Investing in last year’s top 10 stocks is ‘a recipe for disaster,’ expert says
Look back on the best-performing stocks in a given year and you’re likely to see a mixed bag: some mainstays, some breakouts and maybe even a meme stock or two.
Not so in 2022. Each of the 10 top-performing stocks in the S&P 500 index belonged to the same sector: energy.
In a year in which every other sector in the S&P 500 lost money, energy stocks delivered an average return of 59%, with top performer Occidental Petroleum returning 119%.
However, that doesn’t necessarily mean you should go out and add any of these stocks to your portfolio now, investing experts say.
Following an overall down year in the market, “don’t chase the few things that have performed well,” Christine Benz, director of personal finance and retirement planning at Morningstar, told CNBC Make It. “Doing a complete repositioning of your portfolio is a recipe for disaster.”
Here’s why investing experts say to tread carefully before adding last year’s winners to your portfolio.
You’re historically slightly better off buying losers
The market operates in cycles, and this has been a particularly good one for companies involved in the discovery, transportation and sale of oil and natural gas. Energy prices shot up early in 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine and the U.S. and EU took steps to curtail Russian energy exports.
But a cyclical market means eventual reversion to the mean. Energy will come back to the pack, and laggards will catch up. There’s no telling when that will actually happen, but historically losers have outperformed winners following a down year.
“If it’s an up year, history says to let winners ride. However if the prior year was down, you’re better off rotating from ‘first’ sectors like energy to ‘worst’ sectors like technology and consumer discretionary,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA.
By Stovall’s calculations, a “first to worst” rotation has beaten the market 60% of the time since World War II.
That’s isn’t to suggest you shift your entire portfolio into tech, the worst performer in 2022. Rather, it illustrates that the factors that drive certain corners of the market to take off are unpredictable from year to year.
Choose stocks sparingly and carefully
If you’re a long-term investor, financial advisors generally recommend building a broadly diversified portfolio. By spreading your bets across a wide array of asset classes, you decrease the chances that a sharp drop in any one particular investment derails your portfolio’s performance.
For that reason, investors are typically told to steer clear of devoting too much space in their accounts to any one particular stock. Unlike the broad market, which has historically trended upward, any one stock has the potential to go to zero.
If you do want to invest in a few stocks as a complement to your core broad-based investing strategy, ignore which way the market is trending and examine each stock on its own merits, experts say.
“As long-term investors, we don’t try to chase momentum,” said Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar. “We focus on opportunities where the market doesn’t understand the intrinsic value of a company.”
There are plenty of ways to determine a company’s value, and each investor has their favorites. You may want to focus on how a stock trades relative to the company’s earnings or cash flow, for instance.
No matter which measure you choose, the more a company’s stock price has run up, the more likely it is that it’s trading more expensively relative to peers, the broad market and its historical averages. And there tends to be some mean reversion there, too.
Headed into 2022, energy stocks were the most undervalued by Morningstar’s calculations. And after a 59% runup? “It’s the sector we now think is the most overvalued,” Sekera said.
Sign up now: Get smarter about your money and career with our weekly newsletter
Don’t miss: Think twice before buying the top 10 ETFs of 2022: ‘It doesn’t work that way in investing’
Another one bites the dust. Hyundai Motor has halted production of another luxury EV in the US to focus on more popular models like its best-selling Tucson SUV.
Hyundai is shifting its EV production plans in the US
The move is part of a broader shift in Hyundai’s global production network as it gears up for upcoming policy changes, including higher tariff rates and the elimination of tax credits for electric vehicles in the US.
According to a new report from Business Korea, Hyundai has already ceased production of the Genesis Electrified GV70 in the US. Industry sources claim that Hyundai halted production of the luxury EV at its manufacturing plant in Alabama in June.
The Genesis Electrified GV70 marked a milestone as it rolled off the assembly line in February 2023, becoming Hyundai’s first US-made electric vehicle.
Hyundai invested nearly $300 million to upgrade the facility and boost SUV production, including under the luxury Genesis brand. However, sales have failed to live up to expectations.
In the first seven months of the year, Hyundai built just 1,367 Genesis GV70 EVs in Alabama, 18% fewer compared to the same period last year. Last month, sales sank to a record low with just 15 models delivered.
After halting production in June, Hyundai has been just selling down inventory rather than producing new models.
With the federal EV tax credit set to expire at the end of September, Hyundai is shifting production plans in the US and globally.
The Korean auto giant is expected to lean into higher-profit SUVs and hybrids, like the Santa Fe and Tucson, to offset the extra costs. With production of the Santa Fe Hybrid surging to 6,888 last month, Hyundai could replace the electric Genesis GV70 with more popular SUVs at the facility.
Will the Genesis Electrified GV70 still be made in the US?
Hyundai is currently reviewing a few different options. For one, it could relocate the GV70 EV to its new manufacturing plant in Georgia, to be built alongside the IONIQ 5 and IONIQ 9.
The Business Korea report claims Hyundai is “seriously considering” building the luxury EV in South Korea and exporting it to the US. Although it would get hit with the added tariffs, analysts believe it could be less expensive than creating a new production line.
Hyundai will do the same with the new IONIQ 6, which is set to launch later this year. Instead, the company is expanding production of its top-selling Tucson SUV.
In response to Trump’s 25% tariff rate on imports, Hyundai is shifting all Tucson production from Kia’s plant in Mexico to Alabama.
The news comes after Hyundai already pulled one luxury EV from its US lineup, the Genesis Electrified G80, earlier this month.
As the EV tax credit deadline approaches, Hyundai is offering some of the biggest discounts in the US. After cutting lease prices again last month, the 2025 IONIQ 5 is now listed starting from just $179 per month. Hyundai’s first three-row electric SUV, the 2026 IONIQ 9, can be leased from $419 per month.
Genesis is also offering generous savings with up to $18,000 off the Electrified GV70 and $13,750 off the GV60 to move inventory.
Ready to try one out for yourself? We’re here to help you get started. You can use our links below to find Hyundai IONIQ 5 and IONIQ 9 models in your area.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday accused India of profiteering from cheap Russian oil imports during the war in Ukraine, describing the practice as “arbitrage” and condemning it as unacceptable.
“They are just profiteering. They are reselling,” Bessent told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” in an interview. “This is what I would call the Indian arbitrage — buying cheap Russian oil, reselling it as product.”
“They’ve made $16 billion in excess profits — some of the richest families in India,” Bessent said.
India buys Russian oil at a discount due to sanctions, refines it into gasoline and diesel, and then sells the product back to regions that have sanctioned Moscow such as Europe, said Matt Smith, an oil market analyst at Kpler.
India’s imports of Russian oil have surged since the Kremlin launched its full scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Prior to the invasion, India imported a miniscule amount of Russian crude.
New Delhi is now Russia’s biggest customer importing 1.5 million bpd in July, according to data from Kpler. China is the second largest buyer of Russian oil, importing about 1 million bpd last month.
President Donald Trump earlier this month ordered an additional 25% tariff on India’s exports to the U.S. to punish New Delhi for buying Russian oil. The tariffs take effect next week.
Trump is threatening what he calls “secondary tariffs” on Russian oil buyers like India to pressure the Kremlin to reach a negotiated settlement with Ukraine. So far, however, the U.S. has spared China from secondary tariffs over its imports of Russian crude.
When asked about China’s imports, Bessent suggested that Beijing’s imports were less egregious in the eyes of the Trump administration because it was also a major buyer before Russia invaded Ukraine.
But India actually started buying Russian oil in a major way at the behest of the U.S., said Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy and a former advisor to President George W. Bush.
The Biden administration had asked India to accept Russian oil as other countries imposed bans in order to prevent a major oil price spike after the invasion Ukraine that would result in high gasoline prices in the U.S., McNally told CNBC.
“India played a key role in the price cap sanction mechanism designed by the U.S. and its European allies to ensure Russian oil still flowed while trying to crimp the revenue Moscow earned,” McNally said.
CNBC has reached out to the Indian embassy in the U.S. for comment.
Ridgefield, Connecticut, just commissioned a sizable new solar carport at Ridgefield High School, and it’s set to pay big dividends for the town of around 7,000 residents.
The 1,038 kW system will generate around 1.3 million kilowatt-hours of clean electricity every year. That’s enough to power nearly 100 homes annually. Over the next 25 years, the installation is expected to save the school district about $1.5 million in energy costs while significantly cutting its carbon footprint.
The project was built in partnership with Davis Hill Development, the Connecticut Green Bank, and Patriot Renewable Energy Capital, with AEC Solar managing engineering, procurement, and construction. Crews pushed to finish the work on an accelerated summer schedule so it wouldn’t disrupt the school year.
Financing came through a mix of support from the Green Bank, a tax equity investment, and federal Investment Tax Credits made possible by the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, which shows how supportive federal policy can translate directly into local cost savings.
What makes the system especially interesting is how it’s wired. The carport ties into four separate town- and school-owned meters, maximizing the use of on-site solar while plugging into programs like Connecticut’s Non-Residential Renewable Energy Solutions (NRES), Zero Emission Renewable Energy Credits (ZRECs), and Class I RECs.
This isn’t Ridgefield’s first solar rodeo. The town began its sustainability push nearly a decade ago, installing rooftop solar across eight other schools and municipal buildings. The high school carport is its latest step forward.
Mariana Cardenas Trief, director of investments at the Connecticut Green Bank, said, “This is the latest of multiple solar projects that we have worked with DHD Renewables and the Town to complete, and we are proud to continue this support as they reduce their energy costs and move Connecticut closer to its clean energy goals.”
Read more: 500+ big-box rooftops are about to be covered in US-made solar
The 30% federal solar tax credit is ending this year. If you’ve ever considered going solar, now’s the time to act. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.
FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.
-
Sports3 years ago‘Storybook stuff’: Inside the night Bryce Harper sent the Phillies to the World Series
-
Sports1 year agoStory injured on diving stop, exits Red Sox game
-
Sports2 years agoGame 1 of WS least-watched in recorded history
-
Sports2 years agoMLB Rank 2023: Ranking baseball’s top 100 players
-
Sports4 years ago
Team Europe easily wins 4th straight Laver Cup
-
Sports2 years agoButton battles heat exhaustion in NASCAR debut
-
Environment2 years agoJapan and South Korea have a lot at stake in a free and open South China Sea
-
Environment2 years agoGame-changing Lectric XPedition launched as affordable electric cargo bike