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The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) no longer requires new drugs to be tested in animals before being approved. Thanks to a law passed in December 2022 (opens in new tab) , the agency now has the option to approve drugs that are tested in only non-animal studies, including those that use lab-grown tissues or computer models, before being tested in clinical trials with humans. 

But is that safe, and will it happen any time soon? For now, no one should expect a dramatic shift in how drug developers bring medicines to market, experts told Live Science.

“I think it’s going to be a while before this actually gets implemented in full force,” Vivek Gupta (opens in new tab) , an associate professor of industrial pharmacy at St. John’s University told Live Science. Gupta is also the scientific founder of PulmoSIM Therapeutics, a subsidiary of VeriSIM Life that develops therapies for rare and progressive respiratory diseases. 

That’s because, although promising non-animal models have recently been developed, these technologies are “still in their infancy,” Jim Newman (opens in new tab) , communications director at Americans for Medical Progress, which advocates for the use of animal research, wrote in a Feb. 1 statement (opens in new tab) . 

Related: Why do medical researchers use mice? 

Previously, the FDA typically required drugs be tested in one rodent and one nonrodent species, before they were moved into human trials, Science reported (opens in new tab) . These animal tests help reveal how drugs break down in the body, whether they reach the tissues they’re intended to target and whether they exert the intended effects on those tissues — without having harmful side effects. But they’re not perfect: more than 90% of drugs that pass initial animal tests end up being unsafe or ineffective in humans, according to a 2019 review in the journal Translational Medicine Communications (opens in new tab) .

Research groups developing alternatives to animal testing aim to find different models that capture this same information, or better yet, ones that accurately predict exactly how a drug will behave in people. 

Dr. Donald Ingber (opens in new tab) , the founding director of the Wyss Institute for Biologically Inspired Engineering at Harvard University, agreed with Gupta’s assessment that the implementation of the new law will be gradual. “It’ll still be a while, I think, before we really see the impact of this,” Ingber told Live Science.

One of the biggest hurdles will be convincing drug developers to adopt new, non-animal testing methods, he said. The companies will want to see evidence that the models show equivalent or superior performance to animal testing, and reassurance that the FDA views the tests as robust before they heavily invest in new technology. Once they do, that will provide the FDA with more evidence that these tests can replace animal testing.

“I think it’s going to happen over the next couple years, one by one, drugs including data from these models,” said Ingber, whose lab develops “organ chips” — small devices that contain living human tissues and flowing fluids that mimic the inner workings of full-size organs. These organ chips, which can be used in drug testing, are being commercialized by Emulate, a biotech company of which Ingber is a board member.

This is an example of the “Organ Chip” platform developed at the Wyss Institute and subsequently licensed to Emulate, Inc. (Image credit: Harvard’s Wyss Institute)

Still, replacing animal models with organ chips will “occur gradually,” as each system will have to be validated for a specific purpose, to show how a drug is absorbed by the colon or whether it damages heart cells, for example, Ingber wrote in his review. 

What’s more, “true validation of their use as animal replacements will require large-scale evaluation involving hundreds of devices of the same design carried out using the same protocols,” a feat that will require regulatory agencies and drug companies to work together to standardize their validation methods and performance criteria, he added.

Related: Tiny ‘hearts’ self-assemble in lab dishes and even beat like the real thing

Other promising alternatives to animal testing are organoids, or 3D clusters of lab-grown cells that can mimic key biological features of full-size organs. These organized clumps, often derived from stem cells and grown on physical scaffolding, are especially useful for observing cell- and tissue-level drug responses, as well as assessing how well drugs latch onto their molecular targets, Ingber said.

“In the same ballpark” of organoids are spheroids — simpler 3D clusters of cells that are often used to model cancerous tumors, Gupta said. Gupta, who studies lung cancer, works with spheroids grown from primary cell lines, which are populations of cells sampled directly from human patients and can only replicate a few times; that’s in contrast to so-called immortalized cell lines, which can be grown indefinitely. 

Although often more difficult to obtain than immortal cells, primary cells better capture what happens in a human patient, Gupta explained. RELATED STORIES—Fatal ‘brain-eating’ amoeba successfully treated with repurposed UTI drug

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Alongside these models constructed from cells are those built using computers. For instance, scientists have built computer models to assess drug toxicity — one model, described in a 2018 report in the journal Frontiers in Physiology (opens in new tab) , predicts whether a given drug could have toxic effects on the heart. 

“As the AI-based models become more and more robust, as more and more data gets fed into them, I think they are able to provide a fairly accurate prediction,” Gupta said. Perfecting these AI-based models will be essential in getting rid of the early stage animal tests that assess how drugs get broken down in the body and interact with different tissues, he said.  

As more drug developers invest in and perfect organ chips, organoids and AI-based models the need for animal studies may gradually shrink. In the meantime, “I think the FDA will be happy to review the data,” Ingber said. “If they see data that they believe are convincing, they can use it,” he said.

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Business confidence ‘at two-year low’ as tax hikes loom

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Business confidence 'at two-year low' as tax hikes loom

More than half of private sector firms are planning price hikes to help offset looming tax increases announced in the chancellor’s first budget , according to a corporate lobby group.

The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) warned business confidence was at its lowest level since the market meltdown that followed the Conservatives’ mini budget of autumn 2022.

Its survey of almost 5,000 firms found worries about tax stood at levels not seen since 2017.

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Labour had fought a growth-focused election on the back of an improved working relationship with business but there was a widespread sense of shock when the 30 October budget put businesses on the hook for the bulk of £40bn of tax increases.

The new government argued the hikes were necessary to lock in long overdue investment in public services due to an alleged black hole in the public finances inherited from the Tories.

But companies widely warned the higher costs, from measures such as higher employer National Insurance contributions and National Living Wage increases from April, would be passed on to customers and hit wage growth, employment and investment.

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At a time when the Bank of England is struggling to cut interest rates due to stubborn cost pressures in the economy, there will be concern among policymakers over the threat posed by potential business price hikes ahead.

The BCC survey found 55% of companies were planning to raise their own sales costs.

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HMV owner slams budget ‘burden’

Such a move would threaten further upwards pressure on inflation while weak business confidence will also do little to lift the economy out of the doldrums witnessed during the second half of 2024 when government warnings of a “tough” budget ahead were widely blamed for hitting sentiment.

Financial markets currently see just a 60% chance of a Bank rate cut at the next meeting in a month’s time.

BCC director general Shevaun Haviland said: “The worrying reverberations of the budget are clear to see in our survey data. Businesses’ confidence has slumped in a pressure cooker of rising costs and taxes.

“Firms of all shapes and sizes are telling us the national insurance hike is particularly damaging. Businesses are already cutting back on investment and say they will have to put up prices in the coming months.

“The government is rightly coming up with long-term strategies on industry, infrastructure and trade. But those plans won’t help businesses struggling now.

“Business stands ready to work in partnership to make the proposed Employment Rights legislation work for all, but the current plans will add further costs on firms.”

The BCC said the government could help firms absorb the additional pressures in areas such as business rates reform and through infrastructure investment.

A Treasury spokesperson said in response: “We delivered a once in a parliament budget to wipe the slate clean and deliver the stability businesses so desperately need.

“We have ensured more than half of employers will either see a cut or no change in their National Insurance bills, and by capping the rate of corporation tax at the lowest level in the G7, creating pension megafunds and establishing a National Wealth Fund, we are bringing back political and financial stability, creating the conditions for economic growth through investment and reform.

“This is just the start of our Plan for Change which will unlock investment, get Britain building via planning reform, and employ a modern Industrial Strategy to deliver the certainty and stability businesses need to invest in the UK’s growing and high potential sectors. This will make all parts of the country better off.”

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Woman cancer-free after UK’s first liver transplant for advanced bowel cancer

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Woman cancer-free after UK's first liver transplant for advanced bowel cancer

A 32-year-old woman is cancer-free after undergoing the UK’s first liver transplant for advanced bowel cancer.

Bianca Perea, a trainee lawyer from Manchester, was diagnosed with the most advanced kind of bowel cancer in November 2021, with doctors telling her they aimed to prolong her life rather than find a cure.

But, alongside other treatments including targeted drug therapy, chemotherapy and surgery, the transplant has been a huge success and Ms Perea now has no signs of cancer anywhere in her body.

Ms Perea first visited her GP in Wigan after feeling constipated and bloated. After tests, a colonoscopy and a biopsy, she was diagnosed with stage four bowel cancer, which had spread to all eight segments of her liver.

Ms Perea accepted the diagnosis, but said she refused to believe the outlook was so bleak.

“I don’t want to sound kind of ignorant or arrogant or anything like that but I just didn’t feel in my gut that that was going to be it,” she said.

Her mother asked about a possible transplant at that stage but was told it was not a feasible treatment.

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Ms Perea had 37 rounds of a targeted drug called panitumumab plus chemotherapy for two and a half years.

She had an excellent response to the treatment, which meant she was able to have an operation in May 2023 to remove the bowel tumour.

But scans showed she still had tumours in her liver, which could not be operated on.

EMBARGOED TO 0001 MONDAY JANUARY 6 Undated handout photo issued by The Christie NHS Foundation Trust of Bianca Perea who is cancer-free after undergoing the UK's first liver transplant for advanced bowel cancer. Bianca, a 32-year-old trainee lawyer from Manchester, was given the surgery in the hope it could offer a potential cure for her deadly disease. Issue date: Monday January 6, 2025.
Image:
Bianca with her beloved dog. Pic: PA

Nevertheless, because her response to chemotherapy had been so good and her bowel cancer was seemingly gone, doctors began to look at liver transplants.

Ms Perea was added to the transplant list in February 2024 and was lucky enough to find a donor last summer.

File photo dated 30/11/17 of an NHS Blood and Transplant Small Human Organ in Transit box at St George's Hospital in Tooting, west London. Some 35 human organs were made available for transplant after being donated over Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, new figures have shown. The organs were provided by 11 donors across the UK after their death and included a heart, lungs, kidneys, livers, pancreas and bowel, NHS Blood and Transplant (NHSBT) said. Issue date: Friday December 27, 2024.
Image:
An NHS Blood and Transplant Small Human Organ in Transit box at St George’s Hospital in Tooting, west London. File pic: PA

She said: “Within four weeks of going under the knife, I was able to drive and walk the family dogs, it was really quite incredible.

“To go from being told I’d only have a short time to live to now being cancer-free is the greatest gift.

“I’ve been given a second chance at life and I’m going to grab it with both hands. I am so grateful to the family who agreed to donate their loved one’s liver.

“I do believe this is a cure. They’re always hesitant to say that, obviously, but I am cancer-free right now.”

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Now, Ms Perea is looking forward to going on holiday this year and is working on improving her fitness.

“My liver is doing really well,” she said. “I get tests on that, and I’ve just had my second scan and that’s all clear, so it’s really good.”

Dr Kalena Marti, Ms Perea’s oncologist, said: “To see that Bianca has had such a positive outcome is wonderful.

“When we looked at the tumour cells in her liver after it had been removed, they weren’t active.

“This is excellent news, and we hope that this means that the cancer won’t come back.”

She added: “Advanced bowel cancer is complex and there are lots of different types of the disease, so what works for one person might not work for another. As a result, it’s important that we continue to develop new treatments.

“Thanks to the generosity of organ donors and their loved ones, we can now access liver transplants for some patients, which is fantastic.”

You can watch a full interview with Ms Perea at 8.30am this morning on Sky News Breakfast.

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Tesla posted record China sales in 2024. But this year is going to be tough as competition heats up

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Tesla posted record China sales in 2024. But this year is going to be tough as competition heats up

Tesla models Y and 3 are displayed at a Tesla dealership in Corte Madera, California, on Dec. 20, 2024.

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Electric vehicle-maker Tesla’s sales in China climbed to a record high last year. Sustaining that performance in 2025 could prove tricky as competition with homegrown players intensifies, analysts said.

The U.S. electric vehicle maker saw annual sales in China jump 8.8% to a record high of more than 657,000 cars in 2024. In December alone, its sales rose 12.8% from the previous month to 83,000 units, according to Tesla China.

However, Tesla has been losing market share to Chinese new-energy-vehicle players, down from 7.8% in 2023 to 6% in the January to November period last year, according to Bill Russo, founder and CEO of Automobility, who believes Tesla is “struggling to keep pace [with domestic rivals] and has a limited and aging product portfolio.”

Brand resiliency and price cuts have supported Tesla’s sales so far, said Tu Le, founder and managing director of Sino Auto Insights, but he was less certain that Tesla could keep up its momentum in 2025, given the lack of new products and increased local competition, especially from Chinese companies.

Aggressive price war

Tesla slashed the price for its best-selling Model Y in China by 10,000 yuan ($1,364.5) in late December and extended a zero-interest five-year loan plan for car buyers until the end of January.

Its best-selling Model Y now starts at 239,900 yuan after the discount, while the Model 3 sedan starts at 231,900 yuan — Tesla had cut its prices by 14,000 yuan in April — according to its website.

Still that marked a significant premium over a swath of cheaper models offered by Chinese domestic carmakers. BYD, which dominated the market with around 34% market share, prices one of its best-selling models Seagull at 136,800 yuan, and the more affordable Yuan Plus model, starting at 96,800 yuan.

TOPSHOT – People look at a BYD Seagull car by Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer BYD Auto at the Bangkok International Motor Show in Nonthaburi on March 27, 2024. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP) (Photo by LILLIAN SUWANRUMPHA/AFP via Getty Images)

Lillian Suwanrumpha | Afp | Getty Images

As the price war extends into the new year, Li Auto introduced cash subsidies of 15,000 yuan per purchase along with a three-year zero-interest financing scheme, according to a post last Thursday on its social media Weibo account. Nio also extended a similar three-year zero-interest loan plan for its EV buyers.

The purchasing incentives came on top of Chinese authorities’ push to extend the consumer goods trade-in program, which subsidizes consumers to trade in old cars or appliances and buy new ones at a discount.

The government-subsidized trade-in program could further lower prices for both Model 3 and Model Y by up to 50,000 yuan, Tesla China said.

“Tesla has to discount aggressively to keep pace with the ongoing price war in the market,” Russo noted.

Despite dwindling market share, Tesla is unlikely to lose its ground completely in China, according to Joe McCabe, CEO and president of AutoForecast Solutions, who compared Tesla as “the Apple of cars” — an “early adopter” in the EV space with “phenomenal” technology.

“I don’t think Tesla is at risk of not surviving,” McCabe added, “all [Elon Musk] has to do is drop the price by 5%, because he can, and that will help for little blips.”

Head-to-head race

In addition to lowering prices, Chinese electric carmakers have rolled out a slew of new models, many with fancy in-car features, such as projectors, embedded refrigerators and driver-assist systems.

Meanwhile Tesla has been slow in adopting any of these features, with its product portfolio focused solely on fully electric vehicles, while its homegrown rivals have steered into plug-in hybrid cars and extended-range EV categories.

These more traditional models appeal to buyers who are “still worried about the leap to fully electric [cars],” Sam Fiorani, vice president of AutoForecast Solutions said. “Tesla has no plans for anything other than fully electric vehicles.”

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The automaker’s plans of launching its full self-driving supervised system still hinges on regulatory permission in China, while several local competitors have made the advanced driver-assistance systems a basic part of their offering, including BYD.

Musk had warned in January that Chinese automakers could “demolish most other car companies in the world” unless regulators intervene with trade barriers, as the Warren Buffet-backed BYD overtook Tesla as the world’s top-selling EV company in the last quarter of 2023.

The U.S. imposed a 100% duty on Chinese EVs last September to protect its homegrown industries from the pricing pressure posed by heavily-subsidized peers from China. The European Union has also moved to impose tariffs as high as 45.3% on Chinese EV cars imported late last year, while Tesla enjoyed a lower tariff rate of 7.8%.

The trade barriers would force Chinese automakers to find buyers at home and in the “smaller, friendlier” foreign markets, adding pressure on Tesla’s sales in China and elsewhere, Fiorani added.

Tesla’s sales of China-made EV cars including exports to foreign markets fell modestly by 0.4% from a year ago to 93,766 units in December, according to CNBC’s calculation of China Passenger Car Association data.

BYD, which is subject to 17% tariff duties for car exports to European Union, still led the rank with 509,440 cars sold in December, a near 50% year-on-year jump.

—CNBC’s Evelyn Cheng and Sonia Heng contributed to this report.

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