An art exhibition based on the hit TV series “The Walking Dead” in London, England.
Ollie Millington | Getty Images
For some venture capitalists, we’re approaching a night of the living dead.
Startup investors are increasingly warning of an apocalyptic scenario in the VC world — namely, the emergence of “zombie” VC firms that are struggling to raise their next fund.
Faced with a backdrop of higher interest rates and fears of an oncoming recession, VCs expect there will be hundreds of firms that gain zombie status in the next few years.
“We expect there’s going to be an increasing number of zombie VCs; VCs that are still existing because they need to manage the investment they did from their previous fund but are incapable of raising their next fund,” Maelle Gavet, CEO of the global entrepreneur network Techstars, told CNBC.
“That number could be as high as up to 50% of VCs in the next few years, that are just not going to be able to raise their next fund,” she added.
What’s a zombie?
In the corporate world, a zombie isn’t a dead person brought back to life. Rather, it’s a business that, while still generating cash, is so heavily indebted it can just about pay off its fixed costs and interest on debts, not the debt itself.
Life becomes harder for zombie firms in a higher interest rate environment, as it increases their borrowing costs. The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England all raised interest rates again earlier this month.
In the VC market, a zombie is an investment firm that no longer raises money to back new companies. They still operate in the sense that they manage a portfolio of investments. But they cease to write founders new checks amid struggles to generate returns.
Investors expect this gloomy economic backdrop to create a horde of zombie funds that, no longer producing returns, instead focus on managing their existing portfolios — while preparing to eventually wind down.
“There are definitely zombie VC firms out there. It happens during every downturn,” Michael Jackson, a Paris-based VC who invests in both startups and venture funds, told CNBC.
“The fundraising climate for VCs has cooled considerably, so many firms won’t be able to raise their next fund.”
Why VCs are struggling
VCs take funds from institutional backers known as LPs, or limited partners, and hand small amounts of the cash to startups in exchange for equity. These LPs are typically pension funds, endowments, and family offices.
If all goes smoothly and that startup successfully goes public or gets acquired, a VC recoups the funds or, better yet, generates a profit on their investment. But in the current environment, where startups are seeing their valuations slashed, LPs are becoming more picky about where they park their cash.
“We’re going to see a lot more zombie venture capital firms this year,” Steve Saraccino, founder of VC firm Activant Capital, told CNBC.
A sharp slide in technology valuations has taken its toll on the VC industry. Publicly-listed tech stocks have stumbled amid souring investor sentiment on high-growth areas of the market, with the Nasdaq down nearly 26% from its peak in November 2021.
A chart showing the performance of the Nasdaq Composite since Nov. 1, 2021.
With private valuations playing catch-up with stocks, venture-backed startups are feeling the chill as well.
Stripe, the online payments giant, has seen its internal market value drop 40% to $63 billion since reaching a peak of $95 billion in March 2021. Buy now, pay later lender Klarna, meanwhile, last raised funds at a $6.7 billion valuation, a whopping 85% discount to its prior fundraise.
Crypto was the most extreme example of the reversal in tech. In November, crypto exchange FTX filed for bankruptcy, in a stunning flameout for a company once valued by its private backers at $32 billion.
Investors in FTX included some of the most notable names in VC and private equity, including Sequoia Capital, Tiger Global, and SoftBank, raising questions about the level of due diligence — or lack thereof — put into deal negotiations.
Since the firms they back are privately-held, any gains VCs make from their bets are paper gains — that is, they won’t be realized until a portfolio company goes public, or sells to another firm. The IPO window has for the most part been shut as several tech firms opt to stall their listings until market conditions improve. Merger and acquisition activity, too, has slowed down.
New VC funds face a tougher time
In the past two to three years, a flood of new venture funds have emerged due to a prolonged period of low interest rates. A total of 274 funds were raised by VCs in 2022, more than in any previous year and up 73% from 158 in 2019, according to numbers from the data platform Dealroom.
LPs may be less inclined to hand cash to newly established funds with less experience under their belt than names with strong track records.
“LPs are pulling back after being overexposed in the private markets, leaving less capital to go around the large number of VC firms started over the past few years,” Saraccino said.
“A lot of these new VC firms are unproven and have not been able to return capital to their LPs, meaning they are going to struggle mightily to raise new funds.”
When will zombie VCs emerge?
Frank Demmler, who teaches entrepreneurship at Carnegie Mellon University’s Tepper School of Business, said it would likely take three to four years before ailing VC firms show signs of distress.
“The behavior will not be as obvious” as it is with zombie firms in other industries, he said, “but the tell-tale signs are they haven’t made big investments over the last three or four years, they haven’t raised a new fund.”
“There were a lot of first-time funds that got funded during the buoyant last couple of years,” Demmler said.
“Those funds are probably going to get caught midway through where they haven’t had an opportunity to have too much liquidity yet and only been on the investing side of things if they were invented in 2019, 2020.”
“They then have a situation where their ability to make the type of returns that LPs want is going to be close to nil. That’s when the zombie dynamic really comes into play.”
According to industry insiders, VCs won’t lay off their staff in droves, unlike tech firms which have laid off thousands. Instead, they’ll shed staff over time through attrition, avoiding filling vacancies left by partner exits as they prepare to eventually wind down.
“A venture wind down isn’t like a company wind down,” Hussein Kanji, partner at Hoxton Ventures, explained. “It takes 10-12 years for funds to shut down. So basically they don’t raise and management fees decline.”
“People leave and you end up with a skeleton crew managing the portfolio until it all exits in the decade allowed. This is what happened in 2001.”
Inside a secretive set of buildings in Santa Barbara, California, scientists at Alphabet are working on one of the company’s most ambitious bets yet. They’re attempting to develop the world’s most advanced quantum computers.
“In the future, quantum and AI, they could really complement each other back and forth,” said Julian Kelly, director of hardware at Google Quantum AI.
Google has been viewed by many as late to the generative AI boom, because OpenAI broke into the mainstream first with ChatGPT in late 2022.
Late last year, Google made clear that it wouldn’t be caught on the backfoot again. The company unveiled a breakthrough quantum computing chip called Willow, which it says can solve a benchmark problem unimaginably faster than what’s possible with a classical computer, and demonstrated that adding more quantum bits to the chip reduced errors exponentially.
“That’s a milestone for the field,” said John Preskill, director of the Caltech Institute for Quantum Information and Matter. “We’ve been wanting to see that for quite a while.”
Willow may now give Google a chance to take the lead in the next technological era. It also could be a way to turn research into a commercial opportunity, especially as AI hits a data wall. Leading AI models are running out of high-quality data to train on after already scraping much of the data on the internet.
“One of the potential applications that you can think of for a quantum computer is generating new and novel data,” said Kelly.
He uses the example of AlphaFold, an AI model developed by Google DeepMind that helps scientists study protein structures. Its creators won the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.
“[AlphaFold] trains on data that’s informed by quantum mechanics, but that’s actually not that common,” said Kelly. “So a thing that a quantum computer could do is generate data that AI could then be trained on in order to give it a little more information about how quantum mechanics works.”
Kelly has said that he believes Google is only about five years away from a breakout, practical application that can only be solved on a quantum computer. But for Google to win the next big platform shift, it would have to turn a breakthrough into a business.
An attendee wearing a Super Mario costume uses a Nintendo Switch 2 game console while playing a video game during the Nintendo Switch 2 Experience at the ExCeL London international exhibition and convention centre in London, Britain, April 11, 2025.
Isabel Infantes | Reuters
Nintendo on Friday announced that retail preorder for its Nintendo Switch 2 gaming system will begin on April 24 starting at $449.99.
Preorders for the hotly anticipated console were initially slated for April 9, but Nintendo delayed the date to assess the impact of the far-reaching, aggressive “reciprocal” tariffs that President Donald Trump announced earlier this month.
Most electronics companies, including Nintendo, manufacture their products in Asia. Nintendo’s Switch 1 consoles were made in China and Vietnam, Reuters reported in 2019. Trump has imposed a 145% tariff rate on China and a 10% rate on Vietnam. The latter is down from 46%, after he instituted a 90-day pause to allow for negotiations.
Nintendo said Friday that the Switch 2 will cost $449.99 in the U.S., which is the same price the company first announced on April 2.
“We apologize for the retail pre-order delay, and hope this reduces some of the uncertainty our consumers may be experiencing,” Nintendo said in a statement. “We thank our customers for their patience, and we share their excitement to experience Nintendo Switch 2 starting June 5, 2025.”
The Nintendo Switch 2 and “Mario Kart World“ bundle will cost $499.99, the digital version “Mario Kart World” will cost $79.99 and the digital version of “Donkey Kong Bananza” will cost $69.99, Nintendo said. All of those prices remain unchanged from the company’s initial announcement.
However, accessories for the Nintendo Switch 2 will “experience price adjustments,” the company said, and other future changes in costs are possible for “any Nintendo product.”
It will cost gamers $10 more to by the dock set, $1 more to buy the controller strap and $5 more to buy most other accessories, for instance.
An employee walks past a quilt displaying Etsy Inc. signage at the company’s headquarters in the Brooklyn.
Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Etsy is trying to make it easier for shoppers to purchase products from local merchants and avoid the extra cost of imports as President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs raise concerns about soaring prices.
In a post to Etsy’s website on Thursday, CEO Josh Silverman said the company is “surfacing new ways for buyers to discover businesses in their countries” via shopping pages and by featuring local sellers on its website and app.
“While we continue to nurture and enable cross-border trade on Etsy, we understand that people are increasingly interested in shopping domestically,” Silverman said.
Etsy operates an online marketplace that connects buyers and sellers with mostly artisanal and handcrafted goods. The site, which had 5.6 million active sellers as of the end of December, competes with e-commerce juggernaut Amazon, as well as newer entrants that have ties to China like Temu, Shein and TikTok Shop.
By highlighting local sellers, Etsy could relieve some shoppers from having to pay higher prices induced by President Trump’s widespread tariffs on trade partners. Trump has imposed tariffs on most foreign countries, with China facing a rate of 145%, and other nations facing 10% rates after he instituted a 90-day pause to allow for negotiations. Trump also signed an executive order that will end the de minimis provision, a loophole for low-value shipments often used by online businesses, on May 2.
Temu and Shein have already announced they plan to raise prices late next week in response to the tariffs. Sellers on Amazon’s third-party marketplace, many of whom source their products from China, have said they’re considering raising prices.
Silverman said Etsy has provided guidance for its sellers to help them “run their businesses with as little disruption as possible” in the wake of tariffs and changes to the de minimis exemption.
Before Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs took effect, Silverman said on the company’s fourth-quarter earnings call in late February that he expects Etsy to benefit from the tariffs and de minimis restrictions because it “has much less dependence on products coming in from China.”
“We’re doing whatever work we can do to anticipate and prepare for come what may,” Silverman said at the time. “In general, though, I think Etsy will be more resilient than many of our competitors in these situations.”
Still, American shoppers may face higher prices on Etsy as U.S. businesses that source their products or components from China pass some of those costs on to consumers.
Etsy shares are down 17% this year, slightly more than the Nasdaq.