

Outside of tech, Cramer said he thinks airplane maker Boeing and energy company GE Vernova are also supply constrained, adding that he thinks the former will say it’s short on most of its planes when it reports earnings next week. GE Vernova is supply constrained with its power equipment, like turbines that burn natural gas, he continued, which is the primary energy source for the ever-growing crop of data centers.

GE Vernova and Boeing are also set to be winners because they make big-ticket items that other countries can buy from the U.S. to help close the trade deficit, Cramer added.

“In the end, we have more demand than supply in a host of industries and that’s the ticket for good stock performance,” he said. “I don’t see that changing any time soon.”

Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing

Sign up now for the CNBC Investing Club to follow Jim Cramer’s every move in the market.

Disclaimer The CNBC Investing Club holds shares of Nvidia and GE Vernova.

Questions for Cramer?
Call Cramer: 1-800-743-CNBC

Want to take a deep dive into Cramer’s world? Hit him up!
Mad Money Twitter – Jim Cramer Twitter – Facebook – Instagram

Questions, comments, suggestions for the “Mad Money” website? madcap@cnbc.com

Technology

3 takeaways from Intel earnings: Cash flow, foundry progress and hardware surprise

Published

7 hours ago

October 24, 2025

admin

3 takeaways from Intel earnings: Cash flow, foundry progress and hardware surprise

Wall Street remains skeptical on Intel despite its return to profitability

Intel snapped a losing streak of six straight quarterly losses and returned to profitability in the third quarter.

In its first earnings report since the Trump administration acquired a 10% stake in the company, the U.S. chipmaker posted strong revenue, noting robust demand for chips that it expects to continue into 2026.

Client computing revenue, which includes chips for PCs and laptops, grew 5% year over year, benefiting from PC market stabilization and artificial intelligence PC prospects.

CEO Lip-Bu Tan said in a call with analysts Thursday that artificial intelligence “is a strong foundation for sustainable long-term growth as we execute.”

The chip strength and demand were bright spots, but there were areas of concern as well, with the company’s foundry business still needing a big break.

Here are three takeaways from the chipmaker’s Q3 report:

Cash flow

“We significantly improved our cash position and liquidity in Q3, a key focus for me since becoming CEO in March,” Tan said on a call with analysts Thursday.

Intel landed an $8.9 billion investment from the U.S. government in August, along with $2 billion from Softbank, but has not yet received the $5 billion tied to a deal with Nvidia. The company expects that deal to close by the end of Q4.

With all of those transactions completed, plus the Altera sale, Intel will have $35 billion in cash on hand, CFO David Zinser told CNBC.

The U.S. government is the company’s biggest shareholder, and Intel stock is up more than 50% since Aug. 22, when Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced the deal.

“Like any shareholder, we have to keep in touch with them,” Zinser said of the U.S. stake. “We don’t tell them how the numbers are going before the quarter. We generally talk to them like Fidelity,” another Intel shareholder.

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

Intel 3-month stock chart.

Foundry

The firm’s foundry remains a work in progress.

Revenue fell 2% over the year before, and it has yet to land a major customer.

Intel now has two fabs running 18A nodes, which are designed for AI and high-performance computing applications.

“We are making steady progress on Intel 18A,” Tan said of its latest chip technology. “We are on track to bring Panther Lake to market this year.”

Zinser said the more advanced 14A nodes won’t be put in supply until the company has “real firm demand.”

Old stuff still selling

Zinser said the company’s older chipmaking processes, or nodes, have continued to do well, “and that was probably the part that was more unexpected.”

Zinser said the chipmaker met some of the central processing unit (CPU) demand with inventory on hand, but they will be behind in Q1, “probably Q2 and maybe in Q3.”

The supply crunch has been with older Intel 10 and 7 manufacturing technologies.

Many customers are opting for less advanced hardware to refresh their operating systems, demonstrating enterprises aren’t waiting for cutting-edge chips when proven technology gets the job done.