Connect with us

Published

on

This winter parts of the UK have already been hit by freezing temperatures and heavy snow – but a weather event likely taking place in the coming days has sparked fears the country could soon face an icy blast.

A major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event is “now likely” to take place, according to forecasters – and could bring the return of bitterly cold conditions before spring.

Sky News weather producer Chris England says “sudden stratospheric warmings can lead to colder conditions over parts of the Northern Hemisphere through their interaction with the jet stream”.

But he warned these “high pressure systems” which are formed feeding “cold air down from the north and east” are not guaranteed.

What is a sudden stratospheric warming event?

SSW describes an event when “rapid warming occurs high up in the stratosphere”, according to the Met Office, but it can have consequences in our weather down on the surface in the weeks that follow.

This rapid warming in the stratosphere – between around 10km and 50km above the earth’s surface – is so high we don’t feel it on the ground.

More on Uk Weather

The event follows a weakening of winds in what’s called the stratospheric polar vortex, high over the Arctic.

“The cold air then descends very rapidly in the polar vortex and this causes the temperature in the stratosphere to rise very rapidly, as much as 50C over only a few days; hence the term sudden stratospheric warming,” the Met Office says.

This event can impact the shape of the jet stream as the cold air sinks – sometimes leading to a “long spell of dry, cold weather” across the UK and northern Europe.

Get the latest 5-day weather forecast where you are

Does it happen every year and will it happen this year?

SSW doesn’t happen every year, and when it does, it doesn’t always influence our weather.

According to Prof Adam Scaife, head of long-range forecasting at the Met Office, “there is now over 80% chance of a major SSW occurring” this year.

The UK has been hit by extreme winter snow events in recent years, for example the so-called Beast from the East – which occurred in 2018.

But just because much of Britain was coated in snow back then due to a link with a SSW event – it doesn’t mean it will happen again this year.

What could it mean for the UK’s weather and when?

As mentioned, a major SSW event can be linked to freezing temperatures such as the ones seen in 2018 – but there are no guarantees.

Prof Scaife says: “Although the impact will become clearer nearer the time, any effect on UK weather is most likely to occur in late February and March.”

Sky’s England adds: “Other factors such as the distribution of warm and cold areas across the globe also have an influence.

“When they do develop they may push the cold weather across other parts of the world, e.g. China, North America, rather than Europe.

“And even when Europe is impacted, relatively small changes may mean that central and eastern Europe bear the brunt of the cold.”

Read more from Sky News:
Seven of the extreme weather records broken in 2022
Cold weather alert across England as ‘snow moon’ set to delight sky-gazers

Snow and ice blanket Marine park on the coast at South Shields in the North East. Snow and ice have swept across parts of the UK, with cold wintry conditions set to continue for days. Picture date: Tuesday December 13, 2022.
Image:
Snow and ice blanket Marine Park on the coast at South Shields in the North East in December 2022

So can the UK bank on heavy snow falling in the next few weeks?

In short, no.

Unfortunately, it’s too early to tell how weather forecasts will change following a SSW event.

Current forecasts “are not showing any major cold snap for the UK as a result of the current SSW”, England says.

“That doesn’t mean we won’t have cold spells – it’s cold now, after all, but that’s due to the normal progression of high and low pressure systems and nothing to do with an SSW.”

Continue Reading

UK

Asylum hotel protests expected to swell this weekend – as Farage unveils ‘mass deportation’ plan

Published

on

By

Asylum hotel protests expected to swell this weekend - as Farage unveils 'mass deportation' plan

A weekend of protests and counter-protests outside hotels housing asylum seekers began last night, with dozens expected today. It comes as Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has vowed “mass deportations” of illegal immigrants if his party wins the next general election.

Saturday is set to see more demonstrations across major towns and cities in England, organised under the Abolish Asylum System slogan, with at least 33 planned over the bank holiday weekend.

The protests are expected in Bristol, Exeter, Tamworth, Cannock, Nuneaton, Liverpool, Wakefield, Newcastle, Horley, Canary Wharf, Aberdeen and Perth in Scotland, and Mold in Wales.

Counter-protests – organised by Stand Up To Racism – are also set to be held in Bristol, Cannock, Leicester, Liverpool, Newcastle, Wakefield, Horley and Long Eaton in Derbyshire.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Govt to appeal migrant hotel ruling

It comes after Friday night saw the first demonstrations of the weekend, including one outside the TLK hotel in Orpington, south London.

Dozens of protesters could be heard shouting “get them out” and “save our children” next to the site, while counter protesters marched to the hotel carrying banners and placards which read: “Refugees welcome, stop the far right.”

The Metropolitan Police said a large cordon was formed between the two groups and the hotel, and later confirmed that no arrests were made.

More on Asylum

Abolish Asylum System protests were also held in Altrincham, Bournemouth, Cheshunt, Chichester, Dudley, Leeds, Canary Wharf, Portsmouth, Rhoose, Rugby, Southampton and Wolverhampton.

Protesters outside the Holiday Inn Central, Ashford, Kent. Pic: PA
Image:
Protesters outside the Holiday Inn Central, Ashford, Kent. Pic: PA

Tensions around the use of the hotels for asylum seekers are at a high after statistics showed there were more than 32,000 asylum seekers currently staying in hotels, marking a rise of 8% during Labour’s first year in office.

Regular protests had been held outside the Bell Hotel in Epping, Essex, which started after an asylum seeker housed there was charged with sexually assaulting a 14-year-old girl on 10 July.

In the wake of those protests, Epping Forest District Council sought and won an interim High Court injunction to stop migrants from being accommodated there – a decision which the government is seeking permission to appeal.

Read more:

Who says what on asylum hotels
18 councils pursuing or considering legal action to block asylum hotels
Migration stats going in the wrong direction
Labour may have walked into political trap over Epping hotel

Police officers separate people taking part in the Stand Up To Racism rally and counter protesters in Orpington. Pic: PA
Image:
Police officers separate people taking part in the Stand Up To Racism rally and counter protesters in Orpington. Pic: PA

Farage vows ‘mass deportations’ if elected

Meanwhile, Nigel Farage has told The Times there would be “mass deportations” of illegal immigrants if Reform UK wins the next general election, vowing to remove the UK from the European Convention on Human Rights and other international agreements to facilitate five deportation flights a day.

When asked by the newspaper whether that would include Afghan nationals at risk of torture or death, he said: “I’m really sorry, but we can’t be responsible for everything that happens in the whole of the world.

“Who is our priority? Is it the safety and security of this country and its people? Or are we worrying about everybody else and foreign courts?”

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Asylum hotel closures ‘must be done in ordered way’

Minister of State for Border Security and Asylum Angela Eagle said in response that the Reform UK leader is “simply plucking numbers out of the air, another pie in the sky policy from a party that will say anything for a headline”.

She added: “This Labour government has substantially increased returns with 35,000 people removed from the country in the last year alone, a huge increase on the last government.

“We are getting a grip of the broken asylum system. Making sure those with no right to be here are removed or deported.”

Labour has pledged to end the use of hotels to house asylum seekers by the end of this parliament in 2029.

Conservative MP and shadow home secretary Chris Philp also accused Reform UK of recycling Tory ideas on immigration.

“Nigel Farage previously claimed mass deportations were impossible, and now he says it’s his policy,” he added. “Who knows what he’ll say next.”

Home Office stops Norfolk hotel

It comes after South Norfolk Council said it had been told that the Home Office intends to stop housing asylum seekers at the Park Hotel in the town of Diss – which has also seen demonstrations over the last month.

Protests broke out there after officials said they would send single men to the hotel rather than women and children. The hotel’s operator had warned it would close if the change was implemented.

A Home Office spokesperson said on Friday that “we are not planning to use this site beyond the end of the current contract”.

In response, Conservative council leader Daniel Elmer said: “The Home Office thought it could just impose this change and that we would accept it.

“But there is a right way of doing things and a wrong way, and the decision by the Home Office was just plain wrong.”

He added that while “I welcome the decision, in reality it does mean that the women and children who we fought so hard to protect will now be moved elsewhere, and that is a shame”.

Continue Reading

UK

Labour may have walked into political trap over housing asylum seekers in hotels

Published

on

By

Labour may have walked into political trap over housing asylum seekers in hotels

Has the government just walked into a giant political elephant trap by attempting to reverse the Epping hotel ruling?

Already on the back foot after a judge ordered the Bell Hotel to be emptied of asylum seekers, the Home Office is now being attacked for trying to appeal that decision.

“The government isn’t listening to the public or to the courts,” said Tory shadow home secretary Chris Philp.

The politics is certainly difficult.

Government sources are alive to that fact, even accusing the Tory-led Epping Council of “playing politics” by launching the legal challenge in the first place.

The fact Labour councils are now also considering claims undermines that somewhat.

After all, the party did promise to shut every asylum hotel by the next election.

More on Asylum

Figures out this week showed an increase in the number of migrants in hotels since the Tories left office.

And now, an attempt to keep people in a hotel that’s become a flashpoint for anger.

That’s why ministers are trying to emphasise that closing the Bell Hotel is a matter of when, not if.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

What do migration statistics tell us?

“We’ve made a commitment that we will close all of the asylum hotels by the end of this parliament, but we need to do that in a managed and ordered way”, said the security minister Dan Jarvis.

The immediate problem for the Home Office is the same one that caused hotels to be used in the first place.

There are vanishingly few accommodation options.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Asylum hotel closures ‘must be done in ordered way

Labour has moved away from using old military sites.

That’s despite one RAF base in Essex – which Sir Keir Starmer had promised to close – seeing an increase in the number of migrants being housed.

Back in June, the immigration minister told MPs that medium-sized sites like disused tower blocks, old teacher training colleges or redundant student accommodation could all be used.

Until 2023, regular residential accommodation was relied on.

Read more from Sky News:
Rise in migrants staying in hotels
Town ‘changed’ by immigration
Explainer: Where can migrants stay?

But getting hold of more flats and houses could be practically and politically difficult, given shortages of homes and long council waiting lists.

All of this is why previous legal challenges made by councils have ultimately failed.

The government has a legal duty to house asylum seekers at risk of destitution, so judges have tended to decide that blocking off the hotel option runs the risk of causing ministers to act unlawfully.

So to return to the previous question.

Yes, the government may well have walked into a political trap here.

But it probably had no choice.

Continue Reading

UK

Family of mother killed at Notting Hill Carnival say it’s an ‘unmanageable event’ and is ‘unsafe’

Published

on

By

Family of mother killed at Notting Hill Carnival say it's an 'unmanageable event' and is 'unsafe'

Over a million people are descending on west London this week for an event like no other.

Colourful, celebratory and culturally significant, but it has become increasingly contentious.

For the family of Cher Maximen it’s an event they can no longer be excited about.

In their eyes, carnival has been tainted by the memories of last year when 32-year-old Cher was killed in front of her young daughter in an unexpected, unprovoked attack in the middle of carnival’s ‘family day’.

Cher Maximen was fatally stabbed at last year's carnival
Image:
Cher Maximen was fatally stabbed at last year’s carnival

Cher’s family say she would not want the event to stop, but that its “current format” is unsafe.

“Where some people say, wrong place, wrong time. She was in the right place, at the right time, where she should have been, and still she wasn’t safe,” says Lawrence Hoo, Cher’s cousin.

Mr Hoo says the event is not set up to protect carnival-goers: “She was in the safest location possible on family day with her daughter and she was murdered directly in front of police officers, so if it can happen there, it can happen anywhere, in all honesty, it’s an unmanageable event.”

More on London

Last year, the number of carnival-related crimes were down on the year before, and the majority were related to drug offences.

Cher was one of two people murdered at last year’s event.

Lawrence Hoo, Cher Maximen's cousin, thinks the current format of the carnival is unsafe
Image:
Lawrence Hoo, Cher Maximen’s cousin, thinks the current format of the carnival is unsafe

Mr Hoo says the threat of violence hasn’t gone away: “Really, one murder is a murder too many. I believe that has become too dangerous.

“Could it happen again? Of course it could happen again. Of course, it could happen again. You could turn up the day before, you could be there, you can step out of the front door, you’re in the site. I think it’s an unmanageable location.”

Cher’s grandmother, Vyleen Maximen, wants the international three-day event to be moved.

Vyleen Maximen, Cher's grandmother, wants the carnival to be moved
Image:
Vyleen Maximen, Cher’s grandmother, wants the carnival to be moved

“When I had the meeting with them, I said ‘why can’t you move it to a different place? ie Hyde Park – that’s a big enough park’. I was told ‘well, it wouldn’t be called Notting Hill Carnival’.”

For the family it comes down to concerns around who attends the street parade. The perceived lack of screening for individuals with weapons worries them.

“This is why I would like it moved,” Ms Maximen said.

“I mean, it’s not up to me. This is just my personal opinion. Have it structured, this is the way in, then the way out, but on the streets you can do whatever and just escape through the streets.”

Vyleen Maximen proudly wears a T-shirt showing images of her granddaughter
Image:
Vyleen Maximen proudly wears a T-shirt showing images of her granddaughter

This weekend, carnival organisers say 7,000 officers and staff will be on site each day with live facial recognition cameras and screening arches used at the busiest entry points.

The option of moving the event however is not up for discussion, says Matthew Phillip, Notting Hill Carnival’s chief executive.

“Carnival should remain on the streets of Notting Hill. It’s where it started, it’s a community event. Unfortunately, it has been marred by incidents.

“Our hearts are very much with the family, but carnival should remain on in the streets of Notting Hill. What we need to do is actually tackle the root causes of the issues of violence that we have in the capital that happen 365 days of the year.”

Read more from Sky News:
Travel disruption over bank holiday
David Lammy avoids fishing fine
Asylum housing is political trap

In the run-up to the event, the Metropolitan Police have arrested more than 100 people who had planned to attend and seized dozens of knives and firearms.

Commander Charmain Brenyah from the force explains that while the event “creates unique challenges” due to its size and scale, the security operation has been months in the planning.

“All of that work doesn’t just start at carnival. It started in the weeks and months previous to that, where we’ve been taking people off the streets to make sure they don’t come to carnival to cause harm.

“We’ve made 100 arrests of people for various offences. We’ve recalled 21 people to prison. We’ve taken 11 firearms off the street and 40 knives. This is all about making sure that people come to the event and have a safe and secure carnival.”

Carnival CEO Matthew Phillip has rejected calls for the event to be moved
Image:
Carnival CEO Matthew Phillip has rejected calls for the event to be moved

Mr Phillip, the carnival’s chief executive, is adamant, the event is safe.

“We’ve put a lot of measures in place, as we always do, but even more so this year, to keep people safe,” says Mr Phillip.

“Carnival is a safe space, it’s no more unsafe than the rest of London. So I would say come and, you know, be respectful. We want everybody to come and be respectful and care for each other. But carnival it’s a safe space.”

Cher’s family say she would not want the event stopped, the young mother adored music and dancing, especially at carnival.

But moving it, her cousin Mr Hoo says, could keep everyone safe.

“They can’t put enough precautions in place to make it safe. That’s the reality. It’s absolutely unmanageable in its current format.”

Continue Reading

Trending