Jeremy Hunt offers hope on pay settlements but rules out feeding inflation
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has not ruled out increasing pay offers to public sector workers, but warned that giving more money to teachers and nurses could entrench high inflation.
Speaking as it was revealed the UK economy narrowly avoided recession in 2022, Mr Hunt also indicated he would resist pressure to cancel a planned cut to household energy support that will see typical bills rise by £500 to around £3,000 in April.
Asked if there were any circumstances in which he would consider increasing pay offers to avert more public sector pay strikes the chancellor told Sky News: “It’s not a no, but I’m saying we’ll talk about absolutely anything, except things that will dig in the very high inflation that is causing people to see the cost of their weekly shop go up and the value of their wages erode.
“We’ll talk about absolutely anything to resolve the strikes except measures that will entrench high inflation.
“We don’t think strikes are helpful, they’re very damaging and very disruptive. The best way to resolve these issues is to sit and talk and find a solution that doesn’t entrench the very inflation that is upsetting so many people.”
Many economists dispute the argument that increasing public sector pay can entrench inflation, but Mr Hunt said it was a key factor in holding down pay.
“We should listen to a very clear warning from the Bank of England governor on Thursday who said that if you fund higher wage settlements through borrowing, that is inflationary, and that’s why it’s a very difficult situation. We want to get back into a situation where people’s real wages are growing.”
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Why is the UK economy so weak?
On maintaining energy support, a measure that would reduce inflation for family budgets, he argued that continuing support at current levels would damage the public finances.
The cost to the taxpayer of existing support has proved much lower than initially forecast because wholesale gas prices have fallen, leading campaigners and the energy industry to call for support to be maintained.
“We are doing absolutely everything we can to help families through this difficult period,” Mr Hunt said. “We’re giving about £3,500 of support on average to every family in the country this year and last year, so it’s a massive amount, about £99bn.
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“But we also have to be responsible with public finances. Because if we’re not we just give them a different pressure, which is higher interest rates as a result of the reasons. We look at everything we can do, but we won’t do things that lead to higher interest rates.”
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Thousands of NHS workers strike
The chancellor’s position on pay and energy reflects the dismal state of the public finances.
The official figures released by the Office for National Statistics earlier on Friday paint a grim picture of a stagnating economy with a dysfunctional public sector.
The Bank of England is forecasting a recession this year, albeit slightly less acute than previously, and forecast the UK will not recover to its pre-pandemic scale until 2026.
There is also acute pressure on Mr Hunt from businesses to incentivise investment and growth. Pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca offered a stark example of the impact of government policy this week, citing rising corporation tax as the reason it has chosen to build a new manufacturing facility in Ireland not the UK.
Mr Hunt rejected the characterisation of the UK’s prospects.
“We believe that this country has some of the most exciting growth prospects anywhere if you look at our strengths in technology,” he said.
“Last year, we became only the third country in the world to have a trillion-dollar tech economy, our strengths are the life sciences and in clean energy where we’re a world leader in offshore wind. We think we have fantastic growth prospects.
“But to take to make the most of those we have to deal with our inflation issue which is over 10%, and for companies that want to invest high interest rates are a real disincentive.
“We need to get interest rates down. That was working with the Bank of England to deal with inflation. And then we think we have tremendous growth prospects.”
World
Trump criticises Putin after potentially ‘historic’ meeting with Zelenskyy before Pope’s funeral
Donald Trump has criticised Vladimir Putin and suggested a shift in his stance towards the Russian president after a meeting with Volodymyr Zelenskyy before the Pope’s funeral.
The Ukrainian president said the one-on-one talks could prove to be “historic” after pictures showed him sitting opposite Mr Trump, around two feet apart, in the large marble hall inside St Peter’s Basilica.
The US president said he doubted his Russian counterpart’s willingness to end the war after leaving Rome after the funeral of Pope Francis at the Vatican.
Follow live updates: 200,000 mourn at Vatican
In a post on his Truth Social platform, he said “there was no reason” for the Russian president “to be shooting missiles into civilian areas, cities and towns, over the last few days”.
The two leaders held talks before attending the Pope’s funeral
He added: “It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he’s just tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently, through ‘Banking’ or ‘Secondary Sanctions?’ Too many people are dying!!!”
The meeting between the US and Ukrainian leaders was their first face-to-face encounter since a very public row in the Oval Office in February.
Mr Zelenskyy said he had a good meeting with Mr Trump in which they talked about the defence of the Ukrainian people, a full and unconditional ceasefire, and a durable and lasting peace that would prevent the war restarting.
Other images released by the Ukrainian president’s office show Sir Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron were present for part of the talks, which were described as “positive” by the French presidency.
Mr Zelenskyy‘s spokesman said the meeting lasted for around 15 minutes and he and Mr Trump had agreed to hold further discussions later on Saturday.
The world leaders shared a moment before the service
Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in the Basilica
But the US president left Rome for Washington on Air Force One soon after the funeral without any other talks having taken place.
The Ukrainian president’s office said there was no second meeting in Rome because of the tight schedule of both leaders, although he had separate discussions with Mr Starmer and Mr Macron.
The French president said in a post on X “Ukraine is ready for an unconditional ceasefire” and that a so-called coalition of the willing, led by the UK and France, would continue working to achieve a lasting peace.
There was applause from some of the other world leaders in attendance at the Vatican when Mr Zelenskyy walked out of St Peter’s Basilica after stopping in front of the pontiff’s coffin to pay his respects.
Donald Trump and the Ukrainian president met for the first time since their Oval Office row. Pic: Reuters
Sir Tony Brenton, the former British ambassador to Russia, said the event presents diplomatic opportunities, including the “biggest possible meeting” between Mr Trump and the Ukrainian leader.
He told Sky News it could mark “an important step” in starting the peace process between Russia and Ukraine.
Professor Father Francesco Giordano told Sky News the meeting is being called “Pope Francis’s miracle” by members of the clergy, adding: “There’s so many things that happened today – it was just overwhelming.”
The bilateral meeting comes after Mr Trump’s peace negotiator Steve Witkoff held talks with Mr Putin at the Kremlin.
They discussed “the possibility of resuming direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine”, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov said.
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Russia and Ukraine have not held direct talks since the early weeks of the war, which began in February 2022.
Mr Trump has claimed a deal to end the war is “very close” and has urged Mr Zelenskyy to “get it done” in a post on his Truth Social platform.
He has previously warned both sides his administration would walk away from its efforts to achieve a peace if the two sides do not agree a deal soon.
Meanwhile, the Polish armed forces said a Russian military helicopter violated its airspace over the Baltic Sea on Friday evening.
“The nature of the incident indicates that Russia is testing the readiness of our air defence systems,” they said in a post on X.
On an extraordinary day, remarkable pictures on the margins that capture what may be a turning point for the world.
In a corner of St Peter’s Basilica before the funeral of Pope Francis, the leaders of America and Ukraine sit facing each other in two solitary chairs.
They look like confessor and sinner except we cannot tell which one is which.
Leaning forward hands together in their laps, Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy stare at each other in one photo.
In another, the Ukrainian president seems to be remonstrating with the US president. This is their first encounter since their infamous bust-up in the Oval Office.
The two leaders held talks before attending the Pope’s funeral
Other pictures show the moment their French and British counterparts introduced the two men. There is a palpable sense of nervousness in the way the leaders engage.
We do not know what the two presidents said in their brief meeting.
But in the mind of the Ukrainian leader will be the knowledge President Trump has this week said America will reward Russia for its unprovoked brutal invasion of his country, under any peace deal.
Mr Trump has presented Ukraine and Russia with a proposal and ultimatum so one-sided it could have been written in the Kremlin.
Kyiv must surrender the land Russia has taken by force, Crimea forever, the rest at least for now. And it must submit to an act of extortion, a proposed deal that would hand over half its mineral wealth effectively to America.
The world leaders shared a moment before the service
Afterwards, Zelenskyy said it had been a good meeting that could turn out to be historic “if we reach results together”.
They had talked, he said, about the defence of Ukraine, a full and unconditional ceasefire and a durable and lasting peace that will prevent a war restarting.
The Trump peace proposal includes only unspecified security guarantees for Ukraine from countries that do not include the US. It rules out any membership of Ukraine.
Ukraine’s allies are watching closely to see if Mr Trump will apply any pressure on Vladimir Putin, let alone punish him for recent bloody attacks on Ukraine.
Or will he simply walk away if the proposal fails, blaming Ukrainian intransigence, however outrageously, before moving onto a rapprochement with Moscow.
If he does, America’s role as guarantor of international security will be seen effectively as over.
This could be the week we see the world order as we have known it since the end of the Second World War buried, as well as a pope.
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