Natural gas prices jumped Thursday following a multiweek swoon, providing a lift to shares of Club holding Coterra Energy (CTRA), which lately has relied on the commodity for more than half its operating revenues. U.S. natural gas prices rose nearly 4% Thursday to roughly $3.81 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). Coterra shares climbed nearly 3% to over $25 apiece. Thursday’s natural gas gains — on top of a 0.88% jump on Wednesday — reverse some of its recent losses. But only partially. As recently as Dec. 15, U.S. natural gas prices settled at nearly $7 per million British thermal units. So far in 2023, natural gas remains down around 12%. Unusually warm winter weather across the U.S. and Europe is a major culprit for the falling prices. Demand for natural gas fell in response, with less of it is needed to heat homes. Proof is in the data. The amount of working gas in storage actually rose 11 billion cubic feet in the week ended Jan. 6, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said Thursday. That’s the first weekly inventory build in January on record, according to FactSet. Of course, the price of natural gas matters to consumers and their energy bills. It also matters greatly to investors in Houston-based Coterra, the product of a 2021 merger between Cabot Oil & Gas and Cimarex Energy. Coterra has the most natural gas exposure of the three exploration and production (E & P) firms in the Club portfolio, with the commodity accounting for nearly 58% of its operating revenue through the first three quarters of 2022; fourth-quarter results aren’t out yet. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), by contrast, has generated 11% of its operating revenue from natural gas over the same span. That figure is roughly 14% for Devon Energy (DVN). Oil and natural gas liquids are the other major products all three E & P companies sell. In a very basic sense, the higher the price of natural gas, the more money Coterra can make from its operations — which ultimately influences the company’s free cash flow and, by extension, its dividend payment. But the company’s realized price in a quarter can be different than the average market prices over that same timeframe. This is because companies like Coterra will enter into agreements to sell natural gas or oil at a predetermined price at a future date. Sometimes, that agreed-upon price will be higher than the market price on that day. Other times, it will be lower. This is what determines the difference between a company’s realized price and the spot price of the commodity in question. Coterra investors still pay attention to the swings in natural gas prices. The company’s sales are not fully hedged, so what happens to market prices does impact the amount of revenue it generates. In an interview with Jim Cramer earlier this week, Coterra CEO Tom Jorden sought to downplay worries about natural gas price declines. “Prices are constructive on both oil and gas, and our returns are really extraordinary at current conditions,” he said Tuesday night. The Club and other shareholders care a great deal about those returns. Coterra employs a fixed-plus-variable dividend, so the payout changes quarterly based on the company’s free cash flow in the trailing three months. The company has committed to returning at least 50% of its free cash flow each quarter to shareholders. Including dividends and stock buybacks, Coterra returned 74% of free cash flow in the third quarter and 80% in the second quarter. At Wednesday’s closing price of $24.69 per share, Coterra’s dividend yield stood at roughly 11%, based on its most recent payout of 68 cents on Nov. 30 . “We can never predict the price going forward, but we can control being good at the business, being disciplined in our investments and managing a prudent, healthy balance sheet,” Jorden told Jim. No doubt, predicting the price of volatile commodities is a tough task. But agencies and research firms still do so. In its short-term outlook issued Tuesday, the U.S. EIA forecasted natural gas prices to average $4.90 per MMBtu this year, down nearly 10% from its prior projection of $5.43. Through the first nine months of 2022, Coterra’s realized natural gas price was $4.79 per MMBtu. This is notable because even though natural gas soared to over $9 per MMBtu at times in the spring and summer of last year, Coterra’s realized sale price wasn’t nearly as high as market prices. This helps explain why the Club hasn’t run for the hills as natural gas prices fell in recent weeks. Volatility is to be expected, and we know Coterra is able to maintain a very attractive dividend even if commodity prices are a bit lower than where they were in 2022. In a very uncertain market environment, being invested in companies that return significant capital to shareholders is a good place to be. Jim said Wednesday morning he believed Coterra was worth buying at current levels, due in part to reassurances Jorden provided on recent reserve write-downs at the company. Elsewhere in energy, the Club trimmed its position in oilfield services Halliburton (HAL) on Thursday. While we still like the stock overall, we wanted to be disciplined due to its recent strength and book some profits. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CTRA, DVN, PXD and HAL . See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Pipes at the landfall facilities of the ‘Nord Stream 1’ gas pipeline are pictured in Lubmin, Germany, March 8, 2022.
Hannibal Hanschke | Reuters
Natural gas prices jumped Thursday following a multiweek swoon, providing a lift to shares of Club holding Coterra Energy (CTRA), which lately has relied on the commodity for more than half its operating revenues.
The current EV era is ripe with revered classic car designs and nameplates that are being reborn as battery-powered rides – and the success of cars the Renault 5 proves it can be a winning formula. Today, I’m suggesting another classic that deserves a modern electric update: the OG Ford Taurus.
It might seem old and dated now, but when the original Ford Taurus made its debut in 1985, it was so fresh, so different, so futuristic that it was included, almost unchanged, in Robocop’s sci-fi vision of a dystopian Detroit. Really.
I’d buy that for a dollar
From the movie poster for Robocop; MGM Studios.
The aerodynamic design of the Ford Taurus wasn’t just futuristic, it was successful – and, from 1992 through 1996, the OG Taurus was not just Ford’s best-selling car, but the best selling car in North America.
The sedan market is very different forty years on – so different, in fact, that Ford doesn’t actually sell any sedans in North America. With the exception of the 2-door ICE Mustang, the Blue Oval brand doesn’t even sell any cars, and operates almost entirely as a truck and SUV brand.
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Now, imagine Ford decides to get back into the sedan game. It’s 2025 now, and the Tesla Model 3 has proven that there’s enough demand for at least one successful electric sedan in the US. And, crucially, it seems like most of those buyers won’t be trading their Tesla back in for another one.
If there was ever a time to do it, that time is now – and Ford is perfectly positioned to fast-track a new-age Taurus.
The VW connection
Chinese-market Volkswagen ID.7 Vizzion; via VW.
Yes, I know that’s a Volkswagen – but hear me out. Ford and VW have a strong, existing relationship when it comes to EVs, having co-developed the MEB electric skateboard platform that underpins both the high-riding Ford Capri (itself a modern take on a classic Ford) and the Volkswagen ID.7 shown, above.
The ID.7 is an interesting piece, because it was always Volkswagen’s original intention to bring the car to the US, but slowing sedan demand and a dealer body that would rather sell Scout-branded SUVs and pickups than near/entry-luxe sedans killed the car’s chances before before the first one made it over. Now, it’s not coming to the US at all.
Aventon has officially announced its latest electric bicycle, the Pace 4, adding advanced smart bike technology and enhanced rider comfort to its popular line of urban-friendly e-bikes. The Pace 4 builds upon Aventon’s successful formula of accessibility and ease of use, now augmented with new connectivity and security features that make it harder to steal and easier to get back.
At the heart of the Pace 4 is Aventon’s latest innovation: the Aventon Control Unit (ACU). The ACU significantly upgrades the bike’s intelligence and security capabilities, bringing GPS tracking, geofencing, and remote locking to the Pace 4.
With the addition of the ACU, riders gain the ability to monitor their bike’s location in real-time, set virtual boundaries that trigger alerts if the bike leaves a specified area, and remotely lock the rear wheel, helping to improve security and peace of mind. A startup passcode can also be enabled to further improve theft deterrence, ensuring the bike can only be activated by authorized users.
The remote locking and passcode can help deter some theft, but the GPS tracking makes it easier to get the bike back if it ever does find itself in the wrong hands. The GPS feature and the 4G data communication both require a 4G data subscription, which is provided complimentary for one year at the time of purchase.
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Of course, there’s no such thing as a theft-proof bicycle, but these types of smart features help riders get closer to that goal. Plus, as bike thieves become more aware of which e-bikes include built-in GPS or other theft deterrence features, hopefully those models will become less attractive targets.
The Pace 4 doesn’t only upgrade its intelligence. Its performance and comfort have also received their own improvements.
Powered by a 500W rear hub motor rated for a peak output of 864 watts and 60 Nm of torque, the Pace 4 provides decent power for smooth urban commuting and enjoyable leisure rides. According to Aventon, riders can expect consistent and reliable performance across various terrains and riding conditions.
It may not match the 750W continuous-rated motors we often see in the North American market, which usually output peak power in the low four figures of watts, but it should still provide good power and climbing performance on moderate hills.
The Pace 4 features a 36V 20Ah battery, which Aventon states can deliver a range of up to 70 miles (112 km) when ridden in ECO mode. Of course, few people actually ride solely in the lowest power mode, and so the real-world range is likely to be somewhat lower – especially for riders who make ample use of the throttle. But with just over 720 Wh of battery capacity, the Pace 4 is likely still ideal for extended city commutes, recreational rides, and weekend exploring. And with the included torque sensor, the pedal assist is more responsive, giving riders more reason to let go of the throttle and enjoy the pedal assist performance.
The 27.5×2.1″ urban tires will be most at home on pavement but can likely still handle fairly smooth trails. Whether for daily commuting or leisurely outings, the bike seems outfitted for a variety of use cases.
The Pace 4 lacks traditional suspension but the bike does include a suspension seat post offering 2 inches (50mm) of travel. This feature absorbs shocks and vibrations from rough roads, preventing them from traveling up through the saddle and into the rider’s rear, enhancing the riding experience. Complementing this is an ergonomic handlebar design aimed at promoting a relaxed, upright riding posture, reducing rider fatigue on longer trips and increasing overall comfort.
Neither of these can replace true front or rear suspension, but they go a decent way toward adding more comfort to the ride.
Aventon has also emphasized accessibility with the Pace 4. It features a step-through frame design that makes getting on and off the bike much easier than swinging a leg over the rear, helping the bike cater to riders of all ages and abilities. Available in two frame sizes and three colors of Flint, Mica, and Blue Steel (grey, black, and light blue), the Pace 4 also offers a bit of variation to help riders dial in the size and style closer to their tastes.
The new Aventon Pace 4 sticks with the company’s recent drive to push the boundaries of e-bike technology, combining smart connectivity, enhanced security features, modest performance, and some nods toward comfort. I’d imagine the bike would appeal to a broad range of riders if it wasn’t for the price, which feels fairly high to me. Plus, the base model doesn’t include a rack, fenders, or other commuter staples that will only elevate the price further. That being said, the Pace 4 launches at a time when e-bike prices are expected to arrive across the board, either slightly for models built in various Asian countries or significantly for models built in China.
But ignoring the price (as hard as that may be), I do like what I see here. It’s hard to compare to Class 3 e-bikes with more powerful 48V systems, but this isn’t designed to compete with those models. It’s a more modest, easier-going model. But for its intended audience, it comes with some nice features that we don’t often see elsewhere.
I really hope features like built-in tracking become more common across the board, as they’re hugely valuable for riders.
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British Columbia got its first 400 kW DC fast charger last week at Canadian C-store chain On The Run, but that’s not the good part. As part of a limited time offer, these chargers are FREE!
The Canadian convenience store chain just took the wraps off its new, ABB-developed, 400 kW chargers earlier this month, but they’re already planning to bring the ultra-fast 400 kW dispensers to at least four more locations in BC this spring, and have them online just in time for the summer road trip season – something On The Run hopes its customers will appreciate.
“The A400 charger delivers an enhanced customer experience, with reliability and performance from a 32-inch screen to higher power charging sessions and power sharing,” reads the company’s official announcement, via LinkedIn. “Download the Journie Rewards app to start the charge – free for a limited time.”
On The Run’s new 400 kW ABB DC fast chargers are compatible with CCS and CHAdeMO plugs, and can accommodate Tesla and other NACS-equipped vehicles with an adapter. That said, the company seems to imply that Tesla drivers in particular will have a maximum charging speed of “just” 50 kW, which feel hilarious (given the current state of affairs between Tesla and the Canadian government), but probably isn’t.
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In addition to the ABB A400 400 kW units shown here, On The Run locations also employ the ABB Terra 184 dispensers rated at 180 kW. On The Run plans similar deployments at the four BC locations mentioned above, as well as two more each in Quebec and Ontario slated to go live towards the end of this year.
Electrek’s Take
Tesla’s controversial CEO Elon Musk once mocked 350 kW charging speed as being “for a child’s toy,” despite the fact that, nearly nine years later, his own cars and Superchargers can barely make it to 325 kW while others have sailed right on past. I made fun of that fact on the Quick Charge episode shown, above – and, while I do think it’s funny and relevant, the much more relevant piece of news here is that companies like BP Pulse, Revel, and Wallbox are actively deploying 400 kW solutions, today (while others hit the same mark as far back as 2017).