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The finale of the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season wound up being a nearly perfect summation of the imperfect campaign that it had just wrapped up. A most apropos period stamped at the end of a story that had been written since the first green flag was waved over NASCAR’s 74th season, 274 days earlier in the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

There was plenty of drama at Phoenix Raceway on Sunday. There was controversy. There was good racing. At one point, the Championship 4 were: 1. Leading. 2. Running third. 3. Running in the top 10 despite believing that his engine was blowing up. 4. Fighting to get back onto the lead lap after a run-in with the car that was now running third.

But in the end, not even all of that could quite get out from underneath the cloud of a story that no one saw coming. The latest stanza in a broken record of a theme that has dogged the latter stages of what had been one NASCAR’s most remarkable seasons. Bad news acting like an annoying lapped car that refused to get out of the way.

“I think that this has been one of the craziest years in NASCAR history. It has to be, right? It certainly has been from my perspective,” said Joey Logano, shortly after becoming only the 17th multitime champion of NASCAR’s premier series. “We are definitely going to celebrate. But there is also a lot of work to do this winter. A lot of introspection. There always is, but this winter feels like there’s a lot to be done by everyone in the sport.”

Logano drives for Penske Racing, a team with whom he has now won 29 races and a pair of Cup Series titles. But before he signed with Roger Penske in 2012, he spent his first four full seasons at stock car racing’s highest level as a driver for Joe Gibbs Racing. He had been anointed as the next Jeff Gordon or Tony Stewart, famously nicknamed “Sliced Bread,” as in “greater than …” But he was also thrown into the deep end at 18 years old and indeed drowned, labeled by many as a bust after “only” two wins in the same car that Stewart had used to win 33 races and become a legend.

Among his de facto bosses at JGR was Coy Gibbs, son of Joe, the team’s namesake and a Pro Football Hall of Famer who had just wrapped up his second stint as head coach of Washington, with Coy, a former all-star linebacker at Stanford, on his staff. As Logano was moving on in 2013, Coy Gibbs was moving up the ladder at JGR. He eventually ascended to the role of co-chairman, helping to oversee the team that had Logano’s former ride, the No. 20 Toyota, now driven by Christopher Bell, alongside Logano in the Championship 4 at Phoenix on Sunday. On Saturday night, Coy’s son Ty Gibbs won the Xfinity Series title in a JGR machine. Hours later, Coy died in his sleep at the age of 49, the news announced by the team just as prerace ceremonies were beginning.

“What I want to do is say a prayer for Joe Gibbs and the loss he had,” Penske said as he met with the media in the Phoenix Raceway media center, while Logano and the team were still going through the post-title photo dance outside. “That’s more important than a win or a championship.”

It is difficult to recall a NASCAR Cup Series season that began with as much excitement and hope as this one did in February 2022. That historic exhibition race in the L.A. Coliseum generated a wave of positive energy that carried the sport well into summer. That was followed by a Daytona 500 that set the tone for what has been, inarguably, the most top-to-bottom competitive season since NASCAR’s premier series debuted in 1949, with the shocking victory of Penske’s Austin Cindric, a rookie, winning “The Great American Race.”

Cindric was the first of an incredible 19 different winners over 36 races and the first of a remarkable five first-time winners. That parity even managed to crash the postseason, as half of the 10 playoff races were won by drivers who had already been eliminated from title contention.

The catalyst for this level playing field was the so-called Next Gen race car, a product of years of unprecedented cooperation between NASCAR and its three auto manufacturers. It is a one-size-fits-all machine, the closest to an actual “stock car” that NASCAR has fielded in more than 60 years. Next Gen was designed with the hope of cutting costs, narrowing the engineering gap between little teams and superpowers, all while producing entertaining door-to-door racing.

It largely accomplished all of the above, and NASCAR was rewarded with rising TV ratings, ticket sales and that desired parity. Suddenly, second-tier teams such as Trackhouse Racing were title contenders. Trackhouse’s Ross Chastain was the racer chasing Logano to the checkered flag at Phoenix, in the postseason via his win at the Circuit of the Americas road course and the Talladega Superspeedway, vastly different races won in the exact same car.

But as summer gave way to fall, the new machine also began producing concerns about an unforeseen price being paid by the drivers behind the wheel. Veterans such as Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin had voiced safety concerns throughout the year, and Harvick’s scramble from his car as it burst into flames during the Southern 500 at Darlington became a visual flashpoint for the debate. Then a pair of would-be title contenders in Alex Bowman and Kurt Busch had their efforts cut short by concussions, with Busch ultimately stepping away from full-time racing. Racers said that the frame of the car is too stiff to properly protect them during rear impacts. Then they said they were frustrated by NASCAR’s refusal to heed their warnings during the season’s hot start.

In the midst of that very public safety debate, Bubba Wallace received a one-race suspension for a rage-fueled crash of Kyle Larson at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, the first Cup Series driver parked by NASCAR for an in-race incident in seven years. Not for the fight that came after the accident, but rather for committing the ultimate racing sin: purposely hooking a competitor’s car in the right rear while racing at speed and in traffic.

In the two races that followed, the focus returned to the racing itself and the buzz about the buildup to the Phoenix showdown of Logano, Chase Elliott, Bell and Chastain, who singlehandedly turned the conversation to on-track action when he used a wall-riding video game move at Martinsville Speedway to make the Championship 4 in the final turn of the year’s penultimate race. Even when that turned into a “Should drivers do that?” argument, at least it was a racing-based debate.

For 312 laps, Phoenix provided flashbacks of every chapter of the 2022 NASCAR story. There was the news about Gibbs that deflated every heart in the paddock. The Next Gen machine provided good racing once again, but it also once again sent a racer — Logano’s former teammate Brad Keselowski — scrambling out of a fire after a seemingly run-of-the-mill wreck. When Bowman, in his first race back after five weeks on the sidelines, hit the wall to bring out the race’s final caution, one couldn’t help but pause and worry if he had reaggravated his concussion-like symptoms.

Ultimately, evening arrived with a closing-laps showdown between Logano and Chastain, a future Hall of Famer driving for a superpower team versus an upstart underdog employed by what was supposed to be a second-tier team but has benefited all season from that same new model of car and the parity that came with it. Logano won, cementing his place among the sport’s all-time greats. Now NASCAR hopes that the season as a whole does the same, remembered in the long run more for the amazing competition it produced instead of the bad news that seemed to always be lurking in the rearview mirror throughout fall.

In response to the complaints about communication, NASCAR has held meetings with the drivers as a group throughout the fall. The engineers at NASCAR’s Research & Development Center spent October conducting crash tests on a new rear bumper and rear clip design for Next Gen that will be implemented next season. During his annual “State of the Sport” news conference at Phoenix, NASCAR president Steve Phelps pledged to keep those meetings going and keep the work moving forward.

“I think the communication between the sanctioning body and the drivers over this past five or six weeks has completely shifted the narrative on how the drivers are feeling about the area of safety or ‘race ability,’ whatever it is the concerns are,” Phelps said. “The conversations we’re having with the drivers, you can tell there’s a difference in how the drivers are speaking even to all of you [in the media].”

Can the early-season energy of 2022 be recreated? Can the unpredictability of the 2022 racing results be repeated? Can NASCAR race its way out from the under the specter of bad news all the way until a season’s end?

The Daytona 500 will be here sooner than later. The 2022 title bout is over. Now NASCAR can begin its fight with fixing this car over the offseason.

But first, maybe just a brief pause to catch one’s breath.

“I don’t really care about 2023 right now,” Elliott said following the accident with Chastain that knocked him out of the championship race, and unknowingly speaking for the entire garage. “We had five wins on the season, and we had — you tell me what the stats are. That’s how you would assess it, right? I know we won five races. That’s more than we did last year.

“But do not tell me what the countdown clock [to Daytona] is because I don’t want to know.”

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How shocking upsets and near misses of Week 6 impact conference, CFP races

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How shocking upsets and near misses of Week 6 impact conference, CFP races

On Oct. 26, 1985, UTEP pulled one of the biggest upsets in WAC history, holding BYU’s Robbie Bosco to 15-for-35 passing with four interceptions and upsetting the No. 7 Cougars — the defending national champions — in a 23-16 shocker. BYU had won 30 of its previous 31 games heading into the game, and UTEP had begun the season 0-6.

Until Saturday, that was the last time a team that was 0-4 or worse had knocked off a top-10 opponent. But almost 40 years after that wild upset at the Sun Bowl, a sparse Rose Bowl crowd witnessed an upset of similar circumstance. UCLA’s 42-37 win over Penn State was the most stunning result of the 2025 season to date, and combined with Florida’s 29-21 win over Texas in The Swamp — a much more normal upset, as far as those things go — it severely wounded the College Football Playoff odds of what were the top two teams in the preseason AP poll

The rest of Week 6 was more about missed upset opportunities than shockers, but taking down the preseason top two is quite the paradigm shifter. Let’s look back at the most important developments of Week 6.

The biggest upset in 40 years (by one definition, at least)

UCLA 42, No. 7 Penn State 37

Each week in my Friday preview column, I search for what I call the Chaos Superfecta, in which I look for four carefully curated games with pretty big point spreads and mash them together into a much more upset-friendly number. This past Friday, I declared that we would be taking down a Big Ten favorite, noting that there was only a 55% chance that Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois and Nebraska all would win. As it turns out, I wasn’t aiming high enough. UCLA’s pregame win probability, per SP+, was 2.1%; the Bruins’ upset was actually too chaotic to be considered for the Chaos Superfecta.

We know how huge upsets tend to play out. The losing favorite turns the ball over too many times (usually with a healthy dose of bad luck), settles for too many field goals and bottoms out on third or fourth down. They win a majority of the plays but lose the wrong ones.

Penn State did lose a fumble to start the second half, and the Nittany Lions’ combined 5-for-12 performance on third and fourth down wasn’t terrible but wasn’t amazing either. But the Nittany Lions produced a 52.6% success rate*, well above the national average of 44.8%, and they averaged a healthy 6.3 yards per play.

(* Success rate: How frequently an offense is gaining 50% of necessary yardage on first down, 70% on second and 100% on third and fourth.)

Drew Allar, so maligned for big-game performances through the years, was quite good, completing 19 of 26 passes for 200 yards and rushing 10 times (not including one sack) for 89 yards. Aside from an early three-and-out, PSU moved the ball well all game until an all-timer of a fourth-and-short stop by UCLA’s defense in the final minute.

The culprit, instead, was a Penn State defense that has been as good as virtually any in the nation over the past four seasons.

Since the start of 2022, only five teams have gained at least 430 yards on the Nittany Lions: No. 5 Michigan and No. 2 Ohio State in 2022, No. 11 Ole Miss in 2023, No. 1 Oregon in 2024 … and UCLA on Saturday. That’s the same UCLA team that gained just 326 yards on New Mexico in Week 3 and 220 against Utah in its season opener.

Well, I guess it wasn’t the same UCLA. This one had Jerry Neuheisel calling plays after offensive coordinator Tino Sunseri followed fired head coach DeShaun Foster out the door this past week. Neuheisel’s notice was short enough that he hadn’t even mastered the headset yet.

Neuheisel called the game like UCLA played it: with nothing to lose. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has spent much of his career looking as though he’s torn between showing off his athleticism and trying to be a pro-style QB prototype by staying in the pocket and making plays with his arm. That has resulted in far too much indecision and far too many sacks over the last season and a half. But he was unlocked Saturday, taking his customary three sacks but otherwise rushing 13 times for 150 yards and three touchdowns. He moved the chains on third down four times with his arm and four times with his legs.

The Bruins sliced down the field for a touchdown to start the game, recovered a surprise onside kick and took a 10-point lead before Penn State could actually touch the ball. They outgained the shell-shocked Nittany Lions by a 285-92 margin in the first half, in part because PSU got the ball only three times, and took a 27-7 lead into halftime. But when the Nittany Lions scored a touchdown, then blocked a punt for another score, to cut the lead to 27-21 midway through the third quarter, it was fair to assume what was going to happen next: Here’s where the slow-starting favorite shifts into gear and wins by two touchdowns, right? Even ESPN’s in-game win probability model shifted to favor the Nittany Lions.

Instead, UCLA immediately drove 75 yards for a touchdown, and when PSU scored in response, UCLA went another 75 yards for a score. Things got tense late, and the Nittany Lions, down 42-35 in the final minute, had a chance to tie the game up. But Scooter Jackson led a host of defenders in stuffing Allar on fourth-and-2, and the Bruins saw out the unbelievable upset.

Even if you had told me in advance that UCLA would win this game, I would have given “Allar plays well, but the defense gets torched, and the Nittany Lions lose at the line of scrimmage on almost every key occasion” betting odds of about +1000. Penn State was without injured star linebacker Tony Rojas, but my goodness, the school didn’t spend unearthly sums of money prying defensive coordinator Jim Knowles away from Ohio State to give up 42 points to UCLA.

This was only James Franklin’s third loss as a favorite of 14 or more points at Penn State – he’s now 56-3 in such games, a 0.949 win percentage that is better than almost any team’s in the country. Maybe the Nittany Lions were just due an absolute nonsense performance; maybe no one can limit uncertainty to such an upset-proof degree.

Regardless, this is a devastating loss. With back-to-back games against Ohio State (second in SP+) and Indiana (third) coming up in November, the Nittany Lions were already looking at probably needing to at least split those games to feel good about their playoff chances. Now they probably have to beat both the Buckeyes and Hoosiers, and with their SP+ rating falling off a cliff following Saturday’s result, they’re projected to have only a 1.6% chance of winning out to reach 10-2.

This was the all-in year for Penn State, with the school ponying up not only for Knowles but also to keep stars such as Allar, running backs Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton and defensive end Dani Dennis-Sutton in town for one more season. Now their most likely record, per SP+, is 7-5, and their Big Ten title odds are currently 11th in the conference, lower than those of even Iowa or Maryland.

Big Ten title odds, per SP+
Ohio State 26.9%
Oregon 25.8%
Indiana 17.7%
Michigan 9.7%
USC 5.1%
Washington 4.3%
Illinois 3.6%
Nebraska 2.9%
Iowa 1.3%
Maryland 1.2%
Penn State 0.6%

Oof.


Florida over Texas, aka the rise of the disappointing QB

Florida 29, No. 9 Texas 21

One of the stories of September was how many high-upside quarterbacks were falling miles short of expectations. When I ranked all the power-conference quarterbacks last week, Texas’ Arch Manning ranked 41st, Clemson’s Cade Klubnik ranked 54th, UCLA’s Nico Iamaleava ranked 58th and Florida’s DJ Lagway ranked 61st. All were mega-blue-chip recruits, Klubnik and Iamaleava had piloted playoff teams last season, Lagway had flashed signs of true-freshman brilliance down the stretch and Manning began this season as the betting favorite for the Heisman. All were among the bottom 40% of P4 QBs.

On Saturday, Iamaleava torched Penn State, and Klubnik went 22-for-24 for 254 yards and 4 touchdowns as Clemson absolutely pasted North Carolina. Lagway, meanwhile, drastically outdueled Manning as Florida toppled Texas.

Against what was the No. 1 defense in the country, per SP+, Lagway completed 21 of 28 passes for 298 yards and two scores, and after suffering far too many sacks and turnovers in September, he threw one pick with no sacks. Jadan Baugh rushed for 107 yards, and blue-chip freshman Dallas Wilson caught six passes for 111 yards and two touchdowns, including this utterly ridiculous 55-yarder.

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Freshman Dallas Wilson makes unbelievable 55-yard TD catch

Dallas Wilson is able to stay inbounds after the catch and runs in for the Florida touchdown.

The Gators averaged 7.0 yards per play with a 48% success rate against a defense that seemed even more elite than Penn State’s. Only two turnovers and two field goals kept Florida under 30 points. Lagway has consistently pressed this season, trying far too hard to make something happen for a struggling team. On Saturday, he was wonderfully in control.

Manning, meanwhile, had yet another frustrating game. He did complete passes of 22, 26, 33, 38 and 42 yards, with a 36-yard run to boot, but he was just 16-for-29 for the game and threw two picks with six sacks. He continues to lose his footwork and misfire on loads of passes when pressured, he continues to get absolutely no help from his offensive line, and he continues to trust his athleticism too much to bail him out of trouble.

Texas has played five games this season: three against teams ranked 97th or worse in SP+ and two against teams ranked 33rd or better. Texas is 3-0 against the former but 0-2 against the latter. Life in the SEC gives the team plenty of chances to stockpile marquee wins if it gets its act together. But the Longhorns have fallen to 20th in SP+, thanks to an offense that currently ranks 53rd, and saying they still have 5-0 Oklahoma, 5-0 Texas A&M, 4-1 Georgia and 5-1 Vanderbilt on the schedule sounds far more threatening than hopeful. At this point, the Longhorns’ most likely projected record is 7-5, and they’re currently 10th on the SEC title odds list.

SEC title odds, per SP+
Ole Miss 17.0%
Alabama 15.5%
Oklahoma 15.5%
Missouri 11.7%
Texas A&M 9.9%
Georgia 7.3%
Tennessee 6.0%
LSU 5.7%
Vanderbilt 3.3%
Texas 2.8%

The Horns will have a shot at an immediate rebound against Oklahoma in Dallas this coming Saturday, but any hope Texas fans can derive from their team likely facing Sooners backup quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr. is offset by the fact that OU ranks second in defensive SP+, 16 spots higher than the Florida defense that just made Manning’s life hell.


Missed opportunities in Tallahassee and Tuscaloosa

Turnovers have been at the root of many upsets through the years, but turnovers also prevented a couple of underdogs from making favorites sweat Saturday.

No. 10 Alabama 30, No. 16 Vanderbilt 14

A lot of Saturday’s Bama-Vandy game in Tuscaloosa played close to the typical upset script. Alabama moved the ball with ruthless efficiency overall but suffered a few negative plays and an ill-timed turnover and scored touchdowns on just one of its first five red zone trips. The Crimson Tide let Diego Pavia and Vanderbilt hang around in exactly the type of way teams often end up ruing. But unlike last season, Vandy couldn’t hold up its end of the upset bargain.

Pavia lost a fumble at the Bama 8 as the Commodores were attempting to expand an early 7-0 lead, then Pavia was picked off by Keon Sabb at the Bama 7 early in the fourth quarter, when Vandy, down 20-14, had a chance to take the lead again. As efficient and gutsy as Pavia can be, you can’t waste opportunities like that. Bama scored 10 late points to pull away.

Now, Bama was easily the superior team. The Tide outgained the ‘Dores by 153 yards and 0.9 yards per play, with a better success rate (49.3% to 46.3%) and more big plays (gains of 20-plus on 10.1% of their snaps to Vandy’s 5.6%). Jam Miller, who missed most of September because of injury, rushed 22 times for 136 yards, and Ty Simpson‘s primary receiver trio — Ryan Williams, Germie Bernard and Isaiah Horton — combined for 15 catches and 246 yards. But they left the door ajar with their red zone failures, and it felt almost surprising when Vandy didn’t take advantage.

In the past two weeks, Bama has beaten Georgia for a second straight year and avenged last year’s loss to Vandy. The challenges are only beginning — the Tide’s next two opponents (Missouri and Tennessee) are each in the SP+ top 10, and both LSU (17th) and Oklahoma (fifth) will visit Tuscaloosa in November — but these were two huge hurdles to clear, and they’re in good shape in the SEC race because of it.

No. 3 Miami 28, No. 18 Florida State 22

Through the first four games of 2025, Florida State might have had the best scripted plays in college football. Over the first 15 plays of a game, the Seminoles were averaging 10.5 yards per play, first in the country. For that matter, their first four snaps Saturday night gained 51 yards as they quickly drove into Miami’s red zone. But the momentum ceased. Over their next 37 snaps, they averaged just 3.5 yards per play with two turnovers. And after a third turnover, they found themselves down 28-3.

Without the turnovers, however, they might have had a chance. The FSU defense did its part, more or less, losing receivers Malachi Toney and CJ Daniels for a quartet of big gains but otherwise allowing just 3.3 yards per play over 55 snaps and forcing five punts with three three-and-outs. Miami scored just enough that, when FSU’s offense finally got going late, the Noles couldn’t quite catch up, but without the self-inflicted wounds, the ending might have been much more interesting. Regardless, after a tough overtime loss to overtime masters Virginia last week — the Cavaliers beat Louisville in OT as well Saturday — FSU didn’t give itself a shot at a rebound opportunity.

At the heart of FSU’s sudden regression has been a relative loss of form for quarterback Tommy Castellanos. Even as the Noles began the season brilliantly, I couldn’t shake the memory of last year, when Castellanos followed a brilliant start at Boston College with a collapse.

Castellanos’ first three games of 2024: 83.5 Total QBR, 64.8% completion rate, 9.5 yards per dropback, 8.5% sack rate

Rest of the season: 17.9 Total QBR, 59.8% completion rate, 5.9 yards per dropback, 11.6% sack rate

Castellanos and offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn fit beautifully together, and his ceiling is higher at FSU than it was at BC. But after an almost perfect three-game start, it appears opponents are once again adjusting well to his unique skill set. Virginia and Miami both hemmed him in and forced him to throw more passes instead of scrambling for downfield yards, and it limited his effectiveness.

Castellanos’ first three games of 2025: 92.5 Total QBR, 71.1% completion rate, 13.8 yards per dropback, 0.0% sack rate

Last two games: 58.9 Total QBR, 55.8% completion rate, 6.3 yards per dropback, 4.9% sack rate

It’s still baffling that Bama didn’t understand the assignment in the season opener and allowed Castellanos to repeatedly escape the pocket, but Virginia and Miami put him in more awkward situations. FSU should still score plenty of points and win plenty of games — SP+ gives them a 66% chance of finishing 8-4 or better, which is a massive rebound after last year’s 2-10 collapse. But any hopes of an ACC title charge or playoff bid are pretty much toast.

ACC title odds, per SP+
Miami 32.9%
Duke 15.7%
Georgia Tech 13.4%
Virginia 12.4%
Louisville 9.4%
SMU 6.6%
Pitt 5.2%
Florida State 1.2%

FSU fans probably would have probably welcomed an 8-4 record before the season began, but the win over Bama set a bar too high for the Seminoles to clear.


Cincinnati over Iowa State and the new Big 12 race

No. 11 Texas Tech 35, Houston 11

Hey, guess what: Texas Tech looked fantastic again. Even while settling for too many field goals (like Alabama), the Red Raiders still led previously unbeaten Houston by at least 12 points for the game’s final 46 minutes, more than doubled the Cougars’ yardage (552-267) and cruised to victory. They’re projected favorites by double digits in every remaining regular-season game, per SP+, and have a 36% chance of reaching 12-0. They have better conference title odds than any other power-conference team.

Big 12 title odds, per SP+
Texas Tech 38.2%
BYU 12.7%
Cincinnati 10.0%
Utah 9.8%
Arizona State 7.2%
TCU 5.1%
Arizona 5.0%
Iowa State 4.4%
Kansas 3.9%

Overall, the Big 12 slate was as chaotic as ever, with three games decided by one score — including a last-second goal-line stand for Kansas (27-20 over UCF) and a last-minute field goal for Baylor (35-34 over Kansas State). Unbeaten BYU didn’t look amazing against West Virginia on Friday night but never really had to sweat either, and Baylor, TCU and Kansas were able to overcome early-season losses and remain in the title race.

Cincinnati 38, No. 14 Iowa State 30

Iowa State couldn’t remain unbeaten, however. The Cyclones allowed points on all of Cincinnati’s first-half drives, fell behind 31-7 and couldn’t get closer than nine points until the final two minutes. Cincy’s Evan Pryor and Tawee Walker combined for 167 rushing yards in the first half alone, quarterback Brendan Sorsby did Sorsby things (214 passing yards, 64 rushing yards), and Cincinnati won its fourth straight game since a Week 1 heartbreaker against Nebraska. This wasn’t a flawless performance — the Bearcats committed a mind-numbing run of penalties early in the fourth quarter and gained just 53 yards in their first 16 second-half snaps before putting the game away with a long Caleb Goodie touchdown — but it established their spot in the title race, and if the defense can more frequently perform as it did in the first half Saturday, they could remain in the race for a while.


This week in SP+

The SP+ rankings have been updated for the week. Let’s take a look at the teams that saw the biggest change in their overall ratings. (Note: We’re looking at ratings, not rankings.)

Moving up

Here are the 10 teams that saw their ratings rise the most this week:

Old Dominion: up 5.2 adjusted points per game (ranking rose from 65th to 50th)

Ball State: up 4.6 points (from 129th to 126th)

UConn: up 4.5 points (from 77th to 66th)

Florida: up 4.3 points (from 47th to 33rd)

New Mexico State: up 4.2 points (from 128th to 121st)

Pitt: up 4.1 points (from 41st to 30th)

UCLA: up 4.1 points (from 100th to 87th)

Northwestern: up 4.0 points (from 80th to 71st)

Akron: up 3.7 points (from 131st to 128th)

Notre Dame: up 3.6 points (from 19th to eighth)

Florida, UCLA and Northwestern all enjoyed course corrections after strong performances, and SP+ was particularly impressed with what Notre Dame did to Boise State – by the stats, the Irish’s 28-7 win looked like a 33-point win. But can we talk about Old Dominion for a second? Quarterback Colton Joseph is averaging 15 yards per completion and 8.3 yards per carry and is up to 17th in Total QBR, and the 5-1 Monarchs’ only blemish was a competitive loss against Indiana. They beat Virginia Tech, and their average score against three non-power conference-opponents is 41-7. They play James Madison in two weeks in what is quickly becoming one of the biggest Group of 5 games of the season.

Moving down

Here are the 10 teams whose ratings fell the most:

Penn State: down 6.4 adjusted points per game (ranking fell from fourth to 16th)

Mississippi State: down 5.0 points (from 27th to 43rd)

Minnesota: down 4.5 points (from 45th to 60th)

Vanderbilt: down 4.1 points (from 11th to 21st)

Boston College: down 4.1 points (from 75th to 86th)

Oklahoma State: down 4.1 points (from 103rd to 116th)

North Carolina: down 4.0 points (from 86th to 101st)

Coastal Carolina: down 4.0 points (from 123rd to 129th)

Iowa State: down 3.9 points (from 26th to 37th)

Florida International: down 3.9 points (from 121st to 127th)

We saw a number of terribly disappointing teams continuing to fall this week — Boston College, Oklahoma State, North Carolina, Coastal — but it probably isn’t a surprise to see which team leads this list. Penn State still ranks 16th overall but only because it takes a while to fall from near the top.


Who won the Heisman this week?

I am once again awarding the Heisman every single week of the season and doling out weekly points, F1-style (in this case, 10 points for first place, 9 for second, and so on). How will this Heisman race play out, and how different will the result be from the actual Heisman voting?

Here is this week’s Heisman top 10:

1. Nico Iamaleava, UCLA (17-for-24 passing for 166 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 150 non-sack rushing yards and 3 TDs against Penn State).

2. Julian Sayin, Ohio State (23-for-27 passing for 326 yards and 3 touchdowns against Minnesota).

3. Eli Heidenreich, Navy (8 catches for 243 yards and 3 touchdowns against Air Force).

4. Luke Altmyer, Illinois (19-for-22 passing for 390 yards and a touchdown, plus 20 non-sack rushing yards against Purdue).

5. Jakobe Thomas, Miami (5 tackles, a sack, an interception, two pass breakups and a forced fumble against Florida State).

6. Colton Joseph, Old Dominion (17-for-30 passing for 315 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 67 non-sack rushing yards and a TD against Coastal Carolina).

7. Blake Horvath, Navy (20-for-26 passing for 339 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 130 non-sack rushing yards and a TD against Air Force).

8. Ty Simpson, Alabama (23-for-31 passing for 340 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT, plus 21 non-sack rushing yards against Vanderbilt).

9. Carnell Tate, Ohio State (nine catches for 183 yards and a touchdown against Minnesota).

10. DJ Lagway, Florida (21-for-28 passing for 298 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT against Texas).

Iamaleava was the obvious choice this week, but Sayin is starting to make an admittedly easy job — throwing to Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate — look really, really easy. In four games since the Buckeyes’ win over Texas, he has completed 88 of 106 passes (83%!) for 1,187 yards, 14 touchdowns and 3 picks, none in the past two games. He can still be fooled occasionally (which makes sense since he’s a redshirt freshman), but it’s becoming increasingly rare.

Honorable mention:

David Bailey, Texas Tech (3 tackles, all TFLs, 2 sacks, a forced fumble and a QB hurry against Houston).

Carson Beck, Miami (20-for-27 passing for 241 yards and 4 touchdowns against Florida State).

Hank Beatty, Illinois (5 catches for 186 yards and a touchdown against Purdue).

Jordan Gant, Akron (32 carries for 176 yards, plus 28 receiving yards and a touchdown against Central Michigan).

Mason Heintschel, Pitt (30-for-41 passing for 323 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 42 non-sack rushing yards against Boston College).

Cashius Howell, Texas A&M (3 tackles, all sacks, and a pass breakup against Mississippi State)

Cade Klubnik, Clemson (22-for-24 passing for 254 yards and 4 touchdowns against North Carolina).

Jam Miller, Alabama (22 carries for 136 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 receiving yards against Vanderbilt).

Naeten Mitchell, New Mexico State (10 tackles, 1 TFL, 2 pass breakups and a pick-six against Sam Houston).

Through six weeks, here are your points leaders:

1. Ty Simpson, Alabama (24 points)
2. Luke Altmyer, Illinois (16)
3T. Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss (15)
3T. Taylen Green, Arkansas (15)
5. Jayden Maiava, USC (12)
6T. Jonah Coleman, Washington (10)
6T. Nico Iamaleava, UCLA (10)
6T. Fernando Mendoza, Indiana (10)
6T. Diego Pavia, Vanderbilt (10)
6T. Sawyer Robertson, Baylor (10)

With four top-10 appearances in the past five weeks, Ty Simpson, the No. 4 overall betting favorite, has built a bit of a cushion for himself as we approach the midway point of the season. (Betting favorite Carson Beck has yet to make an appearance on our list, which is odd.) Meanwhile … hello there, Luke Altmyer! He has finished second and fourth in the past two weeks while going a combined 39-for-48 for 618 yards and 3 touchdowns. Since getting stomped by Indiana, the Illinois offense has been nearly unstoppable.


My 10 favorite games of the weekend

1. UCLA 42, No. 7 Penn State 37. Obviously.

2-3. FCS: Georgetown 27, Morgan State 24; Division II: West Liberty 47, West Virginia State 41. The smaller-school ranks gave us a pair of Hail Mary-esque finishes this week.

First, after watching an early 14-0 lead turn into a late 24-21 deficit, Georgetown’s Dez Thomas II found Jimmy Kibble for a 49-yard score to take down Morgan State at the buzzer.

Then, at the end of a 40-point fourth quarter that had already given us an 80-yard Antevious Jackson-to-Hunter Patterson touchdown pass, Jackson found Osama Hurst for 40 yards to turn a tie game into a West Liberty win.

4. Arkansas State 31, Texas State 30. Oof, Texas State. The Bobcats’ defense mostly shut Arkansas State down for three quarters and took three separate leads in the fourth. But ASU drove the length of the field to tie each time, and when Lincoln Pare scored to give Texas State the lead with a minute left, Tyler Robles missed the PAT after a poor snap. That opened the door, and Jaylen Raynor‘s short touchdown with seven seconds left — plus Clune Van Andel‘s PAT — gave the Red Wolves an upset win to start Sun Belt play.

5. Baylor 35, Kansas State 34. OOF, K-State. The Wildcats have now lost four games by a combined 13 points. They led this one 31-17 with nine minutes left and were driving to basically put the game away, but Jacob Redding‘s 66-yard pick-six with 4:28 left gave the Bears a sudden lead. Luis Rodriguez‘s 22-yard field goal made it 34-32 KSU, but Connor Hawkins bombed in a 53-yarder at the buzzer, and Baylor moved to 2-1 in Big 12 play.

6. Washington 24, Maryland 20. I’m not going to lie: I stopped paying attention to this one when Maryland went up 20-0. Apparently Maryland did too.

7-8. Division III: No. 5 Wisconsin-La Crosse 23, No. 10 Wisconsin-Whitewater 20 (2OT); No. 17 Wisconsin-Oshkosh 21, No. 12 Wisconsin-River Falls 17. You know how I’m always nagging you about keeping up with the Wisconsin Intercollegiate Athletic Conference in Division III? If the first week of this year’s title race is any indication, the nagging isn’t going to cease anytime soon. The conference featured a pair of ranked-versus-ranked matchups, and both were thrillers.

After nearly 60 minutes of defensive dominance in Oshkosh, the offenses perked up late. Kaleb Blaha’s 2-yard run with 1:21 left capped a 92-yard drive and gave River Falls a 17-14 lead, but Oshkosh drove 66 yards in eight plays, and Quentin Keene’s 7-yard strike to Clayton Schwalbe gave the Titans a last-second win. But that was the mere undercard: The headliner in Whitewater, played in front of 20,167 — the second-largest on-campus crowd ever for a Division III game — saw La Crosse overcome a 17-0 halftime deficit and send the game to overtime with a late Gabe Lynch touchdown. Overtime was a field goal festival, but after Christian Powell recovered a strip-sack fumble, La Crosse earned a big walk-off road win with a 36-yard field goal from Michael Stack.

9. FCS: Western Carolina 23, Wofford 21. I should have probably given Western Carolina’s Taron Dickens a spot on the Heisman list above. He did, after all, complete 46 straight passes Saturday, an NCAA single-game record. Granted, they were mostly short passes — he finished 53-for-56 for 378 yards — and he needed every one of them to overcome three long Wofford touchdowns. But Marcus Trout‘s 34-yard field goal with 23 seconds left assured Dickens’ record day wasn’t in vain.

10. Division II: No. 8 Augustana 29, Sioux Falls 28. Sioux Falls was on its way to both a top-10 upset and a win in the Key to the City rivalry as the Cougars led 28-10 heading into the fourth quarter. But Augustana charged back, with two Richard Lucero Jr. touchdown passes sandwiching a 52-yard Jake Pecina field goal. Lucero’s 24-yard strike to Isaiah Huber gave Augie the lead with 1:18 left, and USF’s last-minute desperation drive stalled out near midfield.

Honorable mention:

11. Kansas 27, UCF 20

12. Buffalo 31, Eastern Michigan 30 (OT)

13. No. 24 Virginia 30, Louisville 27 (OT)

14. Division II: Ferrum 28, Shorter 25

15. FCS: Dayton 35, Morehead State 28

16. Troy 31, South Alabama 24 (OT)

17. Western Kentucky 27, Delaware 24 (Friday)

18. Florida 29, No. 9 Texas 21

19. Division II: Minnesota State-Moorhead 40, Minot State 37 (OT)

20. Navy 34, Air Force 31

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Deion to see doctor about possible clots in leg

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Deion to see doctor about possible clots in leg

FORT WORTH, Texas — Deion Sanders said he was “hurting like crazy” after Colorado‘s loss Saturday night at TCU and believes he has more blood clots in his leg.

“Cat’s out of the bag, all right. I think I’ve got more blood clots,” Sanders said. “It don’t make sense. I’m hurting like crazy. … I’m not getting blood to my leg. That’s why my leg is throbbing.”

The 58-year-old Colorado coach sat at times late during the 35-21 loss and said he had a doctor’s appointment Monday to see about the issue.

“Sorry to get that out, but thank you for noticing,” Sanders said when responding to a question after his health.

Sanders spent time away from the Buffaloes (2-4, 0-3 Big 12) this summer as he went through treatment for bladder cancer. His doctor said before the season that he was cured from that, with a section of Sanders’ intestine reconstructed to function as a bladder.

The Pro Football Hall of Fame player, who also played Major League Baseball, has struggled with his left foot since having two toes amputated in 2021 because of blood clot issues while at Jackson State. He also missed Pac-12 media day in 2023, his first year at Colorado, after a procedure to remove a blood clot from his right leg and another to straighten toes on his left foot.

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Preseason 1-2 Texas, Penn St. fall out of Top 25

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Preseason 1-2 Texas, Penn St. fall out of Top 25

Miami moved back to No. 2 in The Associated Press college football poll Sunday, while Texas and Penn State — the preseason Nos. 1 and 2, respectively — fell all the way out of the Top 25 for the first time since 2022 after losses to unranked opponents.

No. 1 Ohio State was dominant in its win over Minnesota, but its 40 first-place votes were its fewest since ascending to the top spot five weeks ago. The Hurricanes, who moved ahead of idle Oregon, went from receiving four first-place votes last week to 21 this week after winning at Florida State.

The Buckeyes’ 40 first-place votes are fewest for a No. 1 team since Alabama also got 40 in the Sept. 29, 2024, poll.

Miami had been No. 2 two weeks ago following an open date and gave up that spot last week after Oregon’s overtime win at Penn State. It’s the Hurricanes’ highest spot in an October poll since 2003.

Oregon, which received the other five first-place votes, was followed by idle No. 4 Ole Miss and No. 5 Texas A&M. The Aggies hammered Mississippi State and earned their highest ranking since Jimbo Fisher’s 2021 team was No. 5 in early September.

Oklahoma slipped from No. 5 to No. 6 despite its 44-0 shutout of Kent State. Indiana, which had an open date, is No. 7. No. 8 Alabama got a two-spot promotion for its 16-point win over Vanderbilt.

No. 9 Texas Tech, which won 35-11 at previously unbeaten Houston, cracked the top 10 for the first time since it was No. 8 in the final regular-season poll in 2008. Georgia moved up two spots to No. 10 after its win over Kentucky.

Penn State, which is unranked for the first time since September 2022, took one of the biggest falls in the 99-year history of the poll for its 42-37 loss at previously winless UCLA just a week after the Bruins, a huge underdog, fired their coach. The Nittany Lions had slipped from No. 2 to No. 7 following their loss to Oregon.

The Nittany Lions’ plunge out of the Top 25 matched 1959 Oklahoma for second-biggest drop out of the rankings, not counting preseason polls or the 2020 pandemic season. The 1959 Sooners went from No. 2 to out of the Top 20 after losing their opener to Northwestern.

Texas lost at Ohio State as the preseason No. 1 and was No. 9 entering its game at Florida. The Longhorns’ 29-21 loss at The Swamp sent them tumbling out of the Top 25. They hadn’t been unranked since November 2022.

Before Sunday, the last time two top-10 teams fell out of the poll the same week was Sept. 16, 1986, when it happened to No. 8 Tennessee and No. 10 Ohio State.

The teams ranked Nos. 14-19 — Missouri, Michigan, Notre Dame, Illinois, BYU and Virginia — each received five-spot promotions, biggest of the week.

Iowa State took the biggest fall of any team that remained in the Top 25, falling eight spots to No. 22 after losing at Cincinnati.

No. 23 Memphis, four spots out of the Top 25 a week ago, is in for the first time since it was No. 24 in the final poll last season. The Tigers are off to their best start since 2015 and the first team to be 6-0, making them bowl-eligible for the 12th straight year.

No. 24 South Florida (4-1) has won two straight since its lopsided loss at Miami and is back after a one-month absence.

CONFERENCE CALL

SEC (9): Nos. 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11, 12, 14, 20
Big Ten (5): Nos. 1, 3, 7, 15, 17
Big 12 (4): Nos. 9, 18, 21, 22
ACC (4): Nos. 2, 13, 19, 25
American (2): Nos. 23, 24
Independent (1): No. 16

RANKED VS. RANKED

No. 1 Ohio State (5-0) at No. 17 Illinois (5-1): This is the first meeting since 2017 and first Top 25 matchup since 2001. The Buckeyes have won nine straight in the series and haven’t lost in Champaign since 1991. The lone blemish for the Illini was a blowout loss at Indiana.

No. 7 Indiana (5-0) at No. 3 Oregon (5-0): The Hoosiers didn’t have to play Oregon last year, the Ducks’ first season in the Big Ten. Indiana is 0-2 against top-five opponents under second-year coach Curt Cignetti.

No. 8 Alabama (4-1) at No. 14 Missouri (5-0): The Crimson Tide beat the Tigers 34-0 in Tuscaloosa last year, are on a four-game win streak and are looking to knock off a third straight ranked opponent. Huge opportunity here for Missouri for a marquee win in the chase for the SEC title and College Football Playoff seeding.

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