The G-7, the EU and Australia implemented on Dec. 5 a cap on Russian oil prices.
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Sanctions imposed on Russian crude oil have so far “failed completely” and new price caps could prove immaterial as well, analysts told CNBC.
The European Union is planning to ban imports of refined petroleum products from Russia, including diesel and jet fuel, from Sunday.
The 27-member bloc has already banned the purchase and import of sea-borne Russian crude oil since December.
In addition, the bloc — along with its allies in the Group of 7 and Australia — has set a price cap on Russian seaborne crude oil, which bars the use of Western-supplied maritime insurance, finance and other services unless they are sold below $60 per barrel.
They are part of global efforts to curb Moscow’s ability to raise funds for its war in Ukraine.
The price cap “was invented by bureaucrats with finance degrees. None of them really understand oil markets,” Paul Sankey, president and lead analyst at Sankey Research, told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Thursday.
“Its been a total bomb, it has failed completely.”
Sankey underlined it has been tough for oil markets because Russian oil supply hasn’t really been interrupted and “they’ve sustained exports at high levels.”
“I heard it from a great source that the Saudis have been asking around as to how come Russian oil is still flowing,” he said.
“That brings the question of what will happen with the sanctions coming up on products, because it just doesn’t seem to work.”
Even though volume has remained robust, the price of Russia’s Urals oil blend has fallen since before the war. Average price for Russia’s Urals oil blend was $49.48 per barrel in January this year, according to Reuters which quoted the finance ministry. That’s below the price cap of $60 set by the EU and G-7, and down 42% from January last year, according to Reuters.
Ahead of the proposed price caps on Russia’s refined products on Feb. 5, member states had yet to agree on a price cap, according to Reuters. It is hoped that a deal can be reached by Friday.
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Price cap on refined oil products
Still, Vandana Hari, founder of analytics firm Vanda Insights, said she too was skeptical about the upcoming restrictions on Russian refined oil products.
“The crude price cap was pretty inconsequential,” Hari told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Thursday.
“I think the refined product caps that they’re planning — about a $100 [per barrel] for diesel and clean products and perhaps around $45 for dirty fuels like fuel oil — are probably going to be immaterial as well.”
Russian oil will find its way into the markets that are “still welcoming it” like China and India, according to Hari.
“China and India have benefited quite a big deal last year from heavily discounted Russian crude prices and the same’s going to happen to Russian refined products,” Hari noted, although it could be more complicated for Moscow to find markets for such products, she added.
Both China and India have increased their purchases of Russian oil in the wake of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, benefiting from discounted rates.
Sankey further noted “oil friendships are greasy” and there’s a lot of different ways to move Russian oil around the world bypassing the price caps.
“One of the things people have highlighted is look at Malaysian oil. Its crude oil exports to China is at 1.5 million barrels a day,” said Sankey. “Malaysia only produces 400,000 barrels a day. I don’t think that’s Malaysian crude. So there’s plenty of stuff moving around outside these … theoretical caps. “
China reopening
Separately, Hari said China’s sudden reopening is unlikely to move the needle on oil prices in the near term.
Hari highlighted she does not believe oil prices will hit $100 per barrel anytime soon as a result of China’s reopening, but it could happen more gradually.
There’s still a high degree of uncertainty around China’s oil demand, she added.
“The initial boost in Chinese demand is obvious. We are seeing a lot of travel happening domestically, internationally… that’s positive for jet fuel. But when does the Chinese economy actually pick up momentum again? I think that’s a big question.”
Trump’s tariffs are about to drive up the cost of clean energy projects in the US, and energy storage is set to take the biggest hit, according to new analysis from Wood Mackenzie.
In its latest report, “All aboard the tariff coaster: implications for the US power industry,” Wood Mackenzie lays out what the power sector could be in for as new tariffs raise costs across the board. The biggest tariff hit will be on utility-scale energy storage, where US projects still overwhelmingly rely on imported battery cells from China.
“In a business with 5-to-10-year planning cycles, not knowing what a project will cost next year or the year after is disruptive and causes massive uncertainty,” said Chris Seiple, vice chairman of power and renewables at Wood Mackenzie. “We will definitely see impacts on power sector capital projects. The severity depends on what scenarios play out.”
The firm modeled two scenarios: one where tariffs settle at an effective rate of 10% by 2026, and a more extreme “trade war” scenario where that rate climbs to 30% and stays there through 2030. Either way, energy storage takes a big hit.
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Wood Mackenzie estimates energy storage project costs could rise from 12% to over 50%, depending on the scenario. That’s because, in 2024, nearly all utility-scale battery cells used in the US came from China. And the domestic supply is nowhere near ready to take over.
“While US battery cell manufacturing capacity is expanding, it is not expanding at a pace nearly fast enough to meet even a small fraction of battery projects in the US,” Seiple said. “In 2025, we estimate there is sufficient domestic manufacturing capacity to only meet about 6% of demand, and by 2030, domestic manufacturing could potentially meet 40% of demand.”
The solar sector is getting a rough deal, too. With existing tariffs and tough interconnection rules already making solar builds more expensive in the US, new tariffs would pile on. Wood Mackenzie says utility-scale solar could end up 54% more expensive than in Europe, and a staggering 85% pricier than new solar plants in China.
“An increase in tariff levels will only worsen this premium US energy consumers need to pay to access renewable energy,” Seiple said.
Wood Mac’s bottom line: Current trade policies are making clean energy more expensive to build in the US than almost anywhere else, and the industry will have to brace for more uncertainty and higher costs ahead.
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Acura isn’t really known as a luxury EV brand, but with over $20,000 in discounts, it’s hard to say no. Honda’s Acura is quietly selling more EVs in the US, but how long will the savings last?
Acura is selling more EVs in the US with big discounts
After selling an additional 1,873 ZDX models last month, Acura has now sold over 9,000 electric vehicles (EVs) in the US through May.
Although it may not seem like much compared to some, like Tesla, Acura just launched the ZDX in the US in May 2024.
The ZDX nearly outsold Honda’s electric SUV in the month of May. Honda sold 2,110 Prologues last month, up from 612 units sold the previous year. The Prologue quickly became a top-selling EV in the US last year, with over 33,000 models sold. Through May, Honda has sold over 13,500 electric SUVs.
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To give you a better idea, Cadillac sold 4,300 Lyriqs (which is built on the same platform) in the first quarter. Acura sold 4,813 ZDX models during the same period. Through May, Acura has sold a total of 9,017 EVs in the US.
2024 Acura ZDX (Source: Acura
After setting a new sales record in March wth 1,935 units, Acura topped it in April, selling another 2,331 ZDX models.
ZDX sales are significantly higher than the automaker had projected in February. Mike Langel, vice president of national sales for Acura, told Automotive News that the company expected to sell around 1,000 ZDX models a month this year.
Acura ZDX Type S interior (Source: Acura)
Langley added, “We can only drive the market so much by incentives, and that’s where we have to remain flexible in our approach.”
Acura is currently offering nearly $30,000 in lease cash on the 2024 ZDX in some states, making it even more affordable than a Honda CR-V Hybrid. Through June 30, Acura is offering leases as low as $299 for 24 months with $2,999 due at signing.
2025 Honda Prologue Elite (Source: Honda)
Honda introduced new incentives on the 2025 Prologue last month, enabling up to $16,500 in savings. If you can find one, Honda is still offering leases as low as $239 for 36 months with $1,399 due at signing. The offer is available in California and other ZEV states.
Trump’s new “Big, Beautiful Bill” will kill off many of the incentives, including the $7,500 EV tax credit. Under the bill, many of these savings will disappear.
Looking to score some savings while they are still here? We’re here to help you get started. You can use our links below to find deals on the Honda Prologue and Acura ZDX in your area.
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WASHINGTON DC, UNITED STATES – MAY 30: United States President Donald Trump departs at the White House to U.S. Steel’s Irvin Works in West Mifflin, Pennsylvania in Washington D.C May 30, 2025.
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President Donald Trump‘s new dollar-pegged stablecoin is off to a sluggish start, with muted inflows and little organic demand, new data shows.
The USD1 token — launched by Trump’s decentralized finance firm, World Liberty Financial — has so far failed to break out of a narrow speculative niche, according to Kaiko analyst Adam Morgan McCarthy.
“Trump is trying to launch this stablecoin in a massive, growing market that’s a quarter of a billion dollars in size already, and his token’s only really been successful so far on a niche market of a niche market,” McCarthy said. “It hasn’t managed to make the leap from decentralized staging platforms like PancakeSwap into centralized venues that serve the mass market.”
The U.S. dollar-backed USD1 saw a burst of activity on PancakeSwap, a decentralized exchange built on Binance’s smart chain, with average daily on-chain volumes topping $14 million following its listing on Binance May 22, according to new research from Kaiko. Volume on Binance itself has lagged at $8 million.
The coin’s limited reach is compounded by a lack of real users.
Kaiko’s data confirms that more than half of USD1’s liquidity on PancakeSwap comes from just three wallets — a level of concentration that raises questions about where actual demand is coming from.
“These were the market making wallets, so they’re probably tied to USD1 and the World Liberty Financial team, so not actually an organic volume,” added McCarthy.
Donald Trump Jr. told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Tuesday that USD1 is a strategic asset, not just for the family, but for U.S. monetary policy.
“I think the stablecoins are actually going to be the savior of dollar hegemony in the world, not a detractor from it,” he said, pointing to companies like Tether, which rank among the world’s largest holders of U.S. Treasurys.
But unlike stablecoin giants like Tether and Circle, USD1 has yet to demonstrate broad-based adoption. Ripple’s new RLUSD token, for example, has averaged around $50 million in daily centralized exchange volume — far outpacing USD1, which remains thinly traded.
According to Kaiko analysts, one major reason that USD1 lags rivals is the absence of institutional partners or promotional incentives that typically generate early traction in the stablecoin market.
Beyond its stablecoin, World Liberty separately launched its own native token called WLFI, which also had a tepid debut but ultimately raised at least $550 million through token sales. World Liberty funnels 75% of profits to family-related entities.
The $TRUMP coin’s failure to generate meaningful traction on Binance is particularly notable, given the family’s ties to the Abu Dhabi–based MGX fund, which used USD1 for a $2 billion investment in March.
Kaiko’s McCarthy told CNBC that this kind of deal would typically boost visibility and volume — especially if paired with incentives like trading fee discounts or promotional listings.
“But with USD1, nothing’s happened with that,” McCarthy said. “It hasn’t caused any sort of velocity of the asset on-chain.”
The Trump family’s crypto ventures continue to draw scrutiny, with the $TRUMP meme token recently holding a contest for top holders to get a “special VIP tour” and have dinner with the president.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., described the winner’s dinner as “an orgy of corruption” and accused the president of using the presidency “to make himself richer through crypto.”
More than $5.2 billion in realized gains in the $TRUMP coin flowed to the top wallets, according to Inca Digital, while over 590,000 collectively lost $3.9 billion.
The gap between winners and losers has raised concerns about wealth concentration and retail trader exploitation — dynamics that critics say mirror the very financial system that crypto is trying to disrupt.