European gas prices may have dropped to levels not seen in more than four months, but this is far from being the end of the energy crisis, four industry analysts told CNBC.
The Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) is Europe’s main benchmark for natural gas prices. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent pressures on Europe’s energy mix have pushed natural gas prices to trade at historic levels back in August — above 340 euros per megawatt hour. However, these have significantly come down since then, ending Thursday’s session at 108.5 euros per megawatt hour.
In addition, intraday European gas prices even went negative at the start of the week — meaning that holders of natural gas paid buyers to take the cargo off their hands.
“With gas storage near full, LNG inflows in oversupply and favourable mild autumn weather, prices are doing the work to keep the system balanced as commodities trade in the present,” Ehsan Khoman, head of commodities research at MUFG Bank, told CNBC via email.
The latest data compiled by industry group Gas Infrastructure Europe shows that the EU’s overall storage levels are at an average of nearly 94% full. That’s comfortably above the 80% target the bloc had set for countries to reach by the start of November.
Some of the LNG (liquefied natural gas) orders made during the summer are arriving now, when storage is full, representing an oversupply. Temperatures in the region have also been unusually warm, with some nations currently experiencing 20 degree Celsius (68 degrees Fahrenheit) heat.
Nikoline Bromander, analyst at consultancy Rystad Energy, said high output from wind power and political agreement within the EU on cooperative measures to reduce gas prices and consumption have contributed to lowering gas prices.
But Europe’s energy crisis isn’t over, and analysts are warning European policymakers against complacency.
Europe ‘not out of the woods’
“The temptation in Europe will be to take a sigh of relief and acknowledge the hard work and tough decisions on demand and supply that have been taken,” Bromander said in a research note.
“However, a series of factors – from Asian demand for LNG potentially increasing to a lack of sufficient regasification facilities in Europe means that decision makers may feel the pressure sooner rather than later.”
One of the big question marks is what will happen to LNG demand when China fully reopens its economy. Beijing has been the biggest buyer of LNG in the world, but its zero-Covid policy has prevented its economy from operating at full capacity. If this dynamic changes in the coming months, there will be more competition for the commodity and prices could spike.
Even if this winter ends up being mild, next winter also remains a supply concern.
Tom Marzec-Manser
head of gas analytics at ICIS
Henning Gloystein, director for energy at consultancy firm Eurasia Group, told CNBC that “the current glut shouldn’t be seen as a signal though that the upcoming winter might not see energy shortages.”
“Given there’s virtually no Russian gas available in Europe, supply is tight. Once it gets cold, inventories will draw down. If there’s a late winter cold snap when stocks have been reduced, thigs could get pretty tight in early 2023, meaning possible price spikes and potential energy shortages,” Henning said, adding that “it’s therefore still very important for industry and households to try to reduce consumption.”
Tom Marzec-Manser, head of gas analytics at energy consultancy ICIS, reaffirmed the point that that weak gas prices in recent days should not be interpreted as a sign that Europe is now out of the woods when it comes to managing the lost flows from Russia.
Before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the EU was obtaining about 40% of all its natural gas from Moscow. That has now fallen below 10%.
“Forward pricing indicates that high prices will soon return: ICIS data shows gas for delivery in January is more than four times the price of spot gas at the TTF,” Marzec-Manser told CNBC via email.
Europe has in recent months endured a sharp drop in gas exports from Russia, traditionally its largest energy supplier.
Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
“Even if this winter ends up being mild, next winter also remains a supply concern as refilling storages through the summer of 2023 will be much harder than summer just gone, with little-to-no Russian gas available,” he added.
Several experts have warned that Europe’s high storage levels were to a large extent achieved with Russian gas. Even Xavier Bettel, the prime minister of Luxembourg, an EU nation, acknowledged earlier this month that storage was full with Russian gas. However, Russia supplies have been severely disrupted and it is Europe’s aim to be completely free from Russian fossil fuels.
Furthermore, there’s also the risk that European demand picks up in the coming months.
“The risk with the sell-off in the European gas market is the potential that demand starts to pick-up,” Khoman from MUFG Bank said, citing reports that fertilizer producers in Europe are easing curtailments.
“If this is part of a broader trend that we see in European demand, it would make it increasingly difficult for Europe to rebuild storage to comfortable levels ahead of next winter,” he added, projecting gas prices to average 200 euros per megawatt hour in the second quarter of 2023 and until the end of next year.
The CEO of EDP, Portugal’s utilities firm, summed it up when speaking to CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” Friday. “Certainly we are in a much better place than we were a couple of months ago,” Miguel Stilwell d’Andrade said, but “we should expect a lot of volatility going forward.”
I know, it sounds too crazy to be true, but the Vigoz by French company Cixi is an honest-to-goodness pedalable vehicle with a top speed of up to 120 km/h (75 mph). And it looks pretty slick, too.
I’m not sure if it’s technically an electric “car” since it only has three wheels, but it’s definitely an electric vehicle. I don’t think we can quite call it an electric bike (or e-trike) either when it’s fully enclosed and looks more like a modern take on a classic Fiat than something you’d see cruising the Paris bike lanes.
But despite the automotive-like exterior, the interior definitely gives you bike mashup vibes. There’s something of a recumbent-style seat that allows riders to lean back while working the bicycle pedals. Yes, that’s right. Bicycle pedals.
The pedals aren’t a direct drive setup, but rather seem to run through a series hybrid generator – something that has become more common on larger cargo e-bikes in the last few years.
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Known as the “Pedaling Energy Recovery System”, the human-integrated drivetrain is said to “convert human power into bicycle propulsion through electricity, enabling the rider to intuitively control speed and braking by pedaling,” according to New Atlas. That sounds nice in theory, but I think when I surround myself with glass and air conditioning, any ‘intuition’ about bicycle controls goes out the retractable windows.
Riders can also theoretically charge the battery by pedaling, but that’s probably about as effective as filling a swimming pool with a shot glass.
The Vigoz seems positioned for real utility use though, and not just as a quirky alternative vehicle. There’s room for a passenger seated in tandem configuration in the rear, or enough space for a decent amount of cargo. Or the pass through design can be use to carry skis, apparently.
And for safety, the company claims that the frame is built with crumple zones that should help reduce the impact forces on occupants in the event of a collision.
So far, the company says that its prototype has reached speeds topping 100 km/h (62mph), but the final maximum speed of the drivetrain is intended to be 120 km/h (75 mph).
It’s not clear exactly when the vehicle will be available to the public, or what unique regulatory concerns it could face on its path to homologation. The fact that Cixi hasn’t listed a price, or even opened a reservations list for future customers, shows that we could be looking at these prototypes for a while longer.
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Sam Altman, chief executive officer of OpenAI Inc., during a media tour of the Stargate AI data center in Abilene, Texas, US, on Tuesday, Sept. 23, 2025.
Kyle Grillot | Bloomberg | Getty Images
ABILENE, Texas — Sam Altman stood on a patch of hot Texas dirt, the kind that turns to dust storms on dry days and mud slicks after a sudden rain. Behind him stretched the outlines of what will soon be a massive data center complex in the west-central part of the state, where heavy wind often meets extreme heat.
It was a fitting backdrop for the OpenAI CEO to unveil what he calls the largest infrastructure push of the modern internet era: a 17-gigawatt buildout in partnership with Oracle, Nvidia, and SoftBank.
In less than 48 hours, OpenAI has announced commitments equal to 17 nuclear plants or about nine Hoover Dams. The plan will require the amount of electricity needed to power more than 13 million U.S. homes.
The scale is staggering, even for a company that’s raised a record amount of private market cash and seen its valuation swell to $500 billion. At roughly $50 billion per site, OpenAI’s projects add up to about $850 billion in spending, nearly half of the $2 trillion global AI infrastructure surge HSBC now forecasts.
Altman understands the concern. But he rejects the idea that the spending spree is overkill.
“People are worried. I totally get that. I think that’s a very natural thing,” Altman told CNBC on Tuesday from the site of the first of its mega data centers in Abilene. “We are growing faster than any business I’ve ever heard of before.”
Altman insisted that the building boom isin response to soaring demand, highlighting the tenfold jump in ChatGPT usage over the past 18 months. He said a network of supercomputing facilities is what’s required to maximize the capabilities of AI.
“This is what it takes to deliver AI,” Altman said. “Unlike previous technological revolutions or previous versions of the internet, there’s so much infrastructure that’s required, and this is a small sample of it.”
The biggest bottleneck for AI isn’t money or chips — it’s electricity. Altman has put money into nuclear companies because he sees their steady, concentrated output as one of the only energy sources strong enough to meet AI’s enormous demand.
Critics warn of a bubble, pointing to how companies like Nvidia, Oracle, Broadcom and Microsoft have each added hundreds of billions of dollars in market value on the back of tie-ups with OpenAI, which is burning cash.Nvidia and Microsoft are now worth a combined $8.1 trillion, or equal to about 13.5% of the S&P 500.
Skeptics also say the system looks like a circular financing model. OpenAI is committing hundreds of billions of dollars to projects that rely on partners like Nvidia, Oracle, and SoftBank. Those companies are simultaneously investing in the same projects and then getting paid back through chip sales and data center leases.
Friar has a different perspective, arguing that the entire ecosystem is banding together to meet a historic surge in compute needs. Big tech booms, Friar noted,have always required this kind of bold, coordinated infrastructure buildout.
Altman added that such cycles of overinvesting and underinvesting have marked every past technological revolution. Some people, he said, will surely feel the pain.
“People will get burned on overinvesting and people also get burned on underinvesting and not having enough capacity,” he said. “Smart people will get overexcited, and people will lose a lot of money.People will make a lot of money. But I am confident that long term, the value of this technology is going to be gigantic to society.”
‘More and more demand’
OpenAI’s partners are betting big on that future. Oracle is even reshaping its leadership around it. On Monday, the company promoted Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia to CEO roles, replacing Safra Catz. Magouyrk ran cloud infrastructure and Sicilia was president of Oracle Industries.
“When you think about why make a transition now, it’s really around Oracle’s being set up for success,” Magouyrk told CNBC. “I only see more and more demand from the end users … what looks like near infinite demand for technology.”
Nvidia is fronting equity alongside its chips, including the new Vera Rubin accelerators meant to power the next wave of AI workloads. The Abilene facility is being leased by Oracle.
“Folks like Oracle are putting their balance sheets to work to create these incredible data centers you see behind us,” OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar said in an interview on site.
She explained that OpenAI will pay operating expenses for the data centers when they’re online, while Nvidia’s investments are getting the project up and running.
“But importantly, they will get paid for all those chips as those chips get deployed,” Friar said, referring to the arrangement with Nvidia.
Friar, who previously helped take Block public as CFO and then guided Nextdoor to the public market as CEO, pointed to the balancing act between equity, debt and operating expenses. She said that the facilities breaking ground now are aimed at bringing new capacity online next year.
“But then it’s about what gets built for 2027, 2028, and 2029,” she said. “What we see today is a massive compute crunch. There’s not enough compute to do all the things that AI can do, and so we need to get it started — and we need to do it as a full ecosystem.”
As for OpenAI’s long-term relationship with Microsoft, “They’re a major partner,” Friar said, adding that the company will continue to be a key supplier of compute capacity.
She hinted that more developments are on the way with Microsoft, and that she’s “pleased that we are where we are, but not fully ready to announce everything yet.”
In Friar’s current role, the numbers are much bigger than they ever were at the two companies she took public. Eventually OpenAI investors will expect returns on their hefty investments, but Altman said that the question of an IPO is “complicated.”
“I assume that someday we will be a public company,” he told CNBC. “I have mixed feelings about it … for now, we’re certainly able to raise a lot of capital in private markets.”
He said that being public could make long-term investments harder, given the need to meet Wall Street’s expectations on a quarterly basis. But it would open up access to a broader base of investors, he said.
“I think that the world should, if people want to, own shares in OpenAI. I think that’s awesome, and I want that to happen,” Altman said.
In the near term, the story is about many billions of dollars plowed into chips and data centers in places like Abilene, and eventually in New Mexico, Ohio and elsewhere.
But OpenAI isn’t just about infrastructure. In May, the company made the stunning announcement that it had acquired Jony Ive’s nascent devices startup for about $6.4 billion. Bringing in the designer of the iPhone and the rest of Apple’s most popular products wasn’t an accident.
While in Texas, Altman hinted at hardware that could reshape how people use computers in their everyday lives.
The OpenAI CEO said computers have never before been able to truly “understand and think,” and that breakthrough creates the chance to invent an entirely new way of using them.
He cautioned that it will take time before OpenAI has anything ready to ship. Even when it gets there, the company plans to release only a “small family of devices,” he said. But the potential, Altman said, is “something big” and worth pursuing.
ABILENE, Texas — OpenAI and Oracle are betting big on America’s AI future, bringing online the flagship site of the $500 billion Stargate program, a sweeping infrastructure push to secure the compute needed to power the future of artificial intelligence.
The debut site in Abilene, Texas, about 180 miles west of Dallas, is up and running, filled with Oracle Cloud infrastructure and racks of Nvidia chips.
The data center, which is being leased by Oracle, is one of the most notable physical landmarks to emerge from an unprecedented boom in demand for infrastructure to power AI. Over $2 trillion in AI infrastructure has been planned around the world, according to an HSBC estimate this week.
OpenAI is leading the way.
In addition to the $500 billion Stargate project, the startup on Monday announced an equity investment deal with Nvidia that will add an estimated $500 billion worth of data centers in the coming years. Since 2019, Microsoft has invested billions of dollars in OpenAI, providing loads of access to Azure credits. Additionally, OpenAI contracts with smaller cloud companies for additional compute capacity and help operating its infrastructure.
One building on the Abilene site is operational while another is nearly complete. The campus has the potential to ultimately scale past a gigawatt of capacity, OpenAI finance chief Sarah Friar told CNBC. That would be enough electricity to power about 750,000 U.S. homes.
The data center construction plans are important enough that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang personally engaged in last-minute negotiations with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman over the weekend to get in on the action, CNBC reported earlier on Tuesday.
“People are starting to recognize just the sheer scale that will be required,” Friar said. “We’re just getting going here in Abilene, Texas, but you’ll see this all around the United States and beyond.”
The scale of the project’s construction was necessary to supply the amount of compute required to operate OpenAI’s models, Friar said.
“What we see today is a massive compute crunch,” she said. “There’s not enough compute to do all the things that AI can do.”
A bold bet on AI infrastructure
OpenAI, Oracle and SoftBank, which is helping fund the project, announced on Tuesday five additional Stargate sites across Texas, New Mexico, Ohio and an additional unnamed site in the Midwest. That brings the size of the initiative to nearly 7 gigawatts and more than $400 billion of investment over the next three years, which includes an existing $300 billion agreement between OpenAI and Oracle.
While companies like Oracle are helping fund the data center construction, OpenAI will ultimately be the one to pay for the computing capacity as an operating expense, Friar said. Although Nvidia is putting in equity to jumpstart the project, Friar said the chipmaker will get paid for all graphics processing units (GPUs) that it provides as those chips get deployed.
Friar said OpenAI will generate $13 billion in revenue this year, and that the company plans to help pay for the construction using its own cash flow and debt financing.
The Stargate name will refer to all OpenAI infrastructure projects going forward, CNBC reported this week. Together with CoreWeave and other partners, the companies say they are ahead of schedule to meet their full 10-gigawatt commitment by the end of 2025.
Friar told CNBC the shovels going into the ground today are laying foundations for compute that won’t come online until 2026, starting with Nvidia next-generation Vera Rubin chips.
Data center buildings are under construction during a tour of the OpenAI data center in Abilene, Texas, U.S., Sept. 23, 2025.
Shelby Tauber | Reuters
“No one in the history of man built data centers this fast,” Friar said, adding that the entire ecosystem has to work together to meet demand.
Critics have questioned the circular funding behind Stargate — OpenAI committing hundreds of billions of dollars to projects while suppliers like Nvidia are also investing directly into those same buildouts.
Friar said history shows that technology booms require bold infrastructure bets.
“When the internet was getting started, people kept feeling like, ‘Oh, we’re over-building, there’s too much,'” Friar said. “Look where we are today, right?”
The project also carries political weight. OpenAI and Oracle first unveiled Stargate alongside President Donald Trump at the White House in January. Friar called Trump “the president of this AI era,” pointing to Washington’s role in framing the technology as both an economic engine and a national security priority. Trump was briefed on the Nvidia investment into OpenAI during a state visit to the U.K. earlier this month.
Oracle says the project will employ more than 6,000 construction workers daily and deliver nearly 1,700 long-term jobs.
In a paper published Tuesday about OpenAI’s infrastructure plans, the company wrote that its data center buildout could help reshape the American power grid with new technologies and help the U.S. exert global influence.