Some MPs believe the third potential candidate, Penny Mordaunt, who was the first to declare publicly that she’s running, is a much more credible unity candidate than Mr Sunak or Mr Johnson, who are both loathed by the rival camps.
But so far, she’s in third place in pledges of support from MPs and may struggle to get 100 nominations, and so it’s looking like a Sunak-Johnson battle for the Tory crown at the moment.
More on Boris Johnson
Related Topics:
Mr Johnson, currently on holiday in the sun-kissed Dominican Republic in the Caribbean, claims he can save the Tories from an election wipe-out. He would, wouldn’t he?
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
1:38
Defence secretary ‘leaning towards Boris Johnson’.
But can he? BoJo is box office and his supporters point to his 2019 general election victory, when the Conservatives won a majority of 80, as evidence that he’s a vote winner.
Advertisement
And he’s still the darling of the party activists. A YouGov poll this week suggested he’d be backed by 33% of members, ahead of Mr Sunak with just 23%.
So if he reaches the 100 nominations required to get on the ballot paper and makes it to the final two voted on by the members, he’d be the firm favourite to win.
But it’s by no means certain that he’ll make it to 100 backers. The only candidate who can confidently expect to reach 100 nominations is Mr Sunak.
Mr Johnson is a massively divisive figure. Some Tory MPs are horrified at the prospect of a BoJo comeback and are even threatening to quit the party if he wins.
Remember, after the three Ps – Paterson, Partygate and Pincher – 59 ministers resigned and 148 Conservative MPs voted against him in a confidence vote.
Opinion polls suggest he’s so discredited by scandals and sleaze that he’s lost his touch, despite what his loyal supporters claim.
Image: The expected timeline of events in electing a new PM
Whoever succeeds Liz Truss faces a nightmare in-tray. Will Jeremy Hunt’s Halloween rescue plan for the economy go ahead? No. 10 says that’s up to the new PM.
Will the new PM go ahead with the spending cuts and tax increases Mr Hunt is planning? Mr Johnson, after all, was a big-spending prime minister.
Will Mr Hunt even still be chancellor this time next week? If you thought Kwasi Kwarteng’s 38 days in the Treasury was brief, Mr Hunt could be out after just a fortnight!
The opposition parties, obviously, want a general election with polls pointing to a Tory wipeout. But in a contest that’s potentially a three-horse race a general election is a non-runner, whoever wins the Tory crown.
Canada’s prime minister Justin Trudeau has labelled new tariffs imposed by US president Donald Trump as a “dumb thing to do”.
It was confirmed overnight that tariffs on goods coming into the US from Mexico, Canada and China had come into effect.
Mr Trump’s expansion of tariffs to cover the top three trading partners of the United States has been met with promises of retaliation and a retreat in stock market values globally.
Mr Trudeau, speaking in a press conference on Tuesday, said his government would file a legal challenge against the US at the World Trade Organisation, and that Canada was considering its options.
“Today the United States has launched a trade war against Canada, its closest partner and ally, its closest friend,” he said.
“They have chosen to sabotage their agenda. There is absolutely no justification or need for these tariffs today.”
Image: Justin Trudeau holds a news conference on Trump’s new tarrifs.
Pic: The Canadian Press/AP
He also described the tariffs as a “dumb thing to do” and that it undermined his understanding of an agreement he made with Mr Trump over fentanyl production.
More on Donald Trump
Related Topics:
Mr Trudeau also warned it would impact American workplaces and add to inflation in the US.
Addressing the American public, he said: “We don’t want this… but your government has chosen to do this to you.”
The new tariffs will be felt heavily by all exporters in those countries, but also by US companies which rely on supplies from them.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
2:45
What is America’s trade position?
Mexico and Canada face tariffs of 25%, with 10% for Canadian energy. Tariffs on Chinese imports have doubled, raising them from 10% to 20%.
Canada announced it would retaliate immediately, imposing 25% tariffs on US imports worth C$30bn (£16.3bn).
It added that the tariffs would be extended in 21 days to cover more US goods entering the country without a climbdown.
Mr Trump responded by saying that he would match any Canadian tariffs immediately through higher duties.
At a news conference, outgoing prime minister Justin Trudeau described the tariffs as “dumb” and said Canadian companies would be given government support that would even extend to protections against takeover interest caused by the trade war.
Mexico threatened both reciprocal tariffs along with non-tariff measures.
China also vowed to retaliate and reiterated its stance that the Trump administration was trying to “shift the blame” and “bully” Beijing over fentanyl flows.
Stock markets were down sharply across the world on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the broader S&P 500 on course for big falls for a second day.
The Nasdaq later entered positive territory.
Share prices for carmakers were among the worst performers generally.
Companies including General Motors, VW and Mercedes saw sharp falls as each has factories in Mexico which sell into the US.
Spreaker
This content is provided by Spreaker, which may be using cookies and other technologies.
To show you this content, we need your permission to use cookies.
You can use the buttons below to amend your preferences to enable Spreaker cookies or to allow those cookies just once.
You can change your settings at any time via the Privacy Options.
Unfortunately we have been unable to verify if you have consented to Spreaker cookies.
To view this content you can use the button below to allow Spreaker cookies for this session only.
European stock markets had achieved record levels on Monday on the back of higher defence spending pledges.
But the German DAX closed more than 3.5% off. Its leading faller was Continental, the car parts manufacturer best known for its tyres, which saw an 11% decline.
The CAC in Paris was down by almost 2% while the FTSE 100 closed 1.3% lower as fears of an expanded trade spat overcame global growth hopes.
The implications were playing out more widely.
Oil costs were down by 1.5%, with Brent crude trading at six-month low of $70 a barrel.
Cryptocurrencies were hit too amid the flight from risk. Bitcoin was trading at $83,170 – far below the $100k+ witnessed when Mr Trump took office.
There was also evidence that investors saw the tariffs as an own goal because the US dollar – usually a safe haven in times of market woes – came under pressure.
The pound was trading at its highest level versus the dollar since mid-December at just shy of $1.28.
The main threat to the US is that higher import costs, caused by tariffs, push up inflation as those costs are passed on.
Consumers in the US could see price hikes within days, one expert said.
Gustavo Flores-Macias, a public policy professor at Cornell University, New York, said “the automobile sector, in particular, is likely to see considerable negative consequences”.
This is due to supply chains that “crisscross the three countries in the manufacturing process” and ” because of the expected increase in the price of vehicles, which can dampen demand,” he added.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been called a “crook” and a “punk” by a former top aide to Donald Trump.
Steve Bannon also told Sky’s Ali Fortescuehe thinks the US president should pull out of a planned minerals deal with Ukraine.
In a wide-ranging interview on the Politics Hub, the ex-chief strategist said Mr Trump’s efforts to improve relations with Russia is a “brilliant” move.
Image: Steve Bannon speaks at a conservative conference in Maryland earlier this month. Pic: AP
Mr Bannon said the UK and Europe need to “wake up” and realise they do not have to be worried about Russia invading the rest of Europe, as they do not have the army to do it.
“The rapprochement of the United States with Russia breaks the control of the Chinese Community Party… it’s a brilliant stroke.”
He added the EU “will come along with it” and insisted Mr Trump is “going out of his way to be a peacemaker”.
More on Donald Trump
Related Topics:
But he was clear about whether the leader should agree to sign a deal with Ukraine‘s president for rare minerals, which was supposed to happen on Friday until the pair had a heated row in the Oval Office.
“Absolutely not. He [Zelenskyy] had his shot. Zelenskyy is untrustworthy. He’s a crook and a punk. And he showed what a punk he was in the Oval Office the other day,” said Mr Bannon.
He suggested the row was prompted by Mr Zelenskyy trying to get security guarantees from the US, something the American public would not accept.
Spreaker
This content is provided by Spreaker, which may be using cookies and other technologies.
To show you this content, we need your permission to use cookies.
You can use the buttons below to amend your preferences to enable Spreaker cookies or to allow those cookies just once.
You can change your settings at any time via the Privacy Options.
Unfortunately we have been unable to verify if you have consented to Spreaker cookies.
To view this content you can use the button below to allow Spreaker cookies for this session only.
“They told him, time and time and time again, do not bring up security guarantees. A security guarantee means… American troops and that will never happen,” said Mr Bannon.
He also said the deal was unnecessary and only a “very general framework” anyway, which risked tying the US to the “future reconstruction of the country”.
“We don’t need a rare earth deal. The United States doesn’t need rare earths from Ukraine. That was a total gift to him and the Ukrainian people.”
However, sources have told the Reuters news agency that Mr Trump is planning to announce the US and Ukraine’s minerals agreement during his address to Congress on Tuesday.
Mr Trump has paused military aid to Kyiv in the most dramatic step yet in his pivot towards closer ties with Russia.
‘Let EU underwrite Ukraine security’
Mr Bannon also took aim at European nations, saying defence spending was insufficient: “Let them [the EU] step up and let them underwrite the security of Ukraine.”
In particular he described the UK’s commitment to spend 2.5% of GDP on defence as “nothing”. He also criticised Britain’s combat capabilities saying the economy “can’t afford it”, adding the “bond market already turfed out Liz Truss“.
He said the “reality” is that much of NATO did not spend enough on defence, has “faked” for decades its capability to take on Russia, and the military alliance would struggle to put up “two combat divisions”.
Mr Bannon also accused “much of the British establishment” of being in business with the Chinese Communist Party.
In terms of UK politics, he says he is “a Nigel Farage guy and believes in Reform“.
Mr Farage is close to the US president but has had to be slightly more reserved in his praise of him of late – knowing British public opinion is very much behind Mr Zelenskyy and Ukraine.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said Ukraine is “ready to come to the negotiating table as soon as possible” in the search for a “lasting” peace with Russia.
The Ukrainian president made the statement on social media hours after Donald Trump’s White House announced it was pausing US military aid to Kyiv.
He also said he was “ready to sign” a deal giving the US access to minerals in Ukraine – which has been a sticking point between the countries in the last week, with Kyiv seeking security guarantees in return.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
0:59
The president ‘is focused on peace’.
The Ukrainian president stopped short of saying sorry in the statement, but outlined how the first stages of a possible peace deal might work.
He also reiterated how grateful he was for American support for Ukraine, after Mr Vance criticised him, claiming he had not shown enough gratitude during his explosive White House visit.
More on Donald Trump
Related Topics:
Mr Zelenskyy added: “Our meeting in Washington, at the White House on Friday, did not go the way it was supposed to be.
“It is regrettable that it happened this way. It is time to make things right.
“We would like future cooperation and communication to be constructive.”
X
This content is provided by X, which may be using cookies and other technologies.
To show you this content, we need your permission to use cookies.
You can use the buttons below to amend your preferences to enable X cookies or to allow those cookies just once.
You can change your settings at any time via the Privacy Options.
Unfortunately we have been unable to verify if you have consented to X cookies.
To view this content you can use the button below to allow X cookies for this session only.
Mr Trump‘s berating of Mr Zelenskyy was condemned by many and has led to a show of support from European leaders as they try to formulate their own way forward.
The US president attacked the Ukrainian leader again on Monday, telling reporters he should be “more appreciative”.
Image: The tens of billion in US aid has included Patriot air defence systems. Pic: Reuters
Image: Volodymyr Zelenskyy. File pic: Reuters
Writing on Truth Social, Mr Trump also said Mr Zelenskyyhad made “the worst statement that could have been made” after he commented that peace was still “very, very far away”.
“America will not put up with it for much longer!” he posted.
“It is what I was saying, this guy doesn’t want there to be peace as long as he has America’s backing,” the president added.
Mr Zelenskyy then posted on X that Ukraine was “working together with America and our European partners and very much hope on US support on the path to peace”.
“Peace is needed as soon as possible,” he said.
‘Music to the ears of Putin’
By David Blevins, US correspondent
President Trump’s decision to pause military aid to Ukraine marks a significant shift in US foreign policy, one previously considered unthinkable.
This blow to Ukraine’s defences in the face of Russian aggression will be music to the ears of President Putin. US military aid has kept Ukraine in this David and Goliath battle for three years.
It has funded what military analysts simplify as “the big stuff” of battle – artillery, anti-tank weapons, rockets and armoured vehicles. Trump’s decision to push pause disregards efforts by Keir Starmer and other European leaders to devise a peace plan.
Those already questioning Europe’s reliance on the US for defence will conclude they have been given the answer.
But the decision sets President Trump up for a potential confrontation with Republicans, who had approved the funding, in Congress.
White House sources say he wants President Zelenskyy to go on TV and apologise for the jaw-dropping showdown last Friday. But the Ukrainian president feels he has no apology to make for expressing his doubt about Russia’s commitment to peace.
Earlier, Trump side-stepped a question about a Kremlin diplomat claiming the US administration and Moscow were now aligned on foreign policy.
This weakening of Ukraine’s defence capability moves that question front and centre as he prepares to address Congress on Tuesday.
Despite the diplomatic crisis, Mr Trump has said a deal is still possible.
An agreement giving the US access to Ukraine’s rare earth metals was meant to have been signed by the two presidents on Friday.
It was billed as an important step in a future peace deal – and part payback for aid already received.
However, the dramatic falling out has thrown that into jeopardy.
Mr Zelenskyy wants the metals deal to include guarantees on halting Russia should it break the terms of any peace agreement.
Spreaker
This content is provided by Spreaker, which may be using cookies and other technologies.
To show you this content, we need your permission to use cookies.
You can use the buttons below to amend your preferences to enable Spreaker cookies or to allow those cookies just once.
You can change your settings at any time via the Privacy Options.
Unfortunately we have been unable to verify if you have consented to Spreaker cookies.
To view this content you can use the button below to allow Spreaker cookies for this session only.
Mr Vance suggested on Monday that the metals pact was the best way to secure a lasting end to the war.
“If you want real security guarantees, if you want to actually ensure that Vladimir Putin does not invade Ukraine again, the very best security guarantee is to give Americans economic upside in the future of Ukraine,” Mr Vance told Fox News.
“That is a way better security guarantee than 20,000 troops from some random country that hasn’t fought a war in 30 or 40 years,” he added.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
3:27
Sky News gets rare access to drone launch
Mr Vance said Mr Zelenskyy had shown a “lack of respect” and “a certain sense of entitlement” in Friday’s trip to Washington.
He repeated that the door was still open if he altered his approach, but told Fox News he “still isn’t there”.
UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmersaid Britain was prepared to put “boots on the ground and planes in the air” under the plan – but it’s unclear who else might participate.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
The overall US total is €114bn (£94bn) and the European one €132bn (£109bn). This includes humanitarian aid and other financial assistance to keep the country running.
Following the weekend summit, the UK also pledged £1.6bn in finance for Ukraine to buy another 5,000 air defence missiles.