Exxon predicted global warming with remarkable accuracy years ago, study shows
Gas prices are displayed at an Exxon gas station on July 29, 2022 in Houston, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Images
Three academics from Harvard and the University of Potsdam in Germany published a study in the journal Science on Thursday providing evidence that Exxon Mobil, the oil and gas behemoth with a current market capitalization of $466 billion, predicted global warming with incredible accuracy in a series of internal reports and messages starting in the 1970s.
“Specifically, what’s new here is that we put a number on – and paint a picture of – what Exxon knew and when,” said study co-author Geoffrey Supran, who worked as a research associate at Harvard when he did this work.
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“We now have airtight, unimpeachable evidence that ExxonMobil accurately predicted global warming years before it turned around and publicly attacked climate science and scientists. Our findings show that ExxonMobil’s public denial of climate science contradicted its own scientists’ data,” Supran told CNBC. “This corroborates and adds statistical precision to the prior conclusions of scholars, journalists, lawyers, and politicians.”
The phrase and hashtag “ExxonKnew” have become a rallying cry after previous reporting from Inside Climate News and others showing that Exxon publicly contradicted its own understanding of climate science.
Exxon Mobil says the “ExxonKnew” movement is a “coordinated campaign” working to “stigmatize” the oil company, “creating the false appearance that ExxonMobil has misrepresented its company research and investor disclosures on climate change to the public.”
Climate activists protest on the first day of the Exxon Mobil trial outside the New York State Supreme Court building on October 22, 2019 in New York City.
Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Images
It all started with a tweet
The catalyst for the research was a viral tweet, Supran told CNBC.
Stefan Rahmstorf, a physics professor at the University of Potsdam, saw a global warming predictive chart from Exxon Mobil that Supran and Harvard professor Naomi Oreskes had previously discovered, and overlaid actual historical data on top of Exxon’s.
“The overlap was startling,” Supran said and when Rahmstorf blogged and tweeted about it, the results got a lot of attention, “by the standards of climate science on Twitter anyway,” Supran told CNBC.
The three academics then realized that the accuracy of Exxon’s climate’s projections hadn’t been formally studied, and teamed up to write this report. They were surprised to discover is the extent and accuracy of Exxon’s knowledge of climate science.
“It was startling to plot all of the company’s projections onto one graph and find them all line up so tightly around the real-world temperature rise that has ensued since their reports. That gave me pause, seeing quantitatively that Exxon didn’t just know some climate science, they helped advance it,” Supran told CNBC. “They didn’t just vaguely know ‘something’ about global warming decades ago, they knew as much as independent academic and government scientists did. Arguably, they knew all they needed to know.”
According to their research, the academics found that between 63% and 83% of the climate projections Exxon made were accurate in predicting future climate change and global warming. Exxon predicted that climate change would cause global warming of 0.20° ± 0.04 degrees Celsius per decade, which is the same as academic and governmental predictions that came out between 1970 and 2007.
The study in Science builds on work done by investigative journalists at Inside Climate News back in 2015 and Democratic lawmakers at the House Committee on Oversight and Reform, among many others.
Exxon continues to deny its wrongdoing.
“This issue has come up several times in recent years and, in each case, our answer is the same: those who talk about how ‘Exxon Knew’ are wrong in their conclusions,” Todd Spitler, spokesperson for Exxon Mobil, told CNBC.
Spitler pointed to the results of a 2019 case heard before the New York State Supreme Court by Judge Barry Ostrager which did not find the oil and gas company guilty of fraud in its climate change regulation accounting.
“What the evidence at trial revealed is that ExxonMobil executives and employees were uniformly committed to rigorously discharging their duties in the most comprehensive and meticulous manner possible,” Ostrager wrote, and Spitler passed along to CNBC. “The testimony of these witnesses demonstrated that ExxonMobil has a culture of disciplined analysis, planning, accounting, and reporting.”
Environment
Rivian (RIVN) to open a UK office that will focus on AI and autonomous driving technology
American EV automaker Rivian is expanding across the pond into the UK, hoping to tap into the region’s talent pool in artificial intelligence engineering.
Rivian is a growing American EV brand with expanding office footprints as much as its lineup of unique electric trucks and SUVs. The company is currently headquartered in Palo Alto, California, with its main production facility located in Normal, Illinois alongside plans for a second production footprint about 40 minutes outside of Atlanta, Georgia.
Other US locations currently include offices in Irvine and Carson, CA, Wittmann, AZ, and Plymouth, MI. Outside of the US, Rivian operates out of offices in Vancouver, BC, Canada, Amsterdam, Netherlands, and Belgrade, Serbia.
This morning, Rivian announced its latest international office in London, UK, which will become an AI-centric development hub.
Rivian to open AI Hub in the UK
According to a release from Rivian early this morning, it sees the UK as rapidly becoming a world leader in artificial intelligence engineering, and is looking to tap into that talent pool with the new international office.
While Rivian’s current Autonomy Platform enables drivers to utilize hands-free, eyes-on highway driving, the American automaker intends to continue to evolve such tech to offer greater levels of autonomous capabilities.
Rivian shared that its second-generation EVs were designed with an “AI-centric approach.” As its Gen2 vehicle fleet continues to develop and grow, the automaker has been collecting more and more data to help accelerate the improvements to ADAS technology. Per the company:
Rivian believes the combined strength of its perception platform and in-vehicle data infrastructure will enable it to build a Large Driving Model, unlocking unparalleled understanding of complex driving scenarios and accelerating the path to safer, more capable autonomous features.
Rivian said the future work done at its new UK AI hub will enable its EVs to improve in the future via over-the-air (OTA) updates. Details remain light, but Rivian shared plans to host an “AI and Autonomy Day” later this year and promised to share more about its product and technology roadmap.
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Waev, the company best known for its iconic GEM electric low-speed vehicles (LSVs), just unveiled a brand new lineup of commercial electric carts and LSVs. And this time, they’re not messing around when it comes to utility. Dubbed the Fusion line, these new lithium-ion-powered vehicles include mashups plucked from the worlds of golf carts, street-legal shuttles, and jobsite pickup trucks.
The Fusion lineup includes six different models: three designed for people-moving and three built for utility work. But all six still seem to be aimed squarely at commercial, municipal, and industrial fleets.
Whether that’s running security at a stadium, shuttling guests at a resort, or hauling equipment around a worksite, there looks to be something in the Fusion family that probably fits the bill.
On the people-moving side, Waev is offering 4, 6, and 8-passenger models, all of which feature a flip-up rear seat that converts into a cargo deck, a near ubiquitous feature among modern golf carts and LSVs with rear-facing benches that helps them pull double duty as a light utility vehicle. The feature gives them added flexibility for things like maintenance staff, hospitality transport, or even large campus tours, letting them carry a large number of passengers, yet still be capable of stacking boxes or equipment in the rear.
The utility versions look a bit different with more muted matte black bodywork, plus come with electrically-actuated hydraulic dump beds, 2-inch ball hitches, and even orange seat belts for jobsite visibility. It’s harder to forget to put on the seatbelt when it’s blindingly orange.
And yes, the Fusion Utility Long Bed basically looks like a pickup truck built on a golf cart chassis, which I find equal parts strange and endearing. But then again, I’m the guy who infamously kicked off the great American mini-truck trend a few years ago when my hilarious little tiny-truck went viral, so maybe I’m a bit biased when it comes to fun little utility vehicles.
All Fusion models are available in both “cart” and “LSV” configurations. The carts are speed-limited to 19 mph (30.5 km/h) and come with serial numbers, making them street-legal only in limited areas that have passed local ordinances permitting golf carts to use public roads.
The LSV versions get full VINs, meet federal low-speed vehicle safety standards (meaning over a dozen regulations on manufacturing standards and safety equipment), and can be driven up to 25 mph (40 km/h) on public roads where LSVs are permitted by state law.
Waev is sticking with lithium-ion power here, specifically a 105Ah Marxon pack that’s both heated and insulated for cold-weather use. That’s a big step up from the old-school lead-acid setups still found in some fleet carts (and, if we’re being honest, still offered on some of Waev’s other vehicles).
The company claims to offer automotive-grade manufacturing processes and reliability on its vehicles, along with Bluetooth diagnostics and a smartphone app for managing the fleet.
Other upgrades include LED lighting, back-up cameras, AVAS pedestrian alert systems, and standard three-point seat belts for all passengers. Optional extras like ladder racks, beacon lights, and upgraded tires make it even easier to tailor each unit to the specific job at hand.
The Fusion line slots into Waev’s already broad family of low-speed EVs and fleet vehicles, including the steel-bodied Taylor-Dunn utility vehicles, Tiger heavy-duty tow tractors for airports and warehouses, and the classic GEM lineup that’s been a staple of street-legal fleet transport since the late ‘90s.
It also looks like Waev isn’t just trying to sell the hardware here – it’s pushing hard on full-service fleet support, too. The company is leaning on an extensive dealer network across the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and Australia, and all Fusion models are available through Sourcewell and Canoe procurement programs for simplified public-sector purchasing.
One big thing we’re not seeing, though, are the prices. It’s more of a “contact us for a quote” situation, which means exactly what you think it means. We’ll try to learn more, but don’t expect to make it out of the lot without a measurably lighter wallet.
Electrek’s Take:
This is the kind of product line that probably won’t turn heads in your local grocery store parking lot, but it’s exactly the kind of quiet EV revolution that’s transforming fleets behind the scenes. Lithium-ion golf carts and LSVs that can tow, haul, and shuttle without the noise or emissions of gas engines? That’s a win for everyone –from municipal fleets to private campuses.
And frankly, I’m here for the golf cart pickup truck vibe. Street legal, work-ready, and just weird enough to be cool. The fact that the tailgate seems to swing all the way down and doesn’t lie flat like a normal pickup truck’s gate was a swing-and-a-miss by the designers – I don’t know how that got through – but everything else looks great! And hey, I guess I could always add a pair of tailgate cables if I wanted.
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Tesla’s retro-futuristic diner with Superchargers and giant movie screens is ready to open, and I have to admit, it looks pretty sick.
This project has been in the works for a long time.
In 2018, Elon Musk said that Tesla planned to open an “old school drive-in, roller skates & rock restaurant at one of the new Tesla Supercharger locations in Los Angeles.” It was yet another “Is he joking?” kind of Elon Musk idea, but he wasn’t kidding.
A few months later, Tesla applied for building permits for “a restaurant and Supercharger station” at a location in Santa Monica. However, the project stalled for a long time, apparently due to local regulations.
Nevertheless, Tesla still moved forward with a Supercharger at the location, but it had to move the diner project to Hollywood. In 2022, Tesla filed the construction plans with the city, giving us the first look at what the automaker intends to build.
In 2023, the automaker broke ground on the site of the diner.
7 years after being originally announced, the project appears now ready to open:
Musk said that he ate at the diner last night and claimed that it is “one of the coolest spots in LA.” He didn’t say when it will open, but Tesla vehicles have been spotted at Supercharger and people appear to be testing the dinning experience inside.
A Tesla Optimus Robot can be seen inside the diner on a test rack. It looks like Tesla might use one for some tasks inside the diner.
Earlier this year, Tesla integrated the diner into its mobile app – hinting at some interaction through the app – possibly ordering from it.
Electrek’s Take
I think it looks pretty cool. I am a fan of the design and concept.
However, considering the state of the Tesla community, I don’t think I’d like the vibes. That said, it looks like Tesla isn’t prominently pushing its branding on the diner.
You can come and charge there, but it looks like Tesla is also aiming to get a wider clientele just for dining.
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