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Advanced Micro Devices made history this year when it surpassed Intel by market cap for the first time ever. Intel has long held the lead in the market for computer processors, but AMD’s ascent results from the company branching out into entirely new sectors.

In one of the biggest semiconductor acquisitions in history, AMD purchased adaptive chip company Xilinx in February for $49 billion. Now, AMD chips are in two Tesla models, NASA’s Mars Perseverance land rover, 5G cell towers and the world’s fastest supercomputer. 

“AMD is beating Intel on all the metrics that matter, and until and unless Intel can fix its manufacturing, find some new way to manufacture things, they will continue to do that,” said Jay Goldberg, semiconductor consultant at D2D Advisory.

But a decade ago, analysts had a very different outlook for AMD.

“It was almost a joke, right? Because for decades they had these incredible performance problems,” Goldberg said. “And that’s changed.”

CNBC sat down with AMD CEO Lisa Su to hear about her company’s remarkable comeback, and huge bets on new types of chips in the face of a PC slump, fresh restrictions on exports to China and shifting industry trends.

‘Real men have fabs’

AMD was founded in 1969 by eight men, chief among them Jerry Sanders. The famously colorful marketing executive had recently left Fairchild Semiconductor, which shares credit for the invention of the integrated circuit.

“He was one of the best salesmen that Silicon Valley had ever seen,” said Stacy Rasgon, semiconductor analyst at Bernstein Research. “Stories of lavish parties that they would throw. And there’s one story about him and his wife coming down the stairs of the turret at the party in matching fur coats.”

AMD Co-Founder Jerry Sanders poses at the original headquarters of Advanced Micro Devices, or AMD, in Sunnyvale, California, in 1969

AMD

He also coined an infamous phrase about chip fabrication plants, or fabs.

“Jerry Sanders was very famous for saying, ‘Real men have fabs,’ which obviously is a comment that is problematic on a number of levels and has largely been disproven by history,” Goldberg said.

As technology advances, making chips has become prohibitively expensive. It now takes billions of dollars and several years to build a fab. AMD now designs and tests chips and has no fabs.

“When you think about what do you need to do to be world class and design, it’s a certain set of skills,” Su said. “And then what do you need to do to be world class In manufacturing? It’s a different set of skills and the business model is different, the capital model is different.”

Back in the ’70s, AMD was pumping out computer chips. By the ’80s, it was a second-source supplier for Intel. After AMD and Intel parted ways, AMD reverse engineered Intel’s chips to make its own products that were compatible with Intel’s groundbreaking x86 software. Intel sued AMD, but a settlement in 1995 gave AMD the right to continue designing x86 chips, making personal computer pricing more competitive for end consumers.

In 2006, AMD bought major fabless chip company ATI for $5.4 billion. Then in 2009, AMD broke off its manufacturing arm altogether, forming GlobalFoundries.

“That’s when their execution really started to take off because they no longer had to worry about the foundry side of things,” Goldberg said.

GlobalFoundries went public in 2021 and remains a top maker of the less advanced chips found in simpler components like a car’s anti-lock brakes or heads-up display. But it stopped making leading-edge chips in 2018. For those, AMD turned to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which now makes all of AMD’s most advanced chips.

Catching Intel

AMD only has major competition from two other companies when it comes to designing the most advanced microprocessors: Nvidia in graphics processing units, GPUs, and Intel in central processing units, CPUs.

While AMD controls far less GPU and CPU market share than Nvidia and Intel, respectively, it’s made remarkable strides since moving away from manufacturing and reducing capital expenditure. 

Meanwhile, Intel doubled down on manufacturing last year, committing $20 billion for new fabs in Arizona and up to $100 billion in Ohio, for what it says will be the world’s largest chip-making complex. But the projects are still years away from coming online.

“Intel is just not moving forward fast enough,” Goldberg said. “They’ve said they expect to continue to lose share in next year and I think we’ll see that on the client side. And that’s helped out AMD tremendously on the data center side.”

AMD’s Zen line of CPUs, first released in 2017, is often seen as the key to the company’s recent success. Su told CNBC it’s her favorite product. It’s also what analysts say saved AMD from near bankruptcy.

“They were like literally, like probably six months away from the edge and somehow they pulled out of it,” Rasgon said. “They have this Hail Mary on this new product design that they’re still selling like later generations of today, they call it Zen is their name for it. And it worked. It had a massively improved performance and enabled them to stem the share losses and ultimately turn them around.”

AMD CEO Lisa Su shows the newly released Genoa CPU, the company’s 4th generation EPYC processor, to CNBC’s Katie Tarasov at AMD’s headquarters in Santa Clara, California, on November 8, 2022

Jeniece Pettitt

Among the Zen products, AMD’s EPYC family of CPUs made monumental leaps on the data center side. Its latest, Genoa, was released earlier this month. AMD’s data center customers include Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, Oracle, IBM and Microsoft Azure.

“If you looked at our business five years ago, we were probably more than 80% – 90% in the consumer markets and very PC-centric and gaming-centric,” Su said. “As I thought about what we wanted for the strategy of the company, we believed that for high-performance computing, really the data center was the most strategic piece of the business.”

AMD’s revenue more than tripled between 2017 and 2021, growing from $5.3 billion to over $16 billion. Intel’s annual revenue over that stretched, meanwhile, increased about 25% from close to $63 billion in 2017 to $79 billion last year.

Geopolitical concerns and PC slump

AMD’s success at catching up to Intel’s technological advances is something many attribute to Su, who took over as CEO in 2014. AMD has more than tripled its employee count since then. Su was Fortune’s #2 Business Person of the Year in 2020 and the recipient of three of the semiconductor industry’s top honors. She also serves on President Joe Biden’s Council of Advisors on Science on Technology, which pushed hard for the recent passage of the CHIPS Act. It sets aside $52 billion for U.S. companies to manufacture chips domestically instead of overseas.

“It’s a recognition of just how important semiconductors are to both economic prosperity as well as national security in the United States,” Su said.

With all the world’s most advanced semiconductors currently made in Asia, the chip shortage highlighted the problems of overseas dependency, especially amid continued tension between China and Taiwan. Now, TSMC is building a $12 billion 5-nanometer chip fab outside Phoenix.

“We’re pleased with the expansion in Arizona,” Su said. “We think that’s a great thing and we’d like to see it expand even more.”

Earlier this month, the Biden administration enacted big new bans on semiconductor exports to China. AMD has about 3,000 employees in China and 25% of its sales were to China last year. But Su says the revenue impact has been “very small.”

“When we look at the most recent regulations, they’re not significantly impacting our business,” Su said. “It does affect some of our highest-end chips that are used in sort of AI applications. And we were not selling those into China.”

What is hurting AMD’s revenue, at least for now, is the PC slump. In its third-quarter earnings report earlier this month, AMD missed expectations, shortly after Intel warned of a soft fourth quarter. PC shipments were down nearly 20% in the third quarter, the steepest decline in more than 20 years.

“It’s down a bit more than perhaps we expected,” Su said. “There is a cycle of correction which happens from time to time, but we’re very focused on the long-term road map.”

Going custom

It’s not just PC sales that are slowing. The very core of computer chip technology advancement is changing. An industry rule called Moore’s Law has long dictated that the number of resistors on a chip should double about every two years.

“The process that we call Moore’s Law still has at least another decade to go, but there’s definitely, it’s slowing down,” Goldberg said. “Everybody sort of used CPUs for everything, general purpose compute, but that’s all slowed down. And so now it suddenly makes sense to do more customized solutions.”

Former Xilinx CEO Victor Peng and AMD CEO Lisa Su on stage in Munich, Germany, at the

AMD

That’s why AMD acquired Xilinx, known for its adaptive chips called Field-Programmable Gate Arrays, or FPGAs. Earlier this year, AMD also bought cloud startup Pensando for $1.9 billion. 

“We can quibble about some of the prices they paid for some of these things and what the returns will look like,” said Goldberg, adding that the acquisitions were ultimately a good decision. “They’re building a custom compute business to help their customers design their own chips. I think that’s a very, it’s a smart strategy.”

More and more big companies are designing their own custom chips. Amazon has its own Graviton processors for AWS. Google designs its own AI chips for the Pixel phone and a specific video chip for YouTube. Even John Deere is coming out with its own chips for autonomous tractors.

“If you really look underneath what’s happening in the chip industry over the last five years, everybody needs more chips and you see them everywhere, right?” Su said. “Particularly the growth of the cloud has been such a key trend over the last five years. And what that means is when you have very high volume growth in chips, you do want to do more customization.”

Even basic chip architecture is at a transition point. AMD and Intel chips are based on the five-decade-old x86 architecture. Now ARM architecture chips are growing in popularity, with companies like Nvidia and Ampere making major promises about developing Arm CPUs, and Apple switching from Intel to self-designed ARM processors.

“My view is it’s really not a debate between x86 and Arm,” Su said. “You’re going to see basically, these two are the most important architectures out there in the market. And what we’ve seen is it’s really about what you do with the compute.”

For now, analysts say AMD is in a strong position as it diversifies alongside its core business of x86 computing chips.

“AMD should fare much better in 2023 as we come out of the cycle, as their performance gains versus Intel start to become apparent, and as they start to build out on some of these new businesses,” Goldberg said.

Intel did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Correction: “And we were not selling those into China,” said Lisa Su, AMD’s CEO. Her quote has been updated to reflect a typo that appeared in an earlier version of this article.

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AI Christmas: The latest devices from Amazon, Meta, Google and more

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AI Christmas: The latest devices from Amazon, Meta, Google and more

Three years since the arrival of OpenAI‘s ChatGPT, more devices featuring generative AI technology have hit the market in time for the 2025 holiday shopping season, with many offering deals for Black Friday.

Shoppers can pick from more advanced smart glasses, smart speakers with genAI and a pendant AI friend that acts as a confidant.

These latest gizmos come from megacaps like Amazon, Alphabet and Meta and smaller players like Friend and Plaud.

Despite the arrival of this new wave of products, reviews for many of the devices are mixed, and nothing has separated itself as a clear leader of the pack.

That’s in part because much of the spending on artificial intelligence has been focused on other things.

Since ChatGPT was released in late 2022, the bulk of the tech industry has reoriented itself to prioritize building out large language models in a race to reach artificial general intelligence, or AI with the capabilities that are on par with, or surpass, humans.

Thus far, much of the development in Silicon Valley has focused on AI apps, including chatbots like Anthropic’s Claude, image generators like Google’s Nano Banana or feeds for AI-generated short-form videos like OpenAI’s Sora. All things people can access on their existing smartphones without a spiffy new gadget.

But the world of AI hardware is growing fast.

If you’re in the market for the latest AI devices, here’s what’s available to snag this holiday season.

Daniel Rausch, vice president of Alexa and Echo, announces the Echo Studio and Echo Dot Max during an Amazon event showcasing new products in New York City, U.S., September 30, 2025.

Kylie Cooper | Reuters

Alexa+ Echo speakers

Amazon wants to make sure its Alexa voice assistant and Echo smart speakers don’t get left behind in the era of genAI. 

The company unveiled Alexa+ in February, promising a smarter, more conversational and personalized version of its 11-year-old digital assistant. In September, it followed up with a new set of Echo speakers and displays, which are the first devices to come with Alexa+ out of the box. 

The lineup includes a $100 Echo Dot Max, $180 Echo Show, $220 Echo Studio and $220 Echo Show 11.

The Echo Dot Max is an entry-level, all-purpose smart speaker, while the Echo Studio is larger, pricier and offers better sound quality. The main difference between Amazon’s smart displays, the Echo Show 8 and Echo Show 11, is the touchscreen size.  

All of the devices have improved sensors, speakers and microphones.

Amazon is offering 11% off the cost of the Echo Show 11 and 10% off the Echo Dot Max as part of its Black Friday promotions.

With the upgrades, Amazon is aiming to have users engage more often with the devices than their predecessors. Consumers frequently complained that Alexa had grown outdated while the Echo devices offered little utility beyond setting timers, spouting weather forecasts, playing music and controlling smart home accessories, like turning lights on and off. 

Amazon’s recent Alexa ad tries to paint a different picture. 

Comedian Pete Davidson strolls through his kitchen when an Alexa-equipped Echo Show announces, unprompted, that the “Coffee’s on, and your Uber is on its way.” Davidson then casually banters back and forth with Alexa about his preferred nickname. 

The interaction is meant to showcase a few of Alexa+’s biggest selling points — users don’t have to repeat a so-called “wake word” after every command, allowing the conversation to flow more naturally.

The devices can also now connect to external services to take actions on users’ behalf. As of now, Alexa+ can book an Uber or OpenTable reservation, generate a song via Suno, plan a trip through Fodor’s, schedule a repairman visit and purchase concert tickets through Ticketmaster. Amazon has said it expects to add more capabilities soon.

Alexa+ isn’t yet available to the general public. Consumers have to wait to receive Early Access or purchase a new Echo model to use it. 

Amazon is offering Alexa+ for free to users with Early Access, but at some point, the company will begin charging non-Prime members $19.99 a month for the service.

The company is also making moves in wearables.

Amazon in July announced plans to acquire AI company Bee for an undisclosed amount, indicating that it could have more hardware infused with the technology in the works. Bee is known for its $50 wristband that uses AI and microphones to listen to and analyze conversations, then provide to-do lists, summaries and reminders for everyday tasks.

— Annie Palmer

A person holds Google Pixel 10, Pixel 10 Pro and Pixel 10 Pro Fold mobile phones during the ‘Made by Google’ event, organised to introduce the latest additions to Google’s Pixel portfolio of devices, in Brooklyn, New York, U.S., August 20, 2025.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Google’s AI-powered Pixel 10 series

Although the Gemini-powered Google Home Speaker won’t roll out until the spring, Alphabet did deliver some generative AI tech this year.

Launched in August, the Pixel 10 smartphones thoroughly integrate Google’s AI into several features, such as live translation, text-based photo editing and the built-in Gemini assistant.

The baseline Pixel 10 starts at $799, while the Pro lineup includes the $999 Pixel 10 Pro, the $1,199 Pixel Pro XL and the $1,799 Pixel 10 Pro Fold. The Pro line offers a higher quality camera and display, as well as additional video features.

Among the AI products is “Magic Cue,” which connects data across different apps to surface relevant information and suggest helpful actions. For example, if a user receives a message asking about a dinner reservation’s location, Magic Cue can find the answer from the calendar app.

For snapping pictures, Google provides an AI “Camera Coach,” which scans the scene of a photo and offers recommendations about framing, lighting and other techniques to improve the image.

The Pixel 10 Pro phones come with a one-year subscription to Google’s “AI Pro” plan, which typically costs $19 per month and offers multiple AI tools, including writing assistant NotebookLM and video generator Veo 3.

All the Pixel 10 models are currently on sale for $200 to $300 off until Dec. 6, except for the Pixel 10 Pro Fold, which has a $300 markdown until Dec. 2, the company said.

— Jaures Yip

The Meta Ray-Ban Display AI glasses at Meta headquarters in Menlo Park, California, US, on Tuesday, Sept. 16, 2025.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Meta’s AI-infused Ray-Ban smart glasses

Meta’s partnership with eyewear giant EssilorLuxottica, originally inked in 2019, has spawned a surprise hit in the Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses that both companies are keen to boast about.

With the Meta AI digital assistant, users can command the camera-equipped glasses to take photos, play tunes and to answer questions about nearby landmarks.

In September, the two companies debuted the latest version of the glasses, dubbed Ray-Ban Meta (Gen 2).

The new model has double the battery life of its predecessor and an improved camera. It costs $379, which is $80 than the prior version.

Meta and Luxottica this year also launched two smart glasses aimed at athletes under the Oakley brand.

The $399 Oakley Meta HSTN glasses are pitched toward casual athletes who want to take photos while playing sports like golf, while the $499 Oakley Meta Vanguard smart glasses are geared toward the action-sports crowd, like skiers.

The Vanguard glasses feature a flashier wraparound design and two buttons on the frames’ underside that lets helmet-wearing athletes easily take photos and videos and perform other actions.

For those willing to spend big money and test new technology, Meta and Luxottica also rolled out the $799 Meta Ray-Ban Display glasses in September.

They are the first glasses Meta sells to the public that include a display, albeit a small one, in just one of the lenses. The display is intended to show users small bits of information, like navigation directions. The glasses also include a wristband that utilizes neural technology so users can command the device with gestures like rotating one’s fingers to adjust volume.

Buying the $799 glasses, though, is not easy.

Meta requires that people sign-up for in-person demos at stores like Best Buy and LensCrafters before buying the product, and the company warns that “availability varies by store, so you may not be able to purchase a pair immediately after your demo.”

Early reviews for the display glasses have been mixed.

Some reviewers have praised the device’s color display, camera and innovative wristband. Still, others have criticized its high price and have said its lack of apps limit functionality.

Meta is currently offering a few Black Friday and Cyber Monday deals for some of its various AI-powered smart glasses that will last until Dec. 1.

People can save 20% on all versions of the Ray-Ban Meta (Gen 1) at Best Buy, Target, Amazon and also at Meta’s website and the Ray-Ban website and stores. Meta is also offering 20% off the cost of prescription lenses for people who buy the Ray-Ban Meta (Gen 2) and Oakley Meta HSTN glasses from its website.

— Jonathan Vanian

Friend AI Pendant

Source: Friend

The AI friend you wear around as a pendant

Most AI chatbots want to make the user more productive. The makers of this smart pendant want AI to be your friend.

Users wear Friend, as the product is aptly called, around their necks while the $129 device listens to the conversations happening around it.

Friend’s chatbot is powered by Google Gemini, and it offers commentary on the user’s conversation and life. Those comments appear as notifications through the device’s corresponding smartphone app.

For example, when one reviewer played a new Taylor Swift song for her AI friend, the device commented through a notification that it didn’t “think it’s bad at all” and “pretty typical for pop.”

The device is at the center of the societal debate about the rise of AI.

Friend plastered a subway station in New York this fall with ads that suggested that the pendant was better than a real friend, promising that it “will never bail on our dinner plans.”

The posters were immediately defaced with messages like “AI wouldn’t care if you lived or died.”

Those wanting to experience what it’s like to wear around an AI friend should place orders swiftly.

The company’s website currently says units will be shipping “Winter 2025/26,” but Friend founder Avi Schiffmann told CNBC that devices ordered early enough will ship before Christmas.  

— Kif Leswing

Plaud Note

Source: Plaud

Plaud, the AI recorder

Google releases Gemini 3.0 model, closes gap on ChatGPT

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New IRS reporting requirements will make a classic crypto ‘tax cheat’ risky starting with 2025 return

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New IRS reporting requirements will make a classic crypto 'tax cheat' risky starting with 2025 return

With year-end approaching, it’s a good time to make sure your tax house is in order. It’s especially important for crypto investors, given a new IRS brokerage reporting requirement covering transactions after Jan. 1, 2025.

The IRS generally treats crypto like property, similar to stocks or real estate, so selling crypto can trigger a capital gain or loss. And while crypto investors should have been keeping good records all along, the new reporting requirement gives them an even more compelling reason. That’s because brokerages now have to send what’s known as a Form 1099-DA. For tax year 2025, they’re required to report gross proceeds for each digital asset sale the broker processes. In 2026 and beyond, it’s mandatory for brokers to report gross proceeds and cost basis information for covered securities.

Because brokers haven’t had to issue 1099s for selling or exchanging crypto in the past, it was easier for people to act as tax cheats, said Ric Edelman, financial advisor, author and founder of the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals. “Many people mistakenly believe that there’s no reporting obligation,” Edelman said.

As crypto investors do their tax planning for a year which saw bitcoin rise to new heights, but more recently endure a huge selloff that has shaved over $40,000 off its record price, it’s important to understand the new, stricter recordkeeping requirements.

Let’s say you bought ethereum for $1,500 and paid a $50 transaction fee, your cost basis would be $1,550, according to an example provided by Coinbase. “Essentially, your gain or loss is the difference between the gross proceeds and the cost basis. If you sold that 1 ETH for $2,000, your taxable gain would be $450 ($2,000 – $1,550).”

Get your crypto recordkeeping in order now

Brokers are required to report the cost basis information for tax year 2026, and if you haven’t been keeping good records thus far, you’re going to have to start. “It’s a taxpayer’s responsibility to track and substantiate whatever cost basis they’re providing,” said Daniel Hauffe, senior manager for tax policy and advocacy at The American Institute of Certified Public Accountants.

For many crypto investors, this will be complicated, especially if they transferred their tokens to a broker after holding them elsewhere and haven’t kept careful records. In that case, the broker won’t have the amount you purchased the crypto for; the broker would only know the price when you transferred it, Hauffe said. 

Ideally, taxpayers should try to iron out these issues now, before brokers are required to report the basis, and that may require speaking to a qualified tax professional.

Crypto investors who have been keeping track of their holdings haphazardly in the past should also consider hiring a tax crypto recordkeeping provider. There are a number of these services, including ProfitStance, Taxbit, TokenTax and ZenLedger.

Edelman said it’s best to use a recordkeeping provider because of the complexities involved. “If you try to do this manually, it is complicated and you’re likely to make errors,” he said.

Crypto staking, and staking ETFs, to be a major tax focus

While the IRS issued core guidance about the tax treatment of cryptocurrency more than a decade ago, the market has changed significantly since then, underscoring the need for updated guidance in several areas. 

In 2024, the IRS, in Notice 2024-57, said it was continuing to study different types of crypto transactions to determine appropriate taxation. This has left many taxpayers in limbo and scratching their heads on how to report certain types of transactions. While the IRS has said it won’t impose penalties for limited types of transactions while the regulations are being ironed out, taxpayers still have to keep careful records so they can appropriately account for them.

One area in which cryptocurrency investors are awaiting direction is staking transactions. Guidance on this and other types of more complicated crypto transactions are expected next year, Edelman said. Some advocates say taxes should only be applicable at the time these rewards are spent, sold, or otherwise disposed of. Thus far, however, the IRS has said that these rewards should be taxed as income upon receipt, Hauffe said. 

Additional guidance in staking specifically could be especially important now that the IRS has confirmed exchange-traded funds issuers can provide staking rewards, said Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, a digital asset-focused investment platform. The availability of cryptocurrency within ETFs has widened the playing field for ordinary investors to gain some exposure to the asset class, and the latest guidance suggests more investors will face tax consequences from staking rewards. “Staking rewards are increasingly common for investors because they’ve now been activated in ETFs,” Pandl said.

Bitcoin’s big drop could be a tax-loss advantage

For some crypto investors, there may be an opportunity in the next month or so for tax-loss harvesting, which involves selling investments at a loss and using those losses to offset gains in other investments, Pandl said.

Bitcoin’s struggles since its record highs in October could present an opportunity for investors to benefit from a tax perspective, depending on when they bought the crypto. Some investors could also benefit from tax-gain harvesting, a strategy that involves selling the investment when you think it’ll have the least impact on your taxes. 

“This is the time to be thinking about that and planning for it,” said Stuart Alderoty, president of the National Cryptocurrency Association, a non-profit focused on crypto education. “You can harvest gains and you can harvest losses as well,” he said.

Many accountants don’t understand digital assets

Taxation depends largely on a person’s tax bracket and whether they are short-term or long-term gains. For example, if you’ve held the crypto for more than a year, profits are subject to long-term capital gains rates of 0%, 15% or 20%. If the crypto was held for less than a year, ordinary tax rates between 10% to 37% apply.

Due to the complexity and unique nature of crypto, determining taxation is complicated by other factors, especially since IRS rules about crypto are in flux. As one example, it is important to make sure to report the crypto transaction on the right form. For example, if you sold, exchanged or otherwise disposed of a digital asset you held as a capital asset, use Form 8949. If you were paid as an employee or independent contractor with digital assets, report the digital asset income on Form 1040, U.S. Individual Income Tax Return.

On top of that, many crypto owners are confused about the federal income tax question pertaining to digital assets. On the first page, near the top, they’re asked to identify whether at any time during the tax year, they either received (as a reward, award or payment for property or services) or sold, exchanged or otherwise disposed of a digital asset. 

Many people think “received” means buy, but it doesn’t, Edelman said. Rather, the IRS says it refers to digital assets received for payment for property or services provided, a reward or award, mining, staking and similar activities or an airdrop as it relates to a hard fork.

For these and other issues regarding crypto taxation, make sure you’re talking to a tax advisor who is knowledgeable about crypto. “Most accountants are not because they haven’t had any training in this area,” Edelman said.

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This week in AI: Brushing off new bubble warnings, Google’s AI comeback and Nvidia’s China threat

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This week in AI: Brushing off new bubble warnings, Google’s AI comeback and Nvidia’s China threat

This week, volatility took hold of the AI trade as bubble fears continued to rise and Nvidia‘s blowout earnings failed to steady the market. 

“Unless you’re the most optimistic person on the planet … you know you’re in a bubble, right?” Dan Niles, founder of Niles Investment Management, told CNBC’s Deirdre Bosa. “There is no question you’re in a bubble.”

Industry insiders raise AI bubble alarms

Industry insiders are also beginning to raise the alarm, with Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai warning of an overrun.

“Given the potential of this technology, the excitement is very rational. It’s also true when we go through these investment cycles, there are moments we overshoot collectively as an industry,” Pichai told the BBC. “I think it’s both rational and there are elements of irrationality through moments like this.”

At a recent internal all-hands meeting, Pichai reiterated a point he’s made previously about the risks of Google not investing aggressively enough, CNBC reported Friday.

“I think it’s always difficult during these moments because the risk of underinvesting is pretty high,” said Pichai, pointing to Google’s cloud business, which just recorded 34% annual revenue growth to more than $15 billion in the quarter. Its backlog reached $155 billion.

“I actually think for how extraordinary the cloud numbers were, those numbers would have been much better if we had more compute,” he said.

Google’s AI momentum

Meanwhile, Google on Thursday surpassed Microsoft in market cap for the first time, as the search giant was lifted by renewed AI momentum. The search company launched Gemini 3 on Tuesday, which shot to the top of AI model rankings. Google also rolled out an updated version of its viral AI image generator Nano Banana on Thursday.

“I’ve never had more fun than right now,” Josh Woodward, vice president of Google Labs and Gemini, told CNBC in an interview. “I think it’s partly the pace, it’s partly the abilities these models give to people who can imagine new use cases and products. It’s unparalleled.”

Nvidia’s China threat

Nvidia’s earnings on Wednesday failed to restore confidence in the tech trade, despite the company posting a beat-and-raise quarter. Instead, the chipmaker added to fears of escalating geopolitical risk with China. Nvidia’s finance chief Colette Kress told analysts that “sizable purchase orders never materialized in the quarter due to geopolitical issues and the increasingly competitive market in China.” 

Aaron Ginn, co-founder and CEO of the graphics processing unit management company Hydra Host, said the West’s attitude toward Chinese AI is the biggest threat to Nvidia’s dominance.  

“We just have to accept that we fell behind the eight ball in the fact that China is a manufacturing powerhouse,” he said. “We have the ability to beat back that trade balance to where we are now leaders.”

Watch this video to learn more.

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