California and the Midwest face ‘high risk’ of electricity shortages in next five years
Wind turbines and power transmission lines at a wind farm near Highway 12 in Rio Vista, California, on Tuesday, March 30, 2021.
David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images
America’s electrical grid is being pushed to the breaking point, and California, parts of the Midwest and parts of the South Central United States are at “high risk” for energy shortfalls, says the not-for-profit organization charged with managing and evaluating the grid.
“High risk” regions, marked in red on the map, may see shortfalls at “normal peak conditions,” according to the 54th annual assessment from the North American Electric Reliability Corporation released Thursday.
The reasons for the shortfalls vary.
In the Midwestern states and Ontario, more power generation is being retired than is being added back online, NERC’s Mark Olson told reporters Thursday. Projected energy shortfalls have been projected in that region since 2018, Olson said.
In California, the risk is due to a “variable resource mix” and “demand variability,” Olson said. That means there’s a lot of renewable energy in the state, and its generation is not coordinated with the times people need the most energy. NERC predicts that demand could fall below supply for 10 hours during peak summer months in 2024.
Much of the rest of the Midwest and the rest of the Western part of the United States are at “elevated risk” (yellow on the map), which means shortfalls may occur in extreme conditions, like during severe weather or hot spells where everyone is running air conditioners. In New England, the elevated risk comes in the winter when people use generators that depend on natural gas.
“The natural gas capacity can be insufficient for generators, leading to use of backup fuels, stored liquid fuels, and there are risks to being able to maintain sufficient fuel storage during long duration events,” Olson said.
The Southwest could also suffer when demand is high and wind energy generation is low in the region.
‘Extraordinary times’
“We are living in extraordinary times from an electric industry perspective,” John Moura, the director of reliability assessment at NERC, said on Thursday.
Increasing awareness of climate change is pushing utilities to phase out fossil fuel-based sources of energy that generate carbon emissions. Renewables like wind and solar don’t contribute to climate change, but have period where they don’t generate any energy (when the sky is dark or the wind is still).
Renewables also don’t necessarily map to where demand is, unlike fossil fuels, which can be transported and burned near where they’re consumed. That means more transmission lines are needed, and building them can take from seven to 15 years, Moura says.
Another area of note, according to NERC, is the increased power demand of cryptocurrency mining and the need to plan for energy usage there.
Then there’s the weather. It’s tricky to tie particular extreme weather events to climate change, but it’s generally true that a warmer world is a wetter one, according to NASA climate scientists.
“Year after year, we’ve seen extreme weather leading to increased reliability impacts. And so when we look at events over the last several years, it’s clear that the bulk power system is impacted by extreme weather more than it ever has,” Moura told reporters on the media call.
These factors are placing increased strain on the grid, and NERC representatives urge grid operators to be conservative in their planning.
“Managing the pace of our generation retirement and our resource mix changes to ensure we have enough energy and essential services are an absolute necessity,” Moura told reporters on the call. “We need to work with the entire ecosystem to make sure we’re managing that base, and to be very clear that we’re not retiring generation prematurely — that is done in an orderly fashion and especially in areas that are right on the edge.”
For its annual long-term electricity security assessment, NERC looks at the coming decade, but energy and capacity risk assessment goes out for the coming five years, from 2023 to 2027. There are too many moving parts and uncertainties for a risk assessment past the next five years to be worthwhile, according to NERC.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission certified NERC to measure and enforce safety standards for the energy grid in the United States in 2006. NERC is subject to the oversight of FERC, which is the federal governmental agency in charge of regulating interstate electricity transmission.
BMW Motorrad just dropped a futuristic electric motorcycle concept that looks like it rolled straight out of a sci-fi movie and into a design studio. The new concept, called the BMW Motorrad Vision CE, is the company’s latest attempt to answer a question that’s been bouncing around for a while now: What should an electric BMW motorcycle actually look like?
Apparently, the answer is: not like anything else on the road.
Where traditional cruisers are low-slung and heavy with chrome, BMW’s new electric concept is lean, sharp, and unapologetically modern. The design team says it blends “emotional tech” with urban performance, which sounds like marketing fluff to me. But what we’re really looking at here is a sleek mashup of café racer attitude, cyberpunk energy, and hidden electric performance.
A structural canopy and a four-point harness work together to provide enclosed protection, meaning riders won’t necessarily need a helmet like on a traditional motorcycle – though eye protection is still a must.
The CE 04-based concept bike still keeps some familiar lines, like a long, low silhouette and exposed mechanical elements, but everything else is turned up to eleven. LED lighting slashes through the front end. A massive disc-style rim dominates the rear. The bodywork floats above the drivetrain. And the whole bike looks like it could transform into a drone if you pressed the right button.
Under the hood – well, under the body panels – BMW hasn’t revealed exact specs yet, but the CE-04 platform this is based on was already pushing 31 kW (42 hp) and a top speed of 120 km/h (75 mph), making it ideal for urban riding and modest highway hops.
BMW says the Motorrad Vision CE is more than just a design exercise. It’s a glimpse at how the brand plans to evolve its iconic Motorrad DNA into the electric age. And while the bike is just a concept for now, it wouldn’t be the first time BMW took something wild off the show stand and eventually turned it into a production machine. (Remember the original CE 04 concept? Yeah, that’s a real bike you can overpay for and ride right now.) And of course, how could we not mention the original BMW C1 that adopted a similar helmet-free semi-enclosed cage design 25 years ago?
BMW has already made it clear that it sees electric mobility as the future of urban riding, and with the CE lineup forming the core of that push, we might not have to wait too long to see something like this actually hit the streets.
So if you’ve been waiting for a proper electric motorcycle that doesn’t just replace the engine but reimagines the whole experience to feel less biker-like, BMW’s latest concept might just be a glimpse at what’s coming next, reimagining the past with a focus on the future.
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Environment
A leading electric dirt bike maker just got a massive boost, and is coming for gas bikes
Stark Future, the Spanish electric motorcycle maker that turned the off-road world on its head, just locked in a fresh round of funding, pushing its total capital raised past €100 million. And unlike the big, flashy VC rounds we usually see, this one came mostly from existing backers and a few hand-picked newcomers, including some heavy hitters from the MotoGP world.
In what has become classic Stark style, the round was closed quickly and quietly, underscoring just how confident investors are in the brand’s growth trajectory. CEO and founder Anton Wass says the company intentionally offered a “very attractive valuation” to those who already believed in the mission.
“We managed to close it within a couple of weeks,” said Wass. “It’s a strong testament to the results our team has created.”
And it’s not just hype. Stark has proven it can build bikes that not only compete with gas-powered motocross machines, but completely outclass them. Their flagship model, the all-electric Stark VARG, claims the title of most powerful motocross bike ever made. Riders have already racked up tens of millions of kilometers on the VARG, and the bike has helped convert thousands of motocross enthusiasts to battery power. The model even got e-motos banned from the X-Games when the organizers feared that gas-powered bikes couldn’t keep up.
That kind of traction, paired with the company’s rapid expansion into over 70 countries, explains why investors are still lining up to get a piece of the action.
But what really makes Stark stand out in the electric motorcycle world is its quick path to profitability. That’s a rare word in the electric motorcycle space, especially for such a young company. Just two years after their first deliveries, and within six years of founding, Stark Future is profitable and thriving. With each passing year, they seem to be improving margins, growing revenues, and launching new platforms.
And speaking of new platforms, those are coming, too. The company teased “very exciting new products” on the way, though didn’t drop specifics just yet. From the rumor mill though, it sounds like the company is preparing street models that could give gas bikes a run for their money. And if they’re anything like the VARG, we can certainly expect bikes that push boundaries and continue proving Wass’s bold thesis: electric motorcycles can outperform internal combustion in just about every way.
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