Autumn statement: Millions to pay more in tax as chancellor cuts top-rate threshold and lays out plan to plug ‘black hole’
Millions more Britons will pay more tax as Jeremy Hunt cut the top-rate threshold and announced freezes on several other taxes in his autumn statement.
The total amount of savings from the autumn statement has been costed at £55bn, through tax rises and cutting government spending.
However, in real-term costs, UK households’ disposable incomes will fall by 7.1% over the next two years – the lowest levels since records began in 1956/7, taking incomes down to 2013 levels, according to the independent Office for Budget Responsibility.
Britons face ‘staggering’ fall in disposable income – live autumn statement updates
Some of the main announcements:
• Higher rate of tax threshold reduced to £125,140
• Benefits and state pension to rise in line with inflation
• Windfall tax extended to March 2028 and increased to 35%
• Electric cars no longer exempt from road tax from April 2025
• An extra £2.4bn per year on schools
• NHS to get £3.3bn and adult social care £1bn next year and £1.7bn in 2024
• Freeze on income tax personal allowance, national insurance and inheritance tax thresholds
• Minimum wage increases to £10.42 an hour
• Social housing rent increases capped at 7% from next year.
Read more:
Key announcements from the autumn statement
Jaw-dropping change of tack by Jeremy Hunt – analysis
The chancellor said the government is introducing two new fiscal rules: that underlying debt must fall as a percentage of GDP by the fifth year in a rolling five-year period: and public sector borrowing over the same period must be below 3% of GDP.
He said he had “tried to be fair” in his decisions by asking those “with more to contribute more” and avoided tax rises that “most damage growth”.
Mr Hunt promised to “protect the vulnerable” and said his plan to plug what he previously called a fiscal “black hole” will lead to “a shallower downturn and lower energy bills”, while revealing his three priorities: “stability, growth and public services”.
But opposition parties and unions have accused the chancellor of holding the country back, with Labour saying the plan means “working people are paying the price” for the Tories’ “failure”.
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’12 weeks of Conservative chaos’
Higher tax rates for the wealthiest and energy companies
The chancellor said the 45p higher rate of tax will now be payable from £125,140, as opposed to the current £150,000.
He said those earning £150,000 or more will now pay just over £1,200 more a year.
Mr Hunt also expanded and increased the windfall tax, so from 1 January 2023 until March 2028 energy giants will have to pay 35%, instead of the current 25% on their profits.
And there will be a temporary new 45% levy on electricity generators, which is in addition to the tax on the companies that provide energy to households and businesses.
He also said electric car owners will no longer be exempt from vehicle excise duty from April 2025.
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And he announced the government, as expected, will proceed with the building of the new Sizewell C nuclear plant in Suffolk, which will create 10,000 highly skilled jobs and provide energy to the equivalent of six million homes over 50 years.
However, there was no mention of fuel duty in the statement, as the law means it goes up by the Retail Price Index – which is set to be 23% in March next year.
The OBR said that would add £5.7bn to the government coffers and would be a “record cash increase” and the “first time any government has raised fuel duty rates in cash terms since 1 January 2011, with an expected rise of around 12p a litre on petrol and diesel.
It is understood the government is not making a decision on fuel duty now but will in the spring budget next year.
Extra cash for schools and the NHS
Much of the chancellor’s statement had been pre-briefed following the economic turmoil the mini-budget created after his predecessor announced surprise unfunded tax cuts.
But Mr Hunt did pull a rabbit out of his hat as he announced an extra £2.3bn each year will be invested in schools for the next two years.
As was expected, he increased the NHS budget by £3.3bn and said he has asked former Labour health secretary Patricia Hewitt to advise on how to make sure the new Integrated Care Boards work properly. They were introduced in April and are aimed at bringing NHS services in local areas together.
Adult social care will get £1bn more next year and £1.7bn in 2024 and he said altogether, along with previous commitments, that means the government is committing to a “record £8bn” package for the health and social care system.
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‘£8bn package for health and social care’
‘Stealth taxes’
There will be a freeze on income tax personal allowance, the main National Insurance thresholds and inheritance tax thresholds for a further two years, until April 2028.
These have been branded “stealth taxes”, with the freeze on income tax to bring in £6.8bn for the government as more people will be pushed into a higher tax bracket.
On personal income allowances, he said the dividend allowance will be cut from £2,000 to £1,000 next year then to £500 from April 2024.
The annual exempt amount for capital gains tax, which is paid on the profit of selling an asset that has increased in value such as property, will also be cut from £12,300 to £6,000 next year then to £3,000 from April 2024. It means people will have to pay tax at a lower threshold than before.
Cost of living and minimum wage help
On help for energy bills, Mr Hunt said the Energy Price Guarantee will continue for a further 12 months from April 2023 at a higher level of £3,000 per year for the average household. It is currently capped at an average of £2,500.
There will also be additional cost of living payments next year for the most vulnerable, with £900 for households on means-tested benefits, £300 for pensioner households and £150 for those on disability benefits.
Social housing rents will have their increases capped at a maximum of 7% in 2023-24, he added.
And the hourly minimum wage will increase by 9.7% from April next year to £10.42 from the current £9.50.
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Energy price cap to rise again in 2023
Pensions and benefits rise
Mr Hunt committed to maintaining the triple lock on pensions, which promises to increase the state pension each year in line with the highest of inflation, average earnings or 2.5%. At the moment, that is inflation which reached a 41-year high on Wednesday of 11.1%.
From April, pensions will rise in line with inflation of 10.1%, meaning an £870 annual increase.
Benefits will also rise in line with inflation while a further 600,000 people on Universal Credit will be made to meet with a work coach to get more people into the workforce and in better-paid jobs.
Defence and overseas aid
Defence Secretary Ben Wallace had previously said he would quit if the government did not stick to spending 3% of GDP on defence by 2030.
He has tempered his tone since as the economy dived but will have been disappointed by Mr Hunt announcing he is committing to “at least 2%”.
On overseas aid, the chancellor said it will remain at 0.5% as he said the “significant shock to public finances” means it will not be possible to return to the 0.7% target.
Ramesh lives in fear every day. A police siren is enough to alarm him.
He’s one of up to 400,000 visa overstayers in the UK, one lawyer we spoke to believes.
It’s only an estimate because the Home Office has stopped collecting figures – which were unreliable in the first place.
Britain is being laughed at, one man told us, “because they know it’s a soft country”.
‘Ramesh’ came to the UK from India
We meet Ramesh (not his real name) at a Gurdwara, a Sikh place of worship, where he goes for food and support.
He insists he can’t return to India where he claims he was involved in political activism.
Ramesh says he came to the UK on a student visa in 2023, but it was cancelled when he failed to continue his studies after being involved in a serious accident.
He tells us he is doing cash-in-hand work for people who he knows through the community where he is living and is currently working on a house extension where he gets paid as little as £50 for nine hours labouring.
“It’s very difficult for me to live in the UK without my Indian or Pakistani community – also because there are a lot of Pakistani people who give me work in their houses for cleaning and for household things,” he adds.
‘What will become of people like us?’
Anike has lived in limbo for 12 years.
Now living in Greater Manchester, she came to the UK from Nigeria when her sister Esther was diagnosed with a brain tumour – she had a multi-entry visa but was supposed to leave after three months.
Esther had serious complications from brain surgery and says she is reliant on her sister for care.
Immigration officials are in touch with her because she has to digitally sign in every month.
Anike has had seven failed applications for leave to remain on compassionate grounds refused but is now desperate to have her status settled – afraid of the shifting public mood over migration.
“Everybody is thinking ‘what will become of people like us?'” she adds.
‘It’s a shambles’
The government can’t say with any degree of accuracy how many visa overstayers there are in Britain – no data has been collated for five-and-a-half years.
But piecing together multiple accounts from community leaders and lawyers the picture we’ve built is stark.
Immigration lawyer Harjap Singh Bhangal told us he believed there could be several hundred thousand visa overstayers currently in Britain.
He says: “At this time, there’s definitely in excess of about 200,000 people overstaying in the UK. It might even be closer to 300,000, it could even be 400,000.”
Asked what evidence he has for this he replies: “Every day I see at least one overstayer, any immigration lawyers like me see overstayers and that is the bulk of the work for immigration lawyers.
“The Home Office doesn’t have any accurate data because we don’t have exit controls. It’s a shambles. It’s an institution where every wall in the building is cracked.”
The number of those who are overstaying visas and working cash in hand is also virtually impossible to measure.
‘They know Britain is a soft country’
“They’re laughing at us because they know Britain is a soft country, where you won’t be picked up easily,” says the local man we’ve arranged to meet as part of our investigation.
We’re in Kingsbury in northwest London – an area which people say has been transformed over the past five years as post-Brexit visa opportunities opened up for people coming from South Asia.
‘Mini-Mumbai’
The man we’re talking to lives in the community and helps with events here. He doesn’t want to be identified but raises serious questions about visa abuse.
“Since the last five years, a huge amount of people have come in this country on this visiting visa, and they come with one thing in mind – to overstay and work in cash,” he says.
“This area is easy to live in because they know they can survive. It looks like as if you are walking through mini-Mumbai.”
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‘The system is more than broken’
‘It’s taxpayers who are paying’
And he claims economic migrants are regularly arriving – who’ve paid strangers to pretend they’re a friend or relative in order to obtain a visitor visa to get to Britain.
He says: “I’ve come across so many people who have come this way into this country. It’s widespread. When I talk to these people, they literally tell me, ‘Oh, someone is coming tomorrow, day after tomorrow, someone is coming’.
“Because they’re hidden they may not be claiming benefits, but they can access emergency healthcare and their children can go to school.
“And who is paying for it? It’s the taxpayers who are paying for all this,” says the man we’ve met in north London.
Read more from Sky News:
Net migration figures hit four-year low
How Denmark may inspire UK asylum reforms
A Home Office spokesperson said: “We will not tolerate any abuse of our immigration system and anyone found to be breaking the rules will be liable to have enforcement action taken against them.
“In the first year of this government, we have returned 35,000 people with no right to be here – a 13% rise compared to the previous year.
“Arrests and raids for illegal working have soared to their highest levels since records began, up 63% and 51%.”
The government can’t say with accuracy how many visa overstayers there are in Britain – no data has been collated for five-and-a-half years.
Sky News has spoken to immigration lawyers about the numbers, and one believes there could be as many as 400,000 living across the country.
Harjap Singh Bhangal described the situation as a “shambles”.
“The Home Office doesn’t have any accurate data because we don’t have exit controls. It’s a shambles. It’s an institution where every wall in the building is cracked,” he told Sky’s Lisa Holland.
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The visa overstayers in ‘soft’ Britain
Why doesn’t the government know?
The Home Office used to gather data on visa overstayers by effectively checking a list of passport numbers associated with visas against a list of passport numbers of people leaving the UK, taken from airlines and other international travel providers.
If there was a passport number match in the arrivals and departures part of their database, that person was recorded to have left when they should have. If there wasn’t, they were a potential overstayer.
They stopped producing the figures because a combination of Brexit and COVID added complications that made the Home Office conclude they wouldn’t be able to get to a reliable number using the same method.
It’s now four and a half years since EU citizens had freedom of movement to the UK revoked, and more than three and a half years since pandemic-era travel restrictions ended.
And yet we are still waiting to see what a new method might look like.
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The old method wasn’t perfect. If someone changed their passport while in the UK, for example, or if the airline or individual entered the number wrong when they were leaving, there wouldn’t be a match.
The Home Office regarded the statistics as likely overestimating the true number of overstayers, and the Office for National Statistics designated the figures as “experimental” rather than “official” statistics, meaning the conclusions should be treated with caution. But they were a reasonable best guess.
With all that in mind, between April 2016 and March 2020 upwards of 250,000 people were flagged as potential overstayers, equivalent to 63,000 per year.
That’s more than the 190,000 people who are recorded to have arrived in the UK on small boats since 2018.
It represents 3.5% of the seven million visas that expired over that period, so at least 96.5% of people left when they should.
Other Home Office data reveals that more than 13 million visas were issued between 2020 and the end of June 2025, including a record 3.4 million in 2023.
But what we don’t know is how many have expired, which means it’s difficult for us to even guess how many people might have overstayed.
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