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The ghost of FTX haunts the crypto industry, but Bitcoin is attempting to leave it behind as BTC price gains endure. 3911 Total views 18 Total shares Listen to article 0:00 Markets News Own this piece of history

Collect this article as an NFT Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week at new 2023 highs, but still divides opinion after a blistering price rally.

In what is shaping up to be the antidote to last years slow bleed to lower prices, January has delivered the volatility Bitcoin bulls were hoping for but can they sustain it?

This is the key question for market participants going into the third week of the month.

Opinion remains divided on Bitcoins fundamental strength; some believe outright that the march to two-month highs is a suckers rally, while others are hoping that the good times will continue at least for the time being.

Beyond market dynamics, there is no shortage of potential catalysts waiting to assert themselves on sentiment.

United States economic data will keep coming, while corporate earnings could deliver some fresh volatility to stock markets this week.

Cointelegraph takes a look at five potential BTC price movers as all eyes focus on new support levels and the fate of the Bitcoin bear market.BTC price due consolidation, analysts agree

Bitcoin has faced increasing skepticism after passing some key resistance levels throughout the past week.

As Cointelegraph reported, the consensus remains skewed to the bearish side long term, with few believing that current momentum will end up any more than a bear market rally.

With warnings of new macro lows of $12,000 still in force, analysts are watching for signs of a comedown. So far, however, this has not materialized.

The weekly close tied with those from just before the FTX collapse, with BTC/USD still above $20,000 at the time of writing, having hit new local highs of $21,411 overnight, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingViewshowed.

Volatility remained in action, with moves of several hundred dollars commonplace on hourly timeframes. A flash dip below the $21,000 mark was described by commentator Tedtalksmacro as a liquidity hunt.

Analyzing levels to hold in the event of a broader retracement, on-chain analytics resource, Material Indicators identified the 21-week moving average (MA) at $18,600.

Another $11M bid wall placed to defend the Bitcoin 2017 Top, it noted alongside an additional chart of the Binance order book. Holding above that level is symbolic and increases the probability of extending the rally, but IMO holding the 21-Week MA is critical for a sustained rally. TradFi is closed Monday for MLK Day. Volatility continues.BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp) with 21-week MA. Source: TradingView

A previous post added that whale activity was indeed helping to buoy the market on exchanges.

Eyeing the reversal of FTX losses, meanwhile, trading account Stockmoney Lizards called for a little (sideways) consolidation at current levels.

Michal van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, said that Bitcoin might indeed consolidate due to changes in flagging United States dollar strength.

The U.S. Dollar Index still traded near its lowest levels since early June 2022 on the day, having hit 107.77.U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingViewFocus shifts to earnings as stocks catalyst

This week will get off to a brisk start in terms of macro data, with producer price inflation data coming on Jan. 18.

This will come amid various speeches from Federal Reserve officials, while stocks will likely be swayed by another phenomenon in the form of corporate earnings reporting throughout the week.

As noted by Bank of America strategists in a note last week, the S&P 500 has become particularly sensitive to earnings reports, with their impact overtaking classic data releases such as the Consumer Price Index.

We see this as a narrative shift in the market from the Fed and inflation to earnings: reactions to earnings have been increasing, while reactions to inflation data and FOMC meetings have been getting smaller, they wrote, quoted by media outlets including CNBC.

The strategists referred to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Feb. 1 to decide on interest rate hikes.

The rate hike is currently expected to be lower than any since early 2022, with sentiment favoring a 0.25% increase, according to CME Groups FedWatch Tool.Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

The lower the Fed Funds, the more liquidity there is in the system, Ram Ahluwalia, CEO of digital asset investment advisor Lumida Wealth Management, wrotelast week.

An accompanying chart showed what Ahluwalia suggested was a beneficial relationship between lower Fed funds rates and Bitcoin liquidity.

He continued by referencing an appearance on mainstream media by veteran economist Larry Summers on Jan. 13, in which the latter made positive noises about inflation abating.

Larry made a statement saying the Feds fight against inflation is much, much closer to being done. This is a positive surprise to risk assets and supports the Fed pivot camp, he argued. BTC benefits from QE Hypothesis: One of the big macro desks listened and went long bitcoin.Bitcoin vs. Fed funds rate chart. Source: Ram Ahluwalia/ TwitterGBTC winning streak continues

On the topic of institutional interest recovery, another chart retracing the entirety of its FTX losses is the largest Bitcoin institutional investment vehicle, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).

Data from Coinglass shows that as of Jan. 13, the latest date for which data is available, GBTC shares traded at a discount to the net asset value of 36.26%.

This discount, formerly positive and known as the GBTC premium, has been ticking higher since the end of December 2022 and is now higher than at any point since the FTX meltdown.

Its largest-ever reading came just before that, when it hit 48.62%, with GBTC suffering as part of parent company Digital Currency Groups own FTX troubles.

That controversy continues to rage, often publicly, but GBTC is delivering its most encouraging results in months.

Behind the scenes, Grayscale continues to battle U.S. regulators over their refusal to allow it to convert GBTC to an exchange-traded fund (ETF) based on the Bitcoin spot price.

In an extensive Twitter update on Jan. 13, Craig Salm, Grayscales chief legal officer, referenced the firms commitment to win its case and bring the first spot Bitcoin ETF to the market in the U.S.

To reiterate, converting GBTC to a spot Bitcoin ETF is the best long-term way for it to track the value of its BTC, he summarized. Our case is moving forward swiftly, we have strong, common sense and compelling legal arguments and were optimistic that the Court should rule in our favor.GBTC premium vs. asset holdings vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: CoinglassDifficulty hits new all-time high

If Bitcoins price recovery were not enough to get bulls excited, its network fundamentals tell a similarly encouraging story.

Roughly in step with the weekly close, network mining difficulty increased by over 10%, marking its biggest uptick since October 2022.Bitcoin network fundamentals overview (screenshot). Source: BTC.com

The move has obvious implications for Bitcoin miners and suggests that the ecosystem already benefits from higher prices.

As Cointelegraph reported, miners had already been slowing the pace of their BTC reserve sales in recent weeks. At the same time, the difficulty increase reflects competition for block subsidies returning to the sector.

Over the past week, however, miner balances have decreased in response to Bitcoins rapid price rise. They stood at 1,823,097 BTC as of Jan. 16, data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows, marking one-month lows.Bitcoin miner BTC balance chart. Source: Glassnode

Despite this, miner difficulty has now erased its FTX reactions and set a new all-time high in the process.

Bitcoin is in the process of retesting the estimated average cost of production price for Miners, Glassnode additionally notd last week before most of the gains came.

It added that breaking above this level like offers much needed relief to miner incomes.

An accompanying chart showed its proprietary difficulty regression model, which it describes as an estimated all-in-sustaining cost of production for Bitcoin.Bitcoin difficulty regression model chart. Source: GlassnodeSentiment exits “fear” as whales buy big

It is no secret that the average Bitcoin hodler is experiencing some much-needed relief this month, but is it a case of unchecked euphoria?

Related:5 altcoins that could breakout if Bitcoin price stays bullish

According to the time-honored yardstick, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, it could be too much, too soon regarding changes in the mood over Bitcoin price strength.

On Jan. 15, the Index hit its highest level since April2022.While not greedy yet, the move marks a significant change from just weeks prior.Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

The crypto market spent a large swathe of 2022 in its lowest extreme fear bracket.

Now, it is scoring above 50/100, dropping slightly into the new week to remain in neutral territory.

For research firm Santiment, which specializes in gauging the atmosphere around crypto markets, there is one overriding factor influencing Bitcoins newfound strength.

The answer, it wrote in a Twitter post at the weekend, lies firmly in whale activity.

Over the ten days to Jan. 15, big and small whales added to their positions, sparking a supply and demand chain reaction. In total, over that period, they purchased 209,700 BTC.

Santiment called the data a definitive explanation on why crypto prices have bounced.BTC accumulation annotated chart. Source: Santiment/ Twitter

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph. #Bitcoin #Bitcoin Price #Markets #Stocks #Inflation Related News What is total value locked (TVL) in crypto and why does it matter? Can Canada stay a crypto mining hub after Manitobas moratorium? Why is the crypto market up today? 5 cryptocurrencies that could benefit from a positive CPI report Bitcoin derivatives data suggests a BTC price pump above $18K wont be easy

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French woman faces online mockery after being conned out of £700,000 by fake Brad Pitt

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French woman faces online mockery after being conned out of £700,000 by fake Brad Pitt

A French woman has been mocked on social media after losing more than €830,000 (£700,000) to scammers posing as the Hollywood actor Brad Pitt.

The 53-year-old interior designer, known only as Anne, thought she was in a year-long romantic relationship with the Fight Club and Ocean’s Eleven star.

But after opening up about her ordeal to reporters, she suffered so much trolling that the French television channel TF1 had to pull her interview.

“The story broadcast this Sunday has resulted in a wave of harassment against the witness,” TF1 presenter Harry Roselmack wrote on X.

“For the protection of victims, we have decided to withdraw it from our platforms,” he added.

At the time of the broadcast, Anne was reported to have been suffering from severe depression.

Anne told TF1’s Seven to Eight show that, after starting to use Instagram for the first time, she was contacted by someone posing as Pitt’s mother.

More on Brad Pitt

“She told me that her son needed someone like me,” Anne explained. The scammers messaged her again several days afterwards, this time posing as Brad Pitt.

Anne said she began talking to the fake version of the actor sometime in February 2023 on different social media and messaging platforms, including WhatsApp.

Images from the TF1 programme have been widely shared online, showing a number of AI-generated images of Brad Pitt in hospital, designed to trick Anne in believing she was interacting with the 61-year-old actor.

"Wolfs" Red Carpet - The 81st Venice International Film Festival
Image:
Brad Pitt with partner Ines de Ramon at the Venice film festival. File pic: AP

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‘I really didn’t understand’

“At first I said to myself that it was fake, that it’s ridiculous,” Anne explained to TF1. “But I’m not used to social media and I didn’t really understand what was happening to me.”

Scammers began requesting money, telling Anne that Brad was in hospital with kidney cancer and needed money for treatment. He claimed his bank accounts were frozen during divorce proceedings with ex-wife Angelina Jolie.

She eventually agreed to transfer a large sum of money to a Turkish bank account after receiving an email from the fake star’s “doctor”.

Scammers ‘deserve hell’

Anne said she finally realised she had been scammed after she saw pictures of the real Brad Pitt with his current partner, Ines de Ramon.

“I ask myself why they chose me to do such harm like this?” she told TF1. “I’ve never harmed anyone. These people deserve hell.”

Police are investigating the scam, but the interview has triggered some social media posts making jokes at Anne’s expense.

French newspaper Sud Ouest reported that Anne was going through divorce proceedings with a millionaire entrepreneur at the time and needed hospital treatment for severe depression following the scam.

A spokesperson for Brad Pitt told Sky News: “It’s awful that scammers take advantage of fans’ strong connection with celebrities.”

They added it was “an important reminder to not respond to unsolicited online outreach, especially from actors who have no social media presence”.

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Biden’s $635M good-bye, Trump’s DOT pick will investigate Tesla, and a look ahead

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Biden's 5M good-bye, Trump's DOT pick will investigate Tesla, and a look ahead

On today’s episode of Quick Charge we explore the uncertainty around the future of EV incentives, the roles different stakeholders will play in shaping that future, and our friend Stacy Noblet from energy consulting firm ICF stops by to share her take on what lies ahead.

We’ve got a couple of different articles and studies referenced in this forward-looking interview, and I’ve done my best to link to all of them below. If I missed one, let me know in the comments.

Prefer listening to your podcasts? Audio-only versions of Quick Charge are now available on Apple PodcastsSpotifyTuneIn, and our RSS feed for Overcast and other podcast players.

New episodes of Quick Charge are recorded, usually, Monday through Thursday (and sometimes Sunday). We’ll be posting bonus audio content from time to time as well, so be sure to follow and subscribe so you don’t miss a minute of Electrek’s high-voltage daily news.

Got news? Let us know!
Drop us a line at tips@electrek.co. You can also rate us on Apple Podcasts and Spotify, or recommend us in Overcast to help more people discover the show.

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In December, EV sales were still up and incentives were still sweet – Kelley Blue Book

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In December, EV sales were still up and incentives were still sweet – Kelley Blue Book

EV sales kept up their momentum in December 2024, with incentives playing a big role, according to the latest Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book report.

December’s strong EV sales saw an average transaction price (ATP) of $55,544, which helped push the industry-wide ATP higher, according to Kelley Blue Book. The December ATP for an EV was higher year-over-year by 0.8%, slightly below the industry average, and higher month-over-month by 1.1%. Tesla ATPs were higher year-over-year by 10.5%.

Incentives for EVs remained elevated in December, although they were slightly lower month-over-month at 14.3% of ATP, down from 14.7% in November.

EV incentives were higher by an impressive 41% year-over-year and have been above 12% of ATP for six consecutive months. Strong sales incentives, which averaged more than $6,700 per sale in 2024, were one reason EV sales surpassed 1.3 million units last year, according to Cox Automotive, a new record for volume and share.

(My colleague Jameson Dow reported yesterday, “In 2024, the world sold 3.5 million more EVs than it did in the previous year … This increase is larger than the 3.2 million increase in EV sales from the previous year – meaning that EV sales aren’t just up, but that the rate of growth is itself increasing.”)

Kelley Blue Book estimated that in December, approximately 84,000 vehicles – or 5.6% of total sales – transacted at prices higher than $80,000 – the highest volume ever. KBB lumps gas cars and EVs together into this luxury vehicle category, so this is where Tesla Cybertruck is slotted.

However, Tesla bundles sales figures of Cybertruck with Model S, Model X, and Tesla Semi(!) into a category it calls “other models,” so we don’t know for sure exactly how many Cybertrucks Tesla sold in Q4, much less in December. However, Electrek‘s Fred Lambert estimates between 9,000 and 12,000 Cybertrucks were sold in Q4, and that’s not a stellar sales figure.

What will January bring when it comes to EV ATPs? What about tax credits? Check back in a month and I’ll fill you in.


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