Connect with us

Published

on

Public support for sanctions on Russia remains overwhelming, but could erode if the cost-of-living crisis worsens, an exclusive poll for Sky News has found.

The poll by Ipsos suggests that 70% of the public support implementing sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine.

poll

However, just 41% of people now say they would still back sanctions if it means a further rise in energy bills.

That’s a significant decrease since March, when three out of four people (73%) were willing to stomach an increase in energy prices.

fragile support

Since then, energy costs have more than doubled, adding over £1,200 to the annual bills of a typical household.

A third of people (32%) now say they would oppose sanctions if they were to lead to a further increase in energy prices, up from just 8% of respondents in March.

The poll comes ahead of a special programme on Sky News in conjunction with the Imperial War Museum Institute looking at the war in Ukraine on Tuesday evening at 7.30pm.

Special event at the Imperial War Museum examining the conflict in Ukraine

Analysis: Support for Ukraine sanctions strong – but for how long?


Rob Powell Political reporter

Rob Powell

Political correspondent

@robpowellnews

The link between Russian sanctions and rising prices here is not as obvious as it may seem.

A House of Commons briefing from earlier this month found in 2021 Russian imports made up 4% of the gas used in the UK, 9% of oil and 27% of coal.

Across the EU, the equivalent figures were 39% for gas, 23% for oil and 46% for coal.

But the disruption to supply caused by the war in Ukraine, combined with an increase in demand as countries look for alternative energy sources, has still pushed up prices substantially on international markets.

This has caused the spikes in what we’re all paying to heat and power our homes.

It has also led to the government trying to convince countries like Saudi Arabia to step up energy production in a bid to calm the markets.

All that said, this polling shows that a strong response to Russia over Ukraine is still a vote winner with the public.

In fact, you can make a convincing argument that the initial muscular approach adopted by Boris Johnson was the main reason he was able to cling onto power in Downing Street for quite so long.

Ipsos interviewed a representative sample of 1,069 adults aged 16-75 in Great Britain between 19 and 20 October for Sky News.

The poll suggests that public support for Britain’s role in assisting Ukraine remains high, with 59% of people in favour of sending arms and money to the country and 58% saying that the UK should accept more Ukrainian refugees.

However, increases in energy bills since March have left public support for sanctions more fragile than before.

According to the poll, 41% of the public are “very concerned” about the war’s impact on the UK economy, with the same proportion saying that it is contributing “a great deal” to rising prices.

The only factor which respondents were more likely to identify as contributing significantly to inflation was the Conservative government’s economic policies (48% of people). Respondents also identified excessive corporate profits, global economic headwinds and UK interest rates as key causes of the cost-of-living crisis.

attribution

One in four (25%) said they were “very concerned” about being unable to pay their bills over the next six months, with a further 45% “fairly concerned”.

Were sanctions to lead to an increase in energy bills, they would no longer enjoy support across all parts of society, as they have done so far.

Half of people in relatively secure financial positions (48%) would continue to back sanctions, with only 27% opposed.

Among those struggling most with the cost of living, however, the number of people against sanctions would be larger than the number of people in favour.

struggling

For now, however, Britain’s sympathies lie overwhelmingly with Ukraine. Just 63% of respondents said they were very concerned about the impact of the war on themselves personally, compared to 82% who said they were worried for Ukrainian civilians.

Three in four people (74%) are also concerned about the possible implications of the war for Britain’s national security.

impact of war

Although additional price increases would dent support for sanctions, most people (52%) would still back the measures if they led to prices remaining at their current, high level for longer.

Even among those who said they were finding it “difficult” to get by at the moment, 45% said they would be willing to endure continued high prices for the sake of supporting Ukraine, with 30% disagreeing.

tolerate prices

Keiran Pedley, Research Director at Ipsos, told Sky News: “These findings show sustained support for Ukraine from the British public over time, as a clear majority continue to support Britain’s role supporting Ukraine amidst widespread sympathy for Ukraine’s people.

“Although there is concern about the impact of the war on Britain’s economy, most continue to support sanctions, and think they are necessary even with higher energy and food prices.

“However, there is some evidence that support for sanctions in the face of rising energy and food prices may not be limitless if they continue to rise even further over time.”


Methodology

Ipsos interviewed a representative sample of 1,069 adults aged 16-75 in Great Britain. Interviews took place online between 19 and 20 October 2022. Data has been weighted to the known offline population proportions. All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error.

Full tables can be found on the Ipsos website.


The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.

Why data journalism matters to Sky News

Continue Reading

UK

UK weather: New ice warnings issued and runway closure causes travel delays – as temperatures set to reach -16C

Published

on

By

UK weather: New ice warnings issued and runway closure causes travel delays - as temperatures set to reach -16C

The Met Office has put yellow weather warnings over snow and ice in place from this afternoon covering much of the UK.

It had a number of yellow warnings in place on Thursday across the country, but most were initially set to expire by 11am, with only a snow and ice alert in Scotland remaining until midnight.

But it has now updated its map to show yellow ice warnings for much of the Midlands, North West England, Eastern England, Wales and Northern Ireland from 4pm on Thursday until 10am on Friday, while the snow and ice warning for Scotland has been extended to 10am on Friday.

Weather warnings for Thursday
Image:
Met office weather warnings for Thursday Pic: Met Office

Weather warnings for Friday. Pic: Met office
Image:
Weather warnings for Friday. Pic: Met office

A separate yellow warning for ice is in force from 3am on Friday until 11am, covering South West England and parts of South Wales.

It comes as large swathes of the country deal with disruption caused by the freezing weather, with temperatures expected to fall as low as -16C on Thursday night both in the northeast of England and Scotland, the Met Office has said.

Manchester Airport has warned passengers of delays after temporarily closing its runways due to “significant levels of snow”.

In a statement on Thursday morning, the airport said: “Our runways are temporarily closed due to significant levels of snow, as our teams work hard to clear them as quickly as possible.”

The airport announced its runways had reopened at 10am, but warned “as a result of the earlier closure, some departures and arrivals may still experience delays”.

“The safety of our passengers remains our top priority. Thank you for your understanding and patience,” it added.

Commuters wait for a tram on a snow-covered platform in Manchester.
Pic: Reuters
Image:
Commuters wait for a tram on a snow-covered platform in Manchester. Pic: Reuters

Snow covers a vehicle in Buxton.
Pic: Reuters
Image:
Snow covers a vehicle in Buxton. Pic: Reuters

The A30 in Cornwall was closed westbound between the A3047 junctions Avers and Tolvaddon on Thursday morning following a multiple vehicle collision, according to National Highways, after an amber warning for snow and ice was in place yesterday.

It said at 8.45am that emergency services were at the scene while traffic built on the roads.

Devon and Cornwall Police and Devon County Council Highways had earlier warned of roads closing and motorists being stationary for “long periods of time” in a joint statement.

Snow ploughs became stuck in queues of traffic caused by “minor incidents”, the statement added.

All of the warnings in place across the country are yellow, meaning there is a danger of injury from slips and falls and some disruption to travel expected.

A yellow warning for snow and ice is in place for the following regions from 4pm on Thursday to 10am on Friday:

  • East Midlands
  • North West England
  • Northern Ireland
  • Wales
  • West Midlands

Get the forecast for your area

Icicles hang from the Killhope Lead Mine in Durham.
Pic: PA
Image:
Icicles hang from the Killhope Lead Mine in Durham. Pic: PA

Other yellow warnings which covered much of the country on Thursday morning have now expired.

They included a warning for snow and ice affecting Cornwall, much of Wales and parts of northwest England until 11am, an ice warning for parts of southern England and south-east Wales until 10.30am and a fog warning for Northern Ireland until 9am.

Menston, West Yorkshire
Image:
Menston, West Yorkshire

Snow covers the Killhope Lead Mine in Durham.
Pic: PA
Image:
Snow covers the Killhope Lead Mine in Durham. Pic: PA

Travel disruption to road and rail services are likely on Thursday in the warning areas, as well as the potential for accidents in icy places, the forecaster said.

As icy conditions persist, motorists are being urged to stick to major roads that are most likely to have been gritted.

Car insurer RAC said it has seen the highest levels of demand for rescues in a three-day period since December 2022.

Continue Reading

UK

Stuart Hogg: Former Scotland rugby captain given community payback and non-harassment orders for domestic abuse

Published

on

By

Stuart Hogg: Former Scotland rugby captain given community payback and non-harassment orders for domestic abuse

Former Scotland rugby captain Stuart Hogg has been handed a community payback order and a non-harassment order for abusing his estranged wife over the course of five years.

Hogg, 32, last year pleaded guilty to a single charge of domestic abuse of his ex-partner, Gillian Hogg, between 2019 and 2024.

The sportsman admitted shouting and swearing, tracking her movements and sending her messages which were alarming and distressing in nature.

At Selkirk Sheriff Court on Thursday, he was given a community payback order with one year of supervision and a five-year non-harassment order.

Sheriff Peter Paterson warned Hogg the sentence was an “alternative to custody”.

Former Scotland rugby captain Stuart Hogg arrives at Selkirk Sheriff Court.
Pic: PA
Image:
Hogg arriving at Selkirk Sheriff Court on Thursday. Pic: PA

Former Scotland rugby captain Stuart Hogg leaves Selkirk Sheriff Court.
Pic: PA
Image:
Hogg leaving court. Pic: PA


A court heard how he berated Mrs Hogg for “not being fun” after going on drinking binges with his colleagues, and once sent more than 200 text messages to her in the space of a few hours which caused her to suffer a panic attack.

Hogg had been due to stand trial at Selkirk Sheriff Court last November, but pleaded guilty to the abuse which was said to have taken place at various locations including Hawick in the Scottish Borders and Bearsden in East Dunbartonshire.

Former Scotland rugby captain Stuart Hogg arrives at Jedburgh Sheriff Court to be sentenced after he admitted abusing his estranged wife over the course of five years. Picture date: Thursday December 5, 2024. PA Photo. See PA story COURTS Hogg. Photo credit should read: Owen Humphreys/PA Wire
Image:
Hogg arriving at Jedburgh Sheriff Court in December. Pic: PA

At Jedburgh Sheriff Court in December, he was initially handed the five-year non-harassment order and fined £600 for breaching bail conditions by repeatedly contacting Mrs Hogg last June.

The former Glasgow Warriors and Exeter Chiefs, who plays for French club Montpellier, now lives abroad and is said to be in the process of getting a divorce.

Stuart and Gillian Hogg in 2017. Pic: Stuart Wallace/Shutterstock
Image:
Stuart and Gillian Hogg in 2017. Pic: Stuart Wallace/Shutterstock

Prosecutor Drew Long said the couple moved to Exeter in 2019 with their three young children, who were all under three, but Hogg’s behaviour “deteriorated” as he went out partying.

Mr Long said Hogg would “shout and swear and accuse Mrs Hogg of not being fun” for not joining in drinking, and that her family “noticed a change in her”.

In 2022, Mrs Hogg went on a night out and was bombarded with text messages from the rugby player which “caught the attention of the people she was with”, the prosecutor said.

The following year, the couple moved to Hawick in the Borders, but Hogg used an app to track his wife and “questioned her whereabouts” while she was dropping the children off.

Read more from Sky News:
Sexually violent chef branded ‘extreme danger to women’ jailed
Mother of 14-year-old stabbed to death on bus ‘not surprised’ he was killed

In 2023, she decided to leave the sportsman and sought advice from a domestic abuse service.

Mr Long said in September of that year, Hogg “sent in excess of 200 texts in a few hours despite being asked to leave her alone”, which led to Mrs Hogg having a panic attack.

On 21 February 2024, police were called due to Hogg “shouting and swearing”.

He was taken into custody and thereafter placed on a bail order stipulating not to contact Mrs Hogg or to enter the family home.

The Crown Office and Procurator Fiscal Service (COPFS) said “no one should have to live in fear of a partner or former partner”.

Lynne Barrie, procurator fiscal for Lothian and Borders, added: “Stuart Hogg has now been convicted and held accountable for subjecting his estranged wife to years of domestic abuse.”

Hogg made his Scotland debut in 2012 and went on to make 100 appearances for his country.

He also made two appearances for the British and Irish Lions and was made an MBE for services to the sport in last year’s New Year Honours list.

Following his guilty plea, Mrs Hogg thanked all those who had shown support.

She praised her family and friends, and also singled out those who had given her “a hi, a smile, a hug or even just a look to show they care”.

Mrs Hogg said she had thought “long and hard” about posting on Facebook, but added: “Now, it’s time to start my next chapter.

“To move on and to keep showing my kids every day that strength comes from unconditional love and support around you, and even when it hurts, love wins.”

Following the court case, Scottish Women’s Aid said coercive control – including stalking and micromanaging how women mother, where they go, what they wear and what they’re allowed to say – can be “more traumatic than a physical assault”.

Dr Marsha Scott, chief executive of the charity, added: “The sentence in this case, like so many handed down in Scotland, hardly meets the test of being proportionate when compared to the harm this man has caused.”

Continue Reading

UK

Liz Truss sends cease and desist letter to Sir Keir Starmer over claims she ‘crashed the economy’

Published

on

By

Liz Truss sends cease and desist letter to Sir Keir Starmer over claims she 'crashed the economy'

Liz Truss’ lawyers have sent a cease and desist letter to Sir Keir Starmer over his claims she “crashed the economy”.

The letter says Sir Keir’s continued claim the former Conservative prime minister crashed the economy with the September 2022 mini budget is defamatory and will “likely continue to cause serious harm to her reputation”.

It focuses on the Labour leader’s claims made in June last year during the general election campaign, and says accusations she crashed the economy were made with the purpose of damaging public opinion of Ms Truss as she stood as a parliamentary candidate.

Politics latest: Lammy unveils people smuggling sanctions plan

Ms Truss, who stepped down as prime minister in under two months in charge, lost the South West Norfolk seat she had held since 2010 to Labour’s Terry Jermy in last year’s election.

Sir Keir’s spokesman said the prime minister has no plans to “moderate his language” based on the letter.

He also questioned whether Ms Truss will be writing to the “millions of people up and down the country” who shared Sir Keir’s view.

More on Liz Truss

The letter also says it is “false” to claim the mini budget crashed the economy and provides details of a definition of “crash of the economy” by Dr Andrew Lilico, an expert from right-wing thinktank the Institute of Economic Affairs and managing director of economic consultancy Europe Economics.

Market movement following the mini budget did not constitute a “crash”, the letter says, and accuses Sir Keir of displaying an “ignorance of basic economics” by doing so.

LETTER
Image:
The letter calls for Sir Keir Starmer to stop saying Liz Truss crashed the economy

Following the mini budget, which included £45bn of unfunded tax cuts, the UK government’s long-term borrowing costs rose sharply by 0.3 percentage points over a day.

The pound then fell to record lows against the dollar, and there was another sharp rise in the cost of long-term government borrowing by 0.5 percentage points after then chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng hinted there would be further tax cuts.

This led to rising mortgage rates, with hundreds of products withdrawn, and an impact on UK pension funds.

Ms Truss’ lawyers blamed the interest rate changes on the Bank of England, “in particular by its poor handling of the liability-driven investment bonds (LDI) crisis, and its regulatory failures”.

It points out the Bank of England is independent of government and says: “Thus the relevant rate changes were not ’caused’ by our client.

“These facts were clear as early as May 2024, if not before.”

Read more from Sky News:
Chancellor on course to tighten Whitehall budgets further

Lammy laughs off Trump’s threat to seize Greenland and Panama Canal

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

‘Do you take any blame for your premiership?’

The letter argues there was “no rise in unemployment…no sustained loss of wealth”, and no “enduring economic impacts”.

It says Ms Truss and the mini budget did not play “a significant causal role in the financial market volatility of September/October 2022” and said almost everything, in fiscal terms, had been announced before the mini budget.

The letter requests Sir Keir “immediately cease and desist” from repeating she crashed the economy on an “amicable basis”.

“This request is made in the context of the basic levels of civility which is due between senior politicians, and we trust that you will respond accordingly,” the letter says.

Continue Reading

Trending