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Whisper it quietly, but there were a few glimmers of hope hidden away in the Bank of England’s latest interest rate decision.

Don’t get me wrong: there was plenty in there which will continue to concern households – especially those with mortgages.

The Bank‘s Monetary Policy Committee voted to increase its official interest rate by another half a percentage point, bringing it up to 3.5%. That’s the ninth consecutive increase – one every meeting since this time last year – and it won’t be the last.

The committee said that “should the economy evolve broadly in line with the November Monetary Policy Report projections, further increases in Bank Rate might be required for a sustainable return of inflation to target”.

Moreover, while there were two members of the nine-person committee who voted for no increase, another member, Catherine Mann, voted for an even bigger increase, up by 0.75 percentage points.

It’s worth taking a step back to ponder just how big a sea change this has been for monetary policy.

Yes, interest rates have been higher than this – as recently as 2008. But not since 1989 have interest rates increased this much in a single year. And given those households with mortgages today are considerably more indebted than back then, the net effect of these changes could be even tougher.

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That being said, as the Bank’s own analysis showed earlier this week, there are fewer and fewer households with those mortgages. This will be very tough for some, but not for everyone.

And the coming year is clouded in uncertainty. Given the main thing pushing up inflation has been energy prices and given no-one knows what Vladimir Putin will do next, trying to predict the future remains especially difficult.

But here’s where the glimmer – or rather glimmers – of hope come in.

• The first is that inflation seems to have peaked (bearing in mind those provisos). The Bank of England isn’t the only central bank slowing down its pace of rate increases; the Federal Reserve did precisely the same thing yesterday, raising US rates by half a percentage point.

• Second, the Bank reckons that the extension to the Energy Price Guarantee should help bear down on inflation next year, meaning it may not need to raise interest rates quite as much as it might have.

• Third, the economy is actually doing a little better (or rather, less badly) than it had previously expected. Yes, we are still probably in recession. But in the third quarter, gross domestic product shrank by 0.2% (the Bank had expected -0.5%). In the fourth quarter it previously expected a fall of 0.3%, but now it thinks -0.1% looks more likely.

It’s hard to cast this as good news, but perhaps altogether they may constitute a glimmer somewhere off at the end of the tunnel.

Inflation peaking… growth surprising on the upside… They may not add up to full-blown Christmas cheer but after the year we’ve just had, it’s better than nothing.

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‘Significant’ step in establishing national restorative justice programme for Post Office victims

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'Significant' step in establishing national restorative justice programme for Post Office victims

A “significant” step has been taken in establishing a national restorative justice programme for victims of the Post Office’s Horizon IT scandal.

Children of affected postmasters, as well as those directly hit by the faulty accounting software, will be part of the partially Fujitsu-funded programme, as the UK’s Restorative Justice Council acknowledged more than financial compensation was needed.

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Data from the Fujitsu-made Horizon computer program led to the wrongful prosecution of more than 700 postmasters for theft and false accounting, while many more racked up large debts, lost homes, livelihoods and reputations as they borrowed heavily to plug the incorrectly generated shortfalls in their branches.

As part of the inquiry into the scandal, its chair, Sir Wyn Williams, recommended the government, the Post Office and Fujitsu engage in a formal restorative justice plan to provide “full and fair redress

Restorative justice aims to repair harm by bringing together victims and those responsible.

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Long-sought family involvement

On Thursday, the Restorative Justice Council (RJC), which runs the project, said it would expand engagement to children and families of victims.

The move marked “a significant advancement in the establishment of a national restorative justice programme for those impacted by the Post Office Horizon IT scandal”, the body said.

Relatives have long sought acknowledgement and support for the harm they suffered.

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‘We’ve carried the trauma for 20 years’

Some have told Sky News how their eating disorder escalated due to the prosecution of a parent, and they carried trauma for decades.

Calls for a family fund were made to redress the “chances that were taken from us growing up”.

What’s involved?

Online listening sessions for children of those affected and people previously unable to attend are planned in an effort to ensure all voices contribute to the restorative justice programme.

Also involved in the initiative is equipping the government (via the Department for Business and Trade), Post Office and Fujitsu “with the necessary skills and knowledge to engage in restorative dialogue with integrity”, the RJC said.

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Post Office scandal children seek justice

Group-based sessions with organisations involved in the scandal and a confidential safe space service for affected people to share their experiences and explore healing without the pressure of a formal process will be created.

Freelance restorative listeners are being recruited by the service for this purpose.

The formation of the scheme acknowledges the limitations of financial redress, with the RJC saying “true restoration requires truth, acknowledgement, accountability and meaningful action beyond financial compensation”.

The funding question

The restorative listening and wellbeing service is being funded by Fujitsu.

It comes amid questions as to the contribution of the Japanese multinational to redress.

Fujitsu has said it is “morally obligated” to contribute to the costs, but the extent would be determined by the outcome of the Horizon scandal public inquiry. Further inquiry reports are to be released in the coming months.

The Post Office is government-owned and so it’s taxpayers who fund victim payouts.

What next?

The RJC initiatives are pilot schemes for now.

Feedback from them is intended to shape the design of a full, long-term, national restorative justice programme, due to launch in April.

An updated report on restorative justice for Post Office victims will be published in January.

“The next phase is about translating their voices into real, restorative action – ensuring that healing, accountability and cultural change progress hand in hand,” said RJC chief executive Jim Simon.

So far, 145 individuals have been involved, with an extra 200 postmasters expected to be engaged between November and March.

“Engagement is good and continues to grow,” Mr Simon said.

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Former TGI Fridays chief in move to snap up UK chain 

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Former TGI Fridays chief in move to snap up UK chain 

The manager of the bulk of TGI Fridays’ restaurants around the world has swooped to buy its British operations in a deal which preserves all 2,000 jobs at the chain.

Sky News has learnt that Sugarloaf TGIF Management, run by former TGI Fridays chief executive Ray Blanchette, has struck a deal to take control of nearly 50 UK sites.

Industry sources said the deal was likely to be announced within days.

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The transaction will see TGI Fridays’ UK arm form part of a growing international consolidation of the brand under Mr Blanchette.

The British chain, which employs just over 2,000 people and is said to have a strong booking pipeline for the crucial festive trading period, was sold just over a year ago to Calveton UK and Breal Capital, two investment firms.

The chain now operates from roughly the same number of restaurants as it did a year ago.

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In a response to an enquiry from Sky News, a spokesperson for the two selling shareholders said: “After a prolonged period of due diligence we are pleased to announce the sale of TGI Friday’s UK to Sugarloaf, the manager and custodian of the worldwide brand.

“During the 12 months of our tenure we have stabilised the team and supply chains, as well as completing the first phase of repositioning the brand through a national relaunch on July 4th this year, which has seen improvements in both revenues and covers.”

The sale of the UK business comes during a tough period for the hospitality industry, which is grappling with a stagnating economy and the impact of tax rises in last year’s budget.

Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, is under intense pressure not to raise business taxes further when she unveils this year’s budget late next month.

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Apple and Amazon defy expectations with latest results

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Apple and Amazon defy expectations with latest results

Tech giants Apple and Amazon have defied industry predictions with better-than-expected financial results.

Apple’s success is largely thanks to record-breaking iPhone sales, while Amazon’s is down to cloud computing arm Amazon Web Services (AWS), in spite of last week’s outage which knocked out thousands of websites.

AWS revenue accelerated 20.2% to $33bn (almost £25bn), which CEO Andy Jassy said was a pace it hadn’t seen since 2022. AWS accounts for 60% of Amazon’s total operating income.

Cloud growth has been a key focus for the company in the face of ever-growing pressure from rivals Google and Microsoft, which also reported revenue leaps this week.

While welcoming its latest results, Amazon has also issued a cautious sales outlook. File pic: Reuters
Image:
While welcoming its latest results, Amazon has also issued a cautious sales outlook. File pic: Reuters

iPhone on the charge

With Donald Trump introducing punishing tariffs on India and China – the main manufacturing hubs for the iPhone – Apple’s record revenue has been even more welcome for boss Tim Cook.

The tariffs cost Apple $1.1bn (£824m) during the past quarter and are expected to cost another $1.4bn (just over £1bn) during the final three months of the year, but the new iPhone 17 range is a hit.

Consumers have been won over by a price point that didn’t stray above last year’s model, particularly in the US and Europe, leading to sales totalling $49bn (£36.1bn) during the July-September period – 6% up on last year.

Global market analyst IDC says almost 59 million iPhones were sold worldwide in the July-September quarter, putting Apple second behind Samsung at 61.4 million of their Android-powered phones.

Buoyed by the iPhone results, Apple earned $27.5bn (£21.4bn), or $1.85 per share (£1.44), nearly doubling its profit from a year ago. Revenue climbed 8% from a year ago to $102.5bn (£80bn).

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Tim Cook was famously once referred to by Donald Trump as 'Tim Apple'. Pic: Reuters
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Tim Cook was famously once referred to by Donald Trump as ‘Tim Apple’. Pic: Reuters

Wall Street analysts had been cautious about both companies, and their tech rivals, because of uncertainty caused by tariffs and whether investment in AI has been overplayed.

While welcoming its latest results, Amazon has issued a cautious sales outlook for the fiscal fourth quarter, citing continued Trump tariffs as a possible bump in the revenue road.

Companies, including Amazon, are introducing AI into nearly every facet of their operations in hopes of reducing costs and boosting productivity. There have been tens of thousands of job losses at US tech firms this year.

On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he did not believe the AI boom was a speculative bubble like the dot-com era, when many companies were “ideas rather than businesses”.

Today’s AI leaders “actually have earnings,” he said.

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