When it comes to Alabama football, cause for concern is relative.
Sure, it’s been only two seasons without a national championship, but the team replacing Alabama in that title seat during those two years was SEC rival Georgia. The Crimson Tide at times a year ago simply did not look like the Alabama teams of the past under Nick Saban, and they’re losing a Heisman Trophy quarterback with no clear replacement.
Despite Bryce Young‘s brilliance over each of the past two seasons, “all” the Tide could muster during that period was an SEC championship in 2021. What’s more, Alabama is returning less production from last season than any other SEC team and ranks 125th out of 133 FBS teams in that department, according to projections by ESPN’s Bill Connelly.
On top of it all, Saban will enter next season with new offensive and defensive coordinators.
The reality is Alabama will look a lot different in 2023, especially on offense with Tommy Rees coming in from Notre Dame as the offensive coordinator. Kevin Steele, very much a part of the Saban family, comes in from Miami as defensive coordinator in what will be his third stint under Saban at Alabama. And in both cases, according to coaches, football insiders and others close to the program, the hires suggest Saban might be returning to his roots as he enters his 17th season in Tuscaloosa.
“You’re not looking at a complete overhaul on either side of the ball,” one veteran head coach told ESPN. “Nick has adjusted and adapted a lot more than he’s been given credit for. He’s changed as the game has changed, but with the direction you’re seeing him go with his two coordinator hires, don’t be surprised if it looks a little bit more like what Alabama looked like six, seven, eight years ago, right in that time frame.
“At least, I’d say that’s the plan — running the football on offense, turning you over on defense and just generally punching you in the mouth.”
According to those close to the Alabama program, one of the things that most impressed Saban about Rees, a former quarterback at Notre Dame, was his ability to adjust what the Irish were doing offensively to his quarterback’s strengths, be it Ian Book, Jack Coan, Drew Pyne or Tyler Buchner, who was the star of Notre Dame’s Gator Bowl win over South Carolina last season after breaking his collarbone earlier in the year.
“I would say above everything else that Rees’ commitment to running the football and how he devised ways to get his best player the ball, whether it was a running back like Kyren Williams or tight end like Michael Mayer, had to be a big factor in Saban’s decision,” one SEC offensive coordinator told ESPN.
To be fair, it’s not like Alabama didn’t or couldn’t run the ball under former offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien, who left for the New England Patriots. The Tide averaged 195.7 rushing yards per game last season and 150 yards in 2021. But from 2009, when Saban won his first national title at Alabama, through the 2017 national championship season, the Tide averaged at least 200 rushing yards per game in all but one season. They haven’t done it since, although they’ve been close a couple of years.
And for those criticizing O’Brien and the Tide’s offense the past two seasons, Alabama tied for fourth nationally in scoring offense a year ago (41.1 points per game) and was sixth in 2021 (39.9 points per game).
“Alabama was so dynamic and so explosive offensively in 2020 that anybody who came after (Steve Sarkisian) was going to be looked at as a downgrade by fans,” one SEC assistant coach said. “That’s just the way it is at Alabama. But I’d say Saban knows what he wants and what direction he wants to go with that offense.”
The 30-year-old Rees is the antithesis of Steele, who is going on 40 years of experience in the business and has coached in the NFL, been a head coach in college and a defensive coordinator at five Power 5 schools.
“(Rees) better have thick skin,” one SEC coach joked. “But you could say that about all of Nick’s offensive coordinators, no matter what age they are.”
According to a source close to the Alabama program, Rees’ confidence and self-assuredness shone through during his interview with Saban, who talked to a wide array of coaches during his search for an offensive coordinator. Among them: Washington’s Ryan Grubb, former Florida coach Dan Mullen, former Tennessee coach Derek Dooley and former Cleveland Browns coach Freddie Kitchens.
“One of Nick’s best qualities is that he’s always seeking out new ideas and new ways to do things,” one former Alabama coach told ESPN. “He doesn’t mind being challenged in those areas. But there are some things he won’t compromise. It’s still Nick’s offense, and (Rees) will be running his version of Nick’s offense.”
Protecting the quarterback, whether it’s Ty Simpson or Jalen Milroe, is an area that will need to be addressed in a hurry. The Tide were better in that department a year ago and finished 47th nationally with 22 sacks allowed. But that’s after tying for 120th nationally in 2021 (41 sacks allowed).
“So much of it gets back to, in big meaningful games, not just being able to outscheme people and out-big-play people, but being able to line up and punish them in the run game,” a former SEC coach said. “I think that’s what Nick wants to get back to, and if you can do that, there’s not as much burden on the quarterback.”
Rees, who was the Irish quarterbacks coach for six seasons, had a chance to go with Brian Kelly to LSU a year ago but elected to stay at Notre Dame. He’s smart enough to know what being Saban’s offensive coordinator — easily one of the toughest jobs in college football — can lead to for a coach. Saban’s past five offensive coordinators are either Power 5 head coaches or NFL head coaches or offensive coordinators.
“It was the right move for Rees and one that could pay big dividends for him and Saban,” a former coach said. “Either way, it’s going to be fun to see how it all plays out.”
Whereas Rees might be learning on the job a bit after just three years as an offensive coordinator, it was a given that Saban wasn’t going to bring in somebody on defense who needed “training wheels.”
Not to run Saban’s defense, which last finished in the top five nationally in points allowed in 2017, when the Tide led the country, allowing 11.9 points per game.
And make no mistake, it is and will remain Saban’s defense. Steele has been behind that curtain on two other occasions, as defensive coordinator, linebackers coach and player personnel director.
Throughout his career, Saban has almost always hired guys to run his defense who already know the system, know how he wants it taught and know how he wants it run. Really, the only outlier has been Pete Golding, who left last month to be the Ole Miss defensive coordinator after holding that position for four seasons at Alabama.
“Nick has always had system guys — guys who had been either football friends of his when he was an assistant or a younger head coach — and they talked ball a lot and came up through the system with him,” a former Alabama coach said. “Everybody kind of knew the nuances of the defense, which is pretty expansive, and how to apply the principles to defend certain things and the extensions of those things.
“And that got passed down through the family.”
Steele is a member of that family going back even before he worked with Saban for the first time in 2007. Steele was the inside linebackers coach for the Carolina Panthers‘ first team in 1995. The head coach of that team was Dom Capers, who was with Saban at Kent State when they started their coaching careers as graduate assistants in the early 1970s. The offensive coordinator on that first Panthers team was Joe Pendry, who remains one of Saban’s closest confidants in football.
“It’s a big defensive family, a family that’s intertwined, and Kevin has been groomed in that family,” one longtime defensive coordinator said. “He knows what Nick wants, knows what the offseason program is supposed to look like, knows what Nick wants when it comes to developing players and knows that every detail matters.”
Indeed, Saban has always had lineage connections on defense — Kirby Smart, Will Muschamp, Jeremy Pruitt, Todd Grantham, Glenn Schumann, Bo Davis, Dean Pees, Capers and Steele. And there are others down through the years.
“They all grew up in the system or came up in the system in some fashion,” one coach said. “I guess you could say they grew up in ‘The Process.'”
Steele, 64, has had a close-up view of what that “process” looks like from two opposing vantage points in the SEC. He was LSU’s defensive coordinator in 2015 and Auburn‘s defensive coordinator from 2016 to 2020. Auburn beat Alabama’s 2017 national championship team, and Steele was a finalist for the Broyles Award that season as the top assistant coach in the country. He was out of a job after Auburn coach Gus Malzahn was fired following the 2020 season, sat out the 2021 season, then landed at Miami.
In nearly 40 years and 15 coaching stops, Steele’s career is a prime example of how there are bound to be some dips along the way. He was a dreadful 1-31 in conference games as Baylor’s head coach from 1999 to 2002, and he was fired as Clemson’s defensive coordinator in January 2012 after the Tigers, who won the ACC championship that season, were torched 70-33 by West Virginia in the Orange Bowl.
Steele, who played football at Tennessee under Johnny Majors, has worked for some of the biggest names in the sport, including Tom Osborne, Bobby Bowden, Dabo Swinney, Majors and now Saban for a third time.
“It’s always in the eyes of the beholder,” Osborne told ESPN in 2015 when discussing Steele’s career. “What one person remembers about you might not be what other people remember about you. Kevin has had way more success than he has bumps in the road.”
One longtime coach pointed out that Steele’s recruiting success in the SEC footprint undoubtedly weighed heavily in Saban’s decision. Like Saban, Steele is a relentless recruiter, and Saban trusted Steele implicitly in his evaluations of players and how they would fit in at Alabama during his prior stints with the Tide.
“The other thing about Kevin is he understands Nick and wore a lot of different hats in managing players and situations when he was there the last time,” a former Alabama staffer said. “He also knows how to deal with him when the s— hits the fan.”
Some might say the stuff will hit the fan in Tuscaloosa if Alabama goes a third straight season without winning a national title — which remarkably has never happened since Saban arrived in 2007 — but history also tells us that it’s foolish to start suggesting Saban has lost his fastball, even at 71.
Yes, he lost both of his coordinators, but he’ll rely on one fresh face and one familiar face as their replacements in his quest to hoist a national championship trophy for the seventh time at Alabama.
I fully admit that most of my 2024-25 NHL preseason predictions were a waste of pixels: a collection of bad calls, faulty logic and the bold prediction that the Buffalo Sabres would make the playoffs — which should qualify me for some sort of cognitive examination.
But I got something right: The two teams I predicted would battle in the Stanley Cup Final are part of the 2025 NHL postseason bracket. However, after 82 games of data, results and analysis, I’ve decided to punt on one of those picks while remaining ride-or-die on the other one — most likely to my detriment, given their current predicament.
Here is how the Stanley Cup playoffs will play out, from the opening round through the last game of the Final. I apologize in advance for spoiling the next two months for you, as obviously all of this is going to happen exactly to script and none of these picks will be incorrect.
Let’s all enjoy the best postseason in sports together, no matter how it goes.
The 2024-25 NHL season is officially in the rearview mirror. Sixteen of the league’s teams have made the postseason bracket, and 16 have been eliminated.
Before the first-round series begins, ESPN’s experts have identified their picks for each matchup, along with the team that will win the Stanley Cup in June and the player who will win the Conn Smythe Trophy (playoff MVP).
Sean Allen: Maple Leafs in seven Blake Bolden: Maple Leafs in six John Buccigross: Maple Leafs in seven Ryan Callahan: Maple Leafs in six Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Maple Leafs in five Sachin Chandan: Senators in six Meghan Chayka: Maple Leafs in five Ryan S. Clark: Senators in seven Linda Cohn: Maple Leafs in six Rachel Doerrie: Maple Leafs in six Ray Ferraro: Maple Leafs in seven Emily Kaplan: Maple Leafs in six Tim Kavanagh: Maple Leafs in five Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Maple Leafs in five Steve Levy: Maple Leafs in six Vince Masi: Senators in seven Victoria Matiash: Maple Leafs in six Sean McDonough: Senators in six Mark Messier: Maple Leafs in six Mike Monaco: Maple Leafs in five Arda Öcal: Maple Leafs in six Kristen Shilton: Maple Leafs in six Bob Wischusen: Maple Leafs in six Greg Wyshynski: Maple Leafs in five
Consensus prediction: Maple Leafs (20 of 24 picks)
Sean Allen: Panthers in six Blake Bolden: Lightning in seven John Buccigross: Lightning in seven Ryan Callahan: Lightning in seven Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Panthers in six Sachin Chandan: Lightning in five Meghan Chayka: Lightning in six Ryan S. Clark: Panthers in seven Linda Cohn: Lightning in six Rachel Doerrie: Lightning in seven Ray Ferraro: Lightning in six Emily Kaplan: Lightning in seven Tim Kavanagh: Lightning in seven Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Lightning in seven Steve Levy: Panthers in seven Vince Masi: Lightning in six Victoria Matiash: Panthers in six Sean McDonough: Lightning in seven Mark Messier: Lightning in seven Mike Monaco: Lightning in six Arda Öcal: Panthers in six Kristen Shilton: Lightning in seven Bob Wischusen: Lightning in seven Greg Wyshynski: Lightning in seven
Consensus prediction: Lightning (18 of 24 picks)
Metropolitan Division
Sean Allen: Capitals in six Blake Bolden: Canadiens in six John Buccigross: Capitals in seven Ryan Callahan: Capitals in five Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Capitals in five Sachin Chandan: Capitals in five Meghan Chayka: Capitals in five Ryan S. Clark: Capitals in six Linda Cohn: Capitals in six Rachel Doerrie: Capitals in five Ray Ferraro: Capitals in five Emily Kaplan: Capitals in 6 Tim Kavanagh: Capitals in five Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Capitals in five Steve Levy: Capitals in five Vince Masi: Capitals in six Victoria Matiash: Canadiens in seven Sean McDonough: Canadiens in six Mark Messier: Capitals in six Mike Monaco: Capitals in six Arda Öcal: Canadiens in seven Kristen Shilton: Capitals in seven Bob Wischusen: Canadiens in seven Greg Wyshynski: Capitals in five
Consensus prediction: Capitals (20 of 24 picks)
play
1:58
Ovechkin tells McAfee his chase for the goal record was great for hockey
Alex Ovechkin joins “The Pat McAfee Show” to discuss his achievement of surpassing Wayne Gretzky as the all-time goals leader and the impact on the game.
Sean Allen: Hurricanes in five Blake Bolden: Devils in seven John Buccigross: Hurricanes in seven Ryan Callahan: Hurricanes in five Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Hurricanes in six Sachin Chandan: Devils in six Meghan Chayka: Hurricanes in five Ryan S. Clark: Hurricanes in seven Linda Cohn: Devils in seven Rachel Doerrie: Hurricanes in six Ray Ferraro: Hurricanes in six Emily Kaplan: Hurricanes in seven Tim Kavanagh: Devils in seven Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Hurricanes in six Steve Levy: Devils in seven Vince Masi: Hurricanes in seven Victoria Matiash: Hurricanes in six Sean McDonough: Hurricanes in seven Mark Messier: Hurricanes in seven Arda Öcal: Devils in six Kristen Shilton: Hurricanes in four Bob Wischusen: Hurricanes in six Greg Wyshynski: Hurricanes in six
Consensus prediction: Hurricanes (17 of 23 picks)
Central Division
Sean Allen: Jets in five Blake Bolden: Jets in six John Buccigross: Jets in seven Ryan Callahan: Jets in six Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Jets in five Sachin Chandan: Jets in four Meghan Chayka: Blues in six Ryan S. Clark: Jets in seven Linda Cohn: Jets in six Rachel Doerrie: Blues in seven Ray Ferraro: Jets in seven Emily Kaplan: Jets in six Tim Kavanagh: Jets in seven Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Jets in six Steve Levy: Jets in seven Vince Masi: Jets in seven Victoria Matiash: Jets in six Sean McDonough: Jets in five Mark Messier: Jets in six Mike Monaco: Blues in seven Arda Öcal: Blues in six Kristen Shilton: Jets in six Bob Wischusen: Jets in six Greg Wyshynski: Jets in five
Consensus prediction: Jets (20 of 24 picks)
Sean Allen: Stars in seven Blake Bolden: Avalanche in six John Buccigross: Avalanche in seven Ryan Callahan: Avalanche in seven Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Avalanche in seven Sachin Chandan: Avalanche in six Meghan Chayka: Avalanche in six Ryan S. Clark: Stars in seven Linda Cohn: Avalanche in six Rachel Doerrie: Avalanche in six Ray Ferraro: Avalanche in six Emily Kaplan: Avalanche in seven Tim Kavanagh: Stars in seven Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Avalanche in seven Steve Levy: Avalanche in seven Vince Masi: Avalanche in five Victoria Matiash: Avalanche in six Sean McDonough: Avalanche in six Mark Messier: Avalanche in five Mike Monaco: Avalanche in six Arda Öcal: Avalanche in seven Kristen Shilton: Avalanche in six Bob Wischusen: Avalanche in six Greg Wyshynski: Stars in seven
Consensus prediction: Avalanche (20 of 24 picks)
Pacific Division
Sean Allen: Wild in seven Blake Bolden: Golden Knights in five John Buccigross: Golden Knights in seven Ryan Callahan: Golden Knights in six Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Golden Knights in six Sachin Chandan: Golden Knights in five Meghan Chayka: Golden Knights in five Ryan S. Clark: Golden Knights in six Linda Cohn: Golden Knights in six Rachel Doerrie: Golden Knights in six Ray Ferraro: Golden Knights in five Emily Kaplan: Golden Knights in sixe Tim Kavanagh: Golden Knights in five Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Golden Knights in five Steve Levy: Golden Knights in five Vince Masi: Golden Knights in six Victoria Matiash: Golden Knights in six Sean McDonough: Golden Knights in five Mark Messier: Golden Knights in five Mike Monaco: Golden Knights in six Arda Öcal: Golden Knights in five Kristen Shilton: Golden Knights in five Bob Wischusen: Golden Knights in six Greg Wyshynski: Golden Knights in five
Consensus prediction: Golden Knights (23 of 24 picks)
Sean Allen: Kings in six Blake Bolden: Kings in seven John Buccigross: Kings in seven Ryan Callahan: Kings in six Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Oilers in seven Sachin Chandan: Kings in seven Meghan Chayka: Oilers in six Ryan S. Clark: Oilers in seven Linda Cohn: Kings in seven Rachel Doerrie: Kings in seven Ray Ferraro: Kings in seven Emily Kaplan: Oilers in seven Tim Kavanagh: Kings in five Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Kings in seven Steve Levy: Kings in seven Vince Masi: Oilers in seven Victoria Matiash: Kings in six Sean McDonough: Kings in seven Mark Messier: Oilers in six Mike Monaco: Oilers in six Arda Öcal: Oilers in six Kristen Shilton: Oilers in six Bob Wischusen: Kings in seven Greg Wyshynski: Oilers in six
Consensus prediction: Kings (14 of 24 picks)
play
1:05
Mark Messier: The Kings are going to be a problem for the Oilers
Mark Messier explains why the Kings are a different team this year and present a bigger challenge to the Oilers.
Stanley Cup
Sean Allen: Maple Leafs John Buccigross: Avalanche Ryan Callahan: Golden Knights Cassie Campbell-Pascall: Avalanche Sachin Chandan: Avalanche Meghan Chayka: Golden Knights Ryan S. Clark: Golden Knights Linda Cohn: Jets Rachel Doerrie: Avalanche Ray Ferraro: Golden Knights Emily Kaplan: Golden Knights Tim Kavanagh: Golden Knights Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Golden Knights Steve Levy: Golden Knights Vince Masi: Lightning Victoria Matiash: Jets Sean McDonough: Golden Knights Mark Messier: Oilers Mike Monaco: Avalanche Arda Öcal: Maple Leafs Kristen Shilton: Avalanche Bob Wischusen: Jets Greg Wyshynski: Stars
Prediction breakdown: Golden Knights (9), Avalanche (6), Jets (3), Maple Leafs (2), Lightning (1), Oilers (1), Stars (1)
Conn Smythe (playoff MVP)
Sean Allen:Mitch Marner John Buccigross:Brock Nelson Ryan Callahan:Jack Eichel Cassie Campbell-Pascall:Cale Makar Sachin Chandan:Nathan MacKinnon Meghan Chayka: Jack Eichel Ryan S. Clark: Jack Eichel Linda Cohn:Connor Hellebuyck Rachel Doerrie: Nathan MacKinnon Ray Ferraro: Jack Eichel Emily Kaplan: Jack Eichel Tim Kavanagh: Jack Eichel Peter Lawrence-Riddell: Jack Eichel Steve Levy: Jack Eichel Vince Masi:Brayden Point Victoria Matiash: Connor Hellebuyck Sean McDonough: Jack Eichel Mark Messier:Connor McDavid Mike Monaco: Nathan McKinnon Arda Öcal:William Nylander Kristen Shilton: Nathan MacKinnon Bob Wischusen: Connor Hellebuyck Greg Wyshynski:Jake Oettinger
Prediction breakdown: Jack Eichel (10), Nathan MacKinnon (3), Connor Hellebuyck (3), Mitch Marner (1), Brock Nelson (1), Cale Makar (1), Brayden Point (1), Connor McDavid (1), William Nylander (1), Jake Oettinger (1)
The Edmonton Oilers on Saturday signed defenseman Ty Emberson to a two-year contract extension with an average annual value of $1.3 million.
The Oilers, who will take on the Los Angeles Kings in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs, inserted 24-year-old Emberson into the lineup for 76 games this season, recording two goals and 13 point. He averaged 15:07 of ice time for the defending Western Conference champions.
Emberson has turned into a reliable force on Edmonton’s penalty-kill unit, and figures to maintain that role vs. the Kings. Emberson led all Edmonton defensemen in total short-handed time on ice (149:32) this season, while ranking second in hits (125).
The Kings will host Game 1 on Monday night at 10 p.m. ET at Crypto.com Arena.