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Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte speaks with U.S. President Joe Biden. The U.S. has been putting pressure on the Netherlands to block exports to China of high-tech semiconductor equipment. The Netherlands is home to ASML, one of the most important companies in the global semiconductor supply chain.

Susan Walsh | AFP | Getty Images

Washington has its eyes on the Netherlands, a small but important European country that could hold the key to China’s future in manufacturing cutting-edge semiconductors.

The Netherlands has a population of just more than 17 million people — but is also home to ASML, a star of the global semiconductor supply chain. It produces a high-tech chipmaking machine that China is keen to have access to.

The U.S. appears to have persuaded the Netherlands to prevent shipments to China for now, but relations look rocky as the Dutch weigh up their economic prospects if they’re cut off from the world’s second-largest economy.

ASML’s critical chip role

ASML, headquartered in the town of Veldhoven, does not make chips. Instead, it makes and sells $200 million extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines to semiconductor manufacturers like Taiwan’s TSMC.

These machines are required to make the most advanced chips in the world, and ASML has a de facto monopoly on them, because it’s the only company in the world to make them.

This makes ASML one of the most important chip companies in the world.

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U.S.-Netherlands talks

U.S. pressure on the Netherlands appears to have begun in 2018 under the administration of former President Donald Trump. According to a Reuters report from 2020, the Dutch government withdrew ASML’s license to export its EUV machines to China after extensive lobbying from the U.S. government.

Under Trump, the U.S. started a trade war with China that morphed into a battle for tech supremacy, with Washington attempting to cut off critical technology supplies to Chinese companies.

Huawei, China’s telecommunications powerhouse, faced export restrictions that starved it of the chips it required to make smartphones and other products, crippling its mobile business. Trump also used an export blacklist to cut off China’s largest chipmaker, SMIC, from the U.S. technology sector.

President Joe Biden‘s administration has taken the assault on China’s chip industry one step further.

In October, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security introduced sweeping rules requiring companies to apply for a license if they want to sell certain advanced computing semiconductors or related manufacturing equipment to China.

ASML told its U.S. staff to stop servicing Chinese clients after the introduction of these rules.

Pressure on the Netherlands to fall in line with U.S. rules continues. Alan Estevez, the undersecretary of commerce for industry and security at the U.S. Department of Commerce, and Tarun Chhabra, senior director for technology and national security at the U.S. National Security Council, reportedly spoke with Dutch officials this month.

“Now that the U.S. government has put unilateral end-use controls on U.S. companies, these controls would be futile from their perspective if China could get these machines from ASML or Tokyo Electron (Japan),” Pranay Kotasthane, chairperson of the high-tech geopolitics program at the Takshashila Institution, told CNBC.

“Hence the U.S. government would want to convert these unilateral controls into multilateral ones by getting countries such as the Netherlands, South Korea, and Japan on board.”

The National Security Council declined to comment when contacted by CNBC, while the Department of Commerce did not respond to a request for comment.

A spokesperson for the Netherlands’ Ministry of Foreign Affairs said it does not comment on visits by officials. The ministry did not reply to additional questions from CNBC.

Tensions

Last week, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken hailed the “growing convergence in the approach to the challenges that China poses,” particularly with the European Union.

But the picture from the Netherlands does not appear as rosy.

“Obviously we are weighing our own interests, our national security interest is of utmost importance, obviously we have economic interests as you may understand and the geopolitical factor always plays a role as well,” Liesje Schreinemacher, minister for foreign trade and development cooperation of the Netherlands, said last week.

She added that Beijing is “an important trade partner.”

CNBC’s Silvia Amaro contributed to this report.

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U.S. pushes additional tariffs on Chinese chips to June 2027

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U.S. pushes additional tariffs on Chinese chips to June 2027

A silicon wafer with chips etched into is seen as U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris tours a site where Applied Materials plans to build a research facility, in Sunnyvale, California, U.S., May 22, 2023.

Pool | Reuters

The U.S. will increase tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports in June 2027, at a rate to be determined at least a month in advance, the Trump administration said in a Federal Register filing on Tuesday.

But in the meantime, the initial tariff rate on semiconductor imports from China will be zero for 18 months, according to the filing from the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative.

As part of an investigation that kicked off a year ago, the agency found that China is engaging in unfair trade practices in the industry.

“For decades, China has targeted the semiconductor industry for dominance and has employed increasingly aggressive and sweeping non-market policies and practices in pursuing dominance of the sector,” the office said in the filing.

The decision to delay new tariffs for at least 18 months signals that the Trump administration is seeking to cool any trade hostilities between the U.S. and China.

Read more CNBC tech news

Additional tariffs could also become a bargaining chip if future talks break down.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping reached a truce in the so-called trade war in October, as part of a deal that included the U.S. slashing some tariffs and China allowing exports of rare earth metals.

The USTR’s Tuesday filing states that tariffs will increase on June 23, 2027.

The notice is the next step in a process focusing on older chips that started during the Biden administration under Section 301 of the Trade Act.

The new 2027 date gives clarity to American firms that have said they are closely watching how U.S. tariffs could affect their businesses or supply chains.

The tariffs are separate from other duties threatened by the Trump administration on Chinese chip imports under Section 232 of the law.

EUV machines are key source of leverage for U.S. over China in AI race, says CSIS’s Gregory Allen

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Why we put Alphabet back in the Bullpen — plus, Cramer’s case for Nvidia in 2026

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Why we put Alphabet back in the Bullpen — plus, Cramer's case for Nvidia in 2026

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The next AI pivot will be toward efficiency and lowering costs, ex-Facebook privacy chief says

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The next AI pivot will be toward efficiency and lowering costs, ex-Facebook privacy chief says

Expect a drive towards efficiencies in AI in 2026, says Chris Kelly

Former Facebook Chief Privacy Officer Chris Kelly said Tuesday that the next phase of the artificial intelligence boom will focus on becoming more efficient.

As major AI players race to churn out the infrastructure needed to support AI workloads, Kelly told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” that the industry will need to streamline these power-intensive buildouts.

“We run our brains on 20 watts. We don’t need gigawatt power centers to reason,” Kelly said. “I think that finding efficiency is going to be one of the key things that the big AI players look to.”

Kelly, who was also general counsel at Facebook, added that the companies able to reach a breakthrough in lowering data center costs will emerge as AI winners.

Read more CNBC tech news

The data center market has accumulated over $61 billion in infrastructure dealmaking in 2025 as hyperscalers have rushed into a global construction craze, according to S&P Global.

OpenAI alone has made over $1.4 trillion in AI commitments over the next several years, including massive partnerships with GPU leader Nvidia and infrastructure giants Oracle and Coreweave.

But the data center frenzy has garnered growing concerns about where the power to support these buildouts is coming from, with an already strained electric grid.

Nvidia and OpenAI announced in September a project that included at least 10 gigawatts of data centers, which is roughly the equivalent of the annual power consumption of 8 million U.S. households.

Ten gigawatts is also around the same amount of power as New York City’s peak summer demand in 2024, according to the New York Independent System Operator.

Cost concerns were further fueled after DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large language model in December 2024 for under $6 million, the company claimed, significantly lower than U.S. competitors.

Kelly said he expects to see “a number of Chinese players come to the fore,” especially following President Donald Trump’s recent decision to approve the sale of Nvidia’s H200 chips to the country.

Open-source models, especially out of China, will provide people access to “basic levels of compute” and generative and agentic AI, Kelly added.

Global data center deals hit record $61 billion in 2025

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