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Charles Liang, CEO, Super Micro 

Source: Supermicro 

It’s been a brutal year for tech stocks. The Nasdaq is headed for its worst slump since 2008 and is poised to underperform the S&P 500 for a second straight year. Among mega-cap tech stocks, Amazon, Meta and Tesla have each lost at least half their value.

Investors looking for some sign of optimism can turn to a 29-year-old server maker located in the heart of Silicon Valley. Shares of Super Micro Computer have soared 89% in 2022, topping all other U.S. tech companies valued at $1 billion or more. Supermicro has a market cap of $4.4 billion, up from $2.4 billion at the start of the year.

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Supermicro manufactures computers and sells them to companies, which use them as servers for websites, data storage and applications like artificial intelligence algorithms. In the low-margin server business, Supermicro competes with Dell, IBM and Hewlett Packard Enterprise as well as lesser-known players such as China’s Inspur. According to estimates from The Next Platform, Supermicro had about 2.6% of the market in 2021.

Supermicro has sought to differentiate itself in the market by allowing customers to more easily customize their computers. That makes for a more profitable offering than off-the-shelf servers.

The strategy has been working. Supermicro reported 46% growth in its fiscal 2022, which ended in June, to $5.2 billion in revenue. Earnings per share climbed to $5.32 in 2022 from $2.09 in 2021 and $1.60 the year before that.

“The stock is actually just simply mirroring the EPS increases we have seen over two years,” said Nehal Chokshi, an analyst at Northland Capital Markets who recommends buying the stock. Chokshi has a price target of $165, by far the highest among five analysts tracked by FactSet.

Supermicro closed on Tuesday at $82.89.

Chokshi said that Supermicro’s profitability and growth have been strong enough that it might deserve a larger multiple. Yet even with this year’s rally, the stock is only trading at 8.6 times earnings over the next 12 months, which is lower than its five-year average of 9.5, according to FactSet. For the past 12 months, it trades at 10.1 times earnings, down from a five-year average of 17.8.

“There still hasn’t been multiple expansion,” Chokshi said. “A lot of investors, including myself, find that befuddling, because this is a name that has historically generated 20-plus percent revenue and EPS growth that’s trading only at 10 [times] earnings.”

Jim Cramer gives his take on Super Micro Computer

Across the board, investors have taken a hatchet to tech multiples, reflecting concerns that soaring inflation and rising interest rates will dampen enthusiasm for growth stocks for the foreseeable future. The Nasdaq currently trades for 26 times earnings, compared with its five-year average of 35, according to FactSet.

Supermicro shares started rising in July and continued going up in August, after the company’s annual earnings report. They soared another 30% in November, after Supermicro showed a nearly 80% increase in year-over-year sales for the September quarter to $1.85 billion.

Manufacturing servers involves putting many different parts together. Supermicro starts with one of its own motherboards, plugs in a processor from Intel or AMD, or a graphics processor from Nvidia, and adds a power supply, RAM, networking and whatever other parts the computer might need. Supermicro will sell the client the motherboard, a fully assembled server, or an entire rack of servers.

Heading into 2023, the outlook for the server market is murky, especially in the early part of the year. Companies are tightening their belts, and likely to spend less on capital expenditures. Supermicro’s revenue growth is expected to moderate to about 32% in fiscal 2023 and 9% the following year.

But the company has at least regained the support of Wall Street after a rough stretch in the middle of the last decade. From 2015 through 2017, Supermicro had misstated financial statements and published some key filings late, according to the SEC.

Super Micro plunges on new report of hacked hardware in US

“They have done a marvelous job of coming back,” said Susquehanna’s Mehdi Hosseini, who has a hold rating on the stock. “I would say they’re the comeback story of 2022. And that’s what’s reflected in the share price. But the management team has to remain very aggressive with their target.”

The comeback, according to Hosseini, is partially driven by confidence in CFO David Weigand, who has implemented strong internal financial controls since taking the job in early 2021.

“They became compliant with SEC filings in 2020, and it’s just been straight line up,” Hosseini said. “They have done really well.”

Bigger customers

Supermicro CEO Charles Liang told CNBC that the company’s recent performance reflects the size of the business and its ability to offer a wider array of products, particularly around customization.

While the company has been rapidly expanding in Taiwan, one component of its differentiation strategy, Liang said, is its San Jose, California, headquarters, where Supermicro still does the majority of its manufacturing.

Liang said it’s more expensive to build locally than overseas but doing so allows the company to be physically closer and more responsive to the chip companies it supplies as well as major customers like cloud providers and big websites.

“Silicon Valley enables us for better technology, faster time to market, and quick service, quick maintenance of our customer,” Liang said.

He said tech companies can move faster with Supermicro servers and are willing to pay for execution and the company’s design skills.

One area of notable growth is machine learning, or AI algorithms that require a large amount of computing power, usually centered around graphics processors made by Nvidia or AMD. Supermicro makes motherboards and systems that can combine up to eight GPUs together on a single board.

In the latest quarter, 45% of Supermicro’s revenue came from enterprise sales, including AI and machine learning products.

Another specialized market Supermicro is targeting is servers for 5G or telecom applications, using a new kind of approach called OpenRAN.

Supermicro is targeting $8 billion to $10 billion in revenue for fiscal 2024. To reach that goal, the company says it needs substantial growth from AI products and has to sell more complete systems, or servers already installed in a rack.

Current growth is being driven by Supermicro’s large data center business, which has been landing bigger accounts and comprised 50% of total sales in the September quarter, according to a November note from Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson, who has a neutral rating on the stock.

Supermicro said in November that a big unnamed customer was responsible for nearly 22% of the company’s sales in the quarter. In recent years, Supermicro had no single customer accounting for more than 10% of its sales.

‘Far more cautious’

Among analysts, there’s some skepticism that the company can hit its targets in a softer economic environment.

Susquehanna’s Hosseini said he recently downgraded the stock “because I think they will face headwinds in the next year” and the “growth targets are too aggressive.”

Intel and AMD have issued downbeat prospects for the server market, and companies of all sizes are cutting costs.

“While we applaud the quarter, we are far more cautious when thinking about Supermicro’s intermediate to longer term path and in particular view the company’s now stated goal of $8 billion to $10 billion in revenues in 2024 with trepidation given the headwinds noted above,” Wedbush’s Bryson wrote.

Analysts at Evercore said in a note this month that they expect server market revenue growth to slow to about 2.7% globally in 2023 from 13.5% last year. Server makers like Supermicro need to carry a lot of inventory and may face margin pressure if sales slow.

Northland’s Chokshi said that Supermicro’s strengths, especially in AI systems, could allow it to weather a market downturn better than its rivals.

“While their competitors are showing strong signs that there is a significant capex down cycle, their results are accelerating,” Chokshi said. “So far, they’re showing no signs of this cycle catching up to them.”

Liang is confident that Supermicro can continue to gain new customers, even if growth slows from its recent torrid pace.

“In a good year, growth will be around 80%,” he said. “In a bad year, hopefully 20%.”

WATCH: Tech stock expectations are coming down but not fast enough

Tech stock expectations are coming down but not fast enough, says MKM Partners' Rohit Kulkarni

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EV realism is here. How automakers react in 2026 will be telling

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EV realism is here. How automakers react in 2026 will be telling

Frederic J. Brown | Afp | Getty Images

DETROIT – The U.S. automotive industry has entered a new phase for all-electric vehicles: realism.

The industry was euphoric about the EV segment in the early 2020s, but consumer demand never took off as much as expected and, as it fizzled, automakers monitored and planned how to react. Now, they’re pivoting, as companies have wasted billions of dollars in capital, Detroit automakers are refocusing on large gas-guzzling trucks and SUVs, and many have admitted that policies, not consumers, were driving the charge for EVs.

“We have to make the investments to get to … the regulatory environment they set. We’ve seen a complete change in that. One way, 180 degrees. One way, 180 degrees back. That’s the world CEOs of automakers are living in,” GM CEO and Chair Mary Barra said earlier this month during The New York Times’ DealBook conference.

How automakers like GM that invested heavily in EVs will respond over the next year will be telling for the future of the vehicles in the U.S., according to industry insiders and experts.

Barra said “it’s too early to tell” what true demand for EVs is following the end of up to $7,500 in federal incentives in September to purchase an electric vehicle. She said the industry will likely find its natural demand over the next six months.

In the meantime, GM continues to reassess its EV plans after disclosing a $1.6 billion impact from its pullback in those investments, with more write-downs expected in the future. Ford Motor last week said it expects to record about $19.5 billion in special items related to a restructuring of its business priorities and a pullback in its all-electric vehicle investments.

“We evaluated the market, and we made the call. We’re following customers to where the market is, not where people thought it was going to be,” Ford CEO Jim Farley told CNBC last week.

Ford CEO on ending Ford Lightning EV production: We are following market trends

U.S. EV sales peaked in September, ahead of the federal incentives ending, at 10.3% of the new vehicle market, according to Cox Automotive. That demand plummeted to preliminary estimates of 5.2% during the fourth quarter.

“The long-term direction toward electrification remains clear: The future is electric. However, the timeline is being recalibrated,” said Stephanie Valdez Streaty, Cox director of industry insights. “In the near term, automakers will continue to adjust their strategies and significantly expand hybrid offerings to meet consumers where they are today.”

Most industry experts, including those at consulting firm PwC, don’t believe it’s the end days for EVs, but rather that expectations are more realistic now. PwC expects the EV industry to pick up toward the end of this decade, with EVs forecast to make up 19% of the U.S. industry by 2030.

“As several of the U.S. [automakers] have announced, there’s some level of charges, and we got out in front of the customer demand and likely the infrastructure that’s otherwise available here in the U.S.,” C.J. Finn, U.S. automotive industry leader for PwC, told CNBC.

‘What is the normal state of EVs?’

That projected EV market share doesn’t justify the billions of dollars companies have spent on the research, development and production of the vehicles, so automakers are significantly altering their plans to allow customers more choice of all-electric vehicles, hybrids and traditional internal combustion engines.

“If you think back a few years ago, it was like, ‘If you’re not all-in on EV, you’re going to eventually go out of business. Your terminal value is zero,'” KPMG partner and U.S. automotive leader Lenny LaRocca told CNBC. “Now I think that multi-propulsion technology approach is what’s panning out to work out well. We used to call it the ‘mosaic of powertrains.'”

A NYC charging station seen in the Yorkville neighborhood of New York City.

Adam Jeffery | CNBC

The changes have taken different forms for companies that have already heavily invested in EVs.

GM, which was by far leading in such investments in the U.S., will continue to offer its current models but has little to no plans of expanding in the future, according to Barra. Instead, it will use some of its planned capacity for increased production of large trucks and SUVs. The automaker also has said it plans to offer plug-in hybrid vehicles in the years ahead, but it hasn’t disclosed many other details.

Ford has said it will refocus investments on hybrid vehicles, including plug-in models rather than pure EVs; cancel a next generation of large all-electric trucks in exchange for smaller, more affordable EVs; and rebalance its investments in core products such as trucks and SUVs.

And Stellantis is deprioritizing EVs, including for its coveted Jeep brand, as it attempts to revive its U.S. sales.

“All of us are waiting to see what the demand is, how it’s going to continue to shake out,” Jeep CEO Bob Broderdorf told CNBC. “The [EV] industry will slide. It’s going to slow down. And then what is the normal state of EVs?”

Read more CNBC auto news

Hyundai, which also invested billions in EVs, is taking a mixed approach compared with its peers. Like GM, it plans to continue offering its current models but it is also expected to have new models coming. On the other hand, like Ford, it’s decided to more heavily emphasize hybrids and allocated production at a new $7.6 billion plant for Hyundai and Kia vehicles in Georgia.

Others such as Honda, Nissan, Porsche, Volvo and Jaguar that announced ambitious plans for EVs have canceled or significantly scaled back those goals. GM also has backtracked on its pledge to exclusively offer EVs by 2035, including several of its brands before that time frame.

The Tesla effect

A litany of factors played into the current EV marketplace, including industry dynamics and external factors such as pressure from Wall Street and political whiplash from the Trump and Biden administrations.

“No doubt the policy had a big impact on customer demand. The net-net is the market’s changed,” Farley told CNBC last Monday.

The bullishness around EVs began with the rise of Tesla. The company, which remains the U.S. leader in EV sales by a wide margin, was able to significantly boost sales and its market valuation from Wall Street analysts at the beginning of this decade.

That led other automakers to take notice and, as the industry does, attempt to replicate Tesla’s success, according to officials. But what executives didn’t realize was consumers were buying Teslas — not just any EV.

“Tesla wasn’t creating a battery-electric vehicle market. They created a market for the Tesla brand.” said Stephanie Brinley, associate director in AutoIntelligence at S&P Global Mobility.

Tesla vehicles were, and continue to be, a “tech-buy” of software-first products that just happened to be EVs, Brinley said. The company also set up its own charging network and created a tech-savvy customer base of loyalists who looked past many quality and growing pain issues.

A Tesla Cybertruck near General Motors’ Renaissance Center world headquarters in Detroit.

Michael Wayland / CNBC

That success led Wall Street to seek out the “next Tesla,” ushering in an unsustainable amount of new companies. From 2019 to 2022, nearly a dozen EV carmakers went public as well as a litany of related ones. Most of those have gone bankrupt amid federal investigations, scandals and executive upheaval.

“The attention that Tesla got woke everyone else up. But now there’s competition, and there’s competition from trusted, known and respected brands,” Brinley said.

The euphoria surrounding EVs started waning as companies kept spending with little to no success and “legacy” automakers entered the market, investing big sums to bring unprofitable vehicles to market.

Hopes for profitable EVs further eroded with the second inauguration of President Donald Trump this year. Trump has killed or rolled back many of the Biden administration’s support and funding for the sale and production of EVs.

The biggest blow was in September with the end of up to $7,500 federal incentives for the purchase of an EV.

“The end of federal incentives came to an abrupt stop at the end of Q3, driving a lot of demand and sales for the new and used market,” Jeremy Robb, Cox interim chief economist, said last week. “Since then, we’ve seen the slowdown in both the pace of sales as well as the growth of new vehicle production. Next year will be pivotal for EVs.”

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ServiceNow’s deal blitz gives it an ‘AI control tower,’ CEO McDermott tells CNBC

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ServiceNow's deal blitz gives it an 'AI control tower,' CEO McDermott tells CNBC

ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott on buying cybersecurity startup Armis for $7.75 billion

ServiceNow will acquire cybersecurity startup Armis in a cash deal valued at $7.75 billion, the company said Tuesday.

The enterprise software company said the deal will bolster its cybersecurity capabilities in the age of artificial intelligence and more than triple its market opportunity for security and risk solutions.

“This is about making a strategic move to accelerate growth, and we see the opportunity for our customers,” CEO Bill McDermott told CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” on Tuesday. “In this AI world, especially with the agents, you’re going to need to protect these enterprises [because] every intrusion is a multi-million dollar problem.”

ServiceNow said the deal is expected to close in the second half of next year, financed by a combination of cash and debt.

The company has been on an acquisition spree in 2025 as it sought to accelerate growth, McDermott said.

ServiceNow announced a deal for AI agent platform Moveworks for $2.85 billion in March, and at the beginning of December, said it would acquire identity security platform Veza.

“ServiceNow will have the only AI control tower that drives workflow, action and business outcomes across all of these environments,” McDermott added.

Read more CNBC tech news

Bloomberg first reported earlier this month that Armis was exploring a possible $7 billion deal with ServiceNow.

In November, the California-based company, which helps businesses protect internet-connected devices from cyber risks, said it had raised $435 million at a $6.1 billion valuation.

At the time, co-founder Yevgeny Dibrov told CNBC that Armis was looking to go public in 2026 or 2027, but his main objective was to surpass $1 billion in annual recurring revenues.

“The need for what Armis is doing and what we are building, in this cyber exposure management and security platform, is just increasing,” he said, adding that there’s “very unique and huge” demand for its tools.

Many companies have opted to stay private for longer or get acquired as a turbulent initial public offering market has begun to rebound. Large companies such as Stripe and Databricks have found an influx of capital in private markets.

In the age of AI, companies are spending more on cybersecurity to protect against increasingly sophisticated threats.

This year has also been significant for major cybersecurity deals as companies look to enhance their threat protection capabilities. That includes Google’s $32 billion acquisition of cloud security startup Wiz and Palo Alto Networks’ $25 billion deal for CyberArk.

ServiceNow said Armis has topped $340 million in annual recurring revenue with 50% year-over-year growth, up from $300 million disclosed in August.

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Novo Nordisk’s new obesity pill, Alphabet’s data center deal, the end of EV euphoria and more in Morning Squawk

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Novo Nordisk's new obesity pill, Alphabet's data center deal, the end of EV euphoria and more in Morning Squawk

The logo of pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk is displayed in front of its offices in Bagsvaerd, on the outskirts of Copenhagen, Denmark, Nov. 24, 2025.

Tom Little | Reuters

This is CNBC’s Morning Squawk newsletter. Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox.

Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:

1. Trim tab

Regulators approved the first-ever GLP-1 pill — yes, a pill — for treating obesity yesterday. It’s viewed as a landmark decision that can lead to expanded access for patients.

Here’s what to know:

  • Novo Nordisk, the company behind blockbuster shot Wegovy, said the new weight-loss pill will launch early next year after receiving clearance from the Food and Drug Administration.
  • The starting dose of 1.5 milligrams will be available at pharmacies and through select telehealth providers for $149 per month, with savings offers.
  • Shares of Novo Nordisk surged 7% in overnight trading. Competitor Eli Lilly, which has been trying to launch its own obesity pill, slid more than 1%.
  • Elsewhere, we’re keeping an eye on Dominion Energy, whose shares fell more than 3% yesterday after the White House halted the wind project it was developing.
  • Follow live markets updates here.

2. Family business

The Paramount logo is displayed on the water tower at Paramount Studios on December 8, 2025 in Los Angeles, California.

Mario Tama | Getty Images

Paramount Skydance is putting some billionaire weight behind its embattled bid for Warner Bros. Discovery. Yesterday, Paramount guaranteed the backing of Larry Ellison, the father of CEO David Ellison, in an amended offer for the media company.

The elder Ellison’s support is viewed as a response to questions from Warner Bros. Discovery’s board of directors about Paramount’s ability to finance its offer. WBD Chairman Samuel Di Piazza told CNBC last week that the board wanted more involvement from Larry, who is known for co-founding Oracle.

WBD investors have a decision to make: Go along with the recommended sale to Netflix or tender their shares to Paramount. CNBC’s Alex Sherman walks through why shareholders may go with or against Paramount.

3. Holi-deals

A general view of the Google Midlothian Data Center where Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Alphabet and Google CEO Sundar Pichai are scheduled to speak on Nov. 14, 2025 in Midlothian, Texas.

Ron Jenkins | Getty Images

Deal announcements were in full swing to kick off the holiday week yesterday.

Alphabet said it would acquire data center company Intersect for $4.75 billion in cash while assuming its debt. The Google parent said the deal would help bring additional data center and generation capacity online more quickly.

Meanwhile, CNBC reported Monday that Trian Fund Management and General Catalyst would acquire asset manager Janus Henderson in a deal that’s expected to close mid next year. The duo will pay $49 per share in cash, which values Janus at around $7.4 billion. Janus shares jumped more than 3% in yesterday’s session.

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4. EVs’ new reality

Fronts of the GMC Sierra Denali,Tesla Cybertruck and Ford F-150 Lightning EVs (left to right).

Michael Wayland / CNBC

The euphoria around electric vehicles is largely gone. Now, as CNBC’s Michael Wayland reports, it’s the era of EV realism.

Despite billions of dollars spent and grand ambition, demand never met expectations. Now, legacy car companies are admitting that federal tax credits and other incentives mainly generated interest in the vehicles, not genuine consumer preference.

As a result, Detroit automakers are deprioritizing the EVs that were once heralded as the future of the business. Instead, they’re focusing on more-traditional trucks and SUVs.

5. Price check

The Instacart website on a laptop computer arranged in Hastings-on-Hudson, New York, U.S., on Monday, Jan. 4, 2021.

Tiffany Hagler-Geard | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Instacart said Monday it was ending its controversial artificial intelligence-driven pricing tests. Retailers will no longer be able to use the delivery platform’s technology to experiment with what consumers pay.

As CNBC’s Annie Palmer notes, this technology was thrust into the spotlight after a study by Consumer Reports and other organizations found that the pricing tool led shoppers to pay different prices for identical items from the same store. Instacart said that its testing left “some people questioning the prices they see,” which the company said was “not okay.”

The Daily Dividend

CNBC’s Annika Kim Constantino, Tasmin Lockwood, Spencer Kimball, Pia Singh, Sara Salinas, Lillian Rizzo, Alex Sherman, Ashley Capoot, Fred Imbert, Michael Wayland and Annie Palmer contributed to this report. Terri Cullen edited this edition.

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