Environment

Coterra Energy’s earnings beat, dividend raise reinforce the Club’s investment case

Published

2 years ago

November 4, 2022

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In this photo illustration, a Coterra Energy Inc. logo is seen on a smartphone screen.

Pavlo Gonchar | SOPA Images | LightRocket | Getty Images

Coterra Energy‘s (CTRA) solid third-quarter earnings beat on Thursday, along with hefty free cash flow and a raised dividend, solidified the Club’s investment case in the oil-and-gas producer.

Total revenue soared by nearly 500% year-on-year, to $2.52 billion, exceeding analysts’ estimates of $2.37 billion, according to Refinitiv.
Adjusted earnings per share more than doubled on an annual basis, to $1.42 a share, beating analysts’ forecasts of $1.37 a share.

Note: Coterra management is set to hold its post-earnings conference call at 10 a.m. ET Friday, which we’ll monitor for any updates.

Bottom line

Coterra continued to return an outsized amount of free cash flow to shareholders: 74% in the third quarter, to be exact.

While we’ve worked to moderate our energy exposure in recent months, our two-pronged investment rationale has not changed: 1) Hedge our portfolio against inflation as oil-and-gas prices stay higher for longer and 2) get rewarded for our patience through robust dividend payouts and stock buybacks, which are made possible by those same elevated commodity prices.

Coterra hiked its fixed-plus-variable dividend payout on a sequential basis, supporting the second part of our investment thesis. The company was the only one of our three exploration-and-production holdings to do so this earnings season. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Devon Energy (DVN), by contrast, announced quarter-over-quarter declines to their payouts, due to falling oil prices in the third quarter.

But Coterra’s larger natural gas exposure — a key reason we initiated our position in April — proved advantageous in the three months ended Sept. 30. U.S. natural gas prices bottomed out in early summer, before increasing for nearly two months in a row and then falling again more recently.

U.S. natural gas futures closed at $6.33 per million British thermal units on Thursday, while West Texas Intermediate crude — the U.S. oil benchmark — settled at $88.17 a barrel. Coterra’s stock was trading down nearly 2% in afterhours trading Thursday, at roughly $30 a share, as the market digested its third-quarter report.

Cash flow

Cash flow is king for companies like Coterra. Here’s how the Houston-based company did in the third quarter.

Cash flow from operations expanded by more than 600% year-over-year, to $1.77 billion, roughly in line with analysts forecasts of 1.76 billion, according to FactSet.
Adjusted discretionary cash flow (cash flow from operations excluding changes in assets and liabilities) was $1.52 billion, below estimates of $1.62 billion.
Free cash flow, or money the business generates subtracting capital expenditures, was $1.06 billion, short of analysts’ forecasts of $1.16 billion.
Capital expenditures of $460 million came in above the $450 million predicted by analysts.

Based on recent commodity strip prices, Coterra management expects free cash flow for the full year to be $3.9 billion, compared with the FactSet estimate of $3.83 billion.

Coterra also said its full-year capital budget is projected to be $1.7 billion, matching the high end of its prior guidance range of $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion.

Dividends and buybacks

Coterra said it would pay out a fixed-plus-variable dividend of 68 cents a share, up from its prior 60 cents a share quarter-on-quarter. Based on Coterra’s Thursday closing price of $30.61, that equates to a roughly 8.9% annualized dividend yield. Half of the company’s third-quarter free cash flow is going toward the dividend, as was the case with second-quarter free cash flow.

The company spent $253 million in the third quarter to repurchase 9.3 million shares at an average price of $27.03 a share. That’s equal to about 24% of free cash flow. In the second quarter, 30% of Coterra’s free cash flow went toward stock buybacks, totaling $303 million. As of Sept. 30, the company has $510 million remaining on its $1.25 billion buyback authorization.

Production and Q4 outlook

Total production in the quarter was 641,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, above the 610,000 to 630,000 barrel-a-day guidance the company issued in August and above analysts’ forecasts for production of 624,100 barrels a day. Coterra attributed its total production levels to “strong well performance and improving cycle times.”

Here’s the breakdown of Coterra’s production in the third quarter:

Oil: 87,900 barrels a day, ahead of a consensus forecast of 86,700 barrels a day.

Natural gas: 2.8 billion cubic feet a day, slightly exceeding analysts’ forecasts of 2.77 billion cubic feet a day.

For the fourth quarter, Coterra expects total production to be between 615,000 and 635,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day, which at the midpoint is lower than the 632,900 barrels a day forecasted by analysts. The company also forecasts oil volumes to average between 86,000- to 89,000 barrels a day, roughly in line with estimates for 87,200 barrels a day. Natural gas volumes should average between 2.72 billion- and 2.78 billion cubic feet a day, below the 2.8 billion cubic feet a day predicted by analysts.

For the full year, Coterra raised its total production guidance by 1% at the midpoint, saying it now should be between 625,000- to 640,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day. At the midpoint that exceeds estimates for 630,000 barrels a day. At the same time, the company raised its forecast for natural gas production for the full year to between 2.76 billion- to 2.85 billion cubic feet a day, also up 1% at the midpoint. That compares with analysts’ forecasts of 2.8 billion cubic feet a day.

Coterra’s realized prices, excluding commodity derivatives, in the third quarter were $93.35 per barrel of oil, better than the $92.7 per barrel analysts expected, and $6.37 per thousand cubic feet of natural gas, below the $6.50 analysts predicted.

(Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CTRA. See here for a full list of the stocks.)

As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY, TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER. NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.

Environment

What makes a Honda a Honda? Prologue engineers help us find out!

Published

2 hours ago

November 16, 2024

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What makes a Honda a Honda? Prologue engineers help us find out!

On today’s informative episode of Quick Charge, we’ve got Honda engineers Jason Hwang and Emilio Sanchez to talk us through some of the things that make the GM Ultium-based Honda Prologue EV feel like a real Honda, and why that matters.

Jason and Emilio talk about some of the choices they made to make the Honda Prologue and Acura ZDX feel different from its GM-branded cousins, and explain why this was much more than a case of badge-engineering. Give it a listen, then let us know what you think of the Prologue and ZDX in the comments.

Today’s episode is sponsored by BLUETTI, a leading provider of portable power stations, solar generators, and energy storage systems. For a limited time, save up to 52% during BLUETTI’s exclusive Black Friday sale, now through November 28, and be sure to use promo code BLUETTI5OFF for 5% off all power stations site wide. Learn more by clicking here.

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Drop us a line at tips@electrek.co. You can also rate us on Apple Podcasts and Spotify, or recommend us in Overcast to help more people discover the show!

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Environment

The Eastern US’s first CFI-funded EV charging hub comes online

Published

6 hours ago

November 15, 2024

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The Eastern US's first CFI-funded EV charging hub comes online

CF EV charging — Photo: Joint Office of Energy and Transportation

The first EV charging hub funded by the Charging and Fueling Infrastructure (CFI) Program in the Eastern US is now online in Deerfield, Massachusetts.

The town installed the region’s first DC fast chargers (four ports), along with four Level 2 chargers, at 59 North Main Street in South Deerfield.

These new charging stations, funded with $2.46 million from the CFI program, are conveniently located near Interstate 91 in Franklin County, the most rural county in Massachusetts, which serves drivers from Connecticut up to the Canadian border.

The hub also features local and regional bus stops and designated bike lanes with secure onsite bike racks. The chargers are meant to cater to everyone: from local residents and visitors to municipal EVs and commercial vehicles that service the region’s businesses, like those in food and beverage manufacturing.

Gabe Klein, executive director of the Joint Office of Energy and Transportation, sees this as a model for future projects:

Multi-modal charging hubs in communities are key to giving more people the choice to ride and drive electric. The Town of Deerfield is showing leadership in building out convenient charging infrastructure that brings new transportation choices to rural and disadvantaged communities while supporting local commerce.

In recent years, Deerfield has experienced increased climate change-driven flooding from nearby rivers, including the Deerfield River, the Connecticut River, and the Bloody Brook. The project incorporates environmental engineering designed to mitigate and adapt to the effects of flooding and climate, including the installation of permeable asphalt and rain gardens, planting of native trees, grasses, and shrubs, and the creation of new greenspace in the center of Deerfield.

The Biden-Harris administration’s CFI Grant Program is expanding EV infrastructure nationwide. It offers grants for projects that complement and expand upon the initiatives of the NEVI program in urban, rural, and disadvantaged and low-income communities. So far, the CFI Grant Program has allocated over $1 billion to nearly 100 projects across the US, encouraging private investments and expanding the EV charging network to make EV ownership more practical and convenient.

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Environment

Kia’s new low-cost EV4 was just spotted in the US for the first time

Published

6 hours ago

November 15, 2024

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Kia's new low-cost EV4 was just spotted in the US for the first time

Kia’s upcoming EV4 electric sedan was just spotted testing in the US for the first time. The low-cost EV is expected to make its big debut by the end of the year. Here’s a look at the new model.

The EV4 will round out Kia’s new “EVs for all” master plan launched last year. Kia showcased three new models, the EV3, EV4, and EV5, during its first annual EV Day in October 2023.

During the event, Kia outlined its new global strategy to “lead and accelerate the EV revolution” with a wide range of models priced from $30,000 to $80,000.

Kia plans to rapidly expand its lineup with a series of smaller, lower-priced models. It launched the EV9, its first three-row electric SUV, which is already proving to be a hot seller in the US. Starting at under $55,000, the EV9 is still a great deal compared to others in its class, but Kia plans to go even lower.

The EV3 and EV4 are expected to be among the most affordable electric vehicles when they arrive in the US.

Kia’s new EV4 is now testing in the US

Ahead of its official debut, Kia’s new EV4 sedan was recently caught driving on US streets for the first time.

The latest image from KindelAuto doesn’t reveal much more than what’s been shown in the past, but the fact that it’s now testing in the US is significant.

Kia EV4 caught on US streets for the first time (Source: KindelAuto)

Kia’s EV3 is already on sale in Korea, starting at around $30,000 (42.08 million won). Earlier this week, the company said its new compact SUV is now available across Europe, starting at around $38,000 (36,000 euros) with a “segment-leading range” of up to 375 miles (WLTP).

Next up will be the EV4. Kia is expected to officially reveal the new EV by the end of the year, with deliveries starting in 2025. It could be as soon as next week at the 2024 LA Auto Show.

The interior will feature Kia’s advanced new ccNC infotainment system with dual 12.3″ navigation and driver display screens. An otherwise minalimalistic design is expected inside.

Kia’s EV4 will also be available in a hatchback variant. Although the hatch is likely aimed at European buyers, it was also recently spotted testing in the US for the first time.